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Sunday, June 22, 2025

Iran orders closure of Strait of Hormuz — putting one-fifth of world’s oil supply at risk

 Iran’s parliament has voted to close the Strait of Hormuz, the vital shipping channel through which around 20% of the world’s daily oil flows.

The move, which could block $1 billion in oil shipments per day, is likely to send oil prices soaring.

It will come into effect pending a final decision by Iran’s Supreme Council.

Jask, also known as Bandar-e Jask, is a southern port town in Iran, located on the Gulf of Oman, just outside the Strait of Hormuz.Gallo Images via Getty Images

The Supreme Council’s decision must be made by tonight, according to Iran’s state-run Press TV.

Iran’s major escalation in response to US strikes on its nuclear facilities “will be done whenever necessary,” Email Kosari, Commander in the Revolutionary Guards, said on Sunday.

The strait connecting the Gulf of Oman with the Persian Gulf is one of the world’s most critical chokepoints — just 20 miles wide at its narrowest point.

Shipping lanes in the strait  — the area that is deep enough for ships to pass — are even narrower at less than two miles wide in each direction, making them much more vulnerable to attacks and threats of closure.

An Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) speed boat is sailing along the Persian Gulf near a general cargo vessel.NurPhoto via Getty Images

The channel is shallow, making it a particular target for underwater mining, while the narrowness of the strait makes passing vessels vulnerable to attack from shore-based missiles or interception by patrol boats or helicopters.

Iran has no legal authority to block sea traffic through Hormuz, and any attempts by its navy to bar entry to the strait would likely be met by a strong response.

Ships with the US Fifth Fleet, along with other Western navies, are patrolling the area at all times.

It is bordered by Iran to the north and Oman and the United Arab Emirates to the south.

The bulk of all oil exported by the regional petro giants, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, all travel through this narrow waterway.

U.S. drops $500M bombs on Iran

Asia is likely to bear the brunt most from any closures to the waterway, with China, India, Japan and South Korea all getting most of their oil imports through the strait.

China, the world’s biggest buyer of Iranian oil and a critical partner that has previously used its veto power at the UN Security Council to block sanctions or resolutions against Tehran, would be particularly affected by any closure.

The move would also hit Iran’s own economy.

President Donald Trump delivers an address to the nation accompanied by Vice President JD Vance, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S. June 21, 2025, following strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities.REUTERS

Iran last disrupted traffic in the Persian Gulf in April last year when it seized an Israel-linked container ship near the Strait of Hormuz, accusing the MSC Aries of violating maritime regulations.

In April 2023, Iran seized a US-bound tanker, claiming the ship had struck another vessel.

And in May 2022, two Greek tankers were held for six months in what was widely seen as retaliation to the confiscation of Iranian oil on a different ship by Greek and US authorities.

In previous years, the Houthi militia in Yemen was able to successfully disrupt traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait leading into the Red Sea on the other side of the Arabian Peninsula.

Using the firing of missiles and drones, the Houthis were able to cut ship traffic through the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden some 70% in June compared with the average levels in 2022 and 2023, according to Clarkson Research Services Ltd, a unit of the world’s largest shipbroker.

Vessel operators have been forced instead to reroute traffic around the southern tip of Africa instead of using the Suez Canal, making journeys for ships traveling between Europe and Asia vastly more expensive and much longer.

https://nypost.com/2025/06/22/world-news/iran-orders-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz-putting-one-fifth-of-worlds-oil-supply-at-risk/

US Military Scrambles For Ways To Protect Bases From Drone Warfare

 by Andrew Thornebrooke via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The U.S. military is prioritizing the protection of its bases in the country from drone attacks after Ukraine launched a surprise attack against Russia earlier this month and Israel is suspected of using the same strategy against Iran.

A DJI Mavic 3 drone flies past a U.S. government surveillance tower near the U.S.–Mexico border in Yuma, Ariz., on Sept. 27, 2022. The U.S. military is stepping up efforts to protect domestic bases from drone attacks following Ukraine’s surprise strike on Russia and suspected similar tactics by Israel against Iran. John Moore/Getty Images

The Ukraine attack destroyed at least 10 of Moscow’s limited supply of long-range heavy bombers, which are a critical component of Russia’s nuclear capability.

