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Saturday, April 20, 2024

"First Real Image" Of Chinese Supersonic Drone Attached To Bomber

 Aviation observers have spotted a supersonic unmanned aerial vehicle under the fuselage of a People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) bomber, Defense Blog reports. The new drone can conduct strategic aerial reconnaissance across southeast Asia.

Images of the WZ-8 reconnaissance drone attached to a Xian H-6 bomber surfaced on social media platform X last week. The rare sighting reminds us that PLAAF, the third largest air force in the world, is quickly modernizing its aircraft fleet to include drones as tensions with the US over Taiwan remain high.  

Lord Of The Lies: Pediatrician's Take On Latest Child Gender-Transition Research

 by J. Edward Les, MD, via The Epoch Times,

Last week’s release of the Cass Review brought to memory the old jingle: “Liar, liar, pants on fire; your nose is longer than a telephone wire.” Commissioned four years ago to probe the practices of the Tavistock gender clinic in Britain, the report methodically assembles a damning indictment of the flimsy evidence used to “transition” children.

Its author, retired pediatrician Dr. Hilary Cass, is polite and professional, but she pulls no punches in exposing the false foundation upon which the entire edifice of “gender-affirming care” is built.

Drawing extensively on a series of systematic literature reviews and in-depth interviews with doctors, parents, and patients, she writes:

“The reality is that we have no good evidence on the long-term outcomes of interventions to manage gender-related distress… for the majority of young people, a medical pathway may not be the best way to achieve this.”

Even social transitioning alone, she concludes, risks grave psychological harm for children.

And social transitioning is often a prelude to puberty blockers. Dr. Cass skewers the oft-cited narrative that blockers are harmless and reversible, pointing to evidence of permanent negative effects on bone density and neuropsychiatric functioning.

The report advises a U-turn from the “gender-affirming” construct of drugs and surgery toward a model of careful psychological counselling. Critically, this is the very “watchful waiting” approach that got Canadian psychologist Dr. Kenneth Zucker fired more than eight years ago as head of Toronto’s Centre for Addiction and Mental Health.

Dr. Cass delivers a scathing indictment of the shaky evidence for guidelines used by the World Professional Association for Transgender Health, The American Academy of Pediatrics, and the American Endocrine Society; and she exposes their repeated practice of using non-evidence-based guidelines to justify other non-evidence-based guidelines.

Not all lies are equal.

White lies are the (mostly) harmless sort we tell to spare someone’s feelings. Black lies are the malicious untruths told to gain unfair advantage or to cause harm to others.

But the “lord of the lies” is the “blue” lie: the sort of falsehood we tell each other and ourselves—often unknowingly—on behalf of our tribes.

Such as in William Golding’s “The Lord of the Flies,” when a group of boys convinces themselves, without evidence, that there’s a beast in the forest—a delusion that turns deadly for Simon and Piggy.

In my view, blue lies underpin the gospel of “gender-affirming care,” which has led thousands of otherwise erudite medical professionals to discard the truth of the gender binary in favour of blatant interference with normal pediatric physiology.

It’s important to emphasize that blue lies typically aren’t told with intent to mislead, or from a place of malevolence; their proponents genuinely believe they are on the side of truth.

Combatting blue lies, therefore, is extraordinarily difficult. But not impossible.

Two strategies are key:

First, we need powerful insiders - not just members of the tribe, but prominent figures within it to awake to their errors and begin to speak up.

Such as when Finnish physician Riittakerttu Kaltiala, one of the architects of Finland’s youth gender transition program, stepped up last October to say:

“Gender transition has gotten out of hand. When medical professionals start saying they have one answer that applies everywhere, or that they have a cure for all life’s pains, that should be a warning to all of us that something has gone very wrong.”

Unfortunately, a common response to the Cass Review by gender-fluidity adherents has been to double down. Take Dr. Kristopher Wells, Canada Research Chair for the Public Understanding of Sexual & Gender Minority Youth:

“The flawed UK Cass Report was issued today and is exactly what was expected from a country that is virulently anti-trans,” he said on social media.

