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Tuesday, January 29, 2019

Is There a Diagnostic Company to Rise From the Ashes of Theranos?


Now that the Theranos saga is essentially at an end, are there other diagnostic companies filling the void—without the controversies and fraud?
Theranos, founded by Elizabeth Holmesraised more than $700 million from investors from 2013 and 2015, part of what the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) called “years-long fraud” in which it lied or exaggerated about its diagnostic technology and the state of its finances. Both Holmes and former company president Sunny Balwani have been charged with massive fraud by the SEC.
The company’s technology, which was never peer-reviewed, claimed to be able to provide laboratory testing on a single drop of blood at a far lower cost. Eventual investigations of the company and its Edison devices found the company was not actually using the devices, but standard laboratory equipment, and often in an inaccurate fashion.

But companies are filling in the gaps and the entire area of so-called “liquid biopsies” is hot these days, with companies like Guardant HealthKariusFreenomeApostle and GRAIL entering the market. With this backdrop, let’s look at some companies working in thesame field as the now-defunct Theranos.
Ativa Medical. Based in St. Paul, Minnesota, Ativa Medical is working to develop an affordable diagnostic product that consolidates blood testing to decentralized healthcare settings. The company is developing the Ativa MicroLab, which can process diagnostic tests on small blood or urine samples. It uses a single-use test cartridge that is projected to cost about $8 per test. As of now, the system is not cleared for use in the U.S.
In an article about Ativa in the Star TribuneKathleen Tune, managing director of Minneapolis’ Fourth Element Capital, said, “This technology—the concept—is amazing. I think that’s why people were willing to go down that road with Theranos. But I’m sure [Theranos’ collapse] did cause a taint on the technology area.”
Genalyte. Headquartered in San Diego and Austin, Texas, Genalyte is developing a portable laboratory that can run about 62 different clinical tests on just a few drops of blood. It is called the Maverick Detection System and uses microchip tech to analyze multiple antibodies and other proteins. It then digitizes the samples and sends the data to a cloud-based laboratory for review, then sends results to the physician in real time.
Quick to separate itself from Theranos, the company draws on larger blood samples of about 10 microliters and is focused on the rheumatology market. Last year the company launched a pilot program with six clinics in San Diego. The goal is to prove that patients prefer the system and that it can decrease physician error.
Abbott Laboratories. Wait, what? Yes, Abbott is actually the 5,000-pound gorilla in the field of point-of-care diagnostics. Its i-Stat is found in about a third of all U.S. hospitals. i-Stat is a handheld device. Drops of blood are placed onto an SD-card-like cartridge that slides into the device. The test results are uploaded wirelessly and automatically. It can run about 26 different tests via different cartridges.
“You can run the blood and get results in 10 minutes,” Narendra Soman, director of R&D for point-of-care diagnostics at Abbott told Wired. “That happens right at the patient’s side, as opposed to having to draw blood and send it to a lab.”
Athelas. Located in Mountain View, California, Athelas is working to develop a rapid blood diagnostics and immune monitoring platform that could be used at home by chemotherapy patients, in addition to pharmaceutical companies. Its technology uses deep learning and computer vision to analyze high-resolution blood images in order to generate cell counts. Reportedly, the device is able to test for the flu, bacterial infections, and some cancers. At the moment, it is predominantly used to monitor white blood cell counts for chemotherapy.
Karius. Based in Redwood City, Calif., the company is working on the Karius Test, a comprehensive device capable of identifying more than 1,000 pathogens directly from blood. It uses next-generation sequencing technology to analyze microbial cell-free DNA. The company’s laboratory is both CLIA-certified and CAP-accredited to perform high-complexity clinical lab testing.
On December 12, 2018, Karius, along with investigators from the University of California San Franciscopublished a study showing the effectiveness of the Karius Test in monitoring infections in stem-cell transplant patients.
“We often struggle to make a diagnosis in patients with stem cell transplants,” stated Monica Fung, first author of the study, a researcher with UCSF, at the time. “Their infections don’t manifest with the typical symptoms you see in healthy individuals. What is exciting about the Karius Test is its ability to test a really broad range of pathogens quickly.”
Orphidia. Located in San Francisco, but originally out of London, UK, Orphida is working on a portable device, the Orphidia Portable Lab Analyzer (PLA), that can run 40 common diagnostic tests from a drop of blood, with results in 20 minutes. It uses microfluidic chips to test via automation. It also uses cloud technology to receive tests data immediately from the technology, where it is stored and made available to physicians.
It’s important to remember that, in the wider world of clinical diagnostics, these devices are very limited. There are more than 4,000 different diagnostic tests available, with the two largest clinical diagnostics providers in the U.S., LabCorp and Quest Diagnostics having test menus that offer thousands of tests. Still, there is a huge need for faster, cheaper and more efficient tests that can be performed at the bedside, in developing countries, or in emergency situations.

