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Saturday, January 20, 2024

Earnings Sentiment: "Red Sea" Mentions Record High As Supply Chain Fears Grow

 Earnings-call mentions of "Red Sea" surged to record highs in recent weeks as the fourth-quarter earnings season kicks off. 

Management teams and analysts are particularly worried about shipping disruptions as major shippers suspend sails through the critical waterway. At the same time, US and allied forces unleashed bombing raids on Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen. Still, the rebels have been able to strike commercial vessels with missiles and drones this past week, as the chaos in the region could last months.

Using the Document Search function on Bloomberg, earnings-call mentions of "Red Sea" topped 41 this week, a record high. As the earning season progresses, the mentions will likely increase. 

Here's a list of corporate executives discussing the Red Sea situtaion in the latest earnings calls. 

In one earnings call, paint and coating company PPG Industries executives mentioned Red Sea disruptions could affect their raw material purchases. 

An Indian executive at plastics company Supreme Industries warned that the Red Sea chaos "has disrupted the normal flow of business." 

"And just to build on that, zooming out a bit. Of course, if the conflict in the Red Sea were to escalate or to endure, it's going to affect everybody," the CEO of British electrical and telecommunications retailer and services company Currys plc said. 

Disruptions in the critical waterway could have significant consequences for global growth

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/earnings-call-sentiment-red-sea-mentions-hit-record-high-fears-mount-snarled-supply-chains

Foreign funding of US academia

 China, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are three of the top five countries that have donated billions of dollars to American universities. “Roughly one out of every four of those [gifts and grants] have come from" China, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, which "often don't have U.S. interests at heart," according to Adam Andrzejewski, CEO of Open The Books.


American universities and colleges have received $43 Billion from foreign countries and adversaries since 1990. Three of the top five countries that have pumped money into higher education in the U.S. are China, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Read more at The Jerusalem Post → Approximately $13 billion in undisclosed foreign funds, a substantial portion from authoritarian regimes, has been linked to a staggering 300% rise in antisemitism at U.S. universities, according to a new study. Read more at The National Desk →

https://wpde.com/news/nation-world/billions-of-dollars-in-foreign-funding-sent-to-top-us-colleges-and-universities-ivy-league-institutions-qatar-saudi-arabia-china-foreign-adversaries-higher-education


The Deterrent Act, a bipartisan bill passed by congress to lower the reporting threshold of foreign governments and entities of concern from $250,000 to $50,000 is opposed by higher education groups, such as ACE

https://www.acenet.edu/News-Room/Pages/Groups-Oppose-DETERRENT-Act.aspx


Approximately $13 billion in undisclosed foreign funds, a substantial portion from authoritarian regimes, has been linked to a staggering 300% rise in antisemitism at U.S. universities, according to a new study.

https://www.jpost.com/diaspora/antisemitism/article-774728


China sends more students to study at U.S. universities than any other nation and is the largest source of foreign donations to American higher education, making more than $1 billion in gifts since 2014. Last year, former Republican President Donald Trump's Department of Education accused universities of failing to disclose hundreds of millions of dollars in foreign donations, including from China.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senators-want-review-chinese-donations-us-universities-2021-05-26/


Overview 

Foreign nations have donated $43 billion to American universities since 1990. The Department of Education published a report in October 2020 that highlighted funding from foreign adversaries was "massively underreported" by elite universities. The conclusions were drawn from investigations into the underreporting of millions of dollars' worth of gifts and contracts from China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar at twelve prestigious American universities. Since 1986, Universities were required by the federal government to report gifts and contracts they received from overseas nations but the reporting requirements had been hampered by lax federal oversight. To further increase transparency, Congress recently passed a bipartisan bill tightening the requirements for reporting foreign gifts. Lowering the reporting threshold from $250,000 to $50,000. For adversarial countries, the threshold would be $0. The Deterrent Act passed the U.S. House on December 6, 2023, with 31 Democrats voting with Republicans to pass the bill. According to a recent study, higher levels of campus antisemitism and a decline in free speech norms are associated with unreported foreign funding of American universities from authoritarian governments. An astounding 300% increase in antisemitism at U.S. universities has been linked to $13 billion in undisclosed foreign funds from 2014 to 2019. The undisclosed donations had been made by governments in the Middle East, China, and Russia. Harvard, Yale, and Georgetown Universities were among the top recipients of concealed donations. China, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are three of the top five countries that have donated billions of dollars to American universities. “Roughly one out of every four of those [gifts and grants] have come from" China, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, which "often don't have U.S. interests at heart," according to Adam Andrzejewski, CEO of Open The Books. The largest source of funding was Qatar, which contributed about $5 billion, and Saudi Arabia, which contributed about $3 billion. Chinese students attend American universities at a higher rate than those of any other nation, and since 2014, the Chinese government has given more than $1 billion to support higher education in the country.

