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Saturday, December 14, 2024

Major cloud providers could get key role in AI chip access outside the US - sources

 In its latest jab at Beijing, the U.S. will empower companies like Google and Microsoft to act as gatekeepers worldwide for highly sought-after access to AI chips, two people familiar with the draft plan said.

Under the regime, to be released as soon as this month, these companies would have to comply with strict requirements, from reporting key information to the U.S. government to blocking Chinese access to AI chips. That would permit them to offer AI capabilities within the cloud overseas without a license, the sources said.

The new rules, some of whose details are being reported for the first time, show officials are scrambling in the waning days of the Biden administration to streamline the process for approving AI chip exports while also preventing bad actors from accessing them. The U.S. fears China could harness the power of AI to supercharge its military, unleash powerful cyber attacks or even train a bioweapon.

The Commerce Department declined to comment on the content and timing of the new regulations. Sources cautioned the administration's plans may change.

Alphabet's Google and Microsoft did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

The measure takes a page from a national security agreement Microsoft inked with the U.S. government in April allowing it to provide AI technology to Emirati firm G42, the people said, whose historic ties to China fueled worry in Washington.

Under the new draft rules, other companies beyond those with gatekeeper status will compete for licenses to import a smaller number of high-end Nvidia and AMD artificial intelligence chips in each country, one of the sources said. 

Nvidia, which makes the world's most powerful AI chips, said it is ready to work with the administration on the rules. AMD did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Exempted from the regime's caps would be 19 allied countries like the Netherlands and Japan plus Taiwan, which would have unlimited access to the AI chips or the capability they provide, two of the sources said. 

Also outside the framework would be a list of nuclear embargoed countries, including Russia, China, Iran and Venezuela, which are already blocked from acquiring U.S. AI semiconductors and would remain so. 

The U.S. government is conducting a final review of an "Artificial Intelligence Diffusion" rule drafted by the Commerce Department, according to a government posting this week, indicating it may be closing in on publication. Three sources said the posting referred to the AI caps. 

The Information Technology Industry Council, an advocacy association whose members include AMD and Google, is concerned the Biden administration is rushing the complex rule out without industry input that could head off adverse consequences.

"If reports are accurate, such changes would dramatically expand the scope of export controls and have significant global implications," Naomi Wilson, the council's senior vice president of Asia and global trade policy, said in a statement.

The rules build on a program unveiled in September that gives permission to pre-approved data centers overseas to receive AI chips without a license, two sources said.

To achieve that status, data centers must provide information about customers, business activities, access restrictions and cybersecurity.

https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/ALPHABET-INC-24203373/news/Exclusive-Major-cloud-providers-could-get-key-role-in-AI-chip-access-outside-the-US-sources-48591244/

Trump considers privatizing U.S. Postal Service

 U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has expressed a keen interest in privatizing the U.S. Postal Service in recent weeks, the Washington Post reported on Saturday, citing three people with knowledge of the matter.

Trump, who takes office on Jan. 20, has discussed his desire to privatize the Postal Service with Howard Lutnick, his pick for commerce secretary, at Mar-a-Lago, the report said.

https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Trump-considers-privatizing-U-S-Postal-Service-Washington-Post-reports-48594158/

Fed-up NJ sheriff sends own drone to follow mystery flying objects

 A fed-up New Jersey sheriff said he tried to track the mystery drones swarming the skies above his county — but they “easily” evaded the effort.

The Ocean County Sheriff’s office sent its own “industrial grade” drone into the air Thursday in a bid to follow one of 50 unmanned aerial vehicles a local cop saw “coming off the ocean,” Sheriff Michael Mastronardy said.

Ocean County Sheriff Michael Mastronardy speaking about airspace monitoring at a departmental meeting, amidst reports on unidentified drone activities.
Ocean County Sheriff Michael Mastronardy launched his department’s own drone Thursday night to try to follow the mysterious drone swarms above the state.Thomas P. Costello / Asbury Park Press / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The officer alerted the state police, the FBI and the US Coast Guard. Coast Guard officials then reported 13 drones, with wingspans of eight feet, following one of their vessels.

The mysterious drones, which don’t give off heat like more typical versions, swiftly maneuvered out of their clutches, Mastronardy told News Nation reporter Rich McHugh.

McHugh told the story Friday night to anchor Elizabeth Vargas, explaining he originally thought the drone hysteria might be a result of “pranksters” until he saw them himself.

