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Friday, June 5, 2020

Singapore opts for countrywide wearables for COVID-19 tracing

The city-state of Singapore is planning to outfit each of its 5.7 million residents with a simple wearable device to track people who have been exposed to the novel coronavirus, according to Reuters.
The massive digital contract-tracing effort, involving small devices that would fit in pockets or be attached to lanyards, would follow up on a previous program built on smartphones and apps as the country aims to loosen its lockdown rules, the report said.
Singapore currently faces over 37,000 confirmed infections of COVID-19 and has had 24 deaths. The smaller territory has a larger number of cases compared to its Southeast Asia neighbors, including Indonesia’s 29,500, the Philippines’ 20,600 and Malaysia’s 8,200, according to international data collected by Johns Hopkins University.
The technology would be similar in concept to programs rolled out late last month by Apple and Google, which rely on a smartphone’s Bluetooth radio to ping nearby devices and record when they have been in somewhat close physical contact.
If a person tests positive for COVID-19, that data could be used to trace back interactions and alert people that they may have been exposed to the disease. The wearable devices, however, would not need to depend on smartphones.
According to Reuters, Singapore’s previous TraceTogether app was found to be less effective, as smartphones would turn off the Bluetooth radio to save power while the app ran in the background.
The country’s government did not say if the new wearables would be mandatory, the report said. Other governments, such as in Hong Kong and Bahrain, have used similar devices for monitoring people under quarantine.

Study: Hydroxychloroquine doesn’t prevent Covid-19, but questions remain

President Donald Trump said in May that he was taking hydroxychloroquine to guard against COVID-19 infection. But does the anti-malaria drugwork as preventive measure for the novel coronavirus?
It doesn’t, a new study published in The New England Journal of Medicine suggests. However, a long list of unanswered questions remains, and one expert concludes that the drug’s prevention benefits “remain to be determined.”
In what the study authors called a “pragmatic” clinical trial, 821 adults who had a previous risky COVID-19 exposure were recruited through social media to receive either hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) or placebo. By 14 days after treatment, 49 of 414 participants on HCQ and 58 of 407 on placebo developed COVID-19.
The 2.4 percentage points of absolute difference in illness incidence didn’t cross the statistical significance threshold, the University of Minnesota-led team said, even though HCQ helped cut the risks of developing the disease by about 17% on a relative basis.
But Evercore ISI analyst Umer Raffat, who previously estimated HCQ could show a benefit of around 25% to 30%, raised several questions in a Wednesday note to clients.

First, evidence of an advantage for HCQ—though small—showed up at day 14 but not at day 5 or day 10. “Would this delta have expanded beyond day 14? Unclear,” Raffat said.
Secondly, HCQ’s effect appears to be driven by people who had no additional underlying health conditions. But Raffat noted there was no explanation for that.
The reason why Raffat previously held higher hopes for HCQ is that its EC50—the concentration of a drug required to provoke a response halfway between the baseline and maximum—is similar to that of Gilead Sciences’ remdesivir, which has proven at least modestly effective against COVID-19 in several carefully designed clinical trials.
So, why didn’t HCQ live up to its expectations? Were the EC50 data simply incorrect? Or, is it because this was a prophylaxis study? We just don’t know, Raffat noted.
On that last point, Myron Cohen, a virologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, raised questions in an NEJM editorial.
Strictly speaking, the study is testing HCQ as a measure of postexposure prophylaxis. Cohen noted that, in a recent mouse study, prevention of SARS-CoV-2 was achieved only when an experimental drug was given before or shortly after exposure. Also, in HIV, postexposure prophylaxis must be used within 72 hours after suspected exposure to that virus.
However, most participants in the current study started HCQ beyond that three-day window, suggesting that “what was being assessed was prevention of symptoms or progression of COVID-19, rather than prevention of SARS-COV-2 infection,” Cohen wrote.

What’s more, the study authors acknowledged that the trial didn’t involve consistent proof of exposure, so it’s possible that some participants never came in contact with the virus in the first place. That wasn’t the biggest problem, though; after all, the study resembles that of a phase 3 vaccine efficacy trial, in which participants are discharged into the real world. For a study this large, we can assume that the probability of exposure between the two arms was similar.
Perhaps the more important limitation is that only a small number of COVID-19 cases were confirmed by a lab test. Instead, the researchers relied on participant-reported symptoms.
All considered, the study’s results are “more provocative than definitive, suggesting that the potential prevention benefits of hydroxychloroquine remain to be determined,” Cohen said in the editorial.
But one thing is clear: HCQ led to more than twice as many side effects than placebo, although none of them were serious.

