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Friday, January 4, 2019

Morgan Stanley: dental survey negative for Align, positive for Straumann


Morgan Stanley analyst Steve Beuchaw noted that the firm surveyed 30 dentists and 42 orthodontists in the U.S. and said the results points to slower aligner mix shift and emerging share movements, both of which he said are negative for Align Technology (ALGN). He further points out that the survey was run during 4Q, in advance of the full launch of competing products from 3M (MMM), Danaher (DHR) and Dentsply Sirona (XRAY). Given the survey findings, Beuchaw cut his U.S. volume estimates for Align by 400bps for 2019 and lowered his price target on the stock to $210 from $300 to account for lower estimates and a lower market multiple. He maintains an Equal Weight rating on Align Technology shares. Beuchaw added that the survey was positive for Straumann (STMN), which is covered by Michael Jungling. While investors tend to focus on new entrants from the other three mentioned above, ClearCorrect with support from Straumann was the bigger share winner prospectively in the survey, Beuchaw tells investors.

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