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Thursday, June 18, 2020

City density not tied to higher covid infection rates, is linked to lower covid death rates

A new study suggests that denser places, assumed by many to be more conducive to the spread of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, are not linked to higher infection rates. The study, led by a researcher at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, also found that dense areas were associated with lower COVID-19 death rates.
The study was published online June 18 in the Journal of the American Planning Association.
For their analysis, the researchers examined SARS-CoV-2 rates and COVID-19 death rates in 913 metropolitan counties in the U.S. When other factors such as race and education were taken into account, the authors found that county density was not significantly associated with county infection rate.
The authors also found that denser counties, as compared to more sprawling ones, tended to have lower death rates—possibly because they enjoyed a higher level of development including better health care systems.
On the other hand, the authors found that higher coronavirus infection and COVID-19 mortality rates in counties are more related to the larger context of metropolitan size in which counties are located. Large metropolitan areas with a higher number of counties tightly linked together through economic, social, and commuting relationships are the most vulnerable to the pandemic outbreaks.
“These findings suggest that should continue to practice and advocate for compact places rather than sprawling ones, due to the myriad well-established benefits of the former, including ,” says study lead author Shima Hamidi, Ph.D., a Bloomberg Assistant Professor of American Health in Environmental Challenges in the Department of Environmental Health and Engineering at the Bloomberg School.
Recent polls suggest that many Americans now consider an exodus from big cities likely, possibly due to the belief that more density equals more infection risk. Some have posited that urban density is linked to the transmissibility of the virus.
Hamidi, whose research background is in urban planning and architecture, and colleagues found otherwise. She and her colleagues, Sadegh Sabouri, a doctoral student, and Reid Ewing, Distinguished Professor of City and Metropolitan Planning at the University of Utah, examined data from January 20 through May 25 on 913 metropolitan U.S. counties, using an approach known as Structural Equation Modeling and taking into account factors such as , education levels, and demographic variables including age and race, and health care infrastructure such as ICU bed capacity.
The researchers determined from this analysis that, when controlling for other factors, a measure of density that they termed the “activity density”—which takes into account both residents and workers in a given area—did not have a significant association with SARS-CoV-2 infection rates. Higher activity density did, however, have a significant association with COVID-19 death rates, but an unexpected one.
“The fact that density is unrelated to confirmed virus infection rates and inversely related to confirmed COVID-19 death rates is important, unexpected, and profound,” says Hamidi. “It counters a narrative that, absent data and analysis, would challenge the foundation of modern cities and could lead to a population shift from urban centers to suburban and exurban areas.”
The analysis found that after controlling for factors such as metropolitan size, education, race, and age, doubling the activity density was associated with an 11.3 percent lower death rate. The authors say that this is possibly due to a faster and more widespread adoption of social distancing practices and better quality of health care in areas of denser population.
The authors conclude that a higher county population, a higher proportion of people age 60 and up, a lower proportion of college-educated people, and a higher proportion of African Americans were all associated with a greater infection rate and mortality rate.
The researchers have been updating the data as the pandemic progresses, and are finding that the associations they have uncovered are becoming even stronger, Hamidi says. The team is also conducting a that tracks the relationships among density, the county-level SARS-CoV-2 infection rates and mortality rates, and explanatory factors as they change over time, and have found consistent results regarding the inverse relationship between and the COVID-19 mortality rate.
“Does Density Aggravate the COVID-19 Pandemic? Early Results and Lessons for Planners” was written by Shima Hamidi, Sadegh Sabouri, and Reid Ewing.