https://www.offthepress.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Foreign-Funding-of-U.S.-Academia-12-19-23.pdf

DIVERSITY IS GOING TO GET US KILLED

 More evidence that the federal government has gone stark, raving mad:

The Federal Aviation Administration is actively recruiting workers who suffer “severe intellectual” disabilities, psychiatric problems and other mental and physical conditions under a diversity and inclusion hiring initiative spelled out on the agency’s website.

“Targeted disabilities are those disabilities that the Federal government, as a matter of policy, has identified for special emphasis in recruitment and hiring,” the FAA’s website states. “They include hearing, vision, missing extremities, partial paralysis, complete paralysis, epilepsy, severe intellectual disability, psychiatric disability and dwarfism.”

Why in the world would the FAA actively be seeking employees with “severe intellectual disability” or “psychiatric disability”?

The initiative is part of the FAA’s “Diversity and Inclusion” hiring plan, which claims “diversity is integral to achieving FAA’s mission of ensuring safe and efficient travel across our nation and beyond.”

Sure. People with severe intellectual disabilities and psychiatric disorders are just what we need for safe air travel. How crazy are these people? The general decline of standards across our society, which in many cases is due to “diversity,” is already causing aviation problems, as in the case of the Boeing door plug that blew out on the Alaska Airlines flight. I seriously doubt that anyone who has to fly, or wants to fly, has any interest in diversity, either in the airlines or at the FAA.

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/01/diversity-is-going-to-get-us-killed.php

Untangling the hospital safety net

 In order to fund emergency health care for indigent patients, the U.S. provides billions of dollars in subsidies to hospitals. But these subsidies allocate aid to facilities that need it least, fail to protect indigent patients from high charges, and cost substantially more than the total value of free and discounted care provided to the uninsured.

Hospitals in 2019 provided $42 billion in medical care for which they were not paid in full, but every year they receive about $49 billion in public funds for the purpose, mostly as add-on payments to Medicare and Medicaid. Thus, hospitals alone received an average of $1,788 per uninsured U.S. resident—$761 more than the average level of uncompensated care that the uninsured received from all medical providers.

Federal subsidies nonetheless prove inadequate for many facilities because funds are distributed senselessly: in 2023, for the largest type of hospital subsidy, New Hampshire received $2,123 per poor resident; Wyoming, only $4. Within states, the distribution is just as arbitrary, and funds are often provided without any requirement that additional services will be delivered in return.

To untangle the hospital safety net, federal aid for hospitals should be consolidated into grants that are distributed in proportion to the value of free and discounted care that each facility provides to low-income uninsured patients, up to a cap. In return for accepting these funds, hospitals should accept limits on charges and collections from uninsured patients.

Treating the Uninsured

Over the past century, rising affluence and medical innovation have rapidly increased demand for health insurance to improve access to cutting-edge care.

As medical technology advanced, the range and cost of hospital services rose rapidly. Following World War II, the American Hospital Association lobbied for federal funds to compensate it for treating patients unable to pay for themselves.[1] From 1950, Congress provided matching funds for states to aid providers furnishing medical services to welfare recipients; and in 1965, Congress established Medicare and Medicaid to directly provide coverage to elderly and low-income Americans.[2]

Medicare and Medicaid substantially reduced the number of uninsured low-income patients, the out-of-pocket cost exposure of beneficiaries, and the uncompensated care burden on hospitals.[3] But because the federal government paid hospitals according to the costs of delivering care to Medicare and Medicaid patients, expenses surged.[4]

The share of hospital revenues from out-of-pocket payments fell from 50% in 1950 to 3% in 2021.[5] The expansion of private insurance and public entitlements drove up the intensity and cost of hospital care, causing the average cost per patient day to soar from $5.42 in 1935 to $2,883 in 2021 (an amount 28 times higher, after accounting for general inflation).[6]

