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Saturday, March 2, 2019

Baird Sees Struggle In Walgreens, Adds To Fresh Pick Negative List

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc WBA 6.46% plunged Friday when Baird added the stock to its “Fresh Pick Negative List.”
“We think they’re going to struggle with upper bounds of guidance,” analyst Eric Coldwell told Benzinga.

The Rating

Coldwell maintained a Neutral rating on Walgreens and cut its price target from $70 to $67.

The Thesis

By Baird’s assessment, Walgreens suffers fundamental misdirection and a poor market backdrop.
“WBA is advancing many new initiatives (some supportable, some dubious), but can’t change its market environment, which is universally tough,” Coldwell wrote in a note.
Citing similar challenges as CVS Health Corp CVS 0.5%, he forecasts modest 2019 results on reimbursement pressures and few mitigation opportunities. At the same time, generics are expected to see less deflation than anticipated, and Baird sees threats in Brexit, Amazon.com, Inc. AMZN 1.95%, unfocused management and overstaffing in the U.K. and Chile.
Still, Walgreens may enjoy modest headwinds from slower brand inflation and pharmacy reimbursement on a percent of average wholesale price.
“There’s a lot of pointing to FY20 or beyond as having better prospects (but there often seems to be a caveat once we get there),” Caldwell wrote, citing expectations for accelerated cost actions and dislocation-related pressure.

Sidewalk Labs thinks a reinvented awning will fix Toronto’s winter

Picture Plane for Heatherwick Studio
Alphabet’s Sidewalk Labs will showcase more ideas for its Toronto neighborhood this weekend as part of its plan to make outdoor public space enjoyable all-year round — even in harsh Canadian winters. One of the prototypes is a hexagonal paving system. The slabs are porous and heated, which may keep snow and ice at bay without salting. They’re easy to replace, and include LED lights that can, for instance, help direct traffic flow during construction or mark street closures.
Linda Ward
✔@LindaWardCBC
This is the ‘building raincoat’ developed by Sidewalk labs. It’s one of their proposed concepts for the Quayside ‘smart city’. The idea is to block the wind and rain so there can be outdoor cafes etc year-round.
View image on Twitter
Linda Ward
✔@LindaWardCBC
The modular concrete pavers are removable, replaceable, melt snow and ice, and have drainage and lighting to indicate oncoming traffic. The ideas aren’t ‘set in stone’ but will be one display at Sidewalk’s open house tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/T6g4aBWcbc
View image on Twitter
Sidewalk will also demonstrate what it’s calling a Building Raincoat, an awning it says will help protect sidewalks from wind, rain, sun and snow to make outdoor space usable throughout the year. It attaches to the sides of buildings and is fixed to ground anchors. It’s made from a durable, lightweight and transparent plastic called ETFE (Ethylene Tetrafluoroethylene).
In addition, Sidewalk will have a number of art installations at the public event, which “use lighting, projection mapping, mud and other techniques to reflect on relationships between humans and animals in public space, and the broader connection of ecology and urbanism.” Some of the works will be projected onto the awning. Along with the prototypes, Sidewalk will discuss some of its broader ideas about how to make its neighborhood liveable and accessible, in part through affordable housing and its transit system.

Import Excel data just by photographing a spreadsheet

Microsoft recently rolled out a number of major updates to its products, including a particularly handy new feature for Excel. Using the Android version of the app, users will be able to snap a photo of a printed data table and have it converted into a digital, editable spreadsheet. The feature, which is available to Microsoft 365 subscribers, isn’t available on iOS yet but Microsoft is promising it will arrive soon.
The new import feature uses image recognition technology to identify all of the information on the page and convert it into an Excel spreadsheet in the app. It should eliminate the need to manually enter or copy data, depending on its accuracy. The feature, labeled in-app as “Insert Data from Picture,” can perform the conversion from analog to digital with a single tap. Microsoft first floated the idea for this tool last year before being made widely available in the most recent update to the Android app. It’s just the latest in the company’s ongoing efforts to insert more machine learning models into its products.
Microsoft Excel import
In addition to the new import feature for Excel, Microsoft also introduced new security tools for Microsoft 365 products. The company will start pushing important alerts through its Authenticator app, which will make it easier for users to address potential security concerns like breaches and leaks. The Authenticator app can be used for two-step verification and to quickly view account activity to make sure everything is on the up and up. The update is available in the most recent version of the Authenticator app for iOS and Android.