Much controversy has been swirling around the antimalaria drug since Trump publicly touted it as a game-changer for COVID-19.
Previously, the World Health Organization temporarily halted its large-scale trial of HCQ to treat COVID-19 patients after a study in The Lancet found patients getting the drug appeared to have a higher risk of death. However, that study itself inspired backlash, as nearly 150 doctors signed an open letter blasting the observational research for relying solely on registry analysis rather than on a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial.
Now, the WHO study has resumed; after reviewing available data, a safety monitoring board decided there was no reason to discontinue the global trial, the health body said Wednesday.
https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/study-suggests-hydroxychloroquine-doesn-t-prevent-covid-19-but-questions-remain

As Operation Warp Speed picks 5 finalists, why some vaccines were left out

All eyes are on a handful of drug companies after news that the U.S. is prioritizing five COVID-19 vaccine programs. But since the selections went public, experts have been raising questions about the process and the drugmakers that were left off.
Earlier this week, The New York Times reported that AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Merck, Johnson & Johnson and Moderna had scored “finalist” status at Operation Warp Speed, an aggressive program to deliver COVID-19 vaccines to Americans this year. Four of the companies have already received federal funding for their programs, and the finalists will have access to additional resources, NYT reports.
Among those resources is priority access to clinical trial facilities, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said on CNBC. With limited testing capacity nationwide and many vaccines in development, that’s set to hinder companies that weren’t picked.
The former FDA chief pointed out two absences that struck him—Sanofi and Novavax. Of the five vaccines selected, only one platform—from Merck—has ever been used in an approved shot.
“There’s no sort of old-style technology in this mix,” Gottleib said. “I’m surprised that either Sanofi or Novavax, someone who is developing [a vaccine using] an older approach … wasn’t selected. If you want to spread your bets, you probably want to spread your bets across different platforms.”
Sanofi and Novavax “appear to be pretty far along,” Gottlieb added, or at least “close enough that they could have been included if in fact the government wanted to include a protein-based approach in this initial mix.”
In late-stage testing, each COVID-19 vaccine will need to be tested in 10,000 to 15,000 participants against a control arm of about 15,000 patients, Gottlieb said. He predicted that clinical trial access will be a “critical issue” this fall.
Meanwhile, a source linked to the project told Science the selection process has been “chaotic” and that it wasn’t “transparent to those of us who are trying to help out.”
The latest move is “typical Operation Warp Speed, where everything is sort of cryptic and it’s unclear what they’re actually saying,” Baylor College of Medicine vaccine expert Peter Hotez told Science. Hotez, who is part of a public-private group formed to assist with COVID-19 drug and vaccine development, said the process has not been transparent so far. He also wondered why Sanofi had been left out of the finalists.
About six months into the pandemic, 10 vaccines are in human testing and more than 120 are in preclinical stages, according to an update this week from the World Health Organization. Even as researchers move their projects through research stages, teams are also working on the manufacturing end to prepare for a massive scale-up in the event the vaccines succeed in testing.

