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Thursday, July 4, 2024

US-Led Rising Debt Across G-7 Stokes S&P and Scope Concerns

 

  • Ratings companies highlight worsening borrowing profiles
  • Only acute market pressure can shift paths, S&P warns

Relentlessly rising debt in the US and rich-world peers was highlighted by two credit-assessment companies, with S&P Global Ratings warning that only acute market pressure can alter the trajectory.

The analyses of Group of Seven and equivalent economies intensify the spotlight on their borrowing in a week when two face elections, and after the Bank for International Settlements cautioned that governments are vulnerable to a precipitous loss of confidence.

In S&P’s report on Thursday, it suggested the prospect that the US, Italy and France will manage to keep debt at already elevated current levels is remote.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-04/us-led-debt-increase-across-g-7-stokes-s-p-and-scope-concerns

We can't afford a 10 a.m. to 4 p.m. president

 In 1927, Sigmund Freud published a book about religion called Die Zukunft einer Illusion (The Future of an Illusion)As a contribution to the understanding of religion, it is, like much of Freud’s work, both banal and outrageous. But it occurs to me that its catchy title as well as its main thesis — religion, Freud wrote, was invented to fulfill “the oldest, strongest and most urgent wishes of mankind” — has a certain pertinence to the large-scale entertainment now being offered to the public by Democrats eager to salvage the reputation of President Joe Biden.

The narrative, according to which Joe Biden was “sharp and intensely probing,” had been assiduously maintained by mendacious Democrats and their sycophantic lackeys in the media since before Biden became president. Few people outside that circle of magical thinking actually believed in Biden’s cognitive competence. I and many others have been calling attention to his debility for years. But the illusion has been cynically cultivated by uniparty lieutenants much as the illusory nostrums of communist solidarity were propped up by the Soviets as their regime teetered towards is final, senescent collapse in the late 1980s. Few people believed the illusion; everyone in power said they believed it, even though they could taste the cynicism and disbelief among the masses they sought to control. That curious dialectic of disbelief and acquiescence was part of the corrosive rust that eventually precipitated the collapse of the regime.

Has the uniparty changed its song about Joe Biden? There are signs that it has. In the immediate aftermath of Biden’s disastrous debate with Donald Trump last week, the narrative broke in two, or at least seemed to break in two. On one side there was horror and — word of the moment — “panic” among the Dems. The New York Times led the way in calling for Biden — for the good of the country — to resign. At the same time, there was considerable push back, encapsulated comically in the observation that dementia Joe “had a cold,” hence his gibbering incoherence. St. Barack weighed in with what appeared to be a supportive post of X: everyone has bad debate nights, he said, but “this election is still a choice between someone who has fought for ordinary people his entire life [Obama meant Biden, in case you were wondering] and someone who only cares about himself [the bad orange man].”

Was Obama serious in his support? A day or two later Tucker Carlson cast doubt on that. “From an unusually good source,” he wrote. “Obama’s tweet supporting Joe Biden was disingenuous. In private, Obama is telling people Biden can’t win, and he is therefore in favor of an open convention.” 

I am not sure what that would mean.  In particular, I am not sure that the Dems have taken account of their outstanding black sheep, Vice President Kamala Harris. There is a lot of blithe talk about Gavin Newsom or Gretchen Whitmer or even, God help us, Hillary Clinton stepping into the breach. In my view, none would be a plausible candidate. More to the point, I am not sure I see how we get to any other candidate than either Joe Biden or Kamala Harris.  

My own view is that the Twenty-Fifth Amendment ought to be dusted off and applied to Joe Biden. Section One: “In case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation, the Vice President shall become President.” From Section Four: “Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.” If there is a dispute, Congress decides by a two-thirds vote of both Houses.