Align Technology drops over 12% after quarterly results, guidance


Shares are down 12.4% or $27.53 to $194.50 per share in after-market activity.

Aslan Pharmaceuticals announces strategic corporate restructuring


ASLAN Pharmaceuticals announced a strategic corporate restructuring to focus its resources on its lead clinical programs: varlitinib in biliary tract cancer, ASLAN003 in acute myeloid leukaemia and ASLAN004 in atopic dermatitis. ASLAN will focus its resources on the late-stage development of varlitinib as a potential novel treatment for first- and second-line BTC. Enrolment in a global pivotal study of varlitinib in second-line BTC, the TreeTopp study, was completed ahead of schedule in December 2018 and topline data is expected in the second half of 2019. ASLAN will be closing the ongoing single-arm second-line BTC study in China as it is now expected to read out after the TreeTopp study. If positive, data from the TreeTopp study will be used to submit a New Drug Application in China, the US and other major geographies. ASLAN recently reported positive phase 1b results from an ongoing study of varlitinib as a first-line treatment for BTC which demonstrated that varlitinib increased objective response rate compared to standard of care and this study will continue to recruit patients to strengthen this dataset. The clinical development of ASLAN003 in AML and ASLAN004 in atopic dermatitis remains on track. ASLAN expects to complete the first part of the phase 2 study of ASLAN003 in AML and the phase 1 SAD study of ASLAN004 in the first half of 2019. Following this strategic review, ASLAN will reduce its cost base, including a reduction in headcount by 30%. In total, the planned changes will lower operational costs by 50%. ASLAN does not expect to incur any material restructuring charges. In addition to the reduction in headcount, Dr Bertil Lindmark, currently Chief Medical Officer, has announced he will retire and return to Europe. Dr Chih-Yi Hsieh, currently VP Medical and GM Taiwan, will assume the role of acting Chief Medical Officer. Dr Mark McHale, COO, will transition to the role of Chief Development Officer and Head of R&D with immediate effect.

FDA review extension of Nuvectra’s PMA application expected, says Piper Jaffray


Piper Jaffray analyst Matt O’Brien kept his Overweight rating and $25 price target on Nuvectra, saying the 180-day extension of its PMA application for Virtis by the FDA is not surprising in the wake of U.S. government shutdown. While the timing of the extension is uncertain, the analyst believes that the decision will come by the end of Q1. O’Brien also cites the FDA not identifying any deficiencies or requesting any further detail on the product, which he sees as a “positive signal”.

Amgen Tops Fourth-Quarter Forecasts, But Slides On Weak Outlook


Amgen (AMGN) topped fourth-quarter expectations late Tuesday, but shares slid after the biotech giant’s 2019 guidance came in weaker than expected.
In after-hours trading on the stock market today, Amgen stock dipped 1.9%. Shares closed the regular session up a fraction, at 192.11. Amgen stock is forming a double bottom with a potential buy point at 209.09.
For the fourth quarter, Amgen’s adjusted earnings of $3.42 per share grew 18% to beat the consensus of analysts polled by Zacks Investment Research of $3.26. Revenue advanced 7% to $6.23 billion, topping expectations for $5.88 billion.
Chief Executive Robert Bradway said new products will drive growth. An analyst on Monday downgraded Amgen stock on the likelihood for biosimilars to chip away at the No. 1 biotech’s legacy drugs. Its biggest drug, Enbrel, saw sales dip 8% in the fourth quarter.
“Looking to the future, we are encouraged by our long-term growth prospects driven by our portfolio of newer products, pipeline and ongoing success in international expansion,” Bradway said in a written statement.