Forensic Pathologist Breaks Down George Floyd’s Death

On May 25, 2020, George Floyd, 46, died following his arrest and restraint, handcuffed and prone, at the hand of Minneapolis Police Department officers. Eyewitness video of Officer Derek Michael Chauvin kneeling on Floyd’s neck went viral on social media. I’m first going to take you through the videos of George Floyd’s death so you can see them through the eyes of a forensic pathologist. I currently perform forensic autopsies in California, and I analyze videos of officer-involved deaths as a part of that job. I played no part in this death investigation.
Autopsy means “see for yourself” — but sometimes the autopsy doesn’t show you everything. A forensic pathologist cannot accurately determine the cause of death and the manner of death by looking at the autopsy findings alone. That’s because there are several ways to kill people without causing devastating injury to the internal organs. Asphyxia from neck and chest compression is one of those ways.
The Washington Post has video from a restaurant pointed at the street that captured George Floyd’s first interactions with the police. In it, you can see two police officers. One talks to Floyd for over two minutes before he tries to remove him from the vehicle. Floyd then briefly struggles with both officers and appears to nearly collapse at 03:14- 03:17. As an officer walks Floyd, who is handcuffed behind his back, over to the wall, Floyd’s gait is uneven. He is talking to the officer, and they appear to continue the dialogue as the officer assists Floyd in sitting down against the wall. The officer even makes some notes in his notepad. The officer lifts Floyd back to his feet by pulling up on his arms, which causes Floyd to grimace and turn his face toward the officer. His gait is again lurching and uneven as the two officers walk him across the road to their patrol vehicle. When they reach it, he falls to the ground for a moment.
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Bystander video of police kneeling on George Floyd
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George Floyd’s interaction with police
The fact that Floyd appears to be talking to the officer and the officer is taking notes suggests that Floyd is engaging in dialogue. The gait disturbance suggests that Floyd may have been under the influence of alcohol or some other drug that could affect his balance. The grimace as he is being handled suggests that the cuffs are on too tight or that he is in pain during this encounter as the officer pulls up on his cuffed arms. Here’s what I don’t see: I don’t see someone who appears to be suffering from excited delirium when drugs of abuse can cause agitation, hyperthermia, and sudden death. Floyd is not naked or dressed inappropriately for the weather. He does not appear to be sweating profusely. He does not appear to be agitated or violent.
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Bystander video of police kneeling on George Floyd
A short bystander video from another perspective shows three police officers kneeling on Floyd while another stands at his head. They appear to be exerting pressure on his neck, torso, left (still handcuffed) arm, and legs. Pressure on the torso can limit chest rise, and added pressure on other parts of the body can decrease cardiac return (the volume of blood coming back from the limbs).
Looking at a longer, unedited bystander video posted on Facebook, the first thing I notice is that Floyd’s voice sounds gravelly, and he repeatedly says, “I can’t breathe.” EMS and police are sometimes trained that anyone who says “I can’t breathe” is lying — because if you can speak, you can breathe. This is not true, and there are many reasons why people might say “I can’t breathe” and still be in medical distress. These reasons include increasing fatigue of respiratory muscles; blockage of pulmonary blood flow; incomplete airway obstruction; and acidosis, a buildup of acid in the blood which triggers an increased breathing rate and causes the sensation of shortness of breath.
At the start of the video, Floyd has already appeared to have lost bladder function. This can be a sign of medical distress. Floyd specifically mentions “the knee in my neck,” a coherent statement and not the grunting and screaming we typically hear in deaths from excited delirium. As this video starts, Officer Chauvin already has his knee pressed on Floyd’s neck, and you can see that pressure is being applied to the part of his anatomy that contain the carotid arteries and jugular veins. Floyd first appears to become unresponsive at 4:01. He stops talking, his eyes close, and his face is still. Bystanders start noticing this at 4:45. At 6:58 an officer checks his pulse. Officer Chauvin’s knee doesn’t come off Floyd’s neck until 7:55, over 3 minutes after Floyd first seems to have gone unconscious.
The district attorney’s charging documents in the case stated, “The autopsy revealed no physical findings that support a diagnosis of traumatic asphyxia or strangulation,” and that “Floyd had underlying health conditions including coronary artery disease and hypertensive heart disease. The combined effects of Floyd being restrained by the police, his underlying health conditions, and any potential intoxicants in his system likely contributed to his death.” In contrast, the medical examiner’s first press release stated that “the cause and manner of death is currently pending further testing.”
