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Friday, May 2, 2025

OPEC+ Discusses 400,000-Barrel Production Hike Ahead of Call

 


Key OPEC+ nations are discussing making another production increase of roughly 400,000 barrels a day in June ahead of a video-conference to set policy on Saturday, delegates said.

The group led by Saudi Arabia and Russia stunned oil traders with a 411,000 barrel-a-day hike that was triple the amount originally planned for May, in an apparent bid to discipline its over-producing members. They’re considering doing the same again next month, said the delegates, who asked not to be identified as the talks are private.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-02/opec-discusses-400-000-barrel-june-supply-hike-ahead-of-call

Hochul has only herself to blame for NY’s looming Medicaid crisis

 As New York’s Medicaid costs spiral out of control, Gov. Kathy Hochul would like you to think she has nothing to do with it.

In January, she implicitly laid the blame on Washington.

“We will need to take action alongside the federal government to manage [Medicaid] growth,” she said — which, she admitted, “isn’t sustainable for New York taxpayers on its current trajectory.”

But now that Congress is actually trying to slow Medicaid spending at the federal level, Hochul is blaming Republicans in New York’s House delegation for allowing that to happen.

“They have the power to stop these reckless federal cuts,” she charged this week. “They must find the political will to stand up to this administration and fight for the people they represent.”

Hochul’s helplessness is just a pose, of course.

Although the feds pick up half or more of the cost of the safety-net health plan, each state is in charge of managing it — with broad discretion over how many people to cover, what benefits to provide and how generously to compensate providers.

That means the whole nation’s taxpayers end up footing much of the bill for New York’s Medicaid choices.

And Hochul happens to be in charge of the most extravagant state Medicaid program of all, spending $3,100 per resident compared to a national average of $1,800.

As such, she has more power to control Medicaid costs than anyone else.

Psst, governor: The Medicaid bucks stop with you.

Traditionally, governors of both parties in every state have taken it as their duty to try to keep Medicaid spending in reasonable check, or at least to make a show of it.

Hochul has mostly avoided this chore, opting instead to minimize political friction with the health-care industry, Albany’s most powerful special interest. 

She has done little to initiate cost-cutting proposals of her own, and has failed to follow through on those she inherited — like a package of reforms, including tighter eligibility restrictions for long-term home health care, passed in early 2020.

Those limits were put on hold during the federal pandemic emergency. But that ended in 2023.

Almost two years later, Hochul has made no visible sign of implementing them, even though home care remains one of Medicaid’s chief cost drivers. 

Instead, one of her few big initiatives — the consolidation of the Consumer Directed Personal Assistance Program under a single statewide contractor — will only realize minor savings, but will bring major benefits to 1199 SEIU, the powerful health-care union.

Meanwhile, Hochul has sponsored or acceded to policies that directly increase Medicaid costs.

Last year the state opened the program to illegal immigrants over age 65 — and more than 19,000 of them signed up in the first three months.

Her current budget proposal would boost fees for hospitals, long-term-care facilities and other providers by hundreds of millions of dollars, building on several previous rounds of hikes.

She’s even used Medicaid funds to reward political supporters, including bail-outs for 1199-affiliated benefit funds and grants to a Bronx medical group operated by campaign donors — spending that’s far from the mission of caring for the indigent or disabled.

Thanks to this blank-check management, the state-supported share of Medicaid costs jumped 36% over Hochul’s first three budgets — and it’s on track to grow at least 17% in fiscal 2025-26.

In just four years, she’s surpassed the combined total of increases Andrew Cuomo racked up in his 11-year term.

On Monday, almost a month into the state’s new fiscal year, Hochul announced a “general agreement” on the budget. The highlights she listed included $3 billion in “inflation refunds” to taxpayers.

But she made no mention of the rising state share of Medicaid, from $38 billion to $44 billion, an increase that accounts for 60% of new state spending in the year ahead.

