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Saturday, November 30, 2024

War has no winners, Taiwan president says in visit to Hawaii

 War has no winners and peace is priceless, Taiwan President Lai Ching-te said on Saturday (Nov 30) in Hawaii after visiting a memorial to the attack on Pearl Harbor on a trip to the United States that has angered Beijing.

Lai is making a sensitive two-day trip to Hawaii that is officially only a stopover on the way to three Pacific island nations that maintain formal ties with Taiwan, which China claims as its territory.

Speaking to members of the overseas Taiwan community and Hawaii politicians, including members of Congress Ed Case and Jill Tokuda, Lai referred to his visit to the USS Arizona Memorial earlier in the day and laid a wreath in memory of those who died in the 1941 Japanese attack.

"Our visit to the memorial today in particular reminds us of the importance of ensuring peace. Peace is priceless and war has no winner. We have to fight - fight together - to prevent war," Lai said in English, in a speech carried live on television in Taiwan.

As Lai was attending the event, China said it had complained to Washington for arranging for his transit through US territory, while vowing "resolute countermeasures" against a potential arms sale to Taiwan that the US announced hours before Lai started his trip.

China's foreign ministry lodged "stern representations" over the transit, China's Taiwan Affairs Office said in a statement.

"We are firmly opposed to official exchanges between the United States and Taiwan, and we are firmly opposed to the 'transit' of leaders of the Taiwan region to the United States under any name and for any reason," it said.

Security sources have told Reuters that China could launch a new round of war games around Taiwan in response to his visit, his first overseas trip since assuming office in May, having won the election in January.

China has staged two rounds of major war games around Taiwan so far this year.

In his speech Lai switched to Taiwanese, also known as Hokkien, and said that by uniting together, all difficulties could be overcome. "Taiwan's democracy can become a model for the international community," he said.

Lai and his government reject Beijing's sovereignty claims and say they have a right to visit other countries.

After Hawaii, Lai will go to the Marshall Islands, Tuvalu and Palau, with another stopover in the US territory of Guam. Hawaii and Guam are home to large US military bases.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/east-asia/taiwan-president-william-lai-ching-te-pacific-tour-hawaii-us-china-4779311

'Biden’s long-awaited Africa trip to tout a win against China'

  Joe Biden sets off for Angola on Sunday on a trip that will deliver on a promise to visit Africa during his presidency and focus on a major, U.S.-backed railway project that aims to divert critical minerals away from China.

The project, partly funded with a U.S. loan, links the resource-rich Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Zambia to the Angolan port of Lobito on the Atlantic Ocean, offering a fast and efficient route for exports to the West.

At stake are vast supplies of minerals like copper and cobalt, which are found in Congo and are a key component of batteries and other electronics. China is the top player in Congo, which has become an increasing concern to Washington.

China signed an agreement with Tanzania and Zambia in September to revive a rival railway line to Africa's eastern coast.

While Biden's trip is taking place in the waning days of his presidency, Donald Trump will likely back the railway and remain a close partner to Angola when he returns to the White House in January, according to two officials who served under the previous Trump administration.

Tibor Nagy, a retired career ambassador and top envoy to Africa under the last Trump administration, said Trump will likely have two overarching concerns regarding Africa. The first is competition with China and Russia, the second is access to critical minerals.

“This checks both boxes,” he said in an interview, referring to the Lobito Atlantic Railway (LAR).

The project is backed by global commodities trader Trafigura, Portuguese construction group Mota-Engil and railway operator Vecturis. The U.S. Development Finance Corporation has provided a $550 million loan to refurbish the 1,300-kilometre (800-mile) rail network from Lobito to Congo.

Biden was set to land briefly in West Africa’s Cape Verde on Monday morning, and meet the president there before flying on to Angola. He will visit the nation’s slavery museum in the capital Luanda during the two-day trip and stop at the Lobito port on Wednesday.

His trip delivers on one of a sweeping set of pledges to Africa. Others remain unrealized, such as backing two permanent seats for Africa at the U.N. Security Council.

Beyond the railway project, Washington has also done little to advance access to vast reserves of African minerals that it says are critical for national security, and has racked up other diplomatic setbacks.

This summer, it lost America's major spy base in Niger and has not been able to find an ally that will host those assets. This leaves the U.S. without military foothold in the vast Sahel region that has become a hotspot of Islamist militancy.