In 2021, 56% of the U.S. population were covered by private insurance, while 35% were enrolled in Medicare, Medicaid, or other public programs.[7] That left 8% of all U.S. residents uninsured, generally because they were unable to afford insurance and were ineligible for entitlements. A total of 17% of those with incomes below the poverty line, 16% of those living in states that didn’t expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act, and 30% of noncitizen residents lacked health insurance.[8]

As insurance and entitlement programs have become dominant, arrangements for the uninsured have fallen into neglect. In the past, hospitals charged wealthy patients more, in order to cross-subsidize the poor; now, they charge patients paying out-of-pocket prices slightly more than they do insurers for the same medical procedures.[9]

The uninsured enjoy less access to care and are exposed to higher out-of-pocket costs when they receive it. According to the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, in 2021 individuals with insurance consumed, on average, $7,278 in health-care services (and paid $934 out of pocket), while the uninsured averaged $1,639 in expenditures (and paid $612). Whereas 6.0% of Americans were admitted to a hospital, only 1.6% of the uninsured received inpatient treatment. Among those who had inpatient expenses, the insured received an average of $21,710 in inpatient services (and paid $547 out of pocket), while the uninsured received $13,480 (and paid $2,265 out of pocket).[10]

To compare patterns of care and payment in unanticipated hospitalizations, a 2005 study analyzed patients suffering major car accidents, finding that the uninsured received 20% less care, and were 39% more likely to die, than those with private insurance coverage.[11]

Because costly emergency hospitalizations are not planned and the uninsured generally lack the savings to pay all at once, they are a major contributor to the debt burden on low-income Americans, who wouldn’t typically gain access to large unsecured commercial loans.

Medical debt is highly concentrated among a small minority of the population: 0.3% of adults account for more than half of it.[12] Whereas only 1.7% of Americans owed over $5,000 in medical debt in 2022, 4.2% of the uninsured did—with a mean of $29,029 owed by uninsured debtors.[13] Given that the uninsured typically have virtually no liquid savings, this can lead to disaster.[14] For those with health insurance, the four-year bankruptcy rate increases from 3.4% to 3.8% after hospitalization; for the uninsured, it leaps from 3.7% to 5.1%.[15] Part of this effect is likely due to lost wages during the post-hospitalization period of ill health.

Hospitals send 51% of medical bills run up by the uninsured to collections, but they recover only 9% of the face value of debts within two years. Repayment rates are low for medical debts exceeding $1,000.[16]

A study of the 100 largest hospitals in the U.S. from 2018 to 2020 found that 26 pursued court actions for unpaid medical bills, seeking an average repayment of $1,842.[17] A study of Texas hospitals from 2018 to 2020 found that 7% of them sued for unpaid bills, yielding an average 0.15% of hospital revenues—with the uninsured accounting for about half the lawsuits. One patient with a five-day hospital stay following emergency surgery was successfully sued for $200,000 in unpaid bills, legal fees, and 5% interest—amounting to seven times his annual income.[18]

The provision of free and discounted hospital care to the uninsured serves as a partial substitute for the purchase of insurance. For the first $2,000 of medical services that they consume in a year, the uninsured pay out-of-pocket amounts similar to those with insurance, but when they receive more than $2,000 in medical care, they typically bear little additional expense.[19] Overall, the uninsured pay for only 20%–35% of the cost of care that they receive.[20] Nationwide, hospital debts in collection are increasingly excluded from credit reports.[21]

One study estimated that low-income uninsured Americans are willing to pay less than a third of expected health-care costs to purchase health insurance. Above the income cutoff for eligibility for free and discounted care, the willingness to pay for insurance was significantly greater.[22] Uninsured households in states that exempt more assets from seizure in bankruptcy are significantly less likely to purchase health insurance and more likely to make out-of-pocket payments for medical care.[23]

Safety-Net Requirements

Early in the twentieth century, hospitals used a combination of charitable donations, public subsidies, and surplus revenues from paying patients to finance the delivery of free and discounted care for the poor.