Perhaps she didn’t want to emphasize that the best-funded health-care system in the country is getting more additional money than every other state program combined.

Although the economy has soured and Congress is readying a slowdown in federal Medicaid funding, Hochul acknowledged the budget deal makes no adjustment for those realities.

Instead, she warned that she and the Legislature might have to reopen the budget within months — meaning spending cuts, tax increases or both could be around the corner, with Hochul reportedly seeking unilateral authority to cut as much as $2 billion on her own in a revenue “emergency.”

If such drastic measures become necessary — as seems likely — the governor will undoubtedly try to blame Republicans in Washington, two of whom may challenge her re-election in 2026.

But voters should make no mistake: Hochul is in the driver’s seat on New York’s Medicaid spending.

And she is steering the state straight toward a cliff — and gunning the engine.

Bill Hammond is the senior fellow for health policy at the Empire Center.

https://nypost.com/2025/05/01/opinion/gov-hochul-has-herself-to-blame-for-nys-medicaid-crisis/

Top China official asks what Trump wants Beijing to do about fentanyl ingredients in possible thawing

 A top Chinese official has been asking what the Trump administration wants Beijing to do about the chemicals used to make the deadly drug fentanyl, in a possible sign that the trade war between the world’s two largest economies is thawing.

Wang Xiaohong, China’s minister of public security, has been making inquiries over the last few days, the Wall Street Journal reported Friday.

The outlet added that Wang could soon meet face to face with administration officials, either in the US or a third country.

The report emerged hours after China’s commerce ministry said it was “evaluating” an offer to hold talks over President Trump’s tariffs, which have reached 145% on some goods.

“The US has recently taken the initiative on many occasions to convey information to China through relevant parties, saying it hopes to talk with China,” the statement said, adding that Beijing was “evaluating this.”

In February, Trump, 78, imposed an initial 10% tariff on Chinese goods, citing the “national emergency” of the fentanyl crisis, in a bid to get Beijing to crack down on the flow of so-called “precursor chemicals” from China to cartels in the West.

https://nypost.com/2025/05/02/us-news/chinese-official-asking-what-trump-wants-to-do-about-fentanyl-ingredients-report/

' Amazon sellers are stocking up in the face of tariffs, but it's a short-term fix'

 Amazon on Thursday tried to temper investor concerns about the impact of the Trump administration’s tariffs on its e-commerce business, but the company may have few options left to ensure small third-party sellers stay put in the face of crushing levies.

U.S. President Trump has imposed 145% duties on imports from China, a move that has left companies including Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) scrambling to reassess supply chains and find ways to keep costs down.

Amazon said it has not seen any softness in demand yet, nor much increase in average selling prices of retail items. There had been some "heightened buying in some categories," it said.

On a post-earnings call with investors, CEO Andy Jassy said the company was working with its sellers to move orders to the U.S. earlier to avoid further tariffs on merchandise.

"Our third-party sellers have pulled forward a number of items so they have inventory here as well ... we’re encouraging that because we’re trying to keep prices as low as possible," Jassy said.

But stocking up was only a band aid, analysts said. As shoppers step up purchases to avoid tariff impacts, the company and its sellers may struggle to avoid price increases in the coming months as they blow through inventory and place new orders.

"I can’t imagine that they stocked up on more than six months’ worth of inventory," said Gil Luria, analyst at D.A. Davidson. 

"If we get past the next six months and we’re still as uncertain as we are today ... then Amazon will have to take actions that are less palatable. It’s gonna have to let some higher prices flow through, take some lower margins structurally, have to push its merchants to absorb lower margins."

For Apple and Amazon - and other companies including Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM), Samsung (KS:005930) and Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) that are exposed to everyday consumers - tariffs have become the crisis that could set them back in a race against rivals Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL)’s Google.

Amazon shares dipped about 1% on Friday. Apple stock fell nearly 4%, as the iPhone maker on Thursday estimated that tariffs would add about $900 million in costs to the quarter ending in June if rates do not change. Apple CEO Tim Cook outlined big changes to the company’s supply chain. 

