Dupixent has set such a high bar in atopic dermatitis anyone coming for its crown had better come prepared. This could be why questions around Aslan Pharmaceuticals' trial design and results contributed to a 31% fall in the group’s share price. In the phase 1 trial a 600mg dose of ASLAN004 showed a statistically significant 65% change in skin clearance from baseline at week 8. However, there were concerns about the removal of nine patients from the original intent-to-treat population and the study using a one-sided p value. Perhaps more worrying was that the number of patients achieving a IGA score of 0/1, ie clear or almost clear skin, was not significant at 48.3% versus 15.4% for placebo (p=0.107); this is important as the IGA 0/1 score is used for US approval. Arguably the sample size of 29 – reduced from 38 – was not powered to show a definitive result, but the result also appeared to show reduced efficacy; in March 22% of patients achieved IGA or 0/1, compared with 0% on placebo. Aslan is looking to begin a phase 2 trial before the end of the year and one concern is that what looks like waning efficacy could be exacerbated with larger numbers.
ASLAN004 phase 1 trial | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endpoint (8 weeks) | RITT (n=29) | ITT (n=38) | ||||
600mg | Placebo | p-value1 | 600mg | Placebo | p-value1 | |
(n=16) | (n=13) | (n=22) | (n=16) | |||
Mean % change from baseline in EASI | -64.9 | -27.2 | 0.021 | -61.3 | -31.9 | 0.023 |
EASI-50 (%) | 81.3 | 30.8 | 0.008 | 77.3 | 37.5 | 0.016 |
EASI-75 (%) | 68.8 | 15.4 | 0.005 | 50 | 12.5 | 0.018 |
EASI-90 (%) | 37.5 | 15.4 | 0.183 | 27.3 | 12.5 | 0.245 |
IGA 0/1 (%) | 43.8 | 15.4 | 0.107 | 31.8 | 18.8 | 0.301 |
Mean % change from baseline in peak pruritus | -38.6 | -15.3 | 0.051 | -37.1 | -15.7 | 0.032 |
RITT = revised intent to treat; p-value1 (one-sided p-value). Source: Company announcement. https://www.evaluate.com/vantage/articles/news/snippets/aslan-fails-roar-atopic-dermatitis-data |
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