In 1903, the U.S. Census Bureau characterized 1,493 general hospitals in the U.S. as benevolent institutions—including 220 that were owned by federal, state, and local governments. It estimated that 54% of revenues at private nonprofit facilities came from charges to patients and 11% from public subsidies, with the remaining 35% coming from charitable donations or income from endowments. Public hospitals provided the bulk of free care to the poor, funded largely by local property taxes, with charges to patients covering only 7% of their costs.[24]

Many states exempted charitable private hospitals from local property taxes, with the expectation that they would bear public duties.[25] Hospitals were also excluded from federal income taxation when it was established in 1913, so long as no profits accrued to the benefit of private shareholders or individuals.[26]

In 2021, three-quarters of the community hospitals in the U.S. were exempt from taxation (2,978 as private nonprofit organizations and 944 as publicly owned facilities).[27] A Kaiser Family Foundation study estimated the combined value of the exemption (from federal taxes on corporate income, charitable contributions, and bond interest, along with state and local taxes on sales, income, and property) to be worth $28 billion to nonprofit hospitals in 2020.[28]

In return for the exemption, nonprofit hospitals are subject to “community benefit” requirements, the most important of which is that they must use surplus revenues to provide uncompensated care, improve facilities, train staff, or undertake medical research. This vague provision is enforced at the discretion of the Internal Revenue Service without any specific quantitative requirement, and indigent patients have no right to sue for access to free or discounted care.[29] Indeed, given the complex web of contractual relationships in health care, the IRS finds it hard even to distinguish between for-profit and nonprofit entities.[30] In 2016, even though 30 hospitals provided no community benefit, the IRS had not revoked any hospital’s tax-exempt status in a decade.[31]

The 2010 Affordable Care Act slightly tightened community benefit standards, requiring nonprofit hospitals to publish a formal financial assistance policy, and limited charges and collections from low-income patients.[32] Yet eligibility for discounted or free care is still up to the hospital, and financial assistance policies are typically framed in vague and obscure language, which makes oversight challenging and leaves the IRS unable to enforce terms.[33]

In fact, the blanket exemption of nonprofit hospitals from taxation has inadvertently reduced their incentive to provide charity care because each additional dollar of charity care that they provide yields no additional tax deduction. As a result, for-profit hospitals have tended to dedicate a larger share of their expenditures than nonprofit facilities to charity care.[34] In sum, the tax exemption of nonprofit and publicly owned hospitals serves to reduce the tax burden on hospitals but does not otherwise greatly alter their activities.

The Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act of 1986 requires Medicare-participating hospitals to screen and stabilize the medical condition of any patient arriving in an emergency room, regardless of ability to pay.[35] But it does not mandate the provision of additional services; nor does it limit the ability of hospitals to charge patients for the care that they provide.

More recently, some states have enacted “fair pricing laws,” imposing specific limits on charges to uninsured patients (Table 1). In California, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Illinois, and Rhode Island, such laws protect about 80% of the uninsured, whose expenditures on hospital care have been lowered by an estimated 25%–30% as a result. Fair pricing laws have been associated with reductions in the amount of uncompensated care that hospitals provide but with no increase in mortality, medical errors, or readmissions.[36]

Although California’s Fair Pricing Act does not require hospitals to provide free care to the uninsured, 97% of hospitals did so, and 61% of uninsured hospital visits were eligible for free care in 2011.[37] Overall, the act reduced the average price paid by the state’s uninsured patients from 106% to 32% of Medicare rates.[38]

Table 1

Select State Financial Assistance Mandates and Pricing Regulations for Uninsured

State   Free CareDiscounted CareApplies to
CAIncome <400%FPL or medical costs >10% income; fees capped at highest rate paid by public payerAll hospitals
COIncome <250%FPL; may charge only <4% of monthly income for <36 months; fees cappedAll hospitals
DE Income <350%FPLHospitals receiving Certificates of Need
GAIncome <125%FPLIncome <200%FPLHospitals receiving Disproportionate Share (DSH)
ILIncome <200%FPL, with $150 deductibleIncome <600%FPLAll hospitals
LAIncome <200%FPL, or medical cost >20% of income Tax-exempt hospitals
MAIncome <150%Income <300%All hospitals and community health centers
MDIncome <200%FPLIncome <500%FPL; fees fixedAll hospitals
MEIncome <150%FPL All hospitals
NJ Income <500%FPL; fees capped at 115% of Medicare ratesAll hospitals
NYIncome <100%FPLIncome <300%FPL; fees capped at rate paid by highest-volume payerAll hospitals
OHIncome <100%FPL Hospitals receiving state funds
ORIncome <200%FPLIncome <400%FPLTax-exempt hospitals
RIIncome <100%FPL subject to asset testIncome <300%FPLAll hospitals
SCIncome <200%FPL subject to asset test and legal permanent residencyIncome <200%FPLMedicaid-participating inpatient facilities
TN Must limit bills to 175% of costAll hospitals
TXIncome <21%FPL Tax-exempt hospitals
Source: NCLC (2021)[39
Note: FPL = Federal Poverty Line

