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Tuesday, April 14, 2020

How much coronavirus does it take to make you sick?

Infectious respiratory diseases spread when a healthy person comes in contact with virus particles expelled by someone who is sick — usually through a cough or sneeze. The amount of particles a person is exposed to can affect how likely they are to become infected and, once infected, how severe the symptoms become.
The amount of virus necessary to make a person sick is called the infectious dose. Viruses with low infectious doses are especially contagious in populations without significant immunity.
The minimum infectious dose of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19, is unknown so far, but researchers suspect it is low. “The virus is spread through very, very casual interpersonal contact,” W. David Hardy, a professor of infectious disease at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, told STAT.
A high infectious dose may lead to a higher viral load, which can impact the severity of Covid-19 symptoms.
Viral load is a measure of virus particles. It is the amount of virus present once a person has been infected and the virus has had time to replicate in their cells. With most viruses, higher viral loads are associated with worse outcomes.
“The more viral particles that get into the lungs, the more damage to the lungs that is probably happening,” said Hardy.
One study of Covid-19 patients in China found that those with more severe symptoms tended to have higher viral loads.
“It’s not proven, but it would make sense that higher inoculating doses will lead to higher viral loads, and higher viral loads would translate into more pathogenic clinical courses,” said Dan Barouch, director of the Center for Virology and Vaccine Research at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center.
People with higher viral loads may also shed more whole viruses, which makes them more contagious, compounding the danger of spreading disease more widely.
If exposure to higher doses, or even frequent low doses, of SARS-CoV-2 does lead to worse health outcomes, there are significant implications for health care workers who are routinely exposed to Covid-19 patients.
“Someone caring for large numbers of patients on the wards, if they’re not wearing PPE [personal protective equipment], there might be a high frequency of exposure as well as a high dose of exposure,” Barouch said.
In Italy, a country particularly hard-hit by the virus, about 9% of reported cases were health care workers. Here in the U.S., 10% of Covid-19 cases in California were health care workers, according to the California Department of Public Health.
How much of the coronavirus does it take to make you sick? The science, explained

NYC to Begin Manufacturing COVID-19 Test Kits, PPE

New York City will begin manufacturing its own coronavirus test kits, as well as some personal protection equipment, its mayor announced Tuesday.
“For the first time, we are going to have a truly reliable, major supply of testing,” Mayor Bill de Blasio told reporters at City Hall. “A lot of folks would have said this was impossible, they are making it possible – and that is what New Yorkers do.”
New York has been the hardest hit U.S. state by the coronavirus, with nearly 200,000 confirmed infections. More than half are in New York City. The statewide death toll passed 10,000 this week, and thousands of people remain hospitalized with the respiratory virus.
De Blasio said starting in early May, the city would begin producing 50,000 test kits per week and he hopes to build that up rapidly, as the city of 8.6 million will need a huge volume.
The city struggled in the early weeks of the pandemic to acquire enough test kits from the federal government and from private companies. While the limited scale of production of test kits will not make the city self-sufficient, it will be a huge step forward.
“Hopefully, the example New York City is setting will be recognized in Washington – that if we can do it here, a place that doesn’t produce tests has figured out a way to do it – then why can’t it be done all over this country?” De Blasio said. “Why can’t we build up a supply that can protect all of us?”
But he was quick to say this does not mean that the federal government’s help is no longer necessary.
“If the federal government can’t figure it out, then get out of the way and let us at the local level get this done,” the New York City mayor said. “But support us, get us the components, get us the help, so we can do this rapidly and protect ourselves.
Local manufacturers and 3D printers will produce the swabs used for collecting the nasal sample, as well as the tubes the specimen is transported in, while academic and commercial laboratories will produce the liquid solution the sample is stored in.
The mayor also announced that the city has confirmed the purchase of an additional 50,000 kits a week from an Indiana company. They will start arriving on Monday.
The combined production and purchase of test kits means the city should have about 400,000 testing kits available monthly starting in May. Testing is an essential part of getting the economy reopened.
Local companies are also gearing up to produce personal protective equipment (PPE). Eight companies in Brooklyn and Manhattan will start making face shields. They can now produce 240,000 each week and are rapidly scaling up to reach 465,000 a week by April 24. The mayor said the goal is 620,000 a week.
“It means we will be able to fulfill our entire need for face shields right here in New York City,” de Blasio said. “We are going to be able to say New York City is self-sufficient, we will no longer be at the whim of the federal government or the international markets.”
New York has a large and vibrant garment industry, and several companies have shifted from making clothes to surgical gowns to help meet the skyrocketing demand.
The mayor said five companies are already producing 30,000 surgical gowns a week and will scale up to 100,000 by next week. He said they hope to reach 250,000 gowns a week soon after, and even go beyond that.
“These are brand new production lines created from scratch by companies here, by New York City workers, in an atmosphere of crisis, and they have surpassed any possible expectation we could have and they are going farther,” he said.
New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said testing has been a challenge from the beginning and he urged the federal government to take over responsibility for it.
“You want to talk about an increased federal role, let FEMA do the testing,” he said of the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
Cuomo told reporters at his daily press briefing in the state capital, Albany, that he wants to avoid a bidding war with other states over purchasing testing kits, both for diagnostic and antibody testing, as happened in the scramble to buy ventilators and personal protective equipment at the start of the crisis.
https://www.voanews.com/science-health/coronavirus-outbreak/nyc-begin-manufacturing-covid-19-test-kits-ppe