“If this is not our military, then it’s even more scary,” McHugh said. “These things look like they are fixed-wing and they have multiple lights. I’m not really sure how to process what I saw last night. Both the photographer and I were kind of stunned.”

Officer Kevin Mason operating a Sheriff's Department drone at night, preparing to land in Seaside Heights to track unidentified drones
One of the Ocean County Sheriff’s drones prepares to land in Seaside Heights after launching to try to track the mysterious New Jersey drone swarms.Thomas P. Costello / Asbury Park Press / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The SUV-sized, unidentified aircraft have been buzzing New Jersey and panicking residents since Nov. 18.

Theories about where the drones come from vary, with some believing they may have been sent by foreign adversaries.

On Friday, White House National Security Communications Advisor John Kirby said there was nothing to fear and that people may be imagining things. He said most reports were likely to be cases where manned aircraft were mistaken for drones.

Since then drones have been sighted in at least 12 counties in New Jersey as well as parts of eastern Pennsylvania and upstate New York.

https://nypost.com/2024/12/14/us-news/nj-county-sheriff-sends-own-drone-up-to-follow-mystery-flying-objects/

Elizabeth Warren And UnitedHealthcare: Ignorance And Manipulation

 by Stephen Soukup via American Greatness,

In the wake of the murder of United Healthcare CEO Brian Thompson, many on the political left have demonstrated a level of moral degeneracy that is, paradoxically, both shocking and entirely unsurprising.

The celebration of the murder, of its perpetrator, and of the violent populist spirit that animated him has been both off-putting and edifying. They have exposed certain influential figures among the American media and political elites as incorrigibly depraved. More to the point, they have exposed these same figures as monstrously ignorant, not just about the moral necessities of a functional society but also about the fundamentals of governance and finance.

Let us stipulate a few things upfront.

  • First, the most important aspect of this story is the moral dimension. Those who celebrate the premeditated, cold-blooded murder of any individual—and a father of two children, in this case—are wicked.

  • Second, attempting to veil one’s support for murder by first offering a pro forma condemnation of violence is worse than inadequate. It is every bit as monstrous as simply supporting the murder and the murderer outright—maybe even more so.

  • Third, although it is her moral weakness that matters most in this discussion, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren (as well as New York Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) has also shown herself to be far too ill-informed ever to be taken seriously again.

Warren, as you may know, got caught the other day with her “but” hanging out. “Violence is never the answer,” she conceded, “BUT….” She then went on to explain why she didn’t really mean that violence is never the answer:

…people can be pushed only so far. This is a warning that if you push people hard enough, they lose faith in the ability of their government to make change, lose faith in the ability of the people who are providing the health care to make change, and start to take matters into their own hands in ways that will ultimately be a threat to everyone.

What, one might wonder, does Senator Warren mean when she says that this will “ultimately be a threat to everyone”? Does she mean that other CEOs should be worried about being gunned down on the streets? Should all healthcare providers be likewise concerned? Or does she mean to include everyone, everywhere, all people on the face of the earth? Does she think that health insurance is going to be the impetus for global Armageddon?

One supposes she has a specific population in mind, health insurance company CEOs, presumably, but she doesn’t say. Those who understand how government and finance work might wonder if she includes herself on this list of people who should feel threatened. What about AOC and other members of Congress? How about former President Barack Obama?

The simple truth of the matter—which both Senator Warren and Rep. Ocasio-Cortez choose to ignore—is that health insurance in this country is anything but a “private” industry. Indeed, it is almost certainly more a product of government than it is of markets. The American healthcare system—such as it is—had its origins in the wage caps imposed by the National War Labor Board on American business in 1942. Companies could not lure employees with higher wages, and so they did so with fringe benefits, the most notable of which was health insurance. In short, then, the government created the system more than 80 years ago and has been meddling in it ever since.

Today, health insurance is one of the most aggressively micro-managed industries in the country. In large part because of Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act, insurers are told what they must cover, whom they must cover, when they must provide coverage, and at what price they must do so. In this sense, the ACA seems like a horrible imposition on health insurers. In truth, however, the companies supported the scheme when it was enacted and are even more enthusiastic about it today. It has been a boon to their operations.