Explore further
High participation in social distancing would decrease coronavirus impact in rural Missouri

More information: Shima Hamidi et al, Does Density Aggravate the COVID-19 Pandemic?, Journal of the American Planning Association (2020). DOI: 10.1080/01944363.2020.1777891

Mild coronavirus cases may bestow far lower immunity

People who catch COVID-19 but don’t show symptoms may have significantly lower levels of immunity against the virus than those who become severely ill, new research showed Thursday.
The majority of virus patients display relatively minor signs of infection, and a small proportion show no symptoms at all.
Very little is known about this group, given that they are far less likely to be tested than those who go on to develop severe symptoms including respiratory problems.
Researchers based in China compared two groups of individuals infected with COVID-19 in Chongqing’s Wanzhou district: 37 who showed symptoms versus 37 who did not.
The researchers analysed from both groups taken a few weeks after recovering and found that just 62.2 percent of the asymptomatic group had short-term antibodies, compared with 78.4 percent of symptomatic patients.
After eight weeks of convalescence, antibody presence had fallen in 81.1 percent of asymptomatic patients, compared with 62.2 percent of symptomatic patients.
What’s more, were found to have lower levels of 18 pro- anti-inflammatory cell-signalling proteins than the symptomatic group, suggesting a weaker immune response to the novel .
Authors of the study, which was published in Nature Medicine, said their findings called into question the idea that everyone who has had coronavirus are immune to future infection.
“These data might indicate the risks of using COVID-19 ‘immunity passports’ and support the prolongation of public health interventions, including social distancing, hygiene, isolation of high-risk groups and widespread testing,” they wrote.
Danny Altmann, a spokesman for British Society for Immunology as well as professor of Immunology at Imperial College London, said the research raised a vital question for combatting COVID-19.
“Much immunology data so far has come from analysing the sickest, hospitalised patients, but most people who have been more mildly affected will want to know whether this is likely to have conferred lasting, protective immunity,” he said.
Altmann said it was “an important and potentially worrying point” that many patients in the study showed a significant decline in antibody levels in just two months.
“Though this is quite a small sample size of patients, it is in line with some concerns that natural immunity to coronaviruses can be quite short-lived,” said Altmann, who was not involved in the research.
More information: Quan-Xin Long et al. Clinical and immunological assessment of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections, Nature Medicine (2020). DOI: 10.1038/s41591-020-0965-6
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-06-mild-virus-cases-bestow-immunity.html

Can Mouthwash Douse the Spread of COVID-19?

Can oral rinses help stop the spread of COVID-19? After reviewing evidence from more than 100 articles, researchers have concluded that some oral rinses may help curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2, but more research is “desperately” needed.
Although investigators recognize the role that such products might play in curtailing the pandemic, they are calling for more research to help shed some much-needed light on the subject.
It is possible that dampening down the levels of shed virus, even transiently, may have an impact on transmission of disease to vulnerable people or to healthcare professionals who routine work in the upper airway, such as ear, nose, and throat surgeons, anesthetists, and dentists, coinvestigator Albert Bosch, PhD, University of Barcelona, Spain, told Medscape Medical News.
“This idea needs testing in clinical trials where the impact of oral rinsing on the number of infectious virions is tested before and after rinsing, and if there is an effect, how long the effect persists would then need to be determined,” Bosch added.
The review was published online May 14 in Function.

Virucidal Strategy

The SARS-CoV-2 virus is surrounded by a lipid envelope. Inserted into this biomembrame are the spike glycoproteins required for infection, the researchers note.
Robust though the virus may be, the lipid biomembrane may be its Achilles heel, said coinvestigator Syed A. Sattar, PhD, University of Ottawa, Canada. “We expect, based on studies on other similar viruses, that the membrane will be amenable to disruption,” he said.
To interfere with the lipid envelope is a well-known virucidal strategy against many coronaviruses, and previous research has demonstrated the impact of many agents in this regard, the current investigators write.
Such studies have led to a consensus view that enveloped viruses, including SARS-CoV-2, are highly sensitive to 60% to 70% ethanol, which causes almost immediate inactivation. These views have been echoed in recommendations by the World Health Organization (WHO) and the US Environmental Protection Agency.
However, current guidance from WHO regarding clinical management of SARS-CoV-2 in the home does not mention oral hygiene. This is likely due to the dearth of research into the possibility of oral antiviral strategies in the fight against the virus.
Previous research suggests that the salivary glands and throat are major sources of coronavirus replication. Furthermore, a high viral load in the mouth may contribute to the spread of disease in early stages of infection.
“It is known that the throat is a source of shed virus, especially in early-stage disease, and also in asymptomatic individuals who are also likely to be infectious,” Bosch said.
“There is increasing evidence that many people don’t have symptoms, yet they are positive for SARS-CoV-2 through detection of virus in throat and nasal swabs,” he added.

