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Sunday, February 12, 2023

Inside a border patrol sting on migrant smugglers in the Texas desert

 Braggadocious human traffickers showed off a successful smuggling operation through the West Texas desert in a video posted to YouTube — which gave away their location to eagle eyed border patrol agents who promptly busted them, according to the local sheriff.

“Cartels were bragging on social media,” Terrell County Sheriff Thaddeus Cleveland told The Post as he provided a tour of Terrell County, which has become a smuggling corridor with a 540% increase in migrant arrests in the last two years.

“One of our agents saw it; we recognized the area and it allowed us to come to this area about five miles north of Sanderson.”

An intelligence officer for the US Border Patrol in plain clothing found the location — stumbling on what cops call a “lay up spot” where migrants, who have walked anywhere between two to four days from the US-Mexico border to Sanderson, make a pit stop.

Video provided by the Terrell County Sheriff show migrants running into the car of a Border Patrol agent they believe is a smuggler.
Video provided by the Terrell County Sheriff show migrants running into the car of a Border Patrol agent they believe is a smuggler.
Courtesy Terrell County Sheriff
Five migrants were arrested in this operation led by US Border Patrol and the Terrell County Sheriff's office near Sanderson, Texas.
Five migrants were arrested in this operation led by US Border Patrol and the Terrell County Sheriff’s office near Sanderson, Texas.
Courtesy Terrell County Sheriff

There, they rest and hide in the brush until they are picked up by a different smuggler who will drive them further into the country, Cleveland added.

Posing as the smuggler in an unmarked truck, the agent simply honked his horn — a signal alerting illegal immigrants to come out out of hiding and into the get away car.

In a video of the incident provided by Sheriff Cleveland camouflaged migrants can be seen running out of the brush and piling into the agent’s pick-up truck.

Law enforcement in Terrell County discovered a "lay up spot" where migrants leave their trash and wait to be picked up by smugglers for the next leg of their journey.
Law enforcement in Terrell County discovered a “lay up spot” where migrants leave their trash and wait to be picked up by smugglers for the next leg of their journey.
Daniel William McKnight for NY Post

“Get on, get on,” the agent can be heard saying to the migrants in Spanish. “ Hurry! Hurry! Are there more?”

However, instead of the safe house they were expecting, the five migrants were immediately driven over to the Border Patrol station and arrested for entering the country illegally.

Sheriff Thaddeous Cleveland has been in office since May. He told The Post his county has seen in a 540% explosion of illegal immigrants smuggling in the last two years.
Sheriff Thaddeous Cleveland has been in office since May. He told The Post his county has seen in a 540% explosion of illegal immigrants smuggling in the last two years.
Daniel William McKnight for NY Post

The incident is just one example of the 7,400 border crossers who were stopped by law enforcement in remote Terrell County in 2022, according to the sheriff’s office, proving that no place on the border is immune to the on-going crisis.

Another 8,000 illegals were considered “gotaways”— migrants who the authorities know crossed into the US but either escaped, or agents weren’t able to apprehend.

This SUV was involved in a "bail out" Wednesday night, The Post witnessed. When a Terrell County deputy tried to pull the driver over, suspected of smuggling migrants, the car stopped, but everyone inside abandoned the car-- escaping into the West Texas desert.
This SUV was involved in a “bail out” Wednesday night, The Post witnessed. When a Terrell County deputy tried to pull the driver over, suspected of smuggling migrants, the car stopped, but everyone inside abandoned the car– escaping into the West Texas desert.
Daniel William McKnight for NY Post

“We’re seeing [them] but we can’t chase them because we don’t have enough people to go out there and give chase,” the former Border Patrol agent said.

In a letter to Gov. Greg Abbott, Cleveland requested additional boots on the ground as his three-person department and the 50 agents permanently assigned to the region can’t keep up.

The state has responded, offering to send more Texas troopers to help out. However, until the help arrives Cleveland doesn’t have enough staffing to post an officer at the newly discovered smuggling waypoint.

