Let's start with some generalities about what we mean by "special situation." This stockmarket concept is quite broad. It refers to a company that finds itself in an unusual position, creating a distortion compared to the average publicly traded company. On the negative side, there are large discounts, disaffection, strategic errors, and other setbacks. On the positive side, there may be rumors of a takeover or split, or the company may be a phoenix rising from the ashes. There may also be a whole series of events ranging from the arrival of an activist shareholder to the takeover of a competitor, a disruptive innovation, bad buzz, or an exorbitant valuation. Yes, because a special situation can involve investing in both buying and selling.

In any case, this is the type of company that would be prudently avoided in a traditional portfolio. However, these atypical profiles sometimes become prime hunting grounds for investors on the lookout for speculative opportunities, provided they are exploited at the right time: there is a fine line between an incredible opportunity and a value trap. Consequently, these investments are not without risk. The outcome is often binary: it either works or it doesn't. Special situations require close monitoring, a clear understanding of the company's internal dynamics, and a healthy dose of tolerance for volatility. For some, it is an opportunistic strategy. For others, it is the art of going against the grain, where you try to see value where the market still only sees problems.

Here are 25 European stocks in special situations:

  • AMS-Osram
    The Austrian equipment manufacturer, which has undergone multiple mergers, is going through a difficult period. Cost cutting, refocusing, and asset disposals are all part of the group's efforts to regain momentum at a time when its main market, the automotive industry, is not in the best shape. The latest operating performance is encouraging, but the debt burden continues to weigh on results.
  • Atos
    The former star of French IT has converted its colossal debt into shares, wiping out its shareholders in the process. Taken over by a new management team, which is working to prevent the announced dismantling, the company is showing signs of improvement, but from a very low base and in an extremely fragile state. Management must pull off the feat of simultaneously improving profitability, reassuring customers, and restoring shareholder and market confidence. No longer a lottery ticket, but not yet a solid investment.
  • Azelis
    The specialty chemical distributor is making a series of acquisitions as part of an ambitious consolidation strategy. This quest for critical mass has contributed to its high debt, which has long weighed on its stock performance. The market also assigns a fairly high discount compared to its closest peer, IMCD, because its financial results are often erratic. Azelis is one of those stocks that analysts love but which struggle to shake off their bad reputation.
  • Ayvens
    Société Générale's long-term car rental subsidiary, formerly known as ALD, appears to be suffering from the double blow of low valuations in the automotive and financial sectors. Presented as a core asset by management in 2023, alongside BoursoBank, Ayvens nevertheless attracted the interest of big names in private equity at the end of 2024.
  • BP Plc
    The British oil major is a textbook case for this selection. The company is under pressure from activist funds, while, according to the latest rumors, it is being courted by Shell. Although these companies were historically of comparable size, Shell is now worth nearly twice as much as BP on the stock market. This is a speculative aspect to watch.
  • Carrefour
    In an ultra-competitive environment, Carrefour is seeking to reposition itself through rationalization, digitalization, and possible capital movements. With rumors of mergers, asset sales, and share buybacks, the retailer remains a key player in Europe... albeit at a discount. Carrefour is worth less than €9bn, or one-tenth of its revenue!
  • Clariane
    Formerly Korian, Clariane is trying to turn the page on the crisis in the medical-social sector by seeking to present itself in a better light than its rival Emeis (formerly Orpea, see below). Asset sales, strategic refocusing, and regaining confidence: a profound transformation, but one that is being closely monitored. The market is speculating that these companies are "too essential for the government to let them go under," despite their somewhat deteriorated fundamentals.
  • Continental
    The German group is in the process of completing the split that everyone has been expecting. High-margin tires on one side, non-tire automotive parts on the other. In this context, investors expect the core business to be revalued once it has been stripped of its low-margin activities. There may still be room for something, as the sector searches for the bottom of the cycle.
  • Douglas
    The cosmetics distributor, known for its Nocibé brand, is one of the biggest flops among recent IPOs. The share price has fallen from $26 to less than $10 in a year! Financial performance has been extremely poor and investors have fled the stock. Special situation: it would be hard to do worse.
  • Emeis
    Formerly Orpea, renamed to erase the stigma of a high-profile scandal. With new management, financial restructuring, and renewed credibility, the healthcare group is moving forward on a narrow path that is still fraught with obstacles, but with a healthier management team than its predecessor. This is a bet on the strategic status of nursing home operators in France, as with Clariane.