“Obamacare” mandated by law that every single person in the country become a client of a health insurance company (unless they happened to be covered under one of the government’s own price-setting, cost-cutting programs). It created a massive pool of new customers and, in so doing, enhanced insurers’ bottom lines significantly. Because of the massive amount of regulation involved, the ACA also created significant barriers to entry into the industry. What that means is that, in addition to providing insurers with millions of new customers, the federal government also, essentially, killed any potential new competition for the insurers. Nice work, if you can get it.

I have spent the last roughly five years of my career focusing on the government and corporate collusion that is best described as “corporatism.” This sort of corporatist collusion is probably nowhere more developed and burdensome than in the health insurance industry. Or to put it more bluntly for Senator Warren: any problems with health insurance are as much the fault of the government as they are of industry.

Senator Warren and her cohorts celebrating Brian Thompson’s murder also seem to be more than a little confused about who and what UnitedHealthcare is. When they complain about the company, its policies, and especially its profits, they speak of it as if it were some living, breathing entity. Obviously, it is not. The “company” is comprised of millions of different people. When UnitedHealthcare earns a profit, for example, that profit doesn’t go to some big, otherwise empty building somewhere, and it doesn’t go to Brian Thompson or any of the other executives in the company. It goes to the shareholders, both in the form of dividends and (usually) higher share prices. Thompson was merely the agent for the shareholders. Everything he did that benefitted “the company” benefitted its shareholders. That’s how publicly traded companies work.

Who, then, are the shareholders of United Healthcare? Well…given that it’s an S&P 500 company, almost anyone who has a 401(k) or an IRA that invests in index funds is a United Healthcare shareholder. Interestingly, because she joined Congress after January 1, 2013, Senator Elizabeth Warren is a member of the Federal Employees’ Retirement System (FERS), which includes a basic retirement annuity, Social Security, and mandatory participation in the Thrift Savings Plan. The Thrift Savings Plan, in turn, has one “fund” that is its most popular and generally produces its best returns. That is its “C Fund”—a common stock fund that is built to “match the performance of the Standard and Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) Index.” We can safely assume that Senator Warren has some of her TPS money in the C Fund, which means that we safely assume that Senator Warren is a shareholder of United Healthcare. Brian Thompson may have done some things as the CEO of United Healthcare that made people angry or unhappy, but he only did so as the agent of people like Elizabeth Warren. She, not he, was the ultimate beneficiary of whatever the company did to “push people” too far.

Elizabeth Warren is not stupid.

One would presume that she knows all of this. And yet…

One has no choice but to conclude that Senator Warren is incredibly ignorant, incredibly manipulative, or some combination of the two.

If I were a betting man, I’d bet on Option 3.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/elizabeth-warren-and-unitedhealthcare-ignorance-and-manipulation

NJ Drone 'Invasion' Just In Time For Congress To Reauthorize Orwellian Law

 A series of drone sightings over New Jersey that began in mid-November has left residents and lawmakers spooked about the possibility of foreign adversaries breaching US airspace with drone swarms. While officials have attempted to reassure the public, some lawmakers have stoked fear, leading to widespread panic on social media, with people interpreting anything moving in the night sky as a potential drone (even commercial jets and stars). 

Source: Fox News

Days ago, the FBI and the US Homeland Security Department released a statement indicating, "We have no evidence at this time that the reported drone sightings pose a national security or public safety threat or have a foreign nexus." 

"Historically, we have experienced cases of mistaken identity, where reported drones are, in fact, manned aircraft," the federal agencies said. 

White House national security communications adviser John Kirby said many of the purported drone sightings are commercial jets with no evidence of a national security or public safety threat. 

If actual 'truck-sized' drones (some say Iranian origin) were flying in some of the world's most restricted airspace, let's use common sense—the Pentagon would have scrambled F-22s and F-35s on the East Coast almost immediately. Since that hasn't happened (as far as we know), we can't help but be suspicious about the whole drone situation. Additionally, no private satellite data shows that Iranian drone carriers are parked off the coast; in fact, these vessels are located 7,500 miles away.

Let's take a step back and review some of Elon Musk's tweets on X:

  • Sept. 30: "Drone swarm battles are coming that will boggle the mind" 

  • Sept. 29: "Epic drone wars coming" 

  • Jan. 5, 2023: "The Drone Wars are already a big deal, but we ain't seen nothing yet …" 

What did Elon know ahead of time?

Even President-elect Trump wrote on the Truth Social platform: "Can this really be happening without our government's knowledge? I don (sic) think so! Let the public know, and now. Otherwise, shot (sic) them down!!! DJT." 