The Evidence to Date

Increased levels of viral shedding in the throat or lungs might also be associated with an increase in the propensity to infect others, the researchers add. As such, strategies aimed at reducing the number of infective virus particles in mucous membranes may help reduce the risk for transmission. One such strategy is to use oral rinses that target the lipid envelope around SARS-CoV-2.
But could these strategies actually work?
To help answer this question, the investigators conducted a literature review that examined several common ingredients in oral rinses, including ethanol, chlorhexidine, cetylpyridinium chloride, hydrogen peroxide, and povidone-iodine. The researchers assessed the potential of each of these to disrupt the lipid envelope of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and potentially reduce viral spread.
With respect to ethanol, most studies have investigated the utility of higher concentrations of the compound. Few have examined the lower concentrations commonly found in commercially available mouthwashes.
The small amount of research that has been conducted with lower ethanol concentrations has been promising. Two such trials, both conducted in vitro, yielded positive outcomes in relation to virus denaturation.
In 2007, a study concluded that 20% ethanol completely inactivated three enveloped viruses – sindbis, herpes simplex–1, and vaccinia. Another study published 10 years later showed that a 30-second exposure to a dilution containing 34% ethanol completely prevented coronavirus replication.
There is “an urgent need’ to perform similar studies under biologically relevant conditions, such as in the mucosa and mouth, the current investigators note.
Some researchers have followed this path, examining the ability of commercially available mouthwashes to disrupt viral lipid envelopes with either ethanol or other active agents.
In 1995, researchers tested 26.9% ethanol plus essential oils against herpes, influenza, rotavirus, and adenovirus in vitro. Both herpes and influenza (which are enveloped) were significantly affected, whereas adenovirus and rotavirus (which are not enveloped) were not. This led the investigators to speculate that the oral rinse may alter the viral lipid envelope.
A 2010 unpublished follow-up study by the same group showed that a 30-second in vitro exposure to 21.6% ethanol with essential oils led to a more than 99.99% reduction of infectivity of H1N1 influenza.
These studies “provide proof-of-concept that mouthwashes containing essential oils with 21-27% ethanol can inactivate enveloped viruses, both in the lab and in humans, with the likely mechanism being damage to the lipid envelope,” the review authors write.
Nevertheless, more ethanol research needs to be performed, they add.

Different Formulations

“In our review, we summarize the small number of studies, mostly in Japan, that have been undertaken,” said lead author Valerie O’Donnell, PhD, Cardiff University, Wales, United Kingdom.
Although the studies showed that oral rinsing had a positive effect, the studies “were small, not blinded, self-reported, or didn’t define which respiratory pathogen was involved, so they all have limitations. This is why large-scale clinical trials are desperately needed,” she added.
Other studies have investigated the potential of other oral rinse formulations on lipid-enveloped viruses. Chlorhexidine has been shown in vitro to reduce the viral concentration of enveloped viruses.
Given that chlorhexidine formulations can retain their oral antimicrobial activity for up to 12 hours, the researchers note that combining them with ethanol may prove useful for reducing viral load over longer periods.
Povidone-iodine has also been the subject of a few human studies, which have shown that repeated gargling can reduce incidence of both bacterial and viral infection. Nevertheless, povidone-iodine is currently available only in a few Asian countries. In addition, rare allergic reactions have been reported with its use.
Rinsing with chlorinated water or hypertonic saline is another option and has borne fruit in a pilot study from Japan. However, this study was nonblinded and self-reported “and so cannot be considered definitive,” the current investigators write.
Another potential oral rinse is hydrogen peroxide, which causes oxygen free radical–induced disruption of lipid membranes. Previous studies have shown that coronavirus 229E and other enveloped viruses are inactivated at hydrogen peroxide concentrations of approximately 0.5%.
Although hydrogen peroxide concentrations greater than 5% can damage soft and hard tissues, little damage has been reported in the 1% to 3% concentration range commonly used in mouthwashes for teeth whitening.
Quaternary ammonium compounds are widely used microbicidal agents that interfere with protein or lipid components on the cell surface. One such compound is cetylpyridinium chloride, which has recently been shown to be active in vitro and in vivo against influenza through direct attack on the viral envelope.