Israel is suspected to have smuggled drone parts into Iran and assembled them before using the drones to attack Tehran’s ballistic missile launchers and silos from within.

U.S. military leaders are increasingly concerned that similar attacks, which leverage low-cost commercial drones against expensive weapons systems, could pose a lasting threat to bases and critical infrastructure throughout the country.

However, the Army and other service branches are struggling to design and deploy appropriate technologies to defend bases on U.S. soil, owing to variables that don’t need to be considered in a war zone.

How we’re going to [defend bases] in a combat zone is very different from how we would do that in the states, obviously,” Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George said at a House Armed Services Committee on June 4.

One key factor is the Byzantine patchwork of local, state, and federal laws governing drone flights and the military’s own rules of engagement.

Whereas officers at an outpost overseas might simply engage with an unidentified drone approaching their base before any potential harm can occur, the military lacks the authority to engage with drones on U.S. soil, unless those drones directly enter a facility’s airspace.

Even then, options are limited.

The use of kinetic systems that would simply shoot down a drone are out of the question on American soil, according to military personnel, as they are not cost-effective, and would also run the risk of injuring civilians or damaging property when the debris fell to the ground.

That issue highlights the other key factor confounding military planners: A lack of counter-drone systems customized to deal with emergent threats to bases in the United States without endangering civilians.

While the military, and federal government, do have electromagnetic weapons that can knock out drones by interfering with their electrical and navigational systems, these weapons are typically poorly suited to an environment rich in aerial traffic because they affect all electronic systems within a given area.

Such an issue was laid bare on March 1, when more than a dozen flights on final approach to the Reagan National Airport outside Washington received false collision warnings, prompting at least six flights to abort their landings.

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) later stated that the false positives were caused by government testing of counter-drone technology near the airport.

Master Sgt. David Rogers, 315th Security Forces Squadron fire team leader, aims a DroneDefender weapon at a small unmanned aircraft during an exercise at Schofield Barracks, Hawaii, on Feb. 5, 2025. The U.S. military is stepping up efforts to protect domestic bases from drone attacks following Ukraine’s surprise strike on Russia and suspected similar tactics by Israel against Iran. Master Sgt. Jeffrey Grossi/U.S. Air Force

Because of that weakness in the system, the Army is now exploring the use of directed energy weapons in its counter-drone operations.

Many such systems, including variants of weapons using lasers, microwaves, and particle and sound beams, are still in development, but they bring their own problems because of high energy consumption.

According to the Congressional Research Service, the Pentagon’s newest counter-drone weapons would need to draw 100 kilowatts of power to fire a laser in a counter-drone capacity.

That’s more power than the average American household uses in three days, and that figure does not include the additional power requirements for cooling the significant amount of heat generated by such weapons.

It makes defending military installations on U.S. soil from drone attacks an infrastructure problem as well as a defense problem.

New Energy Sources

Secretary of the Army Daniel Driscoll, who also spoke at the hearing, said the directed energy requirements for defending U.S. bases and supply chains from future drone attacks simply can’t be met with today’s power systems.

“For a lot of the tools that are coming out, directed energy, for example, they have incredible energy requirements,” Driscoll said.

You’re going to have to have spikes of energy come through the lines that just are not set up. The current technology is not sufficient for it.”

The key to solving the nation’s directed energy issues is in the creation of nuclear microreactors, small modular nuclear reactors that would generate power for an individual base and its weapons, he said.

Driscoll’s push toward nuclear power matches an executive order signed by President Donald Trump last month directing the Army to deploy a nuclear reactor at a U.S. base by 2028.

“Advanced nuclear reactors include ... small modular reactors, microreactors, and stationary and mobile reactors that have the potential to deliver resilient, secure, and reliable power to critical defense facilities and other mission capability resources,” the order reads.

https://www.zerohedge.com/military/us-military-scrambles-ways-protect-bases-drone-warfare

China Condemns Trump’s Iran Attack in First Comment Since US Hit

 


China criticized the US strike on Iranian nuclear facilities and again said it’s willing to join international efforts to restore peace in the Middle East.

Beijing “strongly” condemns the attacks on Iran, according to a four-sentence statement from the Foreign Ministry on Sunday.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-22/china-condemns-trump-s-iran-attack-in-first-comment-since-us-hit

How a Cornered Iran Could Wreak Havoc on Global Oil Trade

 


US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities are sharpening the focus on one option Iran has yet to really deploy in the conflict: disrupting regional oil trade, especially through the critical Strait of Hormuz.

