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Friday, October 3, 2025

Boeing 777X Commercial Debut Pushed To 2027, Billions In Charges Loom

 Boeing's 777X widebody jet is not expected to enter commercial service until early 2027, one full year later than planned, or about seven years behind schedule. One Jefferies analyst now expects Boeing to take a massive charge due to the delay, adding yet another headache for the struggling planemaker. The fresh setback comes one week after reports suggested the FAA was easing restrictions on 737 Max deliveries. 

Bloomberg, citing sources familiar with Boeing and major airlines, reported that the 777X will not be delivered to Deutsche Lufthansa AG and Emirates in 2026, with the latest plans pushing entry into service to 2027.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG, the launch customer for the widebody aircraft, is already laying the groundwork for a fresh setback. The German airline isn't including the 777X in its fleet plans until 2027, said one of the people, who asked not to be identified because the matter is confidential. Officials at Emirates, the 777X's biggest customer, have also grown more cautious as it looks at entry into service possibly not before 2027. -BBG

The potential commercial delay for the 777X prompted Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu to forecast that Boeing could take a charge as large as $4 billion due to the delays. 

That includes the lost cash Boeing would have collected in 2026 from delivering 18 of the widebody jets, along with customer concessions and other related costs. Of the many challenges that the planemaker currently faces, "I'm sure it's a big priority because it's going to be a big cash drain for them," Kahyaoglu said of the 777X certification delays.

Separately, RBC analyst Ken Herbert expects the 777X's entry into service to begin sometime in the second half of 2027. He forecasts a $2.5 billion charge due to the delay.

Last month, Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg revealed to investors at a Morgan Stanley conference that the 777X certification process was falling behind schedule.

Emirates (the largest customer), Qatar Airways, Lufthansa, Etihad Airways, Cathay Pacific, All Nippon Airways, and British Airways are among the customers awaiting delivery. This new jet is the successor to its out-of-production 747 jumbo.

Boeing shares are flat in premarket trading in New York. For the year, shares are up 23% (as of Thursday's close) and have been locked in a half-decade lateral pattern since the twin Max jet crashes and the Covid pandemic.

Related:

For the Trump administration, 737 Max's global supply chain is a significant problem. 

Here’s a breakdown of key parts in the Boeing 737 and their country of origin:

CountryAircraft component for Boeing 737
AustraliaWing ailerons
AustriaBlended winglets and split winglets
BelgiumEngine compressors, oil tank, pump, filter, and valve
BelgiumFlap/slat mechanisms
CanadaCommunication antennas
CanadaAirborne communication systems
CanadaWing tip panels
CanadaWheel well fairings
CanadaAircraft doors
CanadaCabin curtains
CanadaPower transmission torque tube drives
CanadaInner barrel for engine nacelle inlet
CanadaNose landing gear assemblies (titanium components)
CanadaElectromagnetic indicators and annunciators
CanadaWinglet and wing components
ChinaForward entry door
ChinaRudder
ChinaFlight deck panels
ChinaCarbon brake disks
ChinaInterior completion of cabin
ChinaVertical fin
ChinaAft fuselage section
ChinaAircraft landing gear
FranceWing assembly
FranceBearings
FranceInflight entertainment
FranceEngine electrical wire harnesses
FranceTitianium/aluminum structural components
FrancePiston rings
FranceThrust reversers
FranceAutothrottle system
FranceElectrical power contactor
FranceEngine hydromechanical fuel pumps
FranceWheels
FranceEmergency locator transmitter
FranceCockpit door surveillance cameras
FranceStructural bulkhead
FranceStandby flight display
FranceLimit and proximity switches
FranceFasteners
GermanyCorrosion protecting coatings
GermanyCabin exit signs
GermanyPassenger Seating
GermanyCabin galley and stowage bins
GermanyCargo sliding carpet system
GermanyWinglet lightning harness
GermanyCabin pressure control system
GermanyFuselage anti-collision lights
GermanyDoor locks and latches
GermanyIce protection equipment
GermanyWindow seals
GermanyForgings, castings and extrusions
IndiaVertical fin structures
IndiaWire harnesses
IndiaStrut assemblies
IsraelCargo and passenger doors
IsraelMetal parts and structures
IsraelWheel well panels
IsraelAluminum and steel for winglet
ItalyTitanium forgings
ItalyRotor blades and stator vane
JapanInboard flaps and flap segment
JapanPassenger Seating
JapanLavatory equipment
LatviaArm caps for economy class seats
MalaysiaAirframe saddle fairing
MoroccoWire harnesses
NetherlandsGalleys, closets, class dividers
NetherlandsElectrical wiring, wire harnesses, junction boxes
NetherlandsLaminates for various components
NorwayTurbine engine vanes and casings
RussiaTitanium
South AfricaVacuum-formed cockpit and cabin assemblies
South AfricaPrecision machined interior linings
South KoreaLower door skin, inner skin cover detail
South KoreaElectronic equipment door
South KoreaEmpennage (737 MAX)
South KoreaInterior bulkheads
South KoreaFlap support fairing and winglet
South KoreaRear wing spar and jackscrew
SpainFlight control surfaces
SpainRudder
SpainSheet metal bending and milling
SwedenEngine gearbox bearings
SwedenAC/humidity control
SwitzerlandAirborne vibration monitor
TaiwanMain landing gear door
TaiwanPressurized doors
TaiwanEngine case
TurkeyRear fuselage and tail surfaces
TurkeyFlight deck panels
TurkeyWing tips
TurkeyStructural components
TurkeyCabin cabinets
TurkeyEngine fan cowls
UKThrust reverser actuator
UKFlight control actuators
UKBlended winglets
UKWing flaps structural ribs and substructures
UKEngine sensors, and monitoring
UKNacelle inlet lip skins
UKCockpit voice recorder and flight data recorder
UKExtended range auxiliary fuel tank
UKCockpit indicators and switches
UKTires
UKElectrical static dischargers
UKAircrew seats and gear drives
UKAirborne communication antenna
UKEmergency lighting floorpath system
UKFlight deck entry video surveillance system
UKEmergency locator beacon
UKJet engine rings
UKAnti-spall windshields
UKPacking and filling material

Why Build a Jet Like This?

Commercial aircraft contain millions of precision parts, many made from exotic alloys or advanced composites. No single country holds all that know‑how. Russia’s VSMPO‑AVISMA, for instance, remains the world’s dominant source of aerospace‑grade titanium—a metal prized for its strength‑to‑weight ratio and corrosion resistance.

By tapping specialized suppliers, Boeing keeps costs competitive, earns reciprocal market access abroad, and balances political risk by spreading production across multiple jurisdictions.

Risks of Tariffs and Protectionism

However, this level of globalization exposes manufacturers to geopolitical and economic risks. According to Reuters, aerospace firms have lobbied hard to preserve tariff-free agreements between the U.S. and EU. Even temporary tariffs in past disputes have disrupted delivery schedules and increased costs.

Analysis from Harvard Business School points to rising protectionism as a major threat to supply chain stability. As governments reevaluate trade policies, the world’s major aircraft companies may be forced to rethink their international sourcing models—a costly and complex endeavor.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/boeing-777x-commercial-debut-pushed-2027-billions-charges-loom

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