Key Questions Remain

For all the potential these oral rinses have, further research is needed to clarify what, if any, effect they may have on SARS-CoV-2 transmission, the review authors write.
They note that such research should answer several questions, including the following:
  • Can viral load in the oropharynx be reduced through oral rinsing?
  • If yes, which oral rinse might be clinically effective?
  • Would a combination of agents in lower amounts be better tolerated, reduce adverse effects, and remain effective?
  • What combinations, contact times, and frequency of use might induce antiviral activity and reduce infectivity of SARS-CoV-2?
To help answer these queries, the investigators suggest several research approaches. Epidemiologic studies may help establish on a population level whether oral rinses are associated with reduced rates of throat and respiratory infections, including those caused by SARS-CoV-2.
More research into the SARS-CoV-2 virus is also needed, including research to determine the composition of its lipidome, the impact of ethanol or other agents on the infectivity of the spike protein, and the impact of temperature and soil load.
Further clinical studies could include population-based interventions. The investigators note that high-risk persons emerging from self-isolation may be one viable study population, as well as healthcare workers at high risk for infection.
Any study of the potential viability of oral rinses in this context also needs to examine the tolerability of these treatments.
“Theoretically, [oral rinses] could cause inflammation of the throat; but in a clinical study, this can be monitored and determined. And we suspect that in short-term use, there will be minimal risks if mouthwash is used correctly,” coinvestigator David Thomas, BDS, PhD, of Cardiff University, said.
Despite many unknowns, the investigators are hopeful that research efforts will definitively answer ongoing questions. Whether the necessary research can be completed in time to address the COVID-19 pandemic is another question, they note.
“We are aware of some studies already being undertaken in other centers,” O’Donnell said. Although thankful that the number of patients with COVID-19 has gone down recently, this has made “research in patients harder,” she added.
Not surprisingly, O’Donnell and colleagues were reluctant to suggest the use of oral rinses as a potential option in the fight against SARS-CoV-2.
“Without the evidence, we cannot make any formal recommendations for the public. Research needs to be conducted to determine if oral rinses have any impact first,” Thomas said.
“However, the importance of maintaining good oral health is an increasingly recognized part of maintaining bodily health in general,” he added.

“Just Get On With It”

Commenting for Medscape Medical News, Stephen J. Challacombe, PhD, King’s College London, United Kingdom, was more definitive in his assessment of certain oral rinses and their role in curbing the spread of COVID-19.
In a review published earlier this year, Challacombe and colleagues assessed current evidence and concluded that povidone-iodine stands the best chance of reducing cross-infection.
“Although we haven’t the evidence to absolutely prove that, the risk to healthcare workers is so high that there’s every justification for going ahead and using it,” Challacombe told Medscape Medical News.
He also recommends 1.5% hydrogen peroxide ― even though it is not known whether it is inactivated in the presence of other organic matter. “Furthermore, it hasn’t been tried in vivo against a coronavirus,” he noted.
Chlorhexidine has been subject to less research, though its virucidal properties make it an attractive possibility in this context.
“It was tried against a coronavirus some years ago, and it wasn’t terribly effective against them. But that doesn’t mean it wouldn’t be effective if you couldn’t get hold of anything else. It’s just that you’ve got far less of an evidence base than with povidone-iodine or hydrogen peroxide,” Challacombe said.
Research notwithstanding, he sees little downside to using oral rinses in the fight against the spread of COVID-19.
“We have a problem and we don’t have complete answers. But despite a lack of evidence, I see no reason for waiting if you’ve got a cheap, safe, and potentially effective option available in povidone-iodine,” he said.
“The bottom line is, you’ve got nothing to lose and potentially a lot to gain,” Challacombe added. “So just get on with it.”
The study authors and Challacombe have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.
Function. Published online May 14, 2020. Abstract
https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/932214#vp_1

