Search This Blog

Wednesday, May 8, 2024

Treace cuts guidance

 Treace Medical Concepts (NASDAQ:TMCI) stock is falling hard on Wednesday following the release of the medical technology company’s Q1 2024 earnings report.

The problem comes from the company’s guidance for the full year of 2024 in this report. This has it expecting revenue for the year to range from $201 million to $211 million. That’s a drop from its prior revenue outlook of $220 million to $225 million. It would also see it miss Wall Street’s estimate of $222.81 million for the period.


The lowered revenue outlook comes with the following warning from Treace Medical Concepts CEO John Treace.

“Despite our strong start to the year, we have revised our guidance for fiscal 2024 to reflect a quickly evolving market environment with increased use of MIS Osteotomy solutions and more competition from knockoffs of our Lapiplasty® products.”


https://investorplace.com/2024/05/why-is-treace-medical-concepts-tmci-stock-down-59-today/

Tivic Successful Completion of Non-Invasive Vagus Nerve Stimulation Study

 Tivic Health® Systems, Inc. (“Tivic Health”, Nasdaq: TIVC), a health tech company that develops and commercializes bioelectronic medicine, announced today the final results of their pilot research study with The Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research at Northwell Health. Through this collaboration, Tivic Health has confirmed the effectiveness of its patent-pending non-invasive cervical vagus nerve stimulation (ncVNS) approach, which induces responses in the autonomic, cardiac, and central nervous systems and can be expected to have clinical utility in several major disease areas.

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240508579150/en/

Teva Surges To 5-Year High On Maintained Outlook Despite Mixed Q1

 Teva stock jumped early Wednesday after the generic drugs behemoth reported adjusted earnings of 48 cents per share on $3.82 billion in first-quarter sales.

On average, analysts surveyed by FactSet expected Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) to earn 52 cents per share and report $3.74 billion in sales.

In the year-earlier period, Teva earned 40 cents a share on $3.66 billion in sales.

For the year, Teva reaffirmed its outlook for adjusted profit of $2.20 to $2.50 per share and $15.7 billion to $16.3 billion in sales. The Street projected $2.39 earnings per share and $15.8 billion in sales.

https://www.investors.com/news/technology/teva-stock-teva-pharmaceutical-earnings-q1-2024/

Where Are 10-Year US Treasury Yields Headed?

 Jim Bianco at Bianco Research thinks there is one more push higher in long-term yields. Then if sentiment is extreme, he will go long.

US 10-Year Treasury chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com, annotations by Mish
Thoughts From Bianco

Going to a Neutral Stance

No Capitulation

A Chance to Go Long

Risk-Reward Thinking

I like this kind of thinking. Trying to get the last ounce out of a trade is often wrong. It’s possible a near-term top in yields is already in. Perhaps not.

The Fed has surely made a mess of things. So has the Biden administration with sponsored inflation in everything he does (excessive fiscal stimulus, poor energy policy, regulatory madness, student loan cancellations, Inflation Reduction Act, tariffs, etc., all highly inflationary)

But no one knows what the market will do. So, for Bianco, it’s now wait and see.

Jim did not say, but I suspect the next move lower may be a counter-trend. To those who suggest inflation is transitory, I suggest the recent decline in year-over-year inflation may be what’s transitory.

He is not trapped in a one way funnel. He was short and is now looking to go long US Treasuries. I suspect for a trade, not a long-term bet.

But “Will discuss more when/if we get above 5.00%.”

https://mishtalk.com/economics/where-are-10-year-us-treasury-yields-headed/

NanoViricides Novel Broad-Spectrum Antiviral with Activity Against Smallpox/Mpox

  NanoViricides, Inc. (NYSE American:NNVC) (the "Company"), a global leader in broad-spectrum antiviral nanomedicines, says that the ultra-broad antiviral activity spectrum of NV-387 includes activity against orthopoxvirus family (Smallpox/Mpox), with both inhalation and skin abrasion (sexual) modes of infection acquisition. Ectromelia virus infection of mice is a model for Smallpox infection in humans, and also serves as a surrogate for MPox infection in humans. All three viruses belong to the orthopoxvirus family.

