The U.S. needs to perform 900,000 COVID-19 tests per day to safely
phase out social distancing measures, according to projections released
May 7 by Harvard’s Global Health Institute.
The newest projection of testing need is a big jump from its earlier projection,
which indicated the U.S. needed to process 500,000 to 600,000 tests per
day to lift restrictions by June. The testing estimates increased
because the latest modeling shows more people getting infected and dying
of COVID-19 than previously projected, Ashish Jha, MD, director of the
Harvard Global Health Institute told NPR.
On May 7, Harvard’s Global Health Institute published a simulation
that estimates the testing needed by May 15 in each state. The amount of
testing needed depends on several factors, including the size of the
outbreak in each state, Dr. Jha told NPR. The following nine
states are near or have exceeded the estimates of minimum testing
needed: Alaska, Hawaii, Montana, North Dakota, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah,
West Virginia and Wyoming.
Many of the states hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, including
New York, are far from the testing minimums estimated by Harvard.
Dr. Jha told NPR there are several caveats about the
estimates, and the numbers should be used as a guide and not taken
literally. Researchers also said testing alone is not enough. The model
is built on the assumption that states are doing contact tracing and
isolating infected or exposed people.
https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/public-health/9-states-performing-enough-covid-19-tests-to-reopen-safely-harvard-researchers-say.html
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