BeiGene’s Checkpoint Inhibitor Hits the Mark in Phase III Lung Cancer Study

A preliminary analysis of late-stage trial data shows that BeiGene’s investigational checkpoint inhibitor tislelizumab is hitting the mark as a potential first-line treatment in patients with non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).
This morning, BeiGene said tislelizumab in combination with pemetrexed and platinum chemotherapy has met the primary endpoint in a Phase III trial in NSCLC. The treatment has demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in progression-free survival (PFS) compared to pemetrexed and platinum chemotherapy alone at the planned interim analysis. The safety profile of tislelizumab in combination with pemetrexed and platinum chemotherapy has remained consistent and no new safety signals were identified, the company said.
The Phase III trial is assessing the combination therapy in patients with previously untreated stage IIIB or stage IV non-squamous NSCLC and with no EGFR mutations or ALK translocations. The primary endpoint of the trial is progression-free survival, with secondary endpoints including overall survival and safety.
Checkpoint inhibitors have proven to be a valuable tool in combating various cancers, with Merck’s Keytruda and Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Opdivo leading the pack. Tislelizumab (BGB-A317) is designed to bind to PD-1, a cell surface receptor that plays an important role in downregulating the immune system by preventing the activation of T-cells. It is being developed as both a monotherapy and as part of a combination treatment for both solid and hematologic tumors.
Earlier this year, BeiGene announced positive results from a pivotal Phase III trial of its anti-PD-1 antibody tislelizumab in combination with two chemotherapy agents in squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). In that study, tislelizumab met the primary endpoint of improved progression-free survival.
Yong Ben, chief medical officer of immuno-oncology at BeiGene said the company was excited about the latest Phase III results in NSCLC following the previous positive trial data in squamous NSCLC.
“These results add to our growing body of evidence demonstrating the efficacy and safety of tislelizumab for the treatment of advanced cancers. We look forward to continuing to evaluate tislelizumab in more than 25 studies, including 15 potentially registration-enabling trials,” Ben said in a statement.
Non-small cell lung cancer is the most common form of lung cancer in China. In 2018, there were approximately 770,000 new cases of lung cancer in China and it is the leading cause of cancer-related death in both men and women, with approximately 690,500 deaths.
Shun Lu, a professor at Shanghai Chest Hospital and lead investigator for the Phase III trial, said approximately 60% of lung cancer diagnoses are made when the disease is in advanced stages and patients need more treatment options.
“The positive outcome at interim analysis for tislelizumab in this study and in other clinical trials, including for first-line squamous NSCLC, demonstrate that it is a promising option for people living with this advanced cancer,” Lu said in a statement.
With the strong data from the interim analysis in hand, BeiGene intends to discuss a potential filing for regulatory approval for tislelizumab as a first-line treatment for non-squamous NSCLC in China.
https://www.biospace.com/article/beigene-s-checkpoint-inhibitor-hits-the-mark-in-phase-iii-lung-cancer-study/