High-Deductible Plans Push Physicians to Change Practice

Most independent physicians in the United States have changed their practice as a result of the high deductibles patients face with health insurance, survey data show.
The survey, which included interviews with 706 practicing independent physicians, was conducted for the Physicians Advocacy Institute (PAI) by the independent, nonpartisan research group NORC at the University of Chicago. The work was funded by PAI.
Among key findings were that 80% of physicians say their patients delay or forgo care because of out-of-pocket costs or push it to the end of the year when they have met their deductibles. More than half of physicians (51%) said that causes office capacity issues.
The authors explain that 40% of people with employer-sponsored coverage have a high-deductible health plan (HDHP), and 21% of those patients fall into the highest-deductible category described as at least $3000 a year for individuals and at least $5000 for a family.

More Than Half Alter Treatment Plans

The researchers found that 55% of physicians said patients’ cost concerns are causing them to alter treatment plans. Sixty-six percent have changed their decisions about whether to prescribe drugs, and 86% have changed which drugs they prescribe.
The problem has worsened considerably over a decade. Between 2008 and 2018, the average deductible for employer-covered workers went up 212% for patients. At the same time, premiums for employer-sponsored insurance rose 55%.
Frank Wharam, MD, MPH, director of the Division of Health Policy and Insurance Research at Harvard University in Boston, Massachusetts, told Medscape Medical News this survey is unusual in that it looks at the HDHP barriers from physicians’ point of view.
Though administrative burdens come with HDHPs, he said, the plans’ effect on patient outcomes is the most disturbing aspect he sees.
Wharam has studied effects of HDHPs on care, particularly among people managing diabetes and women tested and treated for cancer.
He found that low-income patients with diabetes delay even visits for acute complications — skin infection or a pneumonia, for instance — when out-of-pocket costs are perceived as too high.
“That led to more emergency department visits,” he said, and higher costs.
Wharam said those with diabetes also delayed their visits for symptoms related to cardiovascular disease and for testing and procedures to treat cardiovascular disease.
Regarding cancer care among women the NORC researchers studied, there were delays in getting follow-up testing for concerning breast lesions and there were delays in diagnosis and treatment.
“The delays were greatest among low-income women,” Wharam said. “The biggest delays were among women who lived in rural areas.”

What Can Be Done

HDHPs are not likely to go away anytime soon, Wharam noted. He explained that the COVID-19 pandemic adds another barrier to care because patients may have fears of catching the virus in a physician’s office on top of avoiding or delaying care in general because of the costs.
The survey was taken from December 11 through December 18, 2019, before trends were interrupted by the pandemic.
A population health management approach is more important than ever, Wharam says, which will mean reaching out to patients at home and helping patients maintain and prioritize care.
“Whereas before it may have been the most vulnerable patients not showing up, now it’s an issue that’s affected everyone,” he said.
After connecting with patients, understanding the barriers to care is the second key step, he said.
Patients may also need information on heath savings accounts, he said, so money can be deducted from paychecks and serve as a tax-free way to help pay for their care.
Physicians also should learn what financial help is available for patients, whether through state programs, charitable foundations, drug manufacturers discounts, and even through the practice itself.
Asking patients in the office to show their insurance card may reveal deductible amounts or what kind of plan they have to start the conversation, he said.
Having a staff member dedicated to dealing with insurance issues may be the best solution, he explained, though he acknowledged that may be easier in well-resourced practices.
Physicians say they feel unprepared to help patients know what they will pay. More than half of physicians (51%) say at least half of their patients request cost of care discussion, but 75% of physicians said they didn’t feel they had the information they needed to have those discussions.
That missing information includes the amount of deductible, balance on the deductible, amount of adjusted bills, and benefit design. Only 15% of physicians say they have the cost information and feel confident they can help patients make an informed decision.
That’s no surprise to Wharam, who noted that “the price of a service between a clinician and a health insurer is a secret, in some sense. It’s a negotiated price and one group has a different price from another.”