His is the sort of reaction that Washington Post columnist Megan McArdle, writing about the horrors of frontal lobotomies, describes as “The Oedipus Trap”: a situation where “it can be so psychologically devastating to discover you’ve made a mistake… that you will do everything in your power to avoid recognizing it.”

Per Walter Scott: “Oh what a tangled web we weave, when first we practice to deceive!”

Therefore, a second strategy - expertly employed by Dr. Cass - is crucial: the careful and patient exhibition of evidence, without hyperbole and without rancour.

The Cass Review exposes a tangled web indeed.

For her efforts, and for her courage, Hilary Cass deserves our deepest thanks.

*  *  *

Dr. J. Edward Les, MD, is a pediatrician in Calgary and a senior fellow at the Aristotle Foundation for Public Policy.

https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/lord-lies-pediatricians-take-latest-child-gender-transition-research

Edmundo Gonzalez, Venezuela's low-profile and last-minute opposition candidate

 As time was running out, Venezuela's opposition chose low-profile former diplomat Edmundo Gonzalez to run against President Nicolas Maduro in a July election that political analysts said will require Gonzalez to build name recognition among voters.

The stakes are high for the July 28 vote as the U.S. has made holding fair elections a condition of lifting sanctions on the South American nation.

Initially named as a placeholder while the opposition struggled to confirm candidates, Gonzalez' candidacy was finalized on Friday, a day before a Saturday deadline to replace him with someone else.

As Venezuela holds a presidential election for the first time since 2018, political analysts said 74-year-old Gonzalez, who was ambassador to Argentina at the turn of the century, will have an arduous path.

"He is a little-known candidate and his challenge will be to make himself known," said Ricardo Rios, who directs local consulting firm Estrategia y Poder.

While the opposition had hoped to land on a unity candidate, the alliance finally decided to back Gonzalez who spent much of his career behind the scenes in the foreign ministry in the 1990s and more recently as an international relations adviser to the opposition coalition.

"Edmundo is very professional, discreet and has very firm democratic convictions. He's not a fan of using bombastic or radical words," said Jesus Torrealba, former secretary general of the Democratic Unity Board opposition alliance, now known as Unitary Platform.

Opposition leader Jose Guerra praised Gonzalez for his extensive knowledge of international, economic and political issues and said he speaks French and English along with his native Spanish.

"He is very tolerant and listens," said Guerra, adding: "He will have a difficult campaign."

The opposition struggled to name its candidate as several other potential contenders were either barred from office or prevented from registering. Venezuela's top court upheld a bar on Maria Corina Machado, who won October's primary vote with a landslide, from holding public office.

Machado then named a replacement, Corina Yoris, who was herself unable to register on the electoral council's online system by a March deadline. Just two opposition candidates were able to register, a provincial governor and Gonzalez.

A survey of 1,200 people April 1-3 by local pollster More Consulting found that 46% of those interviewed planned to vote for a candidate backed by Machado, while 22% would vote for Maduro.

Meanwhile, the United States this week re-imposed sanctions it had eased on Venezuelan oil, saying the government has failed to comply with the terms of an electoral agreement it signed with the opposition six months ago.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/edmundo-gonzalez-venezuelas-low-profile-185532510.html

'Oregon town sparked a nationwide debate on homelessness'

 On a sunny afternoon in a grassy park by the river, Amber Rockwell loaded a black, steel cart with a tent, suitcases, bags, camping stove and a plastic tin of licorice and tightened it all down with ratchet straps as she prepared to move to the next park over.

Every week, she and the hundreds of other people living outdoors in Grants Pass, Oregon, must pack up and change locations to avoid being fined, arrested or stripped of their belongings by police.

“There’s no place for us,” Rockwell says, sitting on the grass, taking a break from packing. “We’re made to feel like we shouldn’t even exist.”

This rural town of 39,000 on the Rogue River in southern Oregon's wine country is at the center of a fight in the U.S. Supreme Court to determine whether governments can legally ban people from sleeping in public. Oral arguments are Monday, and the court’s eventual ruling could have nationwide implications for how cities are allowed to regulate homeless encampments.

“If we go down this line, this road of criminalizing people and banishing them, we're going to wake up two or three years down the road, and we're gonna have twice as many homeless people as we have now,” said Ed Johnson, a legal aide attorney who helped file the 2018 lawsuit against Grants Pass that the Supreme Court is reviewing.