Amazon’s AWS cloud business, which powers its profits, is usually a bulwark against swings in its e-commerce business, but that segment’s performance in the first quarter disappointed the Street after Microsoft’s Azure cloud business well outperformed expectations. 

Investors had lofty expectations for the cloud businesses, which were reinforced by Microsoft and Google’s results and raised expectations for Amazon’s AWS, said Will Rhind, CEO of global ETF issuer GraniteShares.

"But I still think this is a great business and it’s still growing," he said.

PAIN LOOMS LATER THIS YEAR

Amazon’s tariff troubles extend to more than just the big duties. On May 2, the end of de minimis - a trade exemption that allows low-cost merchandise shipped directly to shoppers to enter the U.S. duty-free - is expected to have a big impact on some of the company’s third-party sellers and its Haul business, which ships much of its merchandise from China.

The pullback is already starting to show. Some sellers are already planning to sit out major sales events such as Amazon Prime Day in July, Reuters has reported.

Growth in revenue from Amazon’s third-party seller services more than halved to 7% in the first quarter, excluding the impact of foreign exchange. Third-party seller services account for nearly a quarter of the company’s revenue. And while Amazon forecast total second-quarter sales above Wall Street estimates, its outlook for core profitability fell short.


Amazon did not provide any details on whether it was making it easier for its sellers to keep costs down, or if the company would absorb some of the impact.

Bob O’Donnell, president and chief analyst at TECHnalysis Research, said, "The worst of this is going to hit in Q3 and Q4. Right now, everybody’s playing sort of the short-term game because they don’t really know what else to do."

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/analysisamazon-sellers-are-stocking-up-in-the-face-of-tariffs-but-its-a-shortterm-fix-4018779

Portugal's power exchanges with Spain remain suspended amid blackout probe

 Portugal is supplying electricity to clients from its own sources as power exchanges with Spain remain suspended amid an inquiry into the causes of a blackout earlier this week, the energy minister said on Friday.

Spain suffered a catastrophic outage in its electricity grid on Monday, which also provoked an outage across Portugal which was importing cheaper renewable energy from its neighbour.

"For now, we continue without exchanging electricity with Spain as a precaution, showing the independence we have at the moment," acting Energy Minister Maria da Graca Carvalho told reporters after an online meeting with her Spanish counterpart Sara Aagesen.

"It will take some time to understand exactly what happened," she said, without saying when power exchanges could be resumed, although physical interconnections between the two countries have already been re-established.

The minister said she had asked European Commissioner for Energy Dan Jorgensen to produce an interim report "much more quickly" than the six months usually required.

She said the authorities still had "no idea" what caused the outage, with millions of bits of data yet to be analysed by independent experts in Portugal, Spain and Europe.

The two countries have agreed to jointly identify the causes of the blackout and measures to prevent such outages in the future, Aagesen said separately.

Da Graca Carvalho said Portugal would make an effort to make its electricity system more resilient and for it to recover more quickly from an outage, after it took 10 hours on Monday, which was already "an exemplary recovery".

"No one can be 100% protected from an event of this kind".

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/portugals-power-exchanges-spain-remain-173740134.html

Native-Born Workers Surge By Over 1 Million, Back To All-Time High, As Govt Employees Tumble

 For much of the past 4 years we dutifully reported, month after month, how the US labor market under the Biden administration "grew" almost entirely on the back of "foreign-born" workers, who - as we also first revealed and eventually was widely accepted - were primarily illegal aliens:

More importantly, as we predicted at the start of 2024...

We bring this up because deep inside today's jobs report we got the best news yet: after literally flatlining in late 2019, having plunged during covid and barely recovering to its pre-covid levels, the number of native born workers is now back to its all time high, 132.228 million.

