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Thursday, July 6, 2023

Wave started at Outperform by Raymond James, target $9

 Raymond James has initiated coverage on WAVE Life Sciences Ltd 

 with a price target of $9 and an Outperform rating.

The analyst says Wave is the leader to clinic in RNA editing with WVE-006 for Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) (expected to begin first in human studies early next year), being developed in collaboration with GSK Plc 

AATD is the lack of a protein made by the liver that's released into the bloodstream. AATD is a genetic disease that can affect the liver or lungs. The alpha-1 protein is designed to protect tissues in the body from being attacked by its enzymes.

The discovery collaboration has an initial four-year research term

The collaboration includes two main components. The first is a discovery collaboration that enables GSK to advance up to eight programs and Wave to advance up to three programs. 

RNA editing via endogenous ADARs is a potentially safer alternative to one-and-done CRISPR/gene editing technologies, Raymond James analyst says.

AATD is an optimal proof-of-concept indication given both loss of function (lung manifestation) and gain of function (liver manifestation), which means correcting the causative mutation is the most efficient therapeutic approach in theory (vs. RNAi or gene insertion, which only addresses one or the other separately).

Most recently, Wave discontinued the development of WVE-004 after reporting disappointing data from Phase 1b/2a FOCUS-C9 study for C9orf72-associated amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and frontotemporal dementia.

https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/23/07/33119148/analyst-creates-bullish-pitch-for-wave-life-sciences-says-it-is-leader-to-clinic-in-rna-editing

VBI Vaccines, Brii Biosciences Expand Hepatitis B Immunotherapy Pact

 VBI Vaccines Inc 

 expanded its hepatitis B (HBV) partnership with Brii Biosciences to work on preventing and treating the disease.

Through two license and collaboration agreements, Brii Bio has acquired a worldwide exclusive license for VBI-2601 (BRII-179) and an exclusive license for PreHevbri in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region from VBI.

VBI president and CEO Jeff Baxter stated: “This expanded partnership with Brii Bio is a strong endorsement for our HBV programs and our contribution to the fight against hepatitis B.”

VBI-2601 (BRII-179) is a recombinant, protein-based HBV immunotherapeutic candidate being evaluated in two Phase 2 trials with Brii Biosciences as part of a possible functional cure for chronic hepatitis B infection.

PreHevbri is the only 3-antigen hepatitis B vaccine and consists of the three hepatitis B surface antigens of the hepatitis B virus, – S, pre–S1, and pre–S2.

Brii Bio will pay VBI an upfront payment of $15 million, including an equity investment of approximately $3 million, contingent on achieving near-term milestones. 

VBI is also eligible to receive up to an additional $422 million in potential regulatory and commercial milestone payments and double-digit royalties in the licensed territories worldwide for VBI-2601 and APAC, excluding Japan, for PreHevbri. 

Besides its responsibility for all development, regulatory, and commercialization activities, Brii Bio will also meet the costs of the two programs in their respective licensed territories.

Beyond the APAC region, VBI will hold global rights to PreHevbri.

Concurrently, VBI Vaccines commenced underwritten public and registered direct offerings. Details were not disclosed.

https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/23/07/33129920/vbi-vaccines-brii-biosciences-expand-hepatitis-b-immunotherapy-pact

Protagonist target boosted on psoriasis data

 JMP Securities has increased the price target for Protagonist Therapeutics Inc 

 from $28 to $35, with a Market Outperform rating.

Protagonist Therapeutics announced topline results from the Phase 2b FRONTIER 1 trial of the oral interleukin-23 receptor (IL-23R) antagonist JNJ-2113 (formerly PN-235) in adult patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis presented at World Congress of Dermatology in Singapore

JMP analyst says the detailed Phase 2b data support JNJ-2113 as the most efficacious oral agent in development for psoriasis.

It notes that JNJ-2113 led to PASI response rates better than any other oral agent approved or in development for psoriasis with a clean safety profile.

The shares fell as the data fell short of injectables. But the analyst says the full data shows ‘2113 as the only oral IL-23R antagonist in development and has a unique position backed by Phase 2 data better than any oral out there.

The shares have not fully recovered, attributed to:

  • The best ‘2113 responses were observed with its twice-daily dose.
  • Data from Ventyx Biosciences Inc’s VTYX oral TYK2 inhibitor VTX958 are coming in 4Q23, and some investors think this candidate could take the pole position as the best oral in development. 