Johnson, of the Oregon Law Center, says giving people a criminal record for homelessness makes it harder to find jobs and housing to escape homelessness.

In briefings to the court, Johnson and his colleagues representing people living on the streets in Grants Pass said Grants Pass city councilors' comments in 2013 as they drafted a camping ban made it clear they were trying to expel homeless people from town.

Grants Pass is fighting a ruling by the San Francisco-based 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which said town laws prohibiting camping on sidewalks, streets, parks or other public places when shelter is unavailable violate the U.S. Constitution's Eighth Amendment prohibition against "cruel and unusual" punishment."

Johnson and his colleagues say this ruling does not stop Grants Pass from restricting such conduct as littering or public urination.

Federal injunctions issued in 2020 and 2022 banned Grants Pass from enforcing its anti-camping ordinances while the case goes through the courts. In the meantime, police are using a state law requiring a 72-hour notice before the city can remove a campsite from public space.

Grants Pass has no public, low-barrier homeless shelters. An estimated 600 residents were unhoused in 2019, according to a point-in-time count.

In its arguments to the Supreme Court, Grants Pass wrote: “There is nothing cruel or unusual about a civil fine for violating commonplace restrictions on public camping.”

Grants Pass has been joined by Idaho's attorney general, Montana's Department of Justice, law enforcement groups in Washington state, California Governor Gavin Newsom and others in asking the conservative-majority Supreme Court to clarify or overturn the 9th Circuit ruling, which they say has confused jurisdictions about what they can do to address unsafe and unsanitary encampments.

Groups such as the National Homelessness Law Center have urged the court to confirm the 9th Circuit, saying cities should focus on building housing to address homelessness.

Aaron Hisel, an attorney for Grants Pass, said the premise of the 9th Circuit ruling is “that unless you're providing them shelter, you can't punish them or start the process by writing a ticket for them being in the parks."

“But we've never really seriously suggested that unless and until the government provides you a reasonably convenient place to go to the bathroom, that you then have the right to go to the bathroom on public property,” Hisel said.

Under the state law in force now, those who do not move along in Grants Pass face $295 fines. Sometimes, their belongings are confiscated or thrown away. Rockwell, 42, says she is often not able to relocate quickly enough, and that she currently owes thousands in fines she cannot pay.

“I don’t have no money, I don’t have an income right now,” she said. “It’s like milking a turnip.”

She said police threw away her belongings in the summer of last year, after she had dropped them off at another park to go back for a second run. Among her possessions, she says, was an urn storing the ashes of her stillborn son, whom she lost in 2020.

Grants Pass Chief of Police Warren Hensman said that if officers take property from a park and do not know the owner, it will be stored for 90 days, "so a person has ample time to claim their belongings."

Hensman said his officers would not have discarded an urn if they had noticed it.

"However, if it was mixed with soiled clothes, hazardous materials, drug paraphernalia etc., it could have been missed," he said.

Some in Grants Pass say they are frustrated by the spread of homeless encampments. Joanie Jensen, a lifetime resident of Grants Pass, said she no longer feels comfortable enjoying the parks like she once did.

“My grandson is on the baseball team, and before each practice and game, they have to sweep the whole outfield and the field to make sure that there’s no needles out there or feces out there,” Jensen said.

Mark Lyon has been homeless in Grants Pass, off and on, for the past 20 years. He said he has witnessed the community becoming more hostile towards him and others on the streets.

“I can understand where they’re coming from,” Lyon, 65, said. “If I was a homeowner, I wouldn’t want me here, which is sad. But I deserve to be some place.”

https://www.yahoo.com/news/small-oregon-town-sparked-nationwide-120727591.html

Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, discusses the impact of Israel's retaliation on oil

 Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, discussed the impact on markets of Israel's latest attack on Iran. He suggests that the worst is over, although tensions remain high and future reactions should be monitored.

Chaar turned to monetary policy, indicating that the Fed's challenges are not so much related to the currency volatility caused by such events, but rather to inflation, particularly in services. However, the increase in spending and income is complicating the Fed's task.

