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Sunday, January 1, 2023

Magnitude 5.4 earthquake strikes northern California

 

A 5.4-magnitude earthquake struck 15 km (9.3 miles) southeast of California's Rio Dell region, an area still recovering from a powerful earthquake last month.

The latest earthquake was at a depth of 27.8 km, the U.S. Geological Survey said on Sunday.

That same region of California, located in Humboldt County, was jolted by a magnitude 6.4 earthquake on Dec. 20, which crumpled homes and roads, ruptured utility lines and left thousands of residents without running water and electricity.

The region is known for relatively frequent seismic activity, although the 6.4-magnitude caused more disruption than usual.

https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Magnitude-5-4-earthquake-strikes-northern-California--42643653/

Abandoned US Military Equipment Found On Ebay Risks Afghan Lives

 After the Biden administration's chaotic withdrawal from transfer of power to the Taliban in Afghanistan, abandoned US military equipment which contain biometric data have been popping up on Ebay.

Over the past year, German security researcher Matthias Marx and a small group of researchers at Chaos Computer Lab, a European hacker association, have bought six SEEK II (Secure Electronic Enrollment Kit) on the popular auction website, according to the NY Times.

The device, built as part of the Pentagon's vast biometric collection expansion following the Sept. 11, 2011 attacks, has a tiny screen, a little keyboard, and a mouse pad. It also contains a thumbprint reader under a hinged plastic lid, an iris scanner, and a camera. They contained biometric data at detainment facilities, on patrols, during screenings of local hires, and after the explosion of an IED. Officials at the time were concerned over a rash of shooting in which Afghan police and soldiers fired on American troops, and were hoping that biometric data could help identify any possible Taliban agents within their bases.

The shoebox-shaped device, designed to capture fingerprints and perform iris scans, was listed on eBay for $149.95. A German security researcher, Matthias Marx, successfully offered $68, and when it arrived at his home in Hamburg in August, the rugged, hand-held machine contained more than what was promised in the listing.

The device’s memory card held the names, nationalities, photographs, fingerprints and iris scans of 2,632 people.

Most people in the database, which was reviewed by The New York Times, were from Afghanistan and Iraq. Many were known terrorists and wanted individuals, but others appeared to be people who had worked with the U.S. government or simply been stopped at checkpoints. Metadata on the device, called a Secure Electronic Enrollment Kit, or SEEK II, revealed that it had last been used in the summer of 2012 near Kandahar, Afghanistan. -NY Times

In response to the story, Defense Department spox Brig. Gen. Patrick S. Ryder said: "Because we have not reviewed the information contained on the devices, the department is not able to confirm the authenticity of the alleged data or otherwise comment on it," adding "The department requests that any devices thought to contain personally identifiable information be returned for further analysis."

"It was disturbing that they didn’t even try to protect the data," said Marx. "They didn’t care about the risk, or they ignored the risk."

Mr. Marx used the SEEK II to scan his fingerprint.Credit...Andreas Meichsner for The New York Times

DC lawyer Stewart Baker, a former national security official, said that the biometric devices were useful tools in war zones, but that the data collected needed to be kept under control. He suggested that a data breach would "make a lot of people who helped the U.S. and are still in Afghanistan really uncomfortable."

"This should not have happened," Baker added. "It is a disaster for the people whose data is exposed. In the worst cases, the consequences could be fatal."

Of the six devices the researchers bought on eBay — four SEEKs and two HIIDEs, for Handheld Interagency Identity Detection Equipment — two of the SEEK II devices had sensitive data on them. The second SEEK II, with location metadata showing it was last used in Jordan in 2013, appeared to contain the fingerprints and iris scans of a small group of U.S. service members. -NY Times

In one case, an American's biometric data was found in one of the databases. He was formerly a Marine intelligence specialist who still works in intelligence, and said that his data was most likely collected during a military training course. He asked that his biometric file be deleted.

According to the Defense Logistics Agency, which is tasked with equipment disposal, the SEEK II and HIIDE devices never should have made it to the open market. Gear such as this is supposed to be destroyed on-site when no longer needed by the military.

One of the Ebay sellers, surplus equipment reseller Rhino Trade, said they bought the SEEK II at a military auction of government equipment and did not realize it had sensitive data on it.

"I hope we didn't do anything wrong," said David Mendez, the company's treasurer.

"The irresponsible handling of this high-risk technology is unbelievable," said Marx. "It is incomprehensible to us that the manufacturer and former military users do not care that used devices with sensitive data are being hawked online."