NanoViricides reports that in a lethal animal model of lung infection by Ectromelia virus, oral dosing with NV-387 led to an increase in lifespan of mice that was comparable to oral treatment with tecovirimat (TPOXX®, SIGA), the approved drug against Smallpox.

This lung infection study substantiates the results of the previously reported intradigital footpad infection study that: (i) NV-387 has comparable antiviral activity as tecovirimat, and
(ii) NV-387 plus tecovirimat has much stronger antiviral activity than either drug alone.

We have completed a lethality animal study wherein animals were infected with ectromelia virus into the lungs directly. In this study, we found that NV-387 alone treated animals survived 15 days, tecovirimat alone treated animals survived 16 days, and NV-387 plus tecovirimat treated animals survived 19 days, whereas vehicle-treated animals died in 8 days.

This lung-infection study emulates infection from aerosolized dispersion of the virus, as may be expected in a bioterrorism scenario.

https://www.biospace.com/article/releases/a-novel-broad-spectrum-antiviral-with-activity-against-smallpox-mpox-/

Veru Results, Progress of Enobosarm Weight Loss Clinical Program

 

  • Phase 2b clinical study of enobosarm in combination with semaglutide (Wegovy®*) for high quality weight loss is actively enrolling
  • Company assembles weight loss Scientific Advisory Board – five MDs with significant relevant medical, clinical and scientific expertise
  • Company to present this month at upcoming American Association of Clinical Endocrinology annual meetingand GLP-1 Based Therapeutics Summit
  • Company to host conference call and webcast today at 8:00 a.m. ET
The audio webcast will be accessible under the Investors page of the Company’s website at www.verupharma.com. To join the conference call via telephone, please dial 1-800-341-1602 (domestic) or 1-412-902-6706 (international) and ask to join the Veru Inc. call. An archived version of the audio webcast will be available for replay on the Company’s website for approximately three months. A telephonic replay will be available at approximately 12:00 p.m. ET by dialing 1-877-344-7529 (domestic) or 1-412-317-0088 (international), passcode 8861692, for one week.

BMS, J&J Losses Not the End of IRA Legal Battle

 Although a New Jersey federal judge last week dismissed the cases brought by Johnson & Johnson and Bristol Myers Squibb against the IRA, both companies have said they will appeal the ruling. In addition, there are several remaining lawsuits challenging the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) Drug Price Negotiation Program.

Last Monday, Judge Zahid Quraishi ruled in a summary judgment that the IRA’s price negotiations do not violate the Fifth Amendment’s takings clause and the First Amendment’s freedom of speech, which are the two constitutional claims at the core of the pharmaceutical industry’s arguments.

“The judge’s opinion aligns completely with my own, in that he found that the IRA provisions did not violate either the Fifth Amendment takings clause or the First Amendment free speech clause,” said Sean Tu, a law professor at West Virginia University. “The court basically took the same stance that I took on the First, Fifth and unconstitutional conditions arguments, in that they are bogus.” Tu recently published an opinion piece in JAMA on the First Amendment free speech claims raised by drug manufacturers in such lawsuits.

This opinion could affect similar cases that are currently being heard in other courts across the country, Tu said.

First and Fifth Amendment Challenges to the IRA

Novartis and Novo Nordisk, which jointly presented arguments with BMS and J&J on March 7, are still waiting to hear the outcome of their challenges, as are Merck and Astellas. AstraZeneca lost its case challenging the IRA in a Delaware federal court earlier this year, but last Monday appealed the decision.

Kelly Bagby, vice president of litigation at the AARP Foundation, previously told BioSpace that an AstraZeneca appeal could be combined with potential appeals from BMS, J&J, Novo Nordisk and Novartis to go before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. “It seems likely that these five cases could be heard on appeal together,” Bagby said.

BMS and J&J allege in their respective lawsuits that the price negotiations mandated by the IRA constitute a form of “compelled speech” and violate the company’s First Amendment rights by coercing them into saying that they agree with the price the government dictates.