In 2019, U.S. hospitals reported delivering $42 billion in uncompensated care, of which $22 billion was free or discounted care for the uninsured, $7 billion was for discounted care for those with insurance, and $14 billion came in the form of uncollected debts among patients with or without insurance.[40]

In 2018, free and discounted care accounted for 1.7% of hospital expenses.[41] But the charity-care burden is not distributed evenly among hospitals: 40% of facilities dedicated less than 1% of expenses to free and discounted care, while 7% of facilities spent over 9% on charity care.[42] On average, U.S. hospitals provided free care to uninsured patients with household incomes less than 179% of the federal poverty level and discounted care to patients with incomes less than 324% of the poverty level.[43] A total of 54% of hospitals restricted eligibility for charity care to local residents.[44]

In the short run, changes in hospitals’ uncompensated care costs reflect shifts in local community needs. A 2015 study found that hospitals’ uncompensated care expenditures rose when the local uninsured population increased, or neighboring hospitals closed. It estimated that each additional uninsured person costs $900 for a hospital.[45]

Compensating Uncompensated Care

The aggregate value of public subsidies to hospitals for providing uncompensated care to the poor is close to the aggregate value of such care that hospitals provide nationwide (Figure 1).[46] But these subsidies are distributed in a way that does not meet the needs of the uninsured.

The American Hospital Association reported that the nation’s hospitals delivered $42bn in uncompensated care in 2019 and $43bn in 2020, a figure little altered by treatment of the uninsured for Covid-19, for which direct payments had been established by Congress.[47]

In 2022, Medicaid allocated hospitals $23bn in Disproportionate Share (DSH) payments in return for their claimed uncompensated care costs.[48] Medicaid in 2021 provided a further $6bn in “Uncompensated Care pool” funding, authorized through waiver authority.[49] Medicare in 2022 provided an additional $7bn in fully federal funds to compensate hospitals for “uncompensated care,” $3.5bn in its own DSH payments, and $7bn to cover bad debt associated with Medicare beneficiaries.[50] Hospitals in 2016 also received an additional $2bn in Medicare overpayments for “340B” discounted drugs.[51]

Increased payments for hospital care typically lead facilities to incur higher labor and capital costs when treating patients.[52] In the early 1980s, Congress capped hospital fees for Medicare and Medicaid. But facilities in poor neighborhoods serving mostly Medicaid or uninsured patients struggled to cover their overhead costs through revenues from privately insured patients, so Congress added bonus payments to Medicare and Medicaid for hospitals that treat a “Disproportionate Share” (DSH) of patients without private insurance.[53]

States realized that the absence of a direct link between the ability to obtain Medicaid matching funds and the obligation to deliver services gave them an opportunity to claim a windfall in federal funds. States would artificially inflate Medicaid DSH costs by imposing taxes on hospitals, and then give them kickbacks for participating in the scam.[54] DSH spending surged from $1 billion in 1990 to $17 billion in 1992, before Congress capped the funds that each state could claim. This entrenched an essentially arbitrary distribution of federal aid: in 2023, New Hampshire received $2,123 in Medicaid DSH grants per poor resident; Wyoming, only $4.[55]

Nationwide, Medicaid DSH payments alone amounted to 75% of the cost of “uncompensated” hospital care provided to the uninsured in 2014. But Medicaid DSH payments ranged from 2% of the value of such care provided in Wyoming to 269% in the District of Columbia—exceeding the level of uncompensated care for the uninsured in eight states.[56]