JMP writes that given the size of the psoriasis market and lack of good oral options, multiple agents can potentially have commercial success.

https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/23/07/33136994/analyst-boosts-protagonist-therapeutics-price-target-says-psoriasis-data-impressive

Intra-Cellular: Anticipated Positive Phase 3 Depression Trial Data

 Needham increased the price target for Intra-Cellular Therapies Inc 

 from $70 to $73, with a Buy rating, noting high expectations regarding major depressive disorder (MDD) readouts are partly incorporated in ITCI's share price.

The analyst anticipates MDD trial success but acknowledges the inherent risks in MDD by assigning it a 60% PoS. 

With the stock up 33% (vs. XBI +11%) since positive Phase 3 mixed features data, the analyst says some of the anticipated upside is already in the shares.

Compared to other adjunctive MDD studies, the analyst says Intra-Cellular's Phase 3 trials are better positioned for success.

Needham's analysis of IQVIA TRx trends indicates YTD monthly Caplyta TRx is growing at ~1.5k TRx/month, mostly unchanged from growth in 2022. 

Additionally, it estimates the growth could slow by 46% to ~850 TRx/month and still reach the upper end of management's $430-455 million guidance range

Caplyta (lumateperone) is indicated in adults for schizophrenia and depressive episodes associated with bipolar I or II disorder (bipolar depression) as monotherapy and adjunctive therapy with lithium or valproate.

Needham analyst sees no reason for Caplyta growth to slow sharply in the near term, with half of 2023 completed. It expects the management could raise guidance at 2Q earnings. 

It raised the 2023 Caplyta sales estimate to $467M, now the highest on the Street, but may still be conservative, assuming Caplyta growth slows by 10% to ~1.3k TRx/month for the remainder of the year.

https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/23/07/33137273/intra-cellular-therapies-better-positioned-for-success-analyst-anticipates-positive-phase-3-depre

Meta Launches Data-Harvesting Twitter Clone, Immediately Starts Censoring

 Meta claims that over 10 million people had signed up for its Twitter competitor, Threads, in what CEO Mark Zuckerberg framed as a "friendly" alternative to the little blue bird.

"Let's do this. Welcome to Threads," wrote Zuckerberg in his first post on the app, which is a "text-based conversation app" where users can publish posts up to 500 characters long, and allows people to post links, photos and videos.

Threads is directly linked to Meta-owned Instagram, which has over 2 billion users. The Twitter competitor is being rolled out in over 100 countries for iOS and Android.

"The goal is to keep it friendly as it expands. I think it’s possible and will ultimately be the key to its success," wrote Zuckerberg in a Wednesday post, casting the service as a more wholesome substitute to Twitter. "That’s one reason why Twitter never succeeded as much as I think it should have, and we want to do it differently."

Meanwhile, data privacy and censorship concerns have emerged, with former Twitter owner Jack Dorsey highlighting the vast amount of data collected by Threads.

As journalist Michael Shellenberger notes,

Within a few hours of launching, Threads was already secretly censoring users and not offering them the right to appeal.

...

Meta is already too powerful. One company controls what much of the public is allowed to see. And if Threads succeeds, it will have 80% of the global market outside of Russia and China, according to one industry insider. As such, it’s reasonable to expect that Meta will censor precisely the same way the large news media corporations, including the New York Times, and corporate advertisers want it to. More censorship is what the mainstream news media, big corporations, and their celebrity pitch people have been demanding.
 
...additionally, Unlike Twitter, Threads collects data about "Health & Fitness," "Financial Info," "Sensitive Info," and "Other Data.”
What's 'other data'?
 
Shellenberger further noted that within hours of launching, Threads was already secretly censoring users and not offering them the right to appeal.

Threads flashed a warning after users clicked on Utley and O’Hanley’s profiles. “Are you sure you want to follow…?” asked the Threads warning. “This account has repeatedly posted false information.” -Public.substack

Other Twitter clones who have taken a shot at the king include Donald Trump's Truth Social, Jack Dorsey's Bluesky and Mastadon - all of which have failed to gain large enough user bases to cross into the mainstream.

The new leftist echo chamber attracted celebrities such as Kim Kardashian and Jennifer Lopez, as well as Congressional performance artist Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who hit a snag after just five minutes.

Needless to say, the new platform has attracted plenty of criticism on Twitter.

Needless to say, not off to a great start.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/metas-twitter-clone-reaches-10-million-users-hours-aoc-says-app-bricked-her