NIH Research Links Alzheimer’s to Brain Glucose Metabolism, Neuroinflammation

For some time, there has been speculation that glucose metabolism was associated with Alzheimer’s disease, with some researchers going so far as to call Alzheimer’s diabetes type 3. Researchers with the National Institutes of Health’s National Institute on Aging conducted the largest study so far on proteins related to Alzheimer’s and identified proteins and biological processes that regulate glucose metabolism that are associated with Alzheimer’s. The study was published in the journal Nature Medicine.
The study was part of the Accelerating Medicines Partnership for Alzheimer’s Disease (AMP-AD). The investigators assayed the levels and analyzed the expression patterns of more than 3,000 proteins in brain and cerebrospinal fluid samples collected at centers across the U.S.
“This is an example of how the collaborative, open science platform of AMP-AD is creating a pipeline of discovery for new approaches to diagnosis, treatment and prevention of Alzheimer’s disease,” said Richard J. Hodes, NIA director. “This study exemplifies how research can be accelerated when multiple research groups share their biological samples and data resources.”
The study involved analyzing protein expression patterns in more than 2,000 human brain and almost 400 cerebrospinal fluid samples taken from both healthy individuals and Alzheimer’s patients. They analyzed how the protein modules relate to Alzheimer’s and other neurodegenerative diseases. They observed changes in proteins related to glucose metabolism and an anti-inflammatory response in glial cells in brain tissues from both Alzheimer’s patients and people with documented brain pathology who were cognitively normal. This also would seem to support increasing evidence that brain inflammation is involved in the disease as well.
In Alzheimer’s patients, they found that how cells extract energy from glucose is increased in both the brains and spinal fluid of Alzheimer’s patients. The proteins observed were also elevated in preclinical Alzheimer’s patients, which is to say, people with brain pathology of the disease who had not shown cognitive decline.
They also noted the importance of their findings that the glucose metabolism/glial protein module was populated with proteins already identified as genetic risk factors for Alzheimer’s.
“We’ve been studying the possible links between abnormalities in the way the brain metabolizes glucose and Alzheimer’s-related changes for a while now,” said Madhav Thambisetty, investigator and chief of the Clinical and Translational Neuroscience Section in the NIA’s Laboratory of Behavioral Neuroscience. “The latest analysis suggests that these proteins may also have potential as fluid biomarkers to detect the presence of early disease.”
Earlier research by Thambisetty and colleagues at Emory University identified a connection between problems in how the brain breaks down glucose and the amount of amyloid plaques and tangles were in the brain, as well as memory and cognitive issues.
“This large, comparative proteomic study points to massive changes across many biological processes in Alzheimer’s and offers new insights into the role of brain energy metabolism and neuroinflammation in the disease process,” said Suzana Petanceska, program director of NIA overseeing the AMP-AD Target Discovery Program. “The data and analyses from this study has already been made available to the research community and can be used as a rich source of new targets for the treatment and prevention of Alzheimer’s or serve as the foundation for developing fluid biomarkers.”
The research group was led by Erik C.B. Johnson, Nicholas T. Seyfried and Allan Levey at the Emory School of Medicine in Atlanta. The brain samples were from autopsies of participants in various Alzheimer’s research centers, including the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA), Religious Orders Study (ROS) and Memory and Aging Project (MAP), and Adult Changes in Thought (ACT) initiatives.
Samples from people with six other neurodegenerative disorders and normal controls were provided by the Emory Goizueta Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center, with data from the AD Knowledge Portal, the data repository for the AMP-AD Target Discovery Program, and other NIA projects.
https://www.biospace.com/article/glucose-metabolism-linked-to-alzheimer-s-disease/

Trump meets with health executives on ventilator loan program

President Donald Trump met Tuesday with health-care executives on what he’s calling the dynamic ventilator reserve, a program aimed at getting ventilators to coronavirus patients.
“We’re going to have a big discussion today having to do with costs and hospitals and obviously how it relates to the hidden enemy,” Trump said at the beginning of the meeting at the White House. “I look forward to discussing our new partnership to establish the dynamic ventilator reserve,” he said.