The Sanderson region, traditionally considered too remote for migrants to cross, covers 91 miles of the US-Mexico border, but only has 50 full-time Border Patrol agents assigned there.
The Sanderson region, traditionally considered too remote for migrants to cross, covers 91 miles of the US-Mexico border, but only has 50 full-time Border Patrol agents assigned there.
Daniel William McKnight for NY Post

Investigators returned to the area and found a tree that’s been serving as a migrant waiting area.

“They put all their trash in one location, cleaned it up, that’s not something we’re used to seeing,” he added. “They definitely were successful in this area and they didn’t want to be discovered by agents or landowners with the amount of trash they have.”

The Post toured the spot, finding abandoned backpacks, which Cleveland explained the migrants wear when they cross into the the US to walk through the desert. The sacks have a clean change of clothing since they’re usually wet after from crossing the Rio Grande, which serves is also the international boundary. They also carry water, small amounts of food and and fresh garlic for snake bites.

Smugglers brag about their successful smuggling in West Texas in this YouTube video.

“This area is their last stop before they get picked up there at the highway which is a couple hundred yards north,” the sheriff demonstrated. “There’s a very good canopy for shade as they wait to get picked up. This area provides great cover and concealment.”

The sheriff predicts smuggling activity in the area will go cold for a while now that law enforcement knows about, but will eventually pick back up.

“They’ll come back and utilize those spots again,” he stated. “It’s a numbers game. They have numerous areas they use, and they’ll bounce around for a while until they think we’ve forgotten about it, but that’s why we keep checking them.”

https://nypost.com/2023/02/12/inside-a-border-patrol-sting-on-migrant-smugglers/

Smugglers brag about their successful smuggling in West Texas in this YouTube video.

“This area is their last stop before they get picked up there at the highway which is a couple hundred yards north,” the sheriff demonstrated. “There’s a very good canopy for shade as they wait to get picked up. This area provides great cover and concealment.”

What do you think? Post a comment.

The sheriff predicts smuggling activity in the area will go cold for a while now that law enforcement knows about, but will eventually pick back up.

“They’ll come back and utilize those spots again,” he stated. “It’s a numbers game. They have numerous areas they use, and they’ll bounce around for a while until they think we’ve forgotten about it, but that’s why we keep checking them.”

Seizure drug offers hope of expanding the pool of donor hearts

 The moment a donor heart is cut off from its blood supply, transplant teams are on a race against the clock to remove it, transport it, and sew it into the recipient, all within four hours. A new way of reprogramming donor hearts could give them more time.

study published Wednesday in Science Translational Medicine finds that when valproic acid, a medication to treat seizures, is infused in donor hearts, it could significantly extend — potentially double — the safe storage time of the organs.

If the findings are confirmed in further studies, this new method could expand the number of available donor hearts. Currently, the four-hour cap limits the geographic region from which a recipient can obtain a heart. Less than a third of potential donors are typically accepted for transplant.

The method could also improve outcomes for recipients. When a donor heart stays outside the body for a prolonged time, there’s an increased risk of primary graft dysfunction in the recipient, in which the heart can’t pump enough blood to the rest of the body. This condition accounts for nearly 40% of early deaths after heart transplants.

Looking at mouse, pig, and human hearts, the researchers found that valproic acid promotes the activity of a gene called IRG1, which produces a substance called itaconate that has anti-inflammatory and antioxidant effects. Itaconate also neutralizes the effects of succinate, a harmful molecule that accumulates on the heart while it’s in storage and creates a shock to the heart when it’s reconnected to a blood supply, according to the study.

Traditionally during heart transplants, “it’s been cold storage and just keeping the heart still,” said Paul Tang, senior author of the study and a heart transplant surgeon at University of Michigan Health. “This is the first time that we can understand preservation biology and be able to identify a specific pathway that we can intervene on.”