That's because in April, the number of native-born workers surged by just over 1 million, from 131.186 million to 132.228 million. Meanwhile, the number of foreign-born workers - who as we explained previously were mostly undocumented, or illegal, aliens - dropped by 410K from a record 32.225 million.

Or, as so many people have already said, this is what a majority of Americans voted for.

Actually, they voted for something else too: after hitting a record high in December, the last month of Biden's admin, the number of Federal government employees has declined for 4 consecutive months to the lowest level in over a year. Thank you DOGE.

So while there has been pain, and there will be a lot more pain, America is finally returning to some semblance of a long-term viable trendline.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/native-born-workers-surge-over-1-million-back-all-time-high-federal-govt-employees-tumble

2 Americans Charged In Operating International Child Exploitation Ring

 by Rachel Acenas via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Two leaders of a child exploitation network known as 764 have been arrested, federal officials announced on Wednesday.

764 leader Prasan Nepal in a booking photo. Courtesy of Guilford County Sheriff's Office

Prasan Nepal, 20, of High Point, North Carolina, was arrested on April 22 in North Carolina. Leonidas Varagiannis, 21, was arrested on April 29 in Greece on an international warrant.

Both defendants face charges of operating an international child exploitation enterprise, marking a major takedown of an operation that targets innocent children, according to FBI Director Kash Patel.

This is a significant case in our renewed mission to crack down on child sexual exploitation and abuse—heinous crimes that no child or parent should ever be faced with,” Patel said on Wednesday in a statement on social media platform X.

The defendants allegedly recruited others to exploit children and coordinated the operation through encrypted messaging apps.

Varagiannis has denied the allegations. He appeared in court on Wednesday before an appellate prosecutor and opposed extradition, according to Greek judicial authorities and his lawyer.

Throughout the period during which the alleged offenses took place, he was residing in Greece. Therefore, Greek law and courts have jurisdiction over the case, and his extradition is explicitly prohibited,” his lawyer Xanthippi Moysidou said.

Nepal is currently in the Guilford County, North Carolina, jail on a federal hold and has a public defender.

Federal prosecutors allege the two men targeted children as young as 13 years old from late 2020 through early 2025 across multiple jurisdictions through the 764 criminal enterprise.

764 is a network of online groups that “methodically target and exploit minors and other vulnerable individuals,” according to a public service announcement posted by the FBI on March 6.

These networks use threats, blackmail, and manipulation to coerce or extort victims into producing, sharing, or live-streaming acts of self-harm, animal cruelty, sexually explicit acts, and/or suicide,” the FBI said.

The material is used as leverage to force victims to perform acts of violence and even self-harm. The network also engages in swatting and harassment to silence its victims.

criminal complaint unsealed on Wednesday in the District of Columbia shows examples of online manuals used by the defendants to instruct others on how to groom and extort minors. The guides taught others specifically how to target vulnerable children online, according to the affidavit, and ultimately coerced and threatened them into creating degrading content.

The allegations in this case are not only disturbing, they are also every parent’s nightmare,’ U.S. Attorney Edward R. Martin Jr. said in a Department of Justice statement on April 29.

The case was brought as part of Project Safe Childhood, a nationwide initiative to combat the epidemic of child sexual exploitation and abuse. The DOJ launched the initiative in May 2006.

The initiative utilizes federal, state, and local resources to locate, arrest, and prosecute those who exploit children through the internet. It also aims to identify and rescue victims.

Attorney General Pam Bondi on Wednesday called for swift justice in the case.

These defendants are accused of orchestrating one of the most heinous online child exploitation enterprises we have ever encountered—a network built on terror, abuse, and the deliberate targeting of children,” Bondi said in a statement. “We will find those who exploit and abuse children, prosecute them, and dismantle every part of their operation.”

Varagiannis will remain in custody until a court of appeals rules on the U.S. extradition request.

If convicted, both defendants face a maximum penalty of life in prison.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

From NTD News

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/two-americans-charged-operating-international-child-exploitation-ring