Pedestrian deaths could hit a 30-year high

The number of pedestrians killed by automobiles is reaching a tragic milestone.
An estimated 6,227 people traveling on foot were killed last year, according to a new Governors Highway Safety Association report; an increase of 250 people from 2017, and the highest level since 1990. The figure is drawn from a statistical analysis of data collected from state highway safety offices for the first six months of 2018.
The study projects that pedestrian deaths have climbed 51.5% since a low of 4,109 in 2009 to now comprise 16% of all road fatalities, which is up from 12% in 2009 — and the rising use of SUVs and smartphones could be to blame.
Most walkers were killed on local roads after dark, with nighttime crashes accounting for more than 90% of the total increase in pedestrian deaths over the past decade, leading the report to call for safer road crossings, as well as more educational PSAs for drivers to avoid dangerous driving behaviors such as speeding, distracted and drowsy driving, or driving under the influence. Alcohol impairment by the driver and/or the pedestrian was reported in about half of the traffic accidents that ended in pedestrian fatalities in 2017.
GHSA
“The alarm bells continue to sound on this issue; it’s clear we need to fortify our collective efforts to protect pedestrians and reverse the trend,” said GHSA executive director Jonathan Adkins in a written statement.
Just last October, however, the U.S. Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration reported that 2017 highway deaths had dropped 2% after two consecutive years of rising road fatalities. So what’s reversed the trend? The GHSA mapped out several factors that could be fueling the increase in pedestrian deaths, including the rise in both sport utility vehicles and pedestrians hitting the road.
While passenger cars account for most pedestrian deaths, the number of SUVs involved in the fatalities of those on foot has jumped 50% since 2013, while the number of passenger car-related deaths rose 30% in the same period. A report released by USA Today Network and the Detroit Free Press last summer revealed that SUVs, with their higher front-end profiles, are at least twice as likely as cars to kill any pedestrians that they strike. And SUVs have sped past sedans as the bestselling vehicles in the U.S. since 2014, with pickups and SUVs now accounting for 60% of new vehicle sales, which means more SUVs are on the road.
GHSA
And they’re sharing the asphalt with more pedestrians, as increasing numbers of people looking to get healthier or save on gas money have started walking or cycling to work or for recreation. GSHA noted that the number of Americans who reported walking to work in the past week increased about 4% between 2007 and 2016. And as many cities and states become more populated, the sheer greater number of people contributes to increased fatalities. The report pointed out that the 10 states with the highest population growth from 2017 to 2018 (Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Idaho, North Carolina, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah, Texas and Washington) saw a 5% increase in pedestrian fatalities during the first six months of 2018 compared to the same period the year before.
But the report also called out smartphones as a contributing factor in rising road deaths, noting that the reported number of smartphones in active use in the U.S. more than quintupled from 2010 to 2017, and the amount of wireless-data usage also increased by about 4,000% during this period. AAA also reported last year that the number of drivers who reported talking on a cell phone regularly or fairly often while behind the wheel climbed 46% since 2013. Nearly half (49%) admitted to talking on a hand-held phone while driving, and nearly 35% sent a text or email. AAA added that drivers talking on a cell are four times more likely to get into an accident, while those who text are up to eight times more likely to crash. And some adults are clocking more than nine hours a day on their screens.
But the authors of the GHSA pedestrian deaths report admitted that we still can’t “establish a definitive link” between smartphones and fatal car wrecks due to a lack of hard evidence.“This may be due in part to the inability of police crash investigators to accurately capture momentary distraction caused by smartphones, many of which are mounted on vehicle dashboards and windshields,” the report explained.
GHSA
On a more positive note, pedestrian deaths decreased in almost two dozen states. New Hampshire had the lowest number of estimated pedestrian fatality rate of all states, with just one death, and it also saw the biggest drop in pedestrian fatalities, with an 80% decrease. And the number of pedestrian fatalities in the 10 largest cities dropped 15% in 2017; particularly in New York City, which launched a Vision Zero program in 2014 that has included lowering the speed limit to someday reach zero pedestrian deaths.
“Crossing the street should not be a death sentence,” GHSA report author Richard Retting said in a written statement. “It is also important to conduct law enforcement and safety education campaigns now to ensure drivers and pedestrians can safely coexist.”