When looking at human hearts that were in storage for eight hours, the researchers found that the ones that received valproic acid had lower levels of succinate, the harmful molecule, as well as higher levels of itaconate, which neutralizes succinate.

The pig hearts infused with the medication had about 25% better function compared with control at four hours of storage and then 100% better function at 10 hours.

The researchers have filed a provisional patent and expect to ask the Food and Drug Administration for approval to run a clinical trial, Tang said.

Pedro Catarino, a heart transplant surgeon at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center unaffiliated with the study, said prolonging the storage time means transplant teams could not only travel farther to get donor hearts, but also loosen some standards for determining which hearts are acceptable for transplant. Currently, medical teams want hearts from younger people with fewer health problems because of the tight, four-hour cap, but if there’s a method to better preserve donor hearts, teams could consider hearts from older people.

More broadly, the findings could also have applications for other instances in which the heart is cut off from blood supply, such as during other types of heart surgery or when a patient experiences a heart attack, Catarino said. “Potentially, it’s really profound.”

STAT’s coverage of chronic health issues is supported by a grant from Bloomberg Philanthropies. Our financial supporters are not involved in any decisions about our journalism.

https://www.statnews.com/2023/02/08/seizure-drug-expand-pool-of-donor-hearts/

As ban on one abortion pill looms, providers look to the other as a fallback

 In stories about medication abortions, we often give mifepristone a starring role. We call the dashing biochemist who developed it “the father of the abortion pill,” noting his youth spent in the French Resistance and his glamorous, Vanity-Fair-worthy flings. We see it in the headlines pretty frequently, dragging its trusty sidekick misoprostol in tow. Later this month, a Trump-appointed judge in Texas may well ban it from the sanctioned market by ordering the Food and Drug Administration to overturn its approval.

So it might seem surprising that American abortion providers are responding to that threatened prohibition by preparing to forego mifepristone and use misoprostol alone. How could that be? Wasn’t mifepristone the abortion pill, the critical tool for ending a pregnancy in the first trimester? If you can get the job done with one drug, why have we been using a combination of two?

It turns out our narrative has been backward. Biologically speaking, mifepristone is the sidekick, and misoprostol the superhero, mifepristone the opening act while its counterpart carries the show. “If you had to choose only one, you would choose the miso — but it wouldn’t be as effective as having the two,” explained Beverly Winikoff, president of the research group Gynuity Health Projects, who helped develop the World Health Organization’s guidelines for medication abortion, adding that no one should ever have to make such a choice. Both regimens — either the two drugs together, or just misoprostol — are extremely safe. And they’re both very effective. Chances are, taking misoprostol alone will work to end a pregnancy early on, but it’s likely to come with more discomfort, cramping, and nausea.

That doesn’t mean reproductive health experts aren’t worried about the possibility of mifepristone’s approval being revoked. They’re very worried. “Devastating, baseless, and potentially catastrophic” are the words that epidemiologist Heidi Moseson used to describe that scenario. The two-drug combo is the standard of care, the very best recipe in the current pharmacopeia if your country’s medicine cabinet is well-stocked. The lawsuit, brought on behalf of anti-abortion groups, claims that the FDA ignored potentially harmful side effects when it allowed the drug onto the market 23 years ago. But the decades’ worth of data tell a very different story, revealing a remarkably low-risk drug — with efficacy above 95%.

The data about how well misoprostol works alone, on the other hand, have been more variable. Some studies show its efficacy rates right up there above 95%, too. In others, that measure has been closer to 80%, leading to a general consensus that it’s less effective on its own. It’s a great alternative, experts say — well-studied, recommended by the World Health Organization in settings where mifepristone isn’t available — but an alternative just the same. “An excellent second choice,” Ushma Upadhyay, a reproductive health researcher at the University of California, San Francisco, called it.