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/consequences-could-be-fatal-abandoned-us-military-equipment-found-ebay-risks-afghan-lives

15 Million Americans Set To Lose Medical Coverage As Public Health Emergency Ends

 by Autumn Spredemann via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

America is facing a health crisis and it isn’t made up of bacteria or viruses—instead, it’s an impending medical insurance meltdown.

There is an expectation that as of Jan. 11, 2023, an estimated 15 million Americans will begin to lose health coverage.

The reason is that after three years of a COVID-19 public health emergency, the shield of continuous coverage offered by Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) will end.

Once the state of emergency expires, regular income requirements and restrictions will apply. This will disqualify millions who’ve benefited from congressional legislation passed in 2020 preventing disenrollment for the duration of the COVID pandemic.

Health care administrators are already bracing for the fallout as the end looms large.

The administration of President Joe Biden has set a tentative termination date for Jan. 11, though many analysts believe it will be extended. That’s because White House officials promised a 60-day notice before making it official.

Even with an extension, it’s only delaying the inevitable, according to industry insiders. An avalanche of newly uninsured Americans will still tumble into the national health care system.

An estimated 15 million adults and children will be unenrolled once the health emergency ends, according to an analysis from the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning Evaluation. Within that group, 8.2 million will no longer be eligible for Medicaid. Another 5.3 million children also won’t qualify for CHIP.

Barely a third of those in line to be ejected into the insurance marketplace will qualify for tax credits or other programs. That will leave millions in limbo, scrambling to find affordable insurance.

With such a high volume of newly uninsured patients, some analysts predict cost increases for doctor visits, especially in the emergency room.

Coverage Too Expensive

Others say it will contribute to America’s spiraling mental health crisis, which currently affects more than 50 million people.

We talk about this at work a lot. From the human perspective, it’s not just CHIP and Medicaid, it’s also disability plans. That’s what we’re most worried about, disability and seniors,” Amanda Jones told The Epoch Times.

Jones is a senior health professional who has worked with U.S. government health-care programs for 14 years. She says it won’t be as simple as just rolling back into the program once the state of emergency expires.

Because for many using subsidized programs, other coverage is just too expensive. Those who don’t qualify for alternative, affordable care plans will likely just go without, according to Jones.

Affordable private coverage options can also vary drastically from state to state.

Slipping Through Cracks

One study in 2022 showed a staggering 112 million U.S. adults struggle to afford medical insurance. In the same report, 93 percent said they felt the benefits aren’t worth the high price tag.

The other part of the problem is coverage gaps. Even short breaks in coverage can create a bottleneck at the administrative level for many doctors and specialists.

With a lapse in coverage, getting people back into their routine with their medical doctors is complicated,” Jones explained.

Another harsh reality is many will fall through the gap between income requirements and being able to afford private insurance. Those who slip through will be the most likely to forego coverage. This translates into a price hike in medical services in the long run. “Higher administrative costs in health care will get passed onto other customers. There will also be a lot more emergency room visits,” she said.

Jones also noted that a lot of current Medicaid and CHIP members wouldn’t lose total coverage, but a lot of their benefits. This is especially prevalent for those who rely on prescription medications and regular doctor visits.

Medicaid enrollment surged to record levels in 2021, topping 80 million members. Much of that is because many lost employment during the pandemic and lacked affordable coverage options.

After Congress passed legislation in March 2020 to protect insurance coverage, enrollment soared, because the main caveat for states to access the enhanced federal funding under the Families First Coronavirus Response Act was the prohibition on disenrolling people using Medicaid during the emergency.

Jones says Biden’s 60-day notice is a drop in the bucket. “Sixty days in the business world is like, a week. It’ll be a huge strain on care coordinators.”

With disabled people, seniors, and children set to feel the biggest impact, some industry workers say the U.S. mental health crisis will escalate.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/15-million-americans-set-lose-medical-coverage-public-health-emergency-ends

Risks Elevated At These Prices For Vertex

 When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (NASDAQ:VRTX) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 22.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Vertex Pharmaceuticals

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Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vertex Pharmaceuticals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Vertex Pharmaceuticals' Growth Trending?