One of Amgen’s newest products is migraine prevention drug Aimovig, which generated $95 million in fourth-quarter sales. Aimovig launched in the U.S. in the second quarter and rivals drugs from Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) and Eli Lilly (LLY).
Amgen also noted that four new products generated double-digit growth during the quarter. Sales of cholesterol drug Repatha spiked 62% to $159 million, leading growth in the period. Repatha rivals Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) and Sanofi‘s (SNY) Praluent.
But Amgen’s biggest drug faced some challenges. Sales of arthritis and psoriasis drug Enbrel fell 8% to $1.32 billion. Amgen blamed the dip in Enbrel sales to lower demand and lower net selling price. Sales of Amgen’s second-biggest product, Neulasta — a bone marrow-stimulating drug — grew 5% to $1.17 billion.
Guidance for 2019, though, came in below expectations. For 2019, Amgen sees EPS of $13.10-$14.30, minus certain items. The high end of Amgen’s outlook lagged the average view of analysts polled by Zacks for $14.45.
Amgen sees 2019 revenue of $21.8 billion to $22.9 billion. The midpoint lags analyst expectations for $22.87 billion.

After strong 2018, HCA projects tail wind from Mission deal


HCA Healthcare breezed past most analysts’ expectations in the fourth quarter of 2018, and the investor-owned hospital chain expects its likely acquisition of Mission Health at the end of the month will deliver an additional boost in 2019.
“This system will add to the already strong portfolio of markets that we have inside of HCA Healthcare,” Sam Hazen, who recently took over as HCA’s CEO, said on the company’s Tuesday morning earnings call.
Nashville-based HCA posted $1 billion in net income in the quarter, which ended Dec. 31, 2018, beating expectations and exceeding its fourth quarter 2017 net income by 124.5%. The company generated $3.8 billion in net income in all of 2018, up considerably from $2.2 billion in 2017.
HCA’s strong finish in 2018 didn’t come as a surprise, and some analysts said they were more eager to learn about the company’s 2019 guidance, which accounts for its pending acquisition of Asheville, N.C.-based Mission. HCA overcame a significant regulatory hurdle on Jan. 16, when North Carolina’s attorney general OK’d its purchase of the six-hospital, not-for-profit system. The deal still needs approval from the Federal Trade Commission.
In 2019, HCA expects revenue of $50.5 billion to $51.5 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $9.35 billion to $9.75 billion and diluted earnings per share between $9.60 and $10.20.
HCA’s CFO, Bill Rutherford, said on the company’s earnings call that the company projects about 3% of its anticipated earnings growth in 2019 will come from acquisitions, with 2% coming from deals that closed in 2017 and 2018, and the rest from Mission. Another 5% is expected to come from same-facility growth, which is based on projected expected demand, capital investments and strategy execution, he said.
“We think all of that is reflected in our 2019 guidance,” he said.
HCA hit or surpassed all of the metrics in its full-year 2018 guidance. The company’s revenue totaled $46.7 billion in the year, up 7% from $43.6 billion in 2017 and in line with its guidance. The company’s adjusted EBITDA was $8.95 billion, up nearly 9% from 2017 and just edging out the upper end of its estimate of $8.9 billion. HCA easily beat its diluted earnings per share guidance, which rounded out 2018 at $10.66. The upper end of its guidance was $9.45 per diluted share.
HCA’s earnings per share in 2018 beat predictions from analysts with Zacks Investment Research, which pegged it at $9.35. HCA also beat Zacks’ predictions on revenue.
HCA Healthcare drew $12.3 billion in revenue during the fourth quarter of 2018, up 6.2% from the same period in 2017, in which revenue totaled $11.6 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was $2.5 billion in the quarter, up 6.2% year-over-year.
Same-facility-equivalent admissions and same-facility admissions both increased 1.9% in the fourth quarter of 2018, which Hazen said marks HCA’s 19th consecutive quarter of same-facility inpatient admissions growth. Same-facility revenue per equivalent admission increased 4.4%.
On the flipside, same-facility emergency room visits were down 2.1% in the quarter year-over-year. On the call, Rutherford added the caveat that all declines were among lower acuity visits, while higher acuity visits increased year over year.
Same-facility inpatient surgeries increased 0.1% during the quarter, while same-facility outpatient surgeries increased 0.8%.
HCA projects spending $3.7 billion on capital projects in 2019, which Hazen said is consistent with the prior two years. The main goals will be to add capacity in high-utilization facilities, such as critical-care beds and operating room suites, Hazen said. HCA finished 2018 with about 72% occupancy in its hospital beds, which Hazen said was “over and above” its 2017 rate.
HCA also plans to direct its capital spending toward adding outpatient capabilities, including surgery centers, clinics and diagnostic centers. Hazen added such projects are “small dollar” and don’t consume a huge proportion of the budget. Finally, HCA plans to add clinical technology, Hazen said.
“We think the combination of all of those are helping us respond to the marketplace and drive market share growth,” he said.
HCA recorded a $551 million tax benefit from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2018, including $484 million in savings from its lower corporate tax rate. That’s compared with 2017, when HCA saw a $301 million increase in its income tax bill as a result of the new tax law.
HCA estimates it lost $31 million in the fourth quarter of 2018 as a result of the damage from Hurricane Michael in the Florida Panhandle, prior to insurance recoveries. That was offset by a $49 million insurance recovery HCA recorded during the quarter related to 2017’s Hurricane Harvey.
As of Dec. 31, HCA operated 179 hospitals and 1,800 sites of care, including surgery centers and free-standing emergency rooms in 20 states and the United Kingdom.
Hazen told listeners on Tuesday’s earnings call that HCA will likely see more acquisition activity in 2019, although it’s an open question whether future deals will be the same “market makers” as Mission or HCA’s acquisition of Memorial Health in Savannah, Ga.
“My sense is that there is a need to be a part of something bigger,” he said. “There is a need to be able to leverage learning across an organization. There is a need to have diversification, and HCA brings all three of those to many different systems.”