Angola has long nurtured close ties with China and Russia but has recently moved closer to the West. Angolan officials say they are keen to work with any partner that can advance their agenda to promote economic growth and hope the project spurs investment in a range of sectors.

“China has only gained prominence because Western countries have probably not been paying much attention to Africa,” Angola's transport minister, Ricardo Viegas d’Abreu, said in an interview.

GROWING TIES WITH ANGOLA

Biden's visit reflects a turnabout in U.S. ties with Angola after a complicated and bloody history. The U.S. and the Soviet Union backed rival sides in nation’s 27-year civil war. Washington established relations with Angola in 1993, almost two decades after it gained independence.

“It's probably poetic justice that the United States should finance the rehabilitation of this route to which it had contributed destruction so many decades ago,” said Akashambatwa Mbikusita-Lewanika, a former Zambian government minister who also ran part of the railway that is to form the Lobito corridor.

Biden administration officials have said the Lobito rail project is not a one-off, but a test run to prove the private-public partnership works, and that it will lead to other major infrastructure projects in Africa. They also hope it will deepen U.S. ties with Angola, including in security cooperation.

Critics have questioned whether the project, which has no date for completion, will deliver the promised goals. A particular source of scrutiny is a second phase, which would connect the railway to Africa's east coast through to Tanzania, potentially offering a rival route to China.

Judd Devermont, until recently Biden’s top Africa adviser, said Congo wants to diversify its mining partners and rejected the idea that connecting the project to an eastern port in Tanzania undermines the effort to loosen Beijing’s grip on Congo's minerals.

“The Congolese have been very clear that they don’t want to see their entire mining sector dominated by China,” he said in an interview. “It benefits everyone if there’s an easy way to move across the continent, whether that’s critical minerals or just moving stuff from India to Brazil to New York.”

https://www.aol.com/news/biden-long-awaited-africa-trip-050348439.html

Why Syria Was Caught By Surprise

 by Andrew Korybko via substack,

The disaster in Aleppo was avoidable and is just as bad as it looks...

The Turkish-backed terrorists’/“rebels’” advance on Aleppo, which was analyzed here, came as a shock to most observers.

There was almost half a decade of peace between the March 2020 ceasefire and now, yet practically nothing was done to prepare for this possibility.

This was in spite of the front line remaining roughly two dozen kilometers away from Aleppo, which should have reminded Assad of how vulnerable his country’s second city is.

Here are the five reasons why Syria was caught by surprise:

1. Complacency & Corruption

The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) rested on its laurels because it took the Russian-brokered ceasefire for granted, after which the country’s infamous corruption kicked in to degrade its capabilities. There’s no excuse for why even basic drones weren’t used for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) to detect the buildup that preceded this advance. A large part of why the SAA didn’t do anything is likely because it assumed that its Russian and Iranian allies would shoulder these responsibilities for them.

2. The Russian-Iranian Rivalry

Russia and Iran fought together against terrorism in Syria, but they’re also rivals who are competing with each other for premier influence over Damascus. So intense is their competition that Russia always does nothing other than occasionally complain whenever Israel bombs the IRGC there, never once giving Syria the means to intercept these attacks or retaliate afterwards. Had they not been rivals, then Russia and Iran could have jointly strengthened the SAA, carried out ISR in Idlib, and bolstered Aleppo’s defenses.

3. Distracted & Crippled Allies

To make matters even worse for Syria, the terrorists’/“rebels’” advance on Aleppo came precisely at the moment when Russia is distracted with the special military operation (SMO) and Iran has been crippled by its West Asian Wars with Israel. Without sufficient Russian airpower and Iranian manpower, including that which the latter could have called upon from Hezbollah, it’ll be extremely difficult for the SAA to push the attackers away from Aleppo. This factor, more than any other, might have even sealed its fate.

4. Ignoring The SMO’s Lessons

Even amidst the Russian-Iranian rivalry and its allies’ aforesaid problems, the SAA could have learned the SMO’s lessons on its own and correspondingly prepared much better for what ultimately came to pass. Masterful drone tactics and strategically dispersed units have characterized the attack thus far, both of which are hallmarks of the SMO, yet the SAA was totally unprepared for this. It must therefore take final responsibility for failing to do its duty in learning from that conflict and adapting its defenses accordingly.

