Acadia misses estimates but reaffirms 2026 outlook and pivotal ADP catalyst
Acadia Q1 2026 revenue $268M (+11% YoY), EPS $0.02 (-82% YoY), misses estimates but reaffirms 2026 outlook and pivotal ADP catalyst
- Q1 revenue $268M, +11% YoY adjusted; both DAYBUE and NUPLAZID grew solidly.
- DAYBUE sales $101M, +20% YoY, boosted by strong initial DAYBUE STIX uptake.
- NUPLAZID sales $167M, +6% YoY; 8% demand, 11% referral growth despite refill delays.
- 2026 revenue guidance $1.22–$1.28B and brand-level sales and expense guidance reaffirmed; back-half weighted.
- Remlifanserin Phase II in Alzheimer's psychosis on track for August–October 2026 readout.
- Trofinetide Japan Phase III enrollment ahead of plan; top-line data expected September–November 2026.
- Cash balance $851M, positive operating cash flow, supporting internal pipeline and business development optionality.
- SG&A up to $171M from $126M, reflecting sales force expansion and marketing spend.
- European trofinetide reexamination ongoing; decision expected by late June, potential EU Rett opportunity.
- R&D head retiring year-end; remains through key remlifanserin milestones, but succession introduces transition risk.
- Main concern: High-impact remlifanserin Alzheimer's psychosis data and European trofinetide decision could materially alter outlook.
- Strong quarter, driven by robust DAYBUE growth, stable NUPLAZID demand, and reaffirmed 2026 guidance.
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