Executive Summary In a previous study in 2021 we estimated that with supplemental unemployment benefits of up to $600 a month, food stamp expansions, child tax credit payments, and other special Covid-related benefits to families without anyone working could exceed $120,000 in many states. Those extra benefits had a highly negative effect on employment, particularly in the states with the highest benefits. Those temporary benefits have expired but this study finds that even with existing unemployment benefits and the dramatic recent expansion of ObamaCare subsidies, a spouse would have to earn more than $80,000 a year from a 40 hour a week job to have the same after-tax income as certain families with two unemployed spouses receiving government benefits. In these states, working 40 hours a week and earning $20 an hour would mean a slight REDUCTION in income compared to two parents receiving unemployment benefits and health care subsidies. This study also finds:
• In 24 states, unemployment benefits and ACA subsidies for a family of four with both parents not working are the annualized equivalent of at least the national median household income.
• In 5 states, those two programs provide the same family with both parents not working the annualized equivalent of at least the national median household income and benefits.
• In 14 states, unemployment benefits and ACA subsidies are the equivalent to a head of household earning $80,000 in salary, plus health insurance benefits.
• This is a higher wage than is earned by the national median secondary school teacher, electrician, trucker, machinist, and many other jobs.
• In more than half the states, unemployment benefits and ACA subsidies exceed the value of the salary and benefits of the average firefighter, truck driver, machinist, or retail associate in those states.
• In a dozen states, unemployment benefits and ACA subsidies exceed the value of the salary and benefits of the average teacher, construction worker, or electrician in those states.
• A family of four with income over $227,000 qualifies for ACA subsidies in all states and families earning over $300,000 a year still qualify for ACA subsidies in 40 states and DC.
Fig. 1: Highest Benefit States for Not Working and National Median Income Plus Benefits for Selected Occupations State/Occupation Earned Income Equivalent
Washington $122,653
Massachusetts $117,063
New Jersey $108,857
Minnesota $98,915
Montana $95,265
Hawaii $91,757
Colorado $91,281
Oregon $86,454
Rhode Island $85,605
Utah $84,751
North Dakota $83,537
Pennsylvania $82,888
Connecticut $82,809
Kentucky $80,979
Wyoming $79,294
Illinois $79,199
Texas $73,977
Kansas $73,665
Iowa $73,455
West Virginia $73,031
Oklahoma $72,936
South Dakota $72,095
Maine $71,757
California $71,063
Median Household $92,814
Median Secondary School Teacher $81,060
Median Construction & Building Inspector $80,824
Median Electrician $78,726
Median Firefighter $66,479
Median Heavy Haul Trucker $63,345
Median Machinist $62,860
Median Retail Associate $38,262
Casey Mulligan is a Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago, who served as Chief Economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisors. EJ Antoni is a Research Fellow for Regional Economics in The Heritage Foundation’s Center for Data Analysis. Both are Senior Fellows at the Committee to Unleash Prosperity.
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