The dynamic between this dynamic duo was shaped not only by biology, but by cultural history as well. To understand the messier data on using misoprostol alone, you have to delve not just into what each drug does in the body but also how it traveled across the world. Mifepristone started out as a glimmer in the mind of our dashing French biochemist, Étienne-Émile Baulieu, in the 1970s. Disturbed by stories he’d heard of desperate women poking themselves with sticks to provoke miscarriages, he set out to find an anti-pregnancy molecule. His project was about uncovering a safer, easier abortion method from the get-go. What he imagined was being able to block the hormone progesterone, which acts as a kind of signal during pregnancy for the uterus to thicken its inner lining, forming a nest rich in blood vessels. Even after implantation, the developing pregnancy keeps lodging itself more and more deeply there, receiving the nourishment it needs to grow.

Stop progesterone from being received, and you can interrupt the formation of that nest, loosening the pregnancy from its foothold and obstructing its growth. And in 1980, at Baulieu’s request, a chemist at a pharmaceutical company synthesized a molecule that could do just that.

Misoprostol, on the other hand, started out as a drug to treat gastric ulcers. It was known to have serious side effects during pregnancy: It’s a lab-made version of one of the body’s own naturally occurring compounds, which can help stimulate uterine contractions — an essential part of labor, but a possible cause pregnancy loss if it occurs earlier on. “There was a warning label on the drug saying that if you took this while you were pregnant, it could induce a miscarriage. So if you’re pregnant, don’t take it,” said Moseson, the epidemiologist at Ibis Reproductive Health, a nonprofit research group. “And feminists in Brazil in the 1980s sort of saw an opportunity in that warning label and began using the medication to induce abortions with great success.” That knowledge began spreading throughout the country, and then elsewhere in Latin America, then across the world.

It involves more discomfort than the two-drug regimen because of the force involved. Take mifepristone first, and the contents of the uterus have already begun to detach a little from the lining. Take only misoprostol, and the contractions have to do the work of both getting those tissues dislodged and expelled. You may have to take more than you would in the two-drug combo, upping the likelihood of diarrhea and vomiting. It can also take longer for the body to push out those tissues.

Plus, some tissues can remain in the uterus for weeks — and that can complicate the data. In clinical trials, if a patient hasn’t fully passed all that material after a week or two, they might be offered an intervention, and have it suctioned out. Many are anxious to have the experience over with, and in that case, the miso-only abortion might be logged in the literature as having “failed.”

In places where that kind of intervention isn’t accessible, the efficacy of misoprostol alone is often higher. Take, for instance, a project to provide the drug to those who needed it in refugee camps on the border of Thailand and what’s now officially Myanmar. “We had 918 people who obtained abortion care through this program over a three-year period, and over 96% of them were not pregnant after four weeks from initiating the process. That was much higher efficacy than what had previously been reported,” said Angel Foster, professor and abortion care researcher at the University of Ottawa.

The discrepancy could arise in part because of the off-label history of the single-drug regimen. Patients have taken various doses at various time intervals through various routes of administration, their care determined a success or a failure at different numbers of weeks. That makes it hard to compare one study to another. Researchers have tried: In 2019, a team reviewed the evidence from 38 scientific papers on the subject, and found an overall efficacy of 78% for misoprostol alone. But nearly half of the conglomerated group of study participants came from older research projects, in which they had waited 12 or 24 hours between doses of misoprostol. Now, the recommendation is to keep taking doses three hours apart, until the tissues are expelled. “So about half of that participants in that study come from a regimen that is no longer recommended, that is now known to be less effective,” Moseson said.

In a way, that’s heartening. Misoprostol alone may be more effective than we’ve given it credit for. Then again, some of those studies provide a window into what may emerge from this judge’s decision. What they show are tough real-world scenarios, in which doctors and patients are making do, managing abortions with what’s available.