Texas lawmakers take aim at surprise medical bills

A bipartisan group of lawmakers announced plans to address surprise medical bills in a way that would take the “burden” off Texans.
During a press conference Thursday, state Sen. Kelly Hancock, a Republican from suburban Fort Worth, announced he had filed a bill aimed at preventing medical providers from balance-billing patients, among other things. State Rep. Trey Martinez Fischer, a Democrat from San Antonio, is filing a similar bill in the House.
If passed, the legislation would force medical providers and health insurers to mediate payment disputes before they send bills to patients. Hancock said the point of SB 1264 is to take “the burden off of patients.”
“[It] takes it off of their plates completely,” Hancock said.
He highlighted the case of Drew Calver, a public school teacher in Austin whose six-figure hospital bill after a heart attack was featured in a “Bill of the Month” investigation by KHN, NPR member station KUT and CBS. Hancock noted Calver’s bill was reduced after the media attention, but it shouldn’t take such attention for a patient to get a reasonable bill.
Under this legislation, both sides of the payment dispute would settle their issues through an existing balance-bill mediation program. The Texas Department of Insurance program has been successful in lowering medical bills across the state.
The legislation would beef up the program, which addresses surprise balance bills greater than $500 from all emergency providers, including free-standing emergency departments and all out-of-network providers working at a network facility.
“This is designed to apply in situations where patients don’t have any choice which facility they go to or which physician is involved in their care,” Hancock said.
The insurance department’s mediation program, historically, had many loopholes and few consumers qualified for help. It was expanded in 2017, though, and more patients have been filing complaints.
For example, in 2014, the department was asked to mediate 686 medical bills. During the 2018 fiscal year, it received 4,445 bills.
Hancock said the program, so far, has saved Texas patients $30 million.
Consumer advocates argued the system works only when patients know mediation is an option, however.
Stacey Pogue, a senior policy analyst with the Center for Public Policy Priorities, said patients don’t always know help is available or they find the process intimidating.
“The instructions for how to do it are on your medical bill and your explanation of benefits — the most indecipherable documents you are going to get,” she told KUT earlier this year.
She and others have argued Texas should adopt a program similar to those in states like New York, California and Florida, whose systems are more consumer-friendly.
Martinez Fischer said it’s time Texas officials step in to help patients who are caught in the middle of disputes between medical providers and health insurers.
“It has been an industry issue for a few years — I grant you that,” he said, “the health plans and the providers fighting over their business interests, and I respect that. But 10 years later, it is a consumer issue.”
Among other things, Hancock’s bill would allow people with federally regulated self-funded health plans to opt into the state’s mediation program. According to Hancock, those plans make up about 40 percent of Texas’ insurance market, but those consumers are currently not able to take part in the program. Hancock said this should provide relief to consumers while federal lawmakers weigh their own efforts to address surprise medical bills.
“Texas will send a loud and clear signal to D.C. that similar consumer protections need to be passed at the federal level,” Hancock said. “Until then, Texas … [is] committed to doing something about it.”
U.S. Rep. Lloyd Doggett said he’s encouraged by Texas’ efforts, but called federal protections “essential.”
“Only approval in Congress of legislation like my End Surprise Billing Act can both protect those who work for large employers with self-funded, federally regulated ERISA plans and assure that patients across America are not forced to pay the price for conflicts between insurers and health care providers,” he said in a statement.

Preventing Ocular Hypertension

Ocular hypertension is defined as a higher than normal intraocular pressure (eye pressure) that significantly increases the risk of developing glaucoma.
The incidence of ocular hypertension varies among by race and ethnicity, and also increases with age. According to one epidemiological study, African-Caribbean persons are more at risk for ocular hypertension; this group has the highest prevalence of disease globally (12.6%).
Among White persons enrolled in the Framingham Eye Study, prevalence was 6.2% in persons aged less than 65 years and 8.7% in persons aged older than 75 years. In South India, the prevalence is 1.1% in persons older than 40 years.

Why is it important to detect ocular hypertension early?

Although ocular hypertension is mostly asymptomatic, chronically high eye pressure can trigger glaucomatous optic neuropathy (disc changes and visual field defects). According to the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Study (OHTS), about 2% of people with untreated ocular hypertension develop glaucoma in one year, and 9.5% develop glaucoma in 5 years. After 13 years, that rises to 22%.
An increased intraocular pressure is the most frequent risk factor for glaucoma (a serious eye disorder characterized by optic nerve damage and vision loss); however, glaucoma can also develop in the absence of ocular hypertension (low-tension or normal-tension glaucoma). Several factors that are associated with ocular hypertension can further increase the risk of glaucoma onset.
Central corneal thickness is one such risk factor. The accuracy of the eye pressure measurement significantly depends on the biochemical properties of the cornea. In case of thicker cornea, applanation tonometry may provide an overestimated value of the eye pressure; whereas, in case of thinner cornea, the value may be underestimated.
Every 40 µm decrease in central corneal thickness increases the risk of glaucoma development by 81%. Therefore, while evaluating glaucoma risk factors, it is important to keep in mind that people with thinner corneas and ocular hypertension are more susceptible to glaucoma than those with thicker corneas and ocular hypertension.
Another risk factor is cup-to-disc ratio, which is used to assess the progression of glaucoma. The optic cup is the cup-like central portion of the optic disc. In glaucoma, higher intraocular pressure causes additional cupping of the disc, which is a pathological eye condition.
The cup-to-disc ratio measures the difference between the diameter of cup-like portion of the optic disc and the total diameter of the optic disc. An increase in horizontal and vertical cup-to-disc ratio can significantly increase the risk of glaucoma progression.

