The insulin industry is vital for addressing diabetes - a major US health concern affecting 11.6% of the population (38.4 million people in 2021, according to the ADA). While medical advancements have made insulin more accessible, revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.7% from 2025 to 2030, after reaching $19.5 billion in 2024, driven by rising diabetes rates worldwide, tech advances like automated pumps and insulin pens, and better insurance coverage. Despite rising demand, major manufacturers are cutting prices, which has driven revenue down. Additionally, strategic location choices based on skilled labor and market access, and growing competition from lower-priced generic drugmakers are key trends shaping the market.

Precedence Research

Insulet faces some tough competition in the diabetes care space. For example, Medtronic’s MiniMed series lost some market share even though its overall diabetes segment experienced modest growth, maintaining its position as a major player with a broad product lineup. Tandem, known for its sleek and user-friendly t:slim X2 pump, experienced a slight dip in performance as customer acquisition slowed. Abbott Laboratories is making waves too, with its FreeStyle Libre system showing robust growth, while Dexcom’s G6 and G7 systems have also demonstrated strong performance, acting as both competitors and partners in some areas. Then there’s Eli Lilly, leveraging its vast resources to explore treatments like tirzepatide that could reduce insulin dependency, and Novo Nordisk, which continues to dominate the insulin market.

Insulet’s business model is built on an initial device placement combined with recurring revenue from disposable pods—replaced every 72 hours at about 122 pods per patient each year. While they sell the Omnipod PDM controller, most revenue comes from these disposables, supported by customer retention rates exceeding 95% and a strong shift toward pharmacy distribution (63% of US customers as of Q2 2024). Their flagship Omnipod is celebrated for being tubeless, waterproof, and user-friendly, integrating with Dexcom’s G6 CGM to automate insulin delivery and cut hypoglycemia by 67%, with 86% of users appreciating its hassle-free design.

Insulet’s strengths include a robust portfolio of over 750 patents, offering the only tubeless insulin pump system in major markets, and achieving over 95% customer retention. Its manufacturing efficiencies have notably boosted margins, and Omnipod 5’s first-mover advantage has spurred a 37% YoY jump in new customer acquisitions. The launch of Omnipod 5 in the U.S. for users aged 2 and older and more recently the FDA clearance extended to include infants as young as 6 months allowed it to be the only automated insulin delivery system available for that age group. The device expanded internationally with launches in the UK, Germany, France, Italy, Norway and even the Netherlands while digital integration has advanced through partnerships with Glooko and Tidepool.

Opportunities lie in expanding Medicare coverage, penetrating international markets like Japan and China, tapping into the larger Type 2 diabetes segment, and further integrating digital health solutions. Insulet faces threats from increasing competition with emerging tubeless options from traditional pump makers, potential shifts in insulin dependency due to GLP-1 agonists, reimbursement pressures, and supply chain disruptions. The group is also challenged by its heavy reliance on Dexcom’s CGM systems, higher R&D expenses relative to larger competitors, significant U.S.-centric revenue, and pricing pressures in certain international markets.

In 2024, the Group’s revenue surged to $2.1 billion—a 22.1% jump that beat expectations—driven largely by Omnipod, which raked in $2.0 billion, growing 22.4% overall (20.6% in the U.S. and 27.6% abroad).

Improved efficiency pushed gross margins to 69.8%, operating income to $308.9 million (14.9% of revenue), and net income more than doubled to $418.3 million ($5.78 per share), with strong gains in adjusted net income and EBITDA, plus robust operating and free cash flows of $430.3 million and $305.4 million, respectively. Looking ahead to 2025, revenue is expected to grow 16–20%, with Omnipod leading at 17–21%—and potentially 22–25% in Q1—while international Omnipod might see up to 31% growth in the first quarter, despite a possible double-digit drop in Drug Delivery. Meanwhile, the Group recently topped 500,000 active global Omnipod users (365,000 on Omnipod 5), integrated Omnipod 5 with Abbott’s FreeStyle Libre 2 Plus in the U.S., defended its IP against EOFlow Co., launched Omnipod 5 in several European countries, and published SECURE-T2D trial results highlighting Omnipod 5’s benefits for people with type 2 diabetes.

After significantly increasing its debt in 2022 to over $4.1 billion, Insulet brought it down to $1.9 billion by 2024. Over the same period, its return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) stabilized at solid levels - 16% and 27%, respectively, for the 2024 fiscal year. The company’s free cash flow (FCF) has grown steadily, rising from $879 million in 2016 to $4.6 billion in 2024, with projections reaching $7.6 billion by 2027. Its FCF margin has consistently ranged between 28% and 33%. On the valuation side, Insulet remains expensive. Its P/E ratio has hovered around 61x between 2022 and 2024 - well above its 10-year average of 54x - even though it's expected to drop to 43x in 2025. Competitors are also trading at high multiples in 2024: Dexcom at 54.8x, Roche at 24.8x, Novo Nordisk at 27.6x, Eli Lilly at 65.9x, and Medtronic at 28.9x. Insulet’s 2024 price-to-book ratio (P/B) stands at 9.84x, noticeably lower than its 10-year average of 16.1x. Meanwhile, its EV/EBITDA multiple is 27.9x, slightly above the 10-year average of 25.5x.

Insulet has been shaking up diabetes management with its innovative Omnipod system, and its market share has steadily increased, challenging established players like Medtronic. With only a fraction of Type 1 patients using insulin pumps and expanding Medicare coverage and international reach, there's plenty of room to grow. Looking ahead, despite a premium valuation, Insulet's continued innovation and market expansion signal a promising future in a competitive landscape.

 https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/INSULET-CORPORATION-50468/news/Insulet-s-Market-Expansion-The-Omnipod-Impact-on-Diabetes-Care-49578779/