Fox News reporter Bill Melugin asked Musk on X his thoughts on the situation... "Alien spaceships controlled by Iran obv," Musk replied.

No actual drones have been recovered, and footage on X frequently features amateur videos mistaking drones for commercial aircraft. Furthermore, as far as we know, the FAA has not closed large sections of airspace or diverted planes. While we are not dismissing the possibility of foreign adversary-operated drones breaching heavily restricted airspace, we are pointing out the extraordinary hype on social media (with no substance), which has caused widespread panic with some users on X calling this a "psyop." 

Let's say some of these drone sightings were real. Then, maybe... 

X user mcm_ct_usa makes the point the purported drone sightings could be a "psyop against you to manipulate Congress into passing the new H.R.8610 (Counter-UAS Authority Security, Safety, and Reauthorization Act of 2024) which will include appropriations and enhanced government powers to control you, and they're even going so far as to use it to push for acts of war against other countries." 

It's coincidental that last week, a Homeland Security joint subcommittee held a hearing on H.R.8610, the Counter-UAS Authority Security, Safety, and Reauthorization Act. This bill would renew and reform counter-UAS legal authorities and strengthen the FAA's oversight powers of drones.

"The reason we need legal authority is that without it, use of the most effective types of drone detection and counter-drone technologies could violate criminal laws, including those that prohibit destroying or disabling aircraft in flight and intercepting signals and communications," said Brad Wiegmann, the DOJ's deputy assistant attorney general for national security.

With current drone-countering authorities set to expire on Dec. 20, the sudden surge in purported drone sightings and the accompanying MSM and social media panic might make a bit more sense—as an effort to push for the reauthorization of Orwellian drone laws.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/nj-drone-invasion-just-time-congress-reauthorize-orwellian-law

Judicial Watch Helps Unearth 911 Call Made By Trump Shooter's Dad

 by Ken Silva via Headline USA,

Thanks to the help of the non-profit transparency group Judicial Watch, Headline USA has obtained a recording of the 911 call Thomas Crooks’s father made on the day his son allegedly tried assassinating Donald Trump during his July 13 campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania.

Allegheny County—where Crooks lived with his parents, Matthew and Mary Crooks—provided the call to Headline USA on Friday after a four-month legal process.

The call lasts roughly 2 minutes before abruptly ending. Matthew Crooks initially called Allegheny County 911 dispatch, which transferred him to the Bethel Park Police Department.

“Hi, yes. Uh, my name is Matthew Crooks. I was calling in regards to my son, Thomas. Uh, he belongs to the Clairton Sportsman Club in Clairton, and I don’t have the number for Jefferson Police on hand. The reason I’m calling is he left the house here at about a quarter to two this afternoon, and we’ve gotten no contact from him, no text messages, nothing’s been returned, and he’s not home yet,” Matthew said.

“That’s totally not like him. So we’re kind of worried, not really sure what we should do.”

The recording ended after Matthew confirmed his son was 20 years old. Headline USA is filing an appeal in an attempt to obtain the rest of the recording—if it exists.

Obtaining the 2-minute recording was a lengthy process in the first place.

After requesting the call on Aug. 12, Bethel Park Police denied disclosure nine days later— citing Section 708(b)(18) of the RTKL, which exempts 911 recordings from public disclosure.

However, the exact same RTKL paragraph cited by Bethel Police also states that law enforcement can release 911 recordings that are in the public interest.

Headline USA appealed accordingly, but an appeals officer ruled that he didn’t have the power to force disclosure. Only a police department or a court has the power to force disclosure of 911 calls, the Pennsylvania Office of Open Records ruled in October. The Office of Open Records made a similar ruling that same month in an appeal filed by NBC News, which also sought the call.

That’s where Judicial Watch came in. The non-profit watchdog agreed to take on this publication’s case, filing a lawsuit in late October in the Pennsylvania Court of Common Pleas to force Bethel Park Police to disclose the 911 call.

“Disclosing the 911 recording would further aid the public’s interest in completing a timeline of events surrounding the attempted assignation of President Trump on July 13, 2024,” attorney J. Chadwick Schnee argued on behalf of Judicial Watch and Headline USA—asking the court to reverse the appeal office’s decision and to deem the 911 recording to be in the public interest.

