Morgan Stanley analyst David Risinger maintained an Overweight rating on Merck and raised his price target to $74 from $68, citing his expectation for operating leverage to become more visible in 2019 and pipeline progress to improve perception about prospects in the face of Januvia generics in January 2023. Looking ahead, Risinger projects Merck’s 5-year CAGR from 2018-2023 for revenue growth of 3% and EPS growth of 8%. Risinger says he believes the primary driver of major pharma stock performance in recent months is “defensive rotation.” Looking ahead, the analyst says to watch for U.S. pricing perception drivers in the coming months that could impact pharma stock performance, including potential additional HHS action on drug rebates, November election results and manufacturer communication and action on U.S. list prices by early January.
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