Lack of Timely, Accurate Information

Donald J. Palmisano Jr, executive director and chief executive officer of the Medical Association of Georgia and a member of PAI’s board of directors, told Medscape Medical News the lack of timely, accurate information has been particularly frustrating.
As an example, physicians may get a prior authorization for a procedure and when it is time to collect, the insurance company says the patient is no longer employed.
“It’s a double-edged sword for the physician,” Palmisano said. “They have more hassles put on them and the information that is supposed to be there is not accurate.”
He said the ultimate solution will likely have to be a regulatory one that will ease the HDHP burden.
“Clearly the insurance companies are not doing that,” he said.
Palmisano said legislation that reins in deductibles will be especially important as insurers try to recover costs from COVID-19 at the same time unemployment climbs.
The survey was funded by PAI. Palmisano is a member of PAI’s board of directors. Wharam has disclosed no relevant financial relationships. Methodological information about the data researchers acquired from SurveyHealthcare’s physician panel is available here.
https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/932614#vp_1

Adding CGRP to Botox Safe, Effective for Migraine Prevention

Adjunctive preventive therapy with a calcitonin gene-related peptide monoclonal antibody (CGRP-mAb) medication is safe and effective in patients with chronic migraine who have only achieved a partial response to onabotulinumtoxinA (Botox) treatment.
Investigators found the CGRP-mAbs significantly reduced the number of headache days and pain severity with adverse event rates similar to those reported in previous trials of these medications.
“The addition of a CGRP monoclonal antibody provided statistically significantly fewer monthly headache days,” said study investigator Fred Cohen, MD, an internal medicine resident physician at Montefiore Health System in New York City. “However, this was a retrospective chart review, which is hindered by elements such as recall bias. Therefore, future prospective studies are warranted for higher quality data.”
The findings were presented at the American Headache Society (AHS) Annual Meeting 2020, which was virtual this year because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Fewer Headache Days

Although Botox it is associated with significant clinical improvement in chronic migraine, it often fails to adequately control headache frequency and additional medications are needed.
As previously reported by Medscape Medical News, CGRP-mAbs fremanezumab, galcanezumab, and erenumab, have recently been approved for migraine prevention, with results from clinical trials demonstrating they are effective for both chronic and episodic migraine. However, patients treated with Botox were excluded from these trials and, to date, there are no data on combination treatment with Botox and CGRP-mAbs.
To determine whether adjunctive treatment with CGRP-mAbs augments Botox therapy in chronic migraine the investigators conducted a retrospective chart review of patients receiving Botox and prescribed a CGRP-mAb.
Eligible patients met the International Classification of Headache Disorders, third edition, criteria for chronic migraine; were age 18 years or older; and presented at a single headache center between May 2018 and May 2019. Patients who received another new therapy during the study or those taking CGRP-mAb treatment for less than 2 months were excluded.
The study’s primary outcome was change in the number of reported monthly headache days. Change in pain severity was the secondary outcome.
The final analysis included data on 153 patients. The population’s mean age was 47.1 years, and 139 patients (90.8%) were women. In all, 89 patients (58.0%) received erenumab (35 received 70 mg and 54 received 140 mg), 51 (33.0%) received galcanezumab, and 13 (9.0%) received fremanezumab.
Overall, 114 (74.5%) patients reported a decrease in monthly headache days or pain severity. In the group of 66 patients for whom quantitative data were available, the average number of monthly headache days before Botox treatment was 25.7. After Botox treatment, patients had an average decrease of 10.9 monthly headache days, a 42.4% reduction, so on average study participants continued to have an average of 14.8 monthly headache days.
After treatment with a CGRP-mAb the number decreased by 5.6 additional days (37.8%). Patients receiving combined therapy had an average of 9.1 monthly headache days. The total decrease from baseline was 16.6 fewer monthly headache days, a 64.6% reduction.
The number of headache days per month was reduced to 9.3 for erenumab and galcanezumab and 5.8 for fremanezumab. However, few patients in the study took fremanezumab so this result had less statistical power than the results for the other CGRP-mAbs.
Thirteen patients (8.5%) reported side effects associated with the CGRP-mAbs, which included constipation, injection-site reaction, and fatigue.