Coronavirus deaths lower in countries using tuberculosis vaccine

Coronavirus death rates are nearly six times lower in countries that use a nearly century-old tuberculosis vaccine, a new study found.
The study, conducted by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, found that the COVID-19 mortality rate among countries that use the Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination was 5.8 times lower than in those that do not.
“Demonstration that exposure to BCG vaccination can ameliorate severe COVID-19 disease and lower mortality could rationalize a therapeutic or preventive strategy that can have immediately deployable global impact,” the researchers wrote.
“Therefore, using existing publicly available data, we examined at the ecological level whether country-level COVID-19 mortality was associated with BCG use in national immunization schedules.”
The vaccine, first administered to a human in 1921 and primarily used to protect against tuberculosis, is undergoing clinical trials to test its ability to ward off COVID-19.
Using the mortality per 1 million residents of each country with sufficient data, researchers estimated the coronavirus fatality rate from the 50 countries with the highest number of cases.
After accounting for the economic status of the countries and their elderly populations — both of which contribute to death rates — “the intriguing observation of a significant association between BCG use and lower COVID-19-attributable mortality remained discernable,” the researchers said.
The researchers said the findings “warrant deeper epidemiological scrutiny and prospective evaluation in individually randomized trials.”
The World Health Organization said this week that there is currently “no evidence” that the BCG vaccine can protect people from the coronavirus, but two clinical trials are underway.
The WHO will “evaluate the evidence when it is available,” and does not currently recommend the vaccination for the prevention of COVID-19, it said.
Studies like the Johns Hopkins one, which has yet to be peer-reviewed, “are prone to significant bias from many confounders, including differences in national demographics and disease burden, testing rates for COVID-19 virus infections, and the stage of the pandemic in each country,” the organization said.
Researchers at the Murdoch Children’s Research Institute in Melbourne, Australia, are probing whether the vaccine could protect health care workers on the front line from the deadly bug.
“I think BCG vaccine is a bit of the equivalent of a Hail Mary pass,” Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, told WBZ-TV this week. “It’s such an outside-the-box concept that one would like to be optimistic, but we’ll have to wait and see.”
https://nypost.com/2020/04/14/coronavirus-death-rates-lower-in-countries-using-tb-vaccine/

J&J sees med devices business recovery at end of year after taking coronavirus hit

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) on Tuesday said it expects its medical device business to begin recovering in the fourth quarter as elective medical procedures delayed by the coronavirus pandemic start to resume.
The U.S. healthcare conglomerate lowered its full-year 2020 forecast due to the hit to that business, with procedures like hip and knee replacements on hold. The division accounts for nearly 30% of total sales.
However, investors appeared to take heart that J&J did not simply withdraw its 2020 forecasts over coronavirus uncertainty as the pandemic causes massive business disruptions around the world. It also raised the quarterly dividend to $1.01 per share, and its shares rose 4.4% to $145.87.
J&J’s 2020 adjusted earnings forecast of $7.50 to $7.90 per share – down from its prior view of $8.95 to $9.10 – assumes any return of the coronavirus outbreak in the fall will look much different than the current global health crisis.
“If the virus does return, the world should be much better prepared to test, identify and isolate it. There may also be therapeutic options available,” Chief Financial Officer Joseph Wolk said on a conference call.
Wolk said he expected elective procedures and doctor visits to largely resume in the second half of the year, with the business seeing a lingering impact but starting to stabilize in the third quarter.
Drugmakers and medical researchers are racing to develop treatments and vaccines for the novel coronavirus, which has infected some 2 million people globally and killed over 123,000.
J&J plans to start human trials of its vaccine candidate by September. It signed a vaccine deal with the U.S. government to jointly invest $1 billion and hopes to be able to manufacture more than 1 billion doses.

J&J said it is developing the vaccine on a “not-for-profit” basis.
“Being part of the solution to conquer the pandemic is good for all businesses, not just the business of Johnson & Johnson,” Wolk told Reuters in a phone interview.
The company was not looking to recoup research and development costs and plans to price the vaccine to offset costs related to its manufacturing and distribution, Wolk said.
J&J, the first major U.S. drugmaker to report earnings since the outbreak, said medical device sales in the first quarter fell 8.2% to $5.93 billion, with products used in high-margin orthopedic procedures and vision correction hit particularly hard.
Consumer health sales jumped 9.2% to $3.63 billion, driven by a surge in demand for products like Tylenol and Motrin as consumers faced with an illness that causes fever and cough stocked up on essentials.
Pharmaceutical sales rose 8.7% to $11.13 billion for the quarter.
Excluding items, J&J earned $2.30 per share, beating the average analyst estimate by 30 cents, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-johnson-johnson-results/jj-sees-medical-devices-business-recovery-at-end-of-year-after-taking-coronavirus-hit-idUSKCN21W1AV