As a preliminary, the audio tape of Robert Hur’s interview with Biden should be released worldwide the public can understand what Hur meant when he said this “elderly man with a poor memory” was unfit to stand trial (but he can continue as president of the United States?). Remember when Donald Trump vaporized Qasem Soleimani?  He did so after he was awakened in the wee hours of the morning to be informed that our embassy in Baghdad was under attack. “Who did this?” he asked. “Soleimani,” he was informed. Within forty-eight hours he was a heap of sodden dust. Can you imagine trying to rouse Joe Biden at 3 a.m. to make such an imperative decision? The United States cannot afford a 10 a.m. to 4 p.m. president.  

The prospect of a President Harris for even ten minutes is not exactly encouraging. She is out of her depth in a puddle and is nearly as incoherent as her boss. But the Dems chose her because she was the only ambulatory black female they could find. Were they to jettison her now, their black base would revolt — and they would lose. Doubtless the entrepreneur David Sacks is correct when he observes that, “It seems that Democrats are considering every option except one: run the most dignified campaign you can, with the candidate you chose — and lose. Democrats insist on holding onto power at all costs. Whatever they do next will be a dirty trick or a hoax.” 

Pre-warned is pre-armed. Whatever the future of the illusion that is Joe Biden will be, we should be under no illusions about the perilousness of our situation. Donald Trump has been uncharacteristically quiet as the Dems commit suicide in public. As I have noted elsewhere, he seems to be taking a page from Napoleon’s playbook: never disturb your enemy when he is in the process of making a mistake. The rats are cornered and can be expected to be as vicious as they are unscrupulous. But we know that. As the prefects used to tell us boys at school, verbum sapienti satis: “a word to the wise is sufficient.” 

Roger Kimball is the editor and publisher of the New Criterion, publisher of Encounter Books and a Spectator columnist and contributing editor.

https://thespectator.com/politics/united-states-10-4-president-biden/

Biden ABC interview — hosted by ex-Clinton official — moved up as prez desperately tries to stay in race

 ABC News has pushed forward the release of its crucial interview with President Biden as pressure mounts on the 81-year-old POTUS to prove that he can stay in the 20204 race following a catastrophic debate performance last week.

Biden is set to speak to anchor George Stephanopoulos early Friday, with the Disney-owned network originally saying it planned to release the taped interview in dribs and drabs before showing the full thing on Sunday.

Now, the entire pre-taped interview will air as a primetime special at 8 p.m. on Friday. A preview of the interview will be released earlier on “World News Tonight with David Muir,” with airs at 6:30 p.m.

Biden’s interview with ABC News anchor George Stephanopoulos will air Friday.AP

ABC News also said it would release a full transcript of the unedited interview on Friday.

Biden, who will be 86 if he finishes a second term in January 2029, gave such a dismal performance during the debate that even some are now Democrats unsure of his fitness for office and future as the party’s candidate.

The New York Times reported on Wednesday that Biden has admitted to a friend that he might have to drop out if he can’t get his campaign back on track in the coming days.

The ABC interview — despite being a taped appearance — will give voters their first chance to see Biden speak at length since the debate, where he gave several rambling, incoherent answers and appeared to lose his train of thought entirely on one of the first questions.

Biden’s interviewer, Stephanopoulos, is a veteran ABC News host who started his career as a communications director for Bill Clinton’s campaign, and later in the Clinton White House.

There have been mounting calls for Joe Biden to step aside.ABC News
Biden is desperate to prove he can stay in the race after his disastrous debate.AFP via Getty Images

Despite some calls for Biden to step aside, most members of his party have continued to support the president in public, including a group of Democratic governors who met with him at the White House on Wednesday.

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul, one of Biden’s only gubernatorial allies to speak outside the West Wing, said that all of the attendees pledged to support Biden, at least in private, in the wake of his disastrous Thursday debate performance.

“We came together tonight to listen to President Biden to tell us, in his own words, what his plans were. I’m here to tell you today President Joe Biden is in it to win it. And all of us said we pledged our support to him because the skates could not be higher,” Hochul said.

