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Friday, October 7, 2022

Verve Could Continue To Rise Through Clinical Progress - Despite DeeperPocketed Competition

 

  • Credit Suisse has initiated coverage on Verve Therapeutics Inc  with a Neutral rating and a $48 target price
  • Its lead assets are VERVE-101 for heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and VERVE-201 for homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HoFH). 
  • The analyst is cautious about VERVE-101, citing a distinct advantage of being a one-time PCSK9 therapy that could free patients from a lifetime of monthly injections. However, patients are still required to take daily oral statins. 
  • Credit Suisse sees high market barriers related to commercial payers and high out-of-pocket expenses for Medicare patients. 
  • However, the analyst believes payer challenges may not be fully appreciated until product approval/launch.
  • The opinion is based on numerically worse LDL-C reduction data, elevated liver enzymes, lack of outcomes evidence at launch, and reimbursement challenges. 
  • Additionally, Leqvio has not demonstrated much commercial success despite less frequent dosing every six months. 
  • The market could be further crowded with the potential launch of Merck & Co Inc's  oral PCSK9 (MK-0616) and biosimilars. 
  • The analyst's Neutral rating is driven by VERV's ability to compete against well-established, wellentrenched, and deeperpocketed large pharma/biotech companies.

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