Biogen (BIIB -0.7%) is treading water today after yesterday’s 26% pop when it announced that
it had resuscitated left-for-dead Alzheimer’s drug aducanumab and
planned to file a U.S. marketing application next quarter. Shares peaked
at $318 intraday (+42%) before retracing as investors absorbed the news and likelihood of approval.
Guggenheim’s Yatin Suneja (Buy/$365) and Leerink’s
Geoffrey Porges (Outperform/$350) were quick to upgrade considering
that aducanumab was once regarded as an asset capable of generating $10B
in sales, although Mr. Porges rates the potential FDA nod as an even
money proposition, as does Oppenheimer’s Jay Olsen (Outperform/$338).
RBC’s Brian Abrahams, Piper’s Christopher Raymond
and Stifel’s Paul Matteis maintain their Neutral ratings citing
conflicting clinical data and uncertainty with regulatory approval.
Credit Suisse’s Evan Seigerman, Morgan Stanley’s
Matthew Harrison and BofA Merrill Lynch’s Geoff Meacham maintain their
Underperform ratings, lacking confidence in the “new analysis” and
likelihood of an FDA rejection unless the agency relaxes its approval
criteria (they may want to relook at the data supporting the nod for
Sarepta Therapeutics’ DMD med Exondys 51).
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3508594-sell-siders-cautious-potential-fda-nod-biogens-aducanumab
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