Why the difference?
Charging documents are usually written by attorneys based on information obtained from police officers and a representative of the medical examiner’s office. They should not be interpreted as the definitive result of the autopsy, and they are frequently inaccurate. The headlines that suggested that asphyxia had been ruled out by the medical examiner were wrong.
So were the ones that said that Michael Baden, MD, did an “independent autopsy.” Baden is a retained expert and is being paid for his services by Floyd’s family. He is not independent. The Hennepin County Medical Examiner, which is paid by taxpayer money, is the only independent agency here. They did the first, legally-mandated autopsy, and collected the evidence. The medical examiner’s office is not an arm of law enforcement. If a retained expert finds something at autopsy that is not favorable to the client’s legal case, the client doesn’t have to disclose that expert at all. Everything the medical examiner does and all the evidence they collect is a public record. None of their findings, no matter what they reveal, can be suppressed.
Furthermore, a “second autopsy” is always fraught with problems. The process of performing the first autopsy causes “autopsy artifact” — severed blood vessels, dissected organs, and even broken bones — that the second autopsy pathologist may not be able to distinguish from inflicted injury. When I perform a forensic autopsy on someone we suspect might have died of asphyxia, I will frequently keep the entire neck block (the windpipe, blood vessels, and surrounding organs and structures of the throat) in a stock jar in the morgue, as evidence. I may even save large sections of the heart and brain for specialized testing. These materials would not be available to a private-practice pathologist hired to perform a second autopsy.
If Baden looked at Floyd’s corpse after a thorough forensic autopsy, there would have been little left for him to examine. Keep in mind that he also does not have access to all the evidence in the case, such as the medical records, witness statements, body camera videos, or police reports.
Following a press conference on June 1 about the second autopsy, Baden admitted that portions of Floyd’s organs were indeed missing, and that he didn’t have access to the results from toxicology testing. Soon after, the Hennepin County Medical Examiner issued a press release, and subsequent to that, the full autopsy report, which indicated that the cause of death was “cardiopulmonary arrest complicating law enforcement subdual, restraint, and neck compression,” and that the manner of death was homicide. They listed arteriosclerotic and hypertensive heart disease, fentanyl intoxication, and recent methamphetamine use as other significant conditions contributing to death.
This means that Floyd stopped breathing and his heart stopped beating (cardiopulmonary arrest) because of the injury caused by his restraint in the custody of law enforcement officers, to include asphyxia from neck compression. Asphyxia means that there is a lack of oxygen going to the brain. It can happen from obstruction of the airway, restriction of breathing from compression of the neck or chest, or the prevention of blood flow to the brain by collapsing the blood vessels in the neck. It can also happen from the replacement of oxygen in the blood by carbon monoxide, or depletion of oxygen in the atmosphere, like in a fire. “Cardiopulmonary arrest” is not a heart attack. Online sources that imply that the medical examiner is covering up George Floyd’s death by calling it a “heart attack” are wrong.
The death certificate’s “other significant conditions” — Floyd’s natural heart disease and the presence of drugs of abuse in his tested blood — do not excuse the officers, nor should they cause anyone to blame the victim. They are there on the death certificate because those findings, in the opinion of the medical examiner, would have made his death more likely. They are not the cause of death. The cause of death is police restraint.
At the end of their press release, the Hennepin County Medical Examiner adds the following important reminder: “Under Minnesota state law, the Medical Examiner is a neutral and independent office and is separate and distinct from any prosecutorial authority or law enforcement agency.” Regardless of whether experts agree with their interpretation of the evidence, they were the first to collect it, and because they did their job, that evidence is now available for public scrutiny in a court of law.
Judy Melinek, MD, is a forensic pathologist and CEO of PathologyExpert Inc. Her New York Times bestselling memoir, co-authored with her husband, writer T.J. Mitchell, is Working Stiff: Two Years, 262 Bodies, and the Making of a Medical Examiner. They’ve also embarked on a medical-examiner detective novel series with First Cut, now available from Hanover Square Press.
https://www.medpagetoday.com/blogs/working-stiff/86913