Vertex Pharmaceuticals' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 52% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 52% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 9.1% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 9.2% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that Vertex Pharmaceuticals is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

Bottom Line On Vertex P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Vertex Pharmaceuticals currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Vertex Pharmaceuticals is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/risks-shareholder-returns-elevated-prices-110017346.html

AbbVie favoured by institutional owners who hold 70% of the company

 To get a sense of who is truly in control of AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 70% to be precise, is institutions. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Given the vast amount of money and research capacities at their disposal, institutional ownership tends to carry a lot of weight, especially with individual investors. Hence, having a considerable amount of institutional money invested in a company is often regarded as a desirable trait.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about AbbVie.

View our latest analysis for AbbVie

ownership-breakdown
ownership-breakdown

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About AbbVie?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in AbbVie. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at AbbVie's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in AbbVie. The Vanguard Group, Inc. is currently the largest shareholder, with 8.8% of shares outstanding. With 7.5% and 4.7% of the shares outstanding respectively, BlackRock, Inc. and Capital Research and Management Company are the second and third largest shareholders.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of AbbVie

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of AbbVie Inc. in their own names. As it is a large company, we'd only expect insiders to own a small percentage of it. But it's worth noting that they own US$171m worth of shares. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 30% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over AbbVie. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/abbvie-inc-nyse-abbv-favoured-140020616.html

Japanese blockchain developer Earlyworks files for a $16 million US IPO

 Earlyworks, which provides blockchain technology to a range of businesses in Japan, filed on Friday with the SEC to raise up to $16 million in an initial public offering.


Through its proprietary Grid Ledger System ("GLS"), Earlyworks leverages blockchain technology in various business settings, including advertisement tracking, online visitor management, and sales of non-fungible tokens. The company generates revenue primarily from software and development  services, as well as offering consulting services. Its customers represent a diverse range of industries, such as information technology, shipping, real estate, entertainment, cosmetics, and chemical products.

The Tokyo, Japan-based company was founded in 2018 and booked $3 million in revenue for the 12 months ended April 30, 2022. It plans to list on the Nasdaq under the symbol ELWS. Earlyworks filed confidentially on September 20, 2022. Univest Securities is the sole bookrunner on the deal. No pricing terms were disclosed.

FTX Debtors and the Bahamas regulator lay different claims on amount transferred

 

  • FTX Debtors states that the crypto transferred to the Bahamas Securities Commission was valued at $296 million
  • This number falls short of the billions of dollar claim made by the commission
  • FTX Debtors is working towards having these assets transferred back

FTX has made an official announcement on the total amount of money sent to the Bahamas Securities Commission. Interestingly, there seems to be a difference in claims on the amount transferred. While the Bahamas regulatory authority claims over billions were sent in crypto, FTX Debtors states that the amount was in millions, at the time of transfer.

FTX assets with missing numbers

In a press release, FTX Debtors claimed that the amount transferred by the platform to the commission was around $296 million at the time of transfer. It also claimed that the cryptocurrencies transferred to the authorities were 195 million FTT, 1938 Ether, and other “miscellaneous coins that do not have substantial value”. The press release further read,

“The Bahamas Commission has acknowledged that it orchestrated these transfers, and retains the digital assets in a single digital wallet at Fireblocks, consistent with what is shown on the blockchain.”

Notably, the value of these cryptocurrencies is staggeringly low compared to the claims put forth by the Bahamas Securities Commission. The commission claims that Sam Bankman-Fried and Gary Wang transferred crypto worth nearly $3.5 billion, according to market value at the time of transfer. However, the commission did not disclose the cryptocurrencies it has in its possession.

On the massive gap in crypto valuation, FTX Debtors said,

“The press release did not identify the type of cryptocurrency seized or the valuation methodology, and the Bahamas Commission has not provided the FTX Debtors any further information to resolve the valuation disparity (…) provide the public with accurate information concerning the cryptocurrency seized”

FTX assets transferred a day after the bankruptcy filing

The commission had SBF and Wang send the crypto for the sake of “safekeeping”. The move was made after it was reported that the exchange was facing cyberattacks, and it was in line with the Supreme Court’s ruling. The commission said,

“The digital assets transferred on 12 November 2022 to digital wallets under the exclusive control the Commission are being held by the Commission on a temporary basis, until such time as The Bahamas Supreme Court directs the Commission to deliver them to the customers and creditors who own them (…)”

Meanwhile, FTX Debtors stated that neither the commission nor the executives had the authority to take the cryptocurrencies that were in possession of the exchange. The statement comes in as the assets were transferred a day after the exchange filed for bankruptcy. It further claimed that the debtors will pursue the return of the funds as per the Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing.

https://ambcrypto.com/ftx-debtors-and-the-bahamas-regulator-lay-different-claims-on-amount-transferred/