Tenet sells its remaining Chicago hospitals to Pipeline Health


Tenet Healthcare Corp. sold its remaining three hospitals in the Chicago area to Pipeline Health, the health systems announced Tuesday.
Dallas-based Tenet sold West Suburban Medical Center in Oak Park, Ill., Louis A. Weiss Memorial Hospital in the Uptown neighborhood, and Westlake Hospital in Melrose Park, Ill. This is Los Angeles-based Pipeline’s first acquisition in the Chicago area, bringing its hospital footprint to eight. Tenet still has four ambulatory surgery centers in the area.
These types of community hospitals will play an increasingly important role in the care continuum, Jim Edwards, CEO of Pipeline Health, told Modern Healthcare. Pipeline’s format lends itself to quick decisionmaking and a more affordable cost structure, he said.
“We looked at quality first and foremost, in which these hospitals have the potential to be very high quality, but what can also differentiate us is being a low-cost provider,” said Edwards, who has been in Chicago talking with physicians and staff. “Some of these larger networks and tertiary or quaternary centers aren’t geared for that.”
Pipeline is primed to revitalize struggling community hospitals that allow residents to access care closer to home, said Dr. Eric Whitaker, who is joining Pipeline as a principal and vice chair in Chicago.
Also on Tuesday, Pipeline announced a joint venture in Dallas-Fort Worth with Adeptus Health. Twenty-two free-standing emergency rooms will become licensed outpatient departments of City Hospital at White Rock and will be renamed City Hospital Emergency Care.
Tenet has been divesting hospitals in markets that it doesn’t lead as it looks to pay down about $14 billion in debt.
Fitch Ratings calculated Tenet’s debt at 6.1 times its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, as of Sept. 30, 2018, but said in a news release that could fall below six times by the end of 2019.
Tenet is also shopping its revenue-cycle management business, Conifer, as it doubles down on its ambulatory surgery center chain, United Surgical Partners, in which the hospital chain has an ownership interest in about 5% of all surgery centers and aims to grow aggressively. Conifer has 10% market share in an expanding $15 billion market, serving nearly 750 clients in more than 40 states, Tenet said in an investor presentation at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conferencethis month.
Conifer’s adjusted EBITDA growth on a normalized basis reached 33% in 2018. Tenet’s hospitals, by comparison, grew their adjusted EBITDA by 2% while Tenet’s ambulatory segment grew 11%.
The hospital chain also said in the presentation that it was looking to outsource some of its 115,000 employees, likely more than 1,000 of them. Tenet is restructuring its corporate ranks, resulting in transitioning 20% of its corporate leaders and 35% of its hospital executives. It’s also narrowing its supply chain spend. The company reduced its expenses by $250 million last year.
Tenet reported a net income of $364 million on revenue of $13.69 billion for the nine months ended Sept. 30, up from a $221 million net loss on $14.2 billion of revenue over the same period the prior year.