George Stephanopoulos is a former Clinton administration official.ABC

“We talked about how we transitioned under a monarchy and a tyranny that our Founding Fathers fought against and that we risk right now descending back into that very same place. We will stand with the president as we fight that force that force — that force being Donald Trump.”

https://nypost.com/2024/07/04/us-news/abc-moves-up-biden-interview-to-friday/

Russian regulator encourages use of crypto to counter sanctions

 Russia's central bank told businesses they should use "multiple choice solutions" including cryptocurrencies and other digital assets to facilitate payments with foreign partners to counter Western sanctions imposed over the Ukraine conflict.

Russia’s booming trade with China, India, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey and other countries which have not imposed sanctions has suffered major setbacks in the last few weeks.

Recent Western sanctions have targeted major Russian financial institutions, including the Moscow Stock Exchange and Russia's domestic alternative to the SWIFT global payments system.

Elvira Nabiullina, governor of the central bank, admitted that payments problems were one of the key challenges for the Russian economy.

"New financial technology creates opportunities for schemes which did not exist before. This is why we softened our stance on the use of cryptocurrencies in international payments, allowing the use of digital assets in such payments," Nabiullina told a financial conference in St.Petersburg.

"Different alternatives are being discussed. Businesses have become very flexible, very enterprising. They find ways to solve this and often don’t even share them with us," she said.

Nabiullina said Russia’s business partners in various countries were under "tremendous pressure" but said a new global payments system not involving Western institutions would gradually emerge since many countries felt vulnerable using only one international payment system with no alternatives.

Nabiullina said Russia and other countries from the BRICS grouping of countries were in discussions over the BRICS Bridge payments system, which would be designed to bridge the financial systems of member countries.

But she added that the discussions were difficult and that it would take time to create such a system.

Andrei Kostin, head of Russia’s second largest lender VTB, which recently had sanctions imposed on its branch in Shanghai and was sitting alongside Nabiullina, said that any information about mechanisms to facilitate international payments should be made a "state secret" by law due to its sensitivity.

"I can see very well that right now somewhere at the U.S. embassy, a second secretary is sitting and writing down every public statement of ours. Maybe he is even sitting here. Whatever steps we take, we can see that the reaction [from Western countries] is very quick," he said.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russian-regulator-encourages-crypto-counter-173429069.html

'RUSSIA'S PUTIN ON BIDEN-TRUMP DEBATES'

'UNITED STATES REMAINS KEY WORLD POWER AND HAS SOME ROLE IN UKRAINE.'

https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/currency/US-DOLLAR-RUSSIAN-ROUBLE--2370597/news/RUSSIA-S-PUTIN-ON-BIDEN-TRUMP-DEBATES-UNITED-STATES-REMAINS-KE--47311948/

'Russian pranksters who target Western politicians get state award, says RIA'

 A duo of Russian pranksters who often target and compromise people the Russian state is interested in have been given a top state award in the Kremlin, the RIA state news agency reported on Thursday.

RIA published a picture of the two pranksters Vladimir Kuznetsov and Alexei Stolyarov, who use the aliases "Vovan and Lexus," at a Kremlin award ceremony wearing what appear to be Order of Friendship awards as they clutched flutes of champagne.

It said the ceremony had taken place on Wednesday.

The award is given to Russian and foreign nationals for strengthening peace, friendship, cooperation and understanding between Russia and other nations, among other criteria.

There was no immediate word from the Russian pranksters who last month released footage of a video call they did with British Foreign Secretary David Cameron after tricking him into thinking he was speaking to a former Ukrainian president.

The duo is well-known inside Russia having duped a string of politicians over the years, including Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and, in 2022, Britain's then-defence minister, Ben Wallace.

https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/index/BIST-100-165663932/news/Russian-pranksters-who-target-Western-politicians-get-state-award-says-RIA-47311979/

ROCHE HOLDINGS AG : Sell rating from JP Morgan, Goldman

JP Morgan is negative on the stock with a Sell rating. The target price is unchanged at CHF 210. Goldman Sachs is negative on the stock with a Sell rating. The target price continues to be set at CHF 230.

https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/ROCHE-HOLDING-AG-9364975/news/ROCHE-HOLDINGS-AG-Sell-rating-from-JP-Morgan-47307445/