  • Grifols
    The Spanish biotechnology group is facing accounting allegations and high debt. The fundamentals remain relatively solid, but the image has been tarnished. A textbook case for investors who like to bet against the odds, especially as a few funds are circling with a view to a takeover, notably Brookfield, which has already been rebuffed in the past.
  • Havas
    The Amsterdam-listed company, which was spun off from Vivendi, is very poorly valued. The market has not yet digested the group's separation: there may be something to explore there.
  • Ithaca
    The North Sea oil and gas producer, owned by Israel's Delek and Italy's ENI, is trading at relatively low levels despite being an opportunistic consolidator in the sector. The company is on the lookout for acquisitions.
  • John Wood
    The British oil engineering company, which is in a delicate situation, is nevertheless attracting interest due to its rather rare positioning. Sidara, the Dubai-based company, recently made a new informal offer of GBX 35, but the stock continues to trade below this level, a sign that the market does not have much confidence in the outcome of the transaction.
  • Kering
    The luxury goods giant is having doubts. Gucci is stalling, and other brands are struggling to compensate. The group is playing the creative renewal card, but the markets are wondering: Kering is in transition, and it shows. The next one will surprise you...
  • LVMH
    We are adding LVMH to the "special situation" list because the company's current slump has brought its valuation back to reasonable levels and rumors of a split between LV (fashion) and MH (beverages) are beginning to circulate again. Discounts and rumors of capital transactions usually go hand in hand.
  • Novo Nordisk
    The Danish champion in diabetes and obesity treatment was breaking record after record on the stock market when something went wrong. So much so that Eli Lilly's rival has become cheap again. Investors punished the clash between their dreams of exponential profits and the growing competition in the field of obesity treatments. To make matters worse, politics has complicated the situation, with Donald Trump targeting Denmark and imported drugs. That's a lot to take in.
  • Ocado
    The British company is a hybrid player, both a food distributor and a provider of integrated logistics solutions for its own needs and those of third parties. This dual status is both an advantage and a disadvantage. Its model is as fascinating as it is worrying: radical innovation and global partnerships, but still no profitability in sight. Could this be the time? Analysts predict break-even in 2027.
  • Puma
    A relatively strong brand globally, but lagging behind its major rivals Nike and Adidas in terms of performance. Not to mention competition from new entrants and the uncertainty caused by the dictates of social media. Puma is a bit like the Kering of mass-market fashion. Will the new CEO, who previously worked at Adidas, manage to turn things around?
  • Reckitt
    The British consumer products group is going through a turbulent period. A leader in several segments, it has experienced problems with certain innovations and its latest major acquisition (Mead Johnson) has encountered difficulties. The stock is at the same level as ten years ago. In an attempt to revitalize the company, management has launched the sale of some of its household cleaning brands (Calgon, Air Wick, etc.) to focus on its most profitable assets, such as Durex, Strepsils, and Veet.
  • Rémy Cointreau
    The spirits group is suffering from a post-Covid hangover, particularly in China. However, the company, which has been trading at nearly 15-year lows, remains a unique asset with global visibility. For the time being, investors are staying away, fearing the double blow of the Sino-US slowdown caused by the trade war.
  • RWE
    The German energy company is in the crosshairs of activist fund Elliott, known for its pugnacity. The investor has taken a 5% stake, congratulating the company for reducing its investment program while urging it to buy back more shares. This is likely to shake things up within the group.
  • Swatch
    The Swiss watchmaker has been the sick man of the European luxury segment for years. With a diverse portfolio and dependence on Asia, the future remains unclear, but ideas have been floated to shake up the sleeping beauty. Why not a delisting orchestrated by the Hayek family? This rumor regularly resurfaces on the market, but it is gaining momentum as the share price approaches its lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis!
  • Ubisoft
    The video game publisher is struggling to recover after several commercial failures and Tencent's partial withdrawal. With rumors of a takeover and a series of restructurings, Ubisoft remains in the spotlight, a weakened prey in an industry undergoing consolidation. Things have finally started to move recently when the publisher created a subsidiary with Tencent to house its strong brands. Small shareholders would have preferred a more radical move, but this may be the beginning of something.
  • Viridien
    Formerly CGG, the company has refocused on geophysical services and is proving the market statistics wrong, which suggest that companies that engage in multiple debt-for-equity swaps to avoid bankruptcy always end up hitting a brick wall. It is a cyclical niche, dependent on oil, but one that is attracting funds seeking industrial recovery.