Tu reiterated that he isn’t surprised this argument didn’t fly. If courts allow drug firms to challenge IRA price negotiations as violating their First Amendment rights, this would present a problem for the Department of Veterans Affairs, Medicaid and any other government entity that attempts to negotiate prices as part of a contract, he explained. “So Boeing could potentially cry First Amendment foul issues if they are unhappy with the price that the government negotiates for fighter jets.”

Most of biopharma’s IRA lawsuits also argue that the law violates the due process clause of the Fifth Amendment and claim that the power afforded to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to effectively set drug prices for certain products would interfere with their property rights, including those conferred by patents.

Tu said he believes that the Fifth Amendment argument is stronger than the First Amendment challenge, although, in his opinion, both are pretty weak arguments. “There is no Fifth Amendment ‘taking’ of the drug,” Tu said. “Drug companies have the choice to sell to the government or not sell to the government. That is not a taking.”

Judge Quraishi agreed last week. “In short, Defendants are not taking drugs from Plaintiffs,” Quraishi wrote in his ruling on BMS’ and J&J’s challenges. “Selling to Medicare may be less profitable than it was before the institution of the Program, but that does not make Defendants’ decision to participate any less voluntary.”

Tu noted that companies could potentially argue a “taking” of the patent rights. “The argument goes, ‘You took my intellectual property rights and now you should have to pay me for them,’ but this argument also fails,” he said. “First, the government is not taking the intellectual property rights or even making the rights less valuable. The drug company could leave the Medicare market and sell their drug on the private market.”

The Supreme Court has stated that patents are not “property,” but more akin to government franchise. “However, that court specifically did not give an opinion on if patents should be considered ‘property’ for Fifth Amendment purposes,” he said. “So my fear is that the Supreme Court might take this case up and state that patents should be considered ‘property’ for Fifth Amendment purposes. Then you would have to go through a separate set of analyses to determine if there was a taking and what ‘just compensation’ would look like.”

Another Issue Threatening Biopharma’s Bottom Line

A separate but related issue is the PREVAIL Act, which is currently pending in Congress and would make fundamental changes to the patent challenge process if passed. The goal of the bill is to address long-standing concerns and improve fairness for all parties involved in a patent. One notable change is that challengers to the patent would have to demonstrate that they are being sued for infringement or that they are facing a credible threat of litigation before initiating a challenge to the Patent Trial and Appeal Board (PTAB). This requirement would potentially prevent abusive practices and ensure that only legitimate challenges are brought forward

Senators Thom Tillis (R-North Carolina) and Chris Coons (D-Delaware) co-sponsored the legislation, whose full name is the Promoting and Respecting Economically Vital American Innovation Leadership Act, to strengthen patents and limit harm from inter partes review (IPR), a procedure for challenging the validity of a patent before the United States Patent and Trademark Office. Tillis and Coons assert that the legislation will restore fairness to the office’s Patent Trial and Appeal Board (PTAB) and promote innovation and competition.

Critics of PREVAIL, such as the Electronic Freedom Foundation (EFF), argue that the legislation will ban most people from challenging bad patents and unfairly benefit biopharma. It tweaks the patent challenge system in other ways too, and EFF argues that those changes would primarily benefit patent trolls and a few large patent owners.

Laura Dolbow, Sharswood Fellow at the University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School, said that the PREVAIL Act would offer greater patent protection because it would make it harder for patents to be challenged and invalidated through administrative procedures at PTAB. “Administrative procedures offer a quicker and less expensive avenue for third parties to challenge patents” compared with a lawsuit, she told BioSpace. “The changes proposed in the PREVAIL Act would limit when third parties can file petitions for administrative review and would increase the burden of proof to show invalidity in those proceedings.”

Arti Rai, faculty director of the Center for Innovation Policy at Duke University School of Law, noted that “Both the challenges to the IRA and the passage of PREVAIL would, if successful, give pharmaceutical firms more pricing power.”

https://www.biospace.com/article/bms-j-and-j-losses-not-the-end-of-ira-legal-battle/