The honeymoon period for gene therapy developers was short-lived.
Shares of at least 26 are trading lower now than they were a year ago,
amounting to roughly $18 billion in lost market value.
Relief may not come soon, either. Analysts suspect investors aren’t
just looking for promising safety and efficacy data anymore; they want
to know how companies intend to make money off these treatments. Most
don’t have answers to that question yet.
“There’s this phase, not just in gene therapy, but in most companies
or technologies, where it’s all exuberance and development,” said Tyler
Van Buren, an analyst at Piper Jaffray. “A lot of that can end once
rubber hits the road and you have to launch a product.”
Bluebird bio is having this problem. The Boston biotech’s share price
is down 41% from a year ago and 26% since mid-June, when executives
said the European launch of its Zynteglo gene therapy would be pushed
back from 2019 to 2020.
Mani Faroohar of investment bank SVB Leerink argues the delay has
dimmed investor confidence in smaller biotechs working on “transplant”
gene therapies like Zynteglo, which treats a blood disorder known as
beta-thalassemia by harvesting a patient’s stem cells, engineering them
to produce a form of hemoglobin, and infusing them back into patients.
“If the bellwether can’t launch a product that they’ve been spending
billions of dollars on over the course of 10 years, how is a $400
million company somewhere going to do it?” Faroohar told BioPharma Dive.
Bluebird isn’t the only gene therapy leader to get knocked recently.
Swiss pharma giant Novartis remains on damage control following a
data scandal that, to some extent, tarnished the approval of its
Zolgensma gene therapy. Roche’s acquisition of Spark Therapeutics,
meanwhile, is taking longer than expected because of antitrust concerns.
Delays to the Spark deal may be having a particularly outsized effect
on gene therapy stocks. Signs that the Federal Trade Commission took
issue with the pairing, which many analysts assumed would be a sort of
“check-the-boxes” acquisition, started to show up in early April.
No gene therapy acquisitions have been announced since, and Faroohar
doesn’t expect that to change until buyers have more clarity on what’s
holding up Roche. With the deal’s timeline already extended by months,
shareholders of other companies might not be willing to wait around for a
resolution.
“If you paralyze the acquirers, that makes it very difficult to make a
compelling case for a lot of these companies that certainly wouldn’t be
able to commercialize their own products without raising a lot of
diluted capital,” Faroohar said.
Van Buren sees the Spark deal as a more minor issue, given that gene
therapy continues to be one of the hottest areas in drug development.
Even so, he acknowledged that it could discourage “natural bidders” from
coming to the table, which lowers the probability of certain
acquisitions.
Gene therapy co. |
Lead therapeutic focus |
Stock change, past 52 weeks through Oct. 1 |
BioMarin Pharmaceutical |
Hemophilia |
-36% ▼ |
Sarepta Therapeutics |
Duchenne muscular dystrophy |
-49% ▼ |
Bluebird bio |
Beta-thalassemia, sickle cell, CALD |
-38% ▼ |
Spark Therapeutics |
Eye disease, hemophilia |
+80% ▲ |
Ultragenyx |
Rare disease |
-45% ▼ |
CRISPR Therapeutics |
Beta-thalassemia, sickle cell |
-9% ▼ |
PTC Therapeutics |
AADC deficiency |
-31% ▼ |
Amicus Therapeutics |
Batten diesease, CNS |
-37% ▼ |
UniQure |
Hemophilia, Huntington’s |
+9% ▲ |
Regenxbio |
Retinal diseases, Hunter and Hurler syndromes |
-53% ▼ |
Audentes Therapeutics |
Enzyme disorders |
-25% ▼ |
Editas Medicine |
Eye disease, beta-thalassemia, sicke cell |
-29% ▼ |
Sangamo Therapeutics |
Hemophilia, Fabry, beta-thalassemia, sicke cell |
-48% ▼ |
Homology Medicines |
Enzyme, lysosomal disorders |
-23% ▼ |
Intellia Therapeutics |
Amyloidosis, AAT deficiency |
-56% ▼ |
Voyager Therapeutics |
Parkinson’s, Huntington’s, ALS |
-13% ▼ |
Krystal |
Rare skin diseases |
+95% ▲ |
MeiraGTx |
Eye disease, Parkinson’s |
+16% ▲ |
Rocket Pharmaceuticals |
Danon disease, Fanconi anemia |
-52% ▼ |
Solid Biosciences |
Duchenne muscular dystrophy |
-79% ▼ |
Avrobio |
Fabry, Gaucher |
-46% ▼ |
Cellectis |
Blood cancers |
-69% ▼ |
Prevail Therapeutics |
Parkinson’s Gaucher disease |
N/A |
Adverum Biotechnologies |
Eye diseases |
-8% ▼ |
LogicBio Therapeutics |
Hemophilia, liver disease |
N/A |
Axovant |
Parkinson’s disease, gangliosidosis |
-68% ▼ |
Mustang Bio |
SCID |
-43% ▼ |
Abeona Therapeutics |
Skin disease, Sanfilippo syndromes |
-82% ▼ |
AGTC |
Eye diseases |
-40% ▼ |
Catalyst Biosciences |
Hemophilia B |
-57% ▼ |
Iveric Bio |
Eye diseases |
-54% ▼ |
Fibrocell |
Skin diseases |
+34% ▲ |
Tocagen |
Brain cancer |
-96% ▼ |
A strategy beyond positive readouts
The gene therapy field
evolved rapidly
over the last decade and, by 2025, the Food and Drug Administration
expects to clear for market 10 to 20 cell or gene therapy products
annually.
Investor sentiment is shifting with the times. As Bluebird, Novartis
and Spark Therapeutics proved these treatments can move through the
clinic and gain regulatory approval, investors became increasingly
interested in marketing and manufacturing strategies — even for drugs in
early development.
“For so long, [gene therapy companies] didn’t really trade on,
‘What’s my margin structure going to be? What’s my distribution method?
How do I realize attractive pricing in Europe versus Japan versus the
U.S.?'” Faroohar said.
Now, investor awareness “about some of these very nuanced commercial questions is catching up.”
One of their biggest commercial concerns
revolves around insurance coverage,
since the U.S. insurance system wasn’t designed to handle incredibly
expensive, potentially one-time treatments like Zolgensma, which
Novartis offers at $2.1 million through a five-year installment plan.
Another commercial sticking point has been manufacturing. Bluebird,
for example, pinned Zynteglo’s slower launch on tweaks the company was
making to the therapy’s production process.
Ensuring consistent and quality manufacturing will likely be a
challenge for others too. PwC proposes in a new report that the growing
interest in gene therapy will lead to greater competition for the time
and resources of contract manufacturers working in the space. The
competition could, in turn, result in higher costs or supply
constraints, and may force companies to invest more in their own
manufacturing — a development seen with projects begun by Novartis,
Pfizer, Sarepta and Bluebird.
“The days of 100% outsourcing and letting somebody else deal with it —
I don’t see that being the standard model,” said Karen Young, U.S.
Pharmaceutical and Life Sciences Leader at PwC.
The industry, however, is still getting acclimated to the
small-scale, highly personalized, logistically daunting processes
required for cell and gene therapy production. Building in-house
capabilities and a team with the technical know-how to run them would
likely be an expensive, time-consuming endeavor
.
These challenges are, of course, predicated on a gene therapy having
positive clinical data. On that measure, analysts have observed
investors becoming harder to impress.
https://www.biopharmadive.com/news/gene-therapy-stocks-investor-concerns-marketing-manufacturing/564112/