Iran has over the years threatened multiple times to shut the strait — a narrow stretch of water through which a fifth of the world’s oil supply flows each day. But in practice, Tehran has numerous less-drastic options at its disposal to calibrate a response that hurts its enemies while limiting the impact on allies like China, its biggest oil buyer.

Satellite Imagery Flags "Unusual Activity" At Iran's Fordow Nuclear Site Days Before U.S. Strike

 In an overnight address to the nation, President Trump announced that U.S. stealth bombers had "completely and totally obliterated" Iran's three primary nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. He issued a direct warning to Tehran, stating that unless the regime agrees to a peace deal with Israel, additional U.S. military action remains on the table. The attack signals Trump's dramatic geopolitical u-turn after having long advocated for keeping the U.S. out of Middle Eastern wars. 

"This cannot continue. There will be either peace or there will be tragedy for Iran, far greater than we have witnessed over the last eight days," Trump told the American people in a three-minute speech from the White House late Saturday night. 

"Remember, there are many targets left," the president said, adding, "Tonight's was the most difficult of them all, by far, and perhaps the most lethal. But if peace does not come quickly, we will go after those other targets with precision, speed and skill."

Before the deployment of six U.S. Air Force B-2 stealth bombers—each armed with a 30,000-pound GBU-57A/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator—a satellite intelligence report from Maxar Technologies identified "unusual" activity near the entrance of Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility.

The observed movement on Thursday and Friday showed "unusual truck and vehicular activity" near the entrance of the underground Fordow complex south of Tehran. This may indicate foreknowledge or heightened alert status at Iran's high-value nuclear sites. 

Newsweek cited Maxar's report and provided more color on the unusual movements:

Pictures captured on Thursday and Friday showed "unusual truck and vehicular activity" close to the entrance of the underground Fordow complex south of Tehran, satellite imagery giant Maxar said late on Saturday U.S. time.

A total of 16 cargo trucks were spotted on the access road leading up to the Fordow tunnel entrance on Thursday, but most of the trucks had relocated to one kilometer (0.6 miles) northwest of the access road by the following day, Maxar said.

New trucks and multiple bulldozers had appeared close to the main entrance by Friday, with one truck very close to the main tunnel entrance, the satellite imagery provider said.

Satellite imagery captured by Maxar on Thursday (days before the U.S. bombing raid) shows cargo trucks near the underground entrance of the Fordow fuel enrichment facility

Maxar satellite imagery of Fordo fuel enrichment facility.

Maxar satellite imagery of Fordo fuel enrichment facility.

In a separate report, post-bombing, X users cite satellite imagery from UK-based Think Tank Open Source Center that shows what appears to be "visible damage to Fordow."

"Several entry points can be seen, indicating the explosives penetrated deep towards the facility. The entry points are on the ridgelines, which are directly above the centrifuge halls," breaking conflict news account Megatron wrote on X. 

More here.

President Trump also issued a warning overnight, stating that if Tehran refuses to negotiate a peace deal, U.S. bombers and fighter aircraft will hit other targets. This scenario aligns with the escalation pathway we outlined in our October 2024 geopolitical report to readers.

And let's not forget Hollywood has pre-programmed the American people for this...

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/satellite-imager-flags-unusual-activity-irans-fordo-nuclear-site-days-us-strike

Hegseth Says 'Bold & Brilliant' Operation Did Not Target Iranian Troops Or Civilians

 In a Sunday morning press briefing, Trump's Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth declared that "Iran's nuclear ambitions have been obliterated" - but also asserted that the attack did not target the Iranian people or civilians. He hailed the "incredible and overwhelming success" - following President Trump last night saying the same thing. "It's worth noting the operation did not target Iranian troops or the Iranian people."

Hegseth said this is part of the commitment of this administration's vision of "peace through strength". He continued, "Many presidents have dreamed of delivering the final blow to Iran's nuclear program, and none could, until President Trump."

For the "bold and brilliant" operation, there was weeks of preparation and precision logistics and "misdirection" at the highest level, involving B-2 bombers going to hit, Hegseth described. "No other country on planet earth" could have conducted this operation.