In June 2020, the Covid pandemic disrupted mifepristone supply chains from India, and Aid Access, the gray market provider of abortion pills, began sending out misoprostol alone to Americans. It worked pretty well, showing 88% efficacy overall, and 97% in those who had a known outcome four weeks out. What does that mean, you might wonder, for the outcome to still be unknown after a month? “They did take the misoprostol— that is confirmed. But they also hadn’t yet confirmed a complete abortion, nor have they gone to a clinic for surgical intervention,” explained Dana Johnson, a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Texas and a senior associate research scientist at Ibis Reproductive Health. “At four weeks, the literature tells us, they could still be self-managing, they could still be passing the pregnancy … they themselves are unsure.”

One wonders what those four weeks were like for those patients. Already, the experience of getting the standard of care is difficult, with patients required to drive from restrictive states to non-restrictive ones. Switching to misoprostol alone could require those trips to be longer. “They have jobs. They have children at home that they’ve asked a friend to watch for the day,” said Upadhyay. “They have to get back. ”

Even if it weren’t for the more complicated efficacy data of misoprostol alone — the nitty-gritty questions about study design and surgical intervention and what counts as success versus failure — perhaps most important are the patient’s comfort and sense of security. People will be seeking medication abortions anyway, whether through regulated markets or less sanctioned ones. “I and everyone else should want to live in a world where the abortion process is as comfortable as possible, and we minimize side effects and pain,” said Foster. There are places where misoprostol is what someone can get, she went on, because it’s cheaper, more accessible, less tightly controlled. “Everything being equal, of course, I would always recommend mifepristone and misoprostol over misoprostol alone. But we don’t live in a world where everything is equal.”

https://www.statnews.com/2023/02/10/abortion-pill-texas-mifepristone-misoprostol/

With Fauci gone, who could be in line to replace him?

 Dr. Anthony Fauci left his four-decade position as director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases in December, and NIAID has commenced a search for who will replace the controversial doctor at the helm of the key federal agency.

Since the controversial top doctor left his post at the end of 2022, his former deputy Hugh Auchincloss has been performing the role of acting NIAID director.

Applications for a permanent replacement following the National Institutes of Health's "nationwide search" were due Tuesday. As the search for a permanent NIAID director continues, no big names have yet been publicly raised for the job, and it is possible that Auchincloss could get the permanent position given his longtime leadership under Fauci.

“The National Institutes of Health is seeking exceptional candidates for the position of Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases,” the NIH announced in November 2022. “This position offers a unique and exciting opportunity for an exceptional leader to serve as the chief executive for NIAID who will provide visionary leadership” in combating global diseases and pandemics.

Whoever is picked for the NIH director position will require confirmation by the Senate Health Committee and then a majority vote in the full Senate. The NIAID gig, which falls under the NIH, does not need Senate confirmation.

“Dr. Hugh Auchincloss has agreed to serve as acting director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases,” the NIH announced this week. “He has served as NIAID’s principal deputy director since joining NIH in 2006. He has played a key role in research planning and implementation activities.”

Auchincloss, who is also the father of second-term Rep. Jake Auchincloss (D-MA), is wrapped up in the Wuhan lab controversy, and his name has been repeatedly raised by Republican investigators.

The NIH provided millions of dollars to Peter Daszak’s EcoHealth Alliance over the years, and Daszak maintained a long working relationship with Wuhan lab "bat lady" Shi Zhengli, sending her lab at least $600,000 in NIH funding. Daszak was part of the WHO-China team that dismissed the lab leak hypothesis as “extremely unlikely” in 2021.

Fauci sent an email to Auchincloss on Feb. 1, 2020, with an attachment and the subject line “IMPORTANT.” Fauci wrote, “Hugh: It is essential that we speak this AM. ... Read this paper as well as the e-mail that I will forward to you now. You will have tasks today that must be done.”

The email from Fauci included an attached research article published in 2015 in Nature Medicine titled “A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronavirus shows potential for human emergence" that was authored in part by Shi Zhengli of the Wuhan lab.