5. Not Compromising For Peace

The last reason why Syria was caught by surprise is because it didn’t compromise for peace by accepting 2017’s Russian-written “draft constitution”, which was constructively critiqued in detail here. It’s chock-full of concessions so one can sympathize with Syria for rejecting it, but in hindsight, this could have finally resolved the conflict and thus averted the ongoing fiasco in Aleppo. For this reason, it could be revived during these desperate times, but the “opposition” might now demand even more concessions.

The disaster in Aleppo was avoidable and is just as bad as it looks.

It’s not part of a “5D chess master plan” to “trap the terrorists in a cauldron” like some members of the Alt-Media Community have implied or claimed.

Observers should reject the “insight” shared by those who already discredited themselves with their fantastical takes on the SMO and the West Asian Wars.

The “politically inconvenient” truth is that Syria was caught by surprise, the SAA is on the backfoot, and the worst might be yet to come.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/five-reasons-why-syria-was-caught-surprise

Korea Official Sees Need to Lift US Energy Imports, Yonhap Says

 

South Korea has the capacity to purchase more US energy, which is competitive in cost with Middle East imports, Yonhap News on Sunday cited the trade minister as saying.

Ahn Duk-geun, minister of trade, industry and energy, told Yonhap that the country needs to expand US imports and plans to fold it into policy “constructively,” while private companies can take it into consideration as part of their business strategies.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-01/korea-official-sees-need-to-lift-us-energy-imports-yonhap-says

Tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers have deserted, hampering battle plans

 With no end in sight to the ongoing war with Russia, tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers have deserted their posts, creating a “critical” problem military officials only expect will worsen with time.

The soldier shortage has hampered Ukraine’s battle plans as the Russian invasion nears the three-year mark.

“This problem is critical,” said Oleksandr Kovalenko, a Kyiv-based military analyst.

A 51-year-old Ukrainian soldier smokes near a self-propelled artillery howitzer.AP

“This is the third year of war, and this problem will only grow.”

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Some soldiers have taken medical leave and never returned, while others have left mid-firefight. The Entire units have also walked off the battlefield together, according to a report.

The manpower dearth could put Ukraine at a serious disadvantage in future ceasefire talks.

Since Russia invaded in February 2022, over 100,000 soldiers were charged under Ukraine’s desertion laws, according to the country’s General Prosecutor’s Office.

It is estimated some 200,000 Ukrainian soldiers have left the frontlines.AP

Nearly half of those came within the last year.

An estimated 200,000 Ukrainian soldiers have gone AWOL, the report said.

U.S. officials are urging Kyiv to draft more troops and allow for the conscription of citizens as young as 18.

Ukrainian soldiers carry shells to fire at Russian positions on the front line, near the city of Bakhmut, in Ukraine’s Donetsk region.AP

The report came as Ukraine said the war has damaged 15 of the nation’s 20 civilian airports, limiting options for Ukranians who aim to travel abroad.

Separately, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un decalred that the Hermit Kingdom’s support of Russia remains unwavering after he met with Russia’s defense chief.

“The DPRK government, army and people will invariably support the policy of the Russian Federation to defend its sovereignty and territorial integrity from the imperialists’ moves for hegemony,” Kim said, according to state media.

Some of the soldiers fled mid firefight.Getty Images

In June, the North Korean leader and Putin signed a new partnership agreement that includes a vow of mutual aid if either country is ever attacked.

North Korea has sent more than 10,000 of its troops to fight for Russia, and some have been spotted on the frontlines in Ukraine.

In other developments, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Western aid has fallen short of expectations — and needs.

A shell-shocked Ukrainian soldier of the Azov Brigade after arriving from the front line, near Toretsk, Donetsk region.AP

Ukraine’s allies provided enough aid to fully equip not even three of the 10 Ukrainian brigades Zelensky sought support for.

“Just equip the brigades,” Zelensky told Sky News when asked what NATO or the U.S. could do to help tackle Ukraine’s manpower issues.

“They speak about mobilization, but the real problem [is] with 10 brigades which our partners didn’t equip,” Zelensky said.

The comments came a day after Zelensky revealed he’d consider ceding some territories to Russia, if it secures NATO protection for Ukraine and brings an end to the fighting.

https://nypost.com/2024/11/30/world-news/underequipped-ukrainian-soldiers-fleeing-the-frontlines/