BofA/Merrill analyst Jason Gerberry lowered his price target on Nabriva Therapeutics to $5, citing his lower expected probability of success of 60% vs. 75% prior in its recently acquired CONTEPO for complicated urinary tract infection. The analyst says the program’s main risk is an “imbalance of liver enzyme elevation while a slightly higher dose reduces read -through from about a 45-year post-market EU safety”. Gerberry now believes that CONTEPO is a “niche opportunity”, and lowers his peak sales view to $50M from $80M prior. The analyst also keeps his Buy rating on Nabriva on valuation as well as the opportunity for its two FDA action dates for lefamulin and CONTEPO in the second half of 2019.
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