Auchincloss replied, “The paper you sent me says the experiments were performed before the gain of function pause but have since been reviewed and approved by NIH. Not sure what that means since [NIH official Emily Erbelding] is sure that no Coronavirus work [has] gone through the P3 framework. She will try to determine if we have any distant ties to this work abroad.” Fauci replied, “OK. Stay tuned.”

Critics of Fauci were unhappy when the news initially leaked in December 2022 that Auchinloss would likely be replacing Fauci.

“Auchincloss — the cipher who ran Fauci's errands and followed Fauci's instructions like 'you will have tasks today that must be done' — now has been appointed acting director of NIAID,” Dr. Richard Ebright, the lab director for the Waksman Institute of Microbiology at Rutgers University, tweeted in December.

Justin Goodman, senior vice president of advocacy and public policy for the White Coat Waste Project, said Auchincloss "has lobbied to build more risky biolabs and has been Fauci’s right-hand man for the last 16 years."

Fauci gave some advice to whoever ends up holding his former position. "The message is to stick with the science — the data, the evidence — and don't get involved in politics," Fauci said in December. "There's a big difference between policy and politics."

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/healthcare/doctor-is-out-with-fauci-gone-who-will-replace-him

House Intel Dem: ‘concerns’ White House not ‘more forthcoming’ about balloons

 Rep. Jim Himes (Conn.), the top Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, said on Sunday that he has “real concerns” about the Biden administration not being “more forthcoming” about the recent shoot-downs of objects flying over American airspace. 

The U.S. military earlier this month at the direction of President Biden shot down a suspected Chinese surveillance balloon after it spent days traveling across the U.S. — and two more aerial objects were shot down over North America Friday and Saturday. 

“I have real concerns about why the administration is being not more forthcoming with everything that it knows,” Himes told moderator Chuck Todd on NBC News’ “Meet the Press.”

“But part of the problem here is that both of the second and the third objects were shot down in very remote areas. So, my guess is that there’s just not a lot of information out there yet to share.

Himes said the Gang of Eight, a group of Democratic and Republican House and Senate leadership plus top lawmakers from Intelligence Committees in both chambers got a “very extensive briefing” on the first suspected surveillance balloon shot down off the coast of South Carolina, which was followed by a full congressional briefing. 

“So we’re pretty good on that one. You lose track of these things. Since then, of course, there’s been the shoot down over Alaska and the shootdown over the Yukon. Congress has been out of session, and so we have not been directly briefed on that,” Himes said.

The top Intelligence Democrat said he’s troubled about a “pattern” of “all-of-a-sudden massive speculation about alien invasions” and concerns about Chinese or Russian action. 

“In the absence of information, people’s anxiety leads them into potentially destructive areas. So I do hope that very soon the administration has a lot more information for all of us on what’s going on,” Himes said.

https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/3854710-top-house-intelligence-democrat-expresses-concerns-white-house-not-more-forthcoming-about-balloons/

Unexpected Link Between Light Drinking and Dementia Risk

 Drinking one or two cocktails a day may protect against dementia, while having three or more could increase risk, new research suggests.

Investigators assessed dementia risk using changes in alcohol consumption over a 2-year period in nearly four million people in Korea. After about 7 years, dementia was 21% less likely in mild drinkers and 17% less likely in moderate drinkers. Heavy drinking was linked to an 8% increased risk.

Other studies of the relationship between alcohol and dementia have yielded mixed results, and this study does little to clear those murky waters. Nor do the results mean that drinking is recommended, the investigators note.

But the study does offer new information on how risk changes over time as people change their drinking habits, lead investigator Keun Hye Jeon, MD, assistant professor of family medicine at Cha Gumi Medical Center at Cha University, Gumi, Korea, told Medscape Medical News.

"Although numerous studies have shown a relationship between alcohol consumption and dementia, there is a paucity of understanding as to how the incidence of dementia changes with changes in drinking habits," Jeon said.