Is ocular hypertension preventable?

Steps can be taken to prevent ocular hypertension becoming glaucoma, and this is particularly important in patients with a family history of the condition. Treatment consists of topical eye drops which reduce the eye pressure and thus, glaucoma risk by 50%.
Regular monitoring of the eye pressure is also important. Moreover, patients with ocular hypertension must undergo annual follow-ups with visual field testing and optic nerve imaging.
Given that medications can be expensive and side effects and poor adherence are possible, it is important to categorize patients with ocular hypertension as low, moderate, or high risk before initiating treatment.
Patients with eye pressure of > 30 mm Hg are particularly at high risk. Similarly, patients with eye pressure of > 26 mmHg and central corneal thickness of < 555 microns are at high risk. These individuals definitely require medications to reduce the eye pressure by at least 20%.
An eye pressure of 24 – 29 mm Hg without retinal nerve damage or an eye pressure of 22 – 25 mm Hg with central corneal thickness < 555 microns is considered moderate risk. Annual follow-ups are essential for patients who are at moderate risk of glaucoma. Treatment for this patient cohort generally starts only after the diagnosis of early glaucoma-related changes.
Patients with eye pressure of 22 – 23 mm Hg and central corneal thickness of > 588 microns are at low risk and rarely develop glaucoma. Thus, treatment is not recommended for these patients. However, they should undergo a follow-up every 2 years.

Tenet’s patient volumes face sustained pressure

  • Tenet Health reported Monday patient volumes continue to slide for both inpatient and outpatient units for the fourth quarter and full-year. Looking at volumes on a same facility basis, which accounts for the sale of facilities, total admissions declined nearly 3% in the fourth quarter compared to 2017 and fell nearly 2% in 2018 compared to 2017. Still, the hospital operator beat analyst expectations for its fourth quarter revenue and earnings per share.
  • Hospital segment fourth quarter revenue fell nearly 8% to $3.8 billion from 2017 due to hospital sales last year and the California Provider Fee program. The ambulatory segment reported a modest increase in revenue to $554 million. And client losses in the Conifer RCM segment, which Tenet is looking to sell, caused revenue to dip nearly 6% compared with the fourth quarter in 2017.
  • Overall, for the full year, revenue declined nearly 5% from 2017, while net income improved to $111 million compared to a net loss of $704 million in 2017

Hospitals throughout the country continue to face a number of headwinds affecting patient volumes, particularly inpatient admissions. But Tenet reported volume declines for nearly every patient measure, including outpatient visits.
Tenet’s competitor CHS also reported a drop in total admissions for the year, although CHS’ was much steeper.
While analysts with Jefferies said the softening of patient volumes for Tenet was of concern, the company also delivered strong payer-mix growth and increased hospital profit margins, which underscores “(management’s) progress in delivering cost efficiencies,” the investment bank’s analysts wrote in a note.
CEO Ronald Rittenmeyer told investors Tuesday the company is entering 2019 with a renewed sense of urgency around volume growth. Tenet’s chief operating officer will be tasked with improving organic growth at the system’s hospitals, he said.
Rittenmeyer also outlined the priorities for 2019, which include expanding its ambulatory business, adding new physicians and improving operations to win over patient loyalty. He added the company will look to develop its brand image by delivering the “same unified message” in advertising in its markets around the country.
Tenet disclosed it may have found a buyer or partner for its Conifer business, though executives could not offer any specifics. “We have recently entered into exclusivity with one of the parties that has been engaging with us. While there can be no assurance that this negotiation will result in a transaction we are very pleased with this progress,” Rittenmeyer said.
Tenet also released its guidance for 2019. It expects to generate revenue between $18 billion and $18.4 billion while its window for net income is expected to be between $15 million and $115 million.
Rittenmeyer called 2018 “a year of significant change for the company,” and pledged “additional progress in each of our business segments in 2019 in line with our plan to deliver long-term sustainable growth.”