Japan aims to have coronavirus vaccines in use by June 2021

Japan aims to put coronavirus vaccines into use by June 2021, the health minister said on Friday, as the country strives to be fully ready to host the Tokyo Olympics, originally planned for this summer but postponed by one year due to the pandemic.
Drugmakers around the world are scrambling to develop a treatment or vaccine for COVID-19, the respiratory disease caused by the highly infectious new coronavirus which has so far killed nearly 400,000 people worldwide.
“We will be securing production facilities in parallel with expedited vaccine development,” Japan’s Health Minister Katsunobu Kato told reporters as he outlined plans to bring vaccines into use by the end of the first half of 2021.

Usually, plants for actual vaccine production are arranged only after the successful completion of development.
The Japanese government has earmarked 146 billion yen ($1.34 billion) for vaccine production and distribution in the second extra budget that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s cabinet approved last month.
Japanese pharmaceutical firms developing coronavirus vaccines include Shionogi & Co (4507.T) and AnGes Inc (4563.T).

The United States is planning massive clinical trials involving 100,000 to 150,000 volunteers in total, with the goal of delivering an effective vaccine by the end of this year.
Japan has not suffered the explosive surge of coronavirus infections seen in some other countries. It has reported around 17,000 confirmed cases and 900 known deaths to date.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-japan-vaccine/japan-aims-to-have-coronavirus-vaccines-in-use-by-june-2021-idUSKBN23C1S0

Inovio Files Complaint to Break With CMO On Covid-19 Vax Production Issues

Inovio Pharmaceuticals was one of the earlier companies to identify a potential vaccine candidate against COVID-19, but the company has run into manufacturing problems that have stymied its development plans, while other biopharma groups have pushed ahead in their own development programs.
Inovio’s development issues for its vaccine candidate have become mired in a conflict with the contract manufacturing organization it has worked with on previous projects. Because of the issues with the CMO, Korea-based VGXI, Inc., Inovio has filed a lawsuit seeking to break the impasse and transfer an existing supply agreement to another agency. VGXI, according to the company’s lawsuit, is unable or unwilling to manufacture its vaccine candidate in large quantities. Inovio has been pushing to develop its vaccine candidate, INO-4800, but without the large-scale manufacturing necessary, the company’s efforts have been slowed down considerably. Inovio had a goal of producing one million doses of INO-4800 by the end of 2020 to support its clinical trials and emergency use. VGXI could not meet that demand.

Inovio and VGXI have been partners since 2008. VGXI produces and supplies the DNA plasmids for Inovio’s research and early clinical trials for its product candidates. Inovio has no purchase commitments under this supply agreement. The company said purchase agreements are determined on an individual purchase order basis. Under the Supply Agreement, Inovio said it agreed to treat VGXI as its most favored supplier for DNA plasmids, and VGXI agreed to treat Inovio as its most favored customer.
As COVID-19 took gripped the world, Inovio began to develop its vaccine candidate and in April, received permission from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to initiate a Phase I study. As the company eyes a potential Phase II, VGXI informed Inovio that is does not have the capacity to manufacture the company’s full order of DNA plasmids on the requested timeline, nor would it be able to manufacture plasmids for the commercial sale of INO-4800, if it achieved regulatory approval.
On June 3, Inovio filed a complaint in the Court of Common Pleas of Montgomery County in Pennsylvania seeking emergency relief to compel VGXI to “facilitate the transfer of manufacturing methods, using VGXI’s technology, under the parties’ existing supply agreement,” the company said in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The technology transfer is permitted under the existing supply agreement and, if it goes through, would allow Inovio to find another manufacturer who can meet its needs. When VGXI told the company it did not have the capabilities to meet its demands, Inovio said it began discussions with other third-party contract manufacturers, as permitted by the Supply Agreement. Inovio struck a deal with Ology Bioservices Inc. and Richter-Helm BioLogics GmbH & Co. KG to support large-scale manufacturing of INO-4800 and sought to have VGXI turn over the technology required. VGXI refused, which prompted the lawsuit.
In its filing, Inovio said it believes the widespread availability of INO-4800 is essential in quest to develop a medication against the disease that has been linked to the deaths of more than 390,000 people across the globe, including 108,000 in the United States.
https://www.biospace.com/article/inovio-files-complaint-to-break-ties-with-cmo-over-covid-19-vaccine-production-issues/

China in thick of race for COVID-19 vaccine

Aimed squarely at the prestige from being first in the global race for a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, China’s government, including the military and several state-backed companies, has committed “hundreds of millions” of dollars and cleared regulatory barriers to accelerate R&D.
Domestic drugmakers have already been ramping up production as Chairman Xi Jinping has committed to share a domestically developed vaccine with the world.
Five Chinese companies are behind five of 10 vaccine candidates being testing in humans according to WHO. Two are being developed by state-run China National Biotec Group Co.
Another group, tied to China’s military, has received the nod to run a late-stage study in Canada.
Tianjin-based CanSino Biologics, together with the military, was the first to publish study results (Phase 1) in an established medical journal (The Lancet).
China is a step behind with vaccine-making technologies, however. Four of the candidates in clinical trials were produced by an older method using inactivated viruses, the same approach long-used for flu, hepatitis A, polio and rabies vaccines. Moderna’s top candidate, currently in a Phase 2 trial, is an RNA vaccine.
Privately held Sinovac Biotech Ltd., along with several government entities, is conducting Phase 1 & 2 studies on its candidate in Jiangsu province.
Regardless of who wins the race, Chinese companies should play a key role in vaccine manufacturing considering their capacities. The country is already one of the top producers in the world.
Both the China and the U.S. expect to have a vaccine available by year-end.
Selected tickers: JNJ, GSK, AZN, MRK, MRNA, PFE, SNY
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3580791-china-in-thick-of-race-for-covidminus-19-vaccine