However, a judge never had the chance to rule on Judicial Watch’s lawsuit. Last week, ABC News published a story about the call, reporting that it obtained the 911 call via a Right to Know Law request—the same method by which both Headline USA and NBC had requested it. Though Headline USA’s request was with Bethel Park Police, NBC had tried obtaining the recording via Allegheny County—and the county fought NBC all the way to appeal, and won.

It’s not clear why Allegheny County disclosed the call to ABC after denying it to NBC—and successfully arguing in October that it wasn’t in the public interest. However, Allegheny County only disclosed the call after Judicial Watch filed its lawsuit.

ABC did reveal that the call was made at 10:56 p.m., which settles conflicting reports of whether the father called before or after his son shot at Trump at 6:11 p.m.—grazing Trump’s ear, killing a firefighter, and seriously wounding two others before dying from law enforcement’s return fire.

The timing of the call wasn’t included in the response Headline USA received.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/were-kinda-worried-judicial-watch-helps-unearth-911-call-made-trump-shooters-dad

South Korean President Impeached Over Martial Law Turmoil

 President Yoon Suk Yeol of South Korea was impeached by a National Assembly vote on Saturday, suspending him from office after he declared a brief emergency martial law earlier this month. The move sparked widespread outrage and plunged the nation into a constitutional crisis. Now, the Constitutional Court must decide whether to reinstate Yoon or formally remove him—a process that could take 180 days. 

The National Assembly voted to impeach Yoon, with 204 lawmakers in the 300-member house in favor of the motion and 85 against. Eight votes were declared invalid, while three lawmakers abstained from voting. 

Source: Bloomberg 

The vote comes one week after Yoon survived an impeachment vote last Saturday, capping a week of political turmoil in the country that borders North Korea. This follows Yoon's declaration of the briefest martial law in South Korean history on December 3, lasting only a few hours, after accusing the opposition party of engaging in 'anti-state activities.' Notably, this political turmoil is some of the worst in South Korea since full-scale martial law was declared in the spring of 1980. 

Under South Korea's Constitution, Yoon's impeachment allows Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to become interim leader. 

At a news conference earlier, Park Chan-dae, the opposition leader of the Democratic Party, told reporters: "This is a victory for the South Korean people and for democracy." 

Given that the Constitutional Court will now decide whether to reinstate or remove Yoon, Goldman's Goohoon Kwon and Andrew Tilton provided clients with the possible transition scenarios last week. That process could take up to six months. Here's what comes next: 

Eric Easley, a professor at Ewha University in Seoul, told The Guardian that South Korea's political turmoil is unlikely to subside even with Yoon's impeachment: "It is not even the beginning of the end." 

"Opposition leader Lee, who narrowly lost to Yoon in 2022 and is favored to win an election to replace him, is also in legal jeopardy, with a conviction on appeal and other rulings pending that could disqualify him from office," The Guardian noted. 

Easley added, "So before the final race in the polls, there will be a race in the courts." 

Shortly after the impeachment, Yoon said, "Although I am stopping for now, the journey I have walked with the people over the past two and a half years toward the future must never come to a halt. I will never give up."  

Also, the Goldman analysts warned of another scenario that could unfold: "... muddling through in a political gridlock." 

The unfolding political turmoil was enough for the analysts to maintain a below-consensus growth forecast for South Korea of 1.8% in 2025, with "risks increasingly skewed to the downside ..."

South Korea's finance minister and central bank governor are expected to meet on Sunday to discuss the future economic impact of the political turmoil storm. 

Bloomberg Economics' economist Hyosung Kwon provided readers with a summary of today's events:

"With today's impeachment vote passing, concerns over a leadership vacuum in South Korea's policy-making may ease. But it doesn't mark the end of political uncertainty."

"The key question now is whether Acting President and Prime Minister Han Duck-soo can effectively navigate the deeply divided political landscape to address the threats from the Trump administration's trade and foreign policies, while awaiting the Constitutional Court's ruling."

The question for market observers is whether Yoon's impeachment eases political uncertainty and helps stabilize sentiment.

MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY)

Graham Ambrose, managing director of Goldman Sachs' equity franchise sales team in London, told clients last week that there could be "buying opportunities in Seoul in coming days."

Yoon's impeachment should relieve some market uncertainty. However, the focus now shifts to a long waiting period as the Constitutional Court deliberates its decision.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/south-korean-president-impeached-over-martial-law-turmoil