Germany’s coronavirus reproduction rate jumped to 2.88 on Sunday, up
from 1.79 a day earlier, health authorities said, a rate showing
infections are rising above the level needed to contain the disease over
the longer term.
The rise brings with it the possibility of renewed restrictions on
activity in Europe’s largest economy – a blow to a country that so far
had widely been seen as successful in curbing the coronavirus spread and
keeping the death toll relatively low.
To keep the pandemic under control, Germany needs the reproduction
rate to drop below one. The rate of 2.88, published by the Robert Koch
Institute (RKI) for public health, means that out of 100 people who
contract the virus, a further 288 people will get infected.
Chancellor Angela Merkel had favoured maintaining lockdown measures
for longer but gradually eased restrictions in recent weeks following
pressure from regional politicians to reboot the economy.
Already, the country is grappling to get people to adhere to
isolation rules in places where they have been imposed. Over the
weekend, authorities in Goettingen needed riot police to enforce
quarantine measures.
In North-Rhine Westphalia, more than 1,300 people working at a
slaugterhouse in Guetersloh tested positive for coronavirus, up from 803
infections on Friday.
As a result, North-Rhine Westphalia has put 7,000 people under
quarantine and closed kindergartens and schools close to the abbatoir.
“I cannot rule out a broader lockdown,” North-Rhine Westphalia’s premier Armin Laschet told German television ZDF on Sunday.
Outbreaks in recent weeks have occurred in nursing homes, hospitals,
institutions for asylum seekers and refugees, in meat processing plants
and logistics companies, among seasonal harvest workers and in
connection with religious events, RKI said.
The 2.88 rate is a jump from 1.06 on Friday, based on RKI’s moving
4-day average data, which reflects infection rates one to two weeks ago.
Based on a 7-day average, infection rates have risen to 2.03, RKI
said, adding that an accurate reading for long-term patterns will take a
couple of days.
The spike in infections is mainly related to local outbreaks
including in North Rhine-Westphalia, RKI said. North-Rhine Westphalia
was one of the regions most vocal about urging Merkel to ease lockdown
restrictions.
A high 7-day incidence rate was observed in the towns of Guetersloh
and Warendorf, North Rhine-Westphalia. Further outbreaks were detected
in the cities of Magdeburg, in Saxony Anhalt and the Berlin district of
Neukoelln, RKI said.
In total, Germany has reported 189,822 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19
cases and 8,882 deaths due to COVID-19 have been reported, RKI said.
In an interview published on Sunday, Bundesbank President Jens
Weidmann told German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung
that the economy had passed the worst of the crisis caused by the
coronavirus outbreak and was now expected to recover gradually.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-germany/germanys-coronavirus-reproduction-rate-jumps-indicating-rising-contagion-idUSKBN23S0PJ