As far as oil prices are concerned, a ceiling of 90 dollars a barrel is seen as posing less of a risk. However, he points out that a price above $110 could trigger an energy shock. But he adds that OPEC supplies are sufficient to prevent an excessive rise in oil prices.

The economist also mentioned that, despite the Fed's call for tighter monetary policy, Lombard Odier still expects three rate cuts this year. 

https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Samy-Chaar-Chief-Economist-at-Lombard-Odier-discusses-the-impact-of-Israel-s-retaliation-on-oil-46477008/

Shipping Industry Pleads With UN For "Enhanced Military Presence" As Sea Choke-Point Chaos Spreads

 Exactly one week ago, Iranian commandos seized a container ship affiliated with Israel as it passed through the Strait of Hormuz. This action sparked new fears of another maritime chokepoint becoming disrupted as the crisis in the Middle East escalated. It also prompted a plea by the international shipping industry to the United Nations, urging an increase in military patrols along key shipping routes. 

First reported by the maritime news website gGaptain, an open letter co-signed by 16 maritime industry associations and social partners, calls for urgent assistance and reminds countries about their responsibilities under international law.  

"However, the incident this weekend, when the vessel MSC Aries was seized by Iranian forces at 06.37 UTC – 50 nautical miles north-east of Fujairah, United Arab Emirates on Saturday 13 April, has once again highlighted the intolerable situation where shipping has become a target. This is unacceptable," the signatories of the letter stated. 

"Given the continually evolving and severe threat profile within the area, we call on you for enhanced coordinated military presence, missions and patrols in the region, to protect our seafarers against any further possible aggression," they said, adding, "The industry associations ask that all member states be formally reminded of their responsibilities under international law. And we ask that all efforts possible are brought to bear to release the seafarers and protect the safe transit of ships." 

After the MSC Aries seizure in the Strait of Hormuz, we published a note titled "Heading For Supply Shock? Four Maritime Chokepoints Flash Red As Escalating Conflict Looms," outlining the maritime chokepoints, including the Suez Canal, Bab-El Mandeb Strait, and Strait of Hormuz, through which a quarter of all global trade flows, that are experiencing increased conflict. 

In a recent note, MUFG provided a global snapshot of the world's maritime chokepoints. 

The team at ING Global Markets Research warned last week, "Global shipping routes are already heavily impacted from the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden because of ongoing geopolitical strife. If the Strait of Hormuz is in any way disrupted, the impact on oil and global trade could be huge." 

Disruptions along critical maritime chokepoints in the Middle East are a direct result of the failed foreign policy decisions pushed by the Biden administration and former President Obama. Furthermore, the inability of Western militaries to secure the southern Red Sea through Operation Prosperity Guardian is a sign of weakness as the world fractures into a multipolar state of chaos. 

https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/shipping-industry-pleas-un-enhanced-military-presence-maritime-choke-point-chaos

Project Much? Hillary Clinton Claims Trump Wants To 'Kill, Imprison His Opposition'

 Hillary Clinton, who once suggested murdering Julian Assange and whose party is trying to imprison their chief political rival, suggested that Donald Trump wants to murder and imprison his political opponents.

Appearing on a podcast with Marc Elias, the Democrat super-lawyer who laid the legal groundwork for vote-by-mail in 2020 & was involved in the "Steele Dossier" purchase, Clinton suggested that "Putin does what [Trump] would like to do. Kill his opposition."

[Maybe they just committed suicide like Vince Foster and all those other associates?]

According to Hillary, who helped France murder Gaddafi (after he wanted a mere 5 billion euros / year to stop illegals from flooding into Europe), Trump "really" wants to "imprison his opposition, drive journalists into exile, rule without any check or balance."

"We have to be very conscious of how he sees the world because in that world, he only sees strong men leaders. He sees Putin. He sees Xi. He sees Kim Jong Un in North Korea," the failed presidential candidate continued. "Those are the people he is modelling himself after and we’ve been down this road in our, you know, world history. We sure don’t want to go down that again."

According to Hillary, if Trump "ever gets back near the White House again, it will be like having a dictator. I don’t say that lightly. Go back and read Project 2025. They’re going to fire everybody. The person in the government who knows about the next pandemic? Get rid of him."

Project much?

Watch (h/t Modernity.news):