"By measuring alcohol consumption at two time points, we were able to study the relationship between reducing, ceasing, maintaining, and increasing alcohol consumption and incident dementia," he added.

The findings were published online February 6 in JAMA Network Open.

Tracking Drinking Habits

Researchers analyzed data from nearly four million individuals aged 40 years and older in the Korean National Health Insurance Service who completed questionnaires and underwent physical exams in 2009 and 2011.

Study participants completed questionnaires on their drinking habits and were assigned to one of five groups according to change in alcohol consumption during the study period. These groups consisted of sustained nondrinkers; those who stopped drinking (quitters); those who reduced their consumption of alcohol but did not stop drinking (reducers); those who maintained the same level of consumption (sustainers); and those who increased their level of consumption (increasers).

standard drink in the US contains 14 g of alcohol. For this study, mild drinking was defined as <15 g/d, or one drink; moderate consumption as 15–29.9 g/d, or one to two drinks; and heavy drinking as ≥30 g/d, or three or more drinks.

At baseline, 54.8% of participants were nondrinkers, 26.7% were mild drinkers, 11.0% were moderate drinkers, and 7.5% were heavy drinkers.

From 2009 to 2011, 24.2% of mild drinkers, 8.4% of moderate drinkers, and 7.6% of heavy drinkers became quitters. In the same period, 13.9% of nondrinkers, 16.1% of mild drinkers, and 17.4% of moderate drinkers increased their drinking level.

After a mean follow-up of 6.3 years, 2.5% of participants were diagnosed with dementia, 2.0% with Alzheimer's disease, and 0.3% with vascular dementia.

Unexpected Finding

Compared to consistently not drinking, mild and moderate alcohol consumption was associated with a 21% (aHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.77 – 0.81) and 17% (aHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.79 – 0.88) decreased risk for dementia, respectively.

Heavy drinking was linked to an 8% increased risk (aHR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03 – 1.12).

Similar associations were found between alcohol consumption and risk for Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia.

Reducing drinking habits from heavy to moderate led to a reduction in risk for dementia and Alzheimer's, and increasing drinking levels led to an increase in risk for both conditions.

But when the researchers analyzed dementia risk for nondrinkers who began drinking at mild levels during the study period, they found something unexpected ― the risk in this group decreased by 7% for dementia (aHR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90 – 0.96) and by 8% for Alzheimer's (aHR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.89 – 0.95), compared to sustained mild drinkers.

"Our study showed that initiation of mild alcohol consumption leads to a reduced risk of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer's disease, which has never been reported in previous studies," Jeon said.

However, Jeon was quick to point out that this doesn't mean that people who don't drink should start.

Previous studies have shown that heavy alcohol use can triple an individual's dementia risk, while other studies have shown that no amount of alcohol consumption is good for the brain.

"None of the existing health guidelines recommend starting alcohol drinking," Jeon said. "Our findings regarding an initiation of mild alcohol consumption cannot be directly translated into clinical recommendations," but the findings do warrant additional study, he added.

Risks Persist

Commenting on the findings for Medscape Medical News, Percy Griffin, PhD, director of scientific engagement for the Alzheimer's Association in Chicago, agrees.

"While this study is interesting, and this topic deserves further study, no one should drink alcohol as a method of reducing risk of Alzheimer's disease or other dementia based on this study," said Griffin, who was not part of the study.

The exact tipping point in alcohol consumption that can lead to problems with cognition or increased dementia risk is unknown, Griffin said. Nor do researchers understand why mild drinking may have a protective effect.

"We do know, however, that excessive alcohol consumption has negative effects on heart health and general health, which can lead to problems with brain function," he said. "Clinicians should have discussions with their patients around their alcohol consumption patterns and the risks associated with drinking in excess, including potential damage to their cognition."

Funding for the study was not disclosed. Jeon and Griffin report no relevant financial relationships.

JAMA Netw Open. Published online February 6, 2023. Full text

https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/988054