More Evidence Is Needed

Commenting on the findings for Medscape Medical News, Peter McAllister, MD, medical director of the New England Institute for Neurology and Headache in Stamford, Connecticut, said the study’s main limitation is that it is a retrospective chart review, which yields lower level evidence than a prospective, double-blind, placebo-controlled study. McAllister, who was not involved in the research, also noted that the sample size was small, particularly with respect to fremanezumab.
“This study, despite its limitations, shows that addition of a monoclonal antibody to onabotulinumtoxinA is safe and well tolerated, and may confer additional reduction in migraine or headache days. The authors correctly state that more evidence via prospective study is warranted,” said McAllister, who is also chief medical officer of the New England Institute for Clinical Research and was not involved in the investigation.
Cohen has reported no relevant financial relationships. McAllister was an investigator in the PREEMPT trial of onabotulinumtoxinA, as well as in all of the phase 3 monoclonal antibody studies.
American Headache Society (AHS) Annual Meeting 2020. Abstract 825289. Presented June 13, 2020.
https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/932599#vp_1

Antibody study: More coronavirus infections in NC than numbers show

A state-funded study at Wake Forest Baptist Health shows nearly 10 percent of people tested in North Carolina have antibodies to the coronavirus.
The presence of antibodies means the people were likely previously infected, said Dr. John Walton Sanders, the chief of infectious disease for the Winston-Salem hospital, who is leading the study.
“We are getting very good evidence that most people who get infected are asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic,” Sanders said. “Some of these people are feeling it a little bit – a scratchy throat, a little cough – but most of the people in our study had very few symptoms.”
Far fewer people presented with more obvious COVID-19 symptoms, he said.
So far, about 5,000 people have been tested, and only about 0.4 percent had been identified by public health officials as having been infected, Sanders said.
“We can say that 10 to 20 times the number of people who have an identified case have antibodies to the infection,” he said.
A person develops the antibody to coronavirus one to two weeks after infection.
“The vast majority of people that we’ve tested for antibodies, that have been positive, have had no or very little symptoms,” Sanders said.
While it is unknown how infectious asymptomatic people are, he said people should double down on their social distancing efforts.
“I’m not making any suggestion to the governor about what needs to be open or closing, but I am making a great plea to everybody that we take a lot of care of each other,” he said. “We need to stay 6 feet apart. We need to wear masks. We need to stay away from our elders.”
The research also shows that the number of coronavirus cases in North Carolina continues to climb.
“When we first started out, the number of people who had antibodies to COVID was very low in this area, certainly less than 2 percent, maybe less than 1 percent,” Sanders said of the findings in April and early May. “Now, we are at least at 8 percent.”
https://www.wral.com/coronavirus/antibody-study-shows-more-people-infected-with-coronavirus-in-nc-than-numbers-show/19150903/

Biogen Says Will Appeal Ruling Invalidating Tecfidera Patent

Biogen Inc. on Thursday said it will appeal a court ruling that invalidated a key patent on Tecfidera, its blockbuster multiple-sclerosis drug.
A federal court in West Virginia earlier Thursday found that generic drug maker Mylan N.V. had established that Biogen’s patent claims were invalid.
The patent was expected to last until 2028, and the ruling potentially opens the door to generic competition to Tecfidera, which accounted for roughly 30% of Biogen’s sales in the first quarter.
During Biogen’s fourth-quarter earnings conference call in January, Chief Financial Officer Jeffrey Capello said the Cambridge, Mass., company would appeal any adverse ruling in patent litigation relating to Tecfidera, and that the appeal process tends to take 12 to 18 months.

https://www.marketscreener.com/BIOGEN-INC-4853/news/Biogen-Says-Will-Appeal-Ruling-Invalidating-Tecfidera-Patent-30791823/
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