He also underscored that the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) was used for the first time in US combat history - also that it was the longest bomber mission of its kind since 2001.

"Just like [IRGC Quds Force General Qasem] Solemani found out in the first term, Iran found out when POTUS says '60 days' - that when he seeks peace and negotiation - he means 60 days of peace and negotiation, otherwise that nuclear program will not exist. He meant it."

Hegseth then read aloud Trump's post to Truth Social last night, soon after the three nuclear sites were struck:

"Any retaliation by Iran against the United States of America will be met with force far greater than what was witnessed tonight."

That's when the US Defense Secretary then warned, "Iran would be smart to heed those words. He said it before and he means it." He tried to stress the 'limited' scope of the attack and urged the Iranians to come back to the negotiating table:

There are both public and private messages being delivered to the Iranians in multiple channels, giving them every opportunity to come to the negotiation table, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth says at a Pentagon press briefing.

Scope of operation on Iran was "intentionally limited" Hegseth says he believes the US attack will have a clear psychological impact on how Iran views the future US strikes against Iran’s nuclear enrichment site at Fordow are believed to have destroyed capabilities there...

To review the details of what happened last night, the US deployed six B-2 bombers to drop 12 GBU-57 "bunker-buster" bombs on Iran’s heavily fortified Fordow nuclear site, marking the first time these massive 30,000-pound bombs were used in combat.

The enrichment sites at Natanz and Isfahan were also attacked. The mission lasted about 37 hours with multiple refueling missions.

While the White House is now claiming Iran’s nuclear facilities were "completely and totally obliterated," officials say it's too early to confirm the full extent of the damage.

Iran, along with international nuclear agencies, reported no radiation leaks, prompting skepticism about the strike’s effectiveness—particularly at Fordow, which is buried deep underground. Iranian officials said damage was minimal and mostly above ground. Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization vowed to continue its nuclear program, referring to assassinated nuclear scientists as "martyrs."

Some degree of political backlash has quickly emerged over the lack of Congressional approval for the strikes. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, despite previously mocking Trump's diplomatic efforts with Iran, called for a War Powers vote, criticizing the president's unilateral military action without a clear strategy.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hegseth-says-us-bold-brilliant-operation-did-not-target-iranian-troops-or-civilians

'Strategy's Michael Saylor Raises Bitcoin forecast To $21M By 2046'

 by Helen Partz via CoinTelegraph.com,

Bitcoin bull and Strategy founder Michael Saylor has doubled down on the long-term value of BTC amid fast-changing geopolitical and cryptocurrency adoption trends.

Saylor took the stage with a keynote speech at the BTC Prague 2025 event on Saturday, predicting that the price of Bitcoin would hit $21 million in 21 years.

“I think we’re going to be $21 million in 21 years. It's a very special time in the network. Maybe the one time in the history of the network where you look out 21 years and you see $21 million,” Saylor stated.

Source: Michael Saylor

Saylor’s latest bullish Bitcoin prediction is a massive increase from his previous forecast made at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville last year, when he predicted that Bitcoin would hit $13 million by 2045.

Massive adoption that “nobody guessed”

In the keynote, Saylor reasoned his growing bullishness on the Bitcoin market with many geopolitical, regulatory and adoption developments, which he said nobody conceived last year.

“Stuff that’s happened in the past 11 months has been extraordinary. The White House has embraced Bitcoin. This is an extraordinary development. We didn’t anticipate this, Saylor said.

Saylor emphasized that he has always been bullish on Bitcoin, even when it plummeted to $16,000 in the last crypto winter, but Donald Trump’s presidential victory last November “brought a sea change in politics,” he stated.

Michael Saylor at the BTC Prague on June 21, 2025. Source: Trezor

“Although we thought we might have a pro-Bitcoin president, we didn't think we'd get a strategic Bitcoin reserve. We didn't think that the president would say America would be the Bitcoin superpower of the world. This is an amazing development,” Saylor added.

The Strategy founder also mentioned growing regulatory and legislative developments around crypto, referring to three crypto-related bills progressing in the US, including the stablecoin-focused Genius Act, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act and the Bitcoin Act.

“This is something nobody guessed, no one conceived of a year ago. States in the United States are embracing Bitcoin,” Saylor said.

https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/strategys-michael-saylor-raises-bitcoin-forecast-21m-2046