Within states, the distribution of DSH payments is often highly politicized and skewed. In 2014, California and Maine distributed 100% of their Medicaid DSH funds to publicly owned hospitals.[57] States tend to allocate subsidies to hospitals with larger uncompensated care losses, but these subsidies do not expand and contract in line with fluctuations of uncompensated care costs.[58] Many hospitals claimed DSH payments that simply shouldn’t have been allowed under federal law. A 2010 GAO audit found that 717 hospitals received Medicaid DSH payments that exceeded their entire spending on uncompensated care.[59]

States have increasingly sought even more flexibility in distributing subsidies for hospitals to deliver care to the uninsured, by claiming Medicaid DSH funds through a waiver establishing an uncompensated care pool.[60]

The rationale for Medicare DSH funding was similar to that for Medicaid DSH, but the former is distributed as an add-on to Medicare payment rates for inpatient hospital care (ranging up to 19%) at facilities serving large numbers of low-income patients who are eligible for public assistance benefits. As a result, Medicare DSH funds increase with the volume of care provided to Medicare patients and with the share of Medicaid patients, rather than in proportion to the care delivered to the uninsured.

From 1988 to 2020, the share of urban hospitals qualifying for Medicare DSH payments expanded from 35% to 82%. The Affordable Care Act of 2010 sought to improve the distribution of Medicare DSH funds by placing 75% of these funds into a Medicare Uncompensated Care pool. Distribution from the pool is in proportion to a hospital’s share of uncompensated care relative to that provided by all DSH hospitals nationwide.[61] However, this formula does not necessarily reward hospitals for providing discounted care to the uninsured, as opposed to other uncompensated care (such as the forgiveness of unpaid bills by patients who may not be poor). Uncollected medical debt accounts for a third of the uncompensated care provided by hospitals. Yet Medicare reimburses medical providers for 65% of the value of unpaid cost-sharing due from Medicare beneficiaries.[62]

In 1992, Congress created the 340B drug discount program, requiring manufacturers to give DSH hospitals discounts ranging from 25% to 75% on physician-administered drugs—ostensibly, for the purpose of allowing these hospitals to treat patients with little ability to pay.[63] However, Medicare payments for hospitals to purchase these drugs have not been proportionately reduced, leaving hospitals with an annual profit at taxpayers’ expense (growing rapidly in proportion to drug prices and volumes), which they say allows them to fund uncompensated care.[64] There is no legal requirement that hospitals use profits from 340B drug reimbursement to finance uncompensated care.

The nonprofit tax exemption is often criticized as a subsidy but mostly represents the absence of taxes of various magnitudes, which would otherwise arbitrarily inflate the cost of hospital care.[65] (Only the tax deductibility of charitable contributions, worth $2.5 billion in 2020, provides additional revenue to facilities.)[66] The value of the tax exemption is therefore not counted as part of the public subsidy for uncompensated care.

Recommendation: Consolidate Subsidies, Cap Collections

The current patchy system of indirect federal aid to treat the uninsured—which costs taxpayers more than the aid that is provided to those in need—neither allocates funds where they are needed nor protects indigent patients from exorbitant bills. Reforms to the current system would help address these issues without eliminating the responsibility or incentive for Americans to purchase insurance.

Proposal

Federal funds to support the provision of health-care services for the low-income uninsured should be consolidated into monthly capped reimbursement grants for uncompensated care (UC grants).

These grants should be distributed directly to hospitals in proportion to the value of uncompensated free and discounted care (valued at Medicare rates) that they provide to patients with incomes below 300% of the federal poverty rate, up to a cap. Monthly caps on payments to each facility should be proportional to the share of the national uninsured population resident in each hospital’s designated patient catchment area, adjusted by the Medicare Geographic Practice Cost Index. The total amount of federal funds available to support uncompensated hospital care nationwide should automatically adjust every month, depending on the share of the U.S. population that is uninsured.

Hospitals and resident providers that accept these grants should be required to cap charges for uninsured low-income patients (with incomes less than three times the federal poverty level) at Medicare rates. The amount of medical debt that hospitals and associated providers may collect every year from uninsured patients should be capped as a percentage of their household income (Figure 2).[67] The IRS should be authorized to certify the income of uninsured patients seeking caps on charges for hospital care that they have received.

Hospitals must still treat and stabilize uninsured patients, as per the current federal Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act (EMTALA), subject to billing and collection caps. They may also use capped UC grants to finance additional services—again, subject to the proposed caps.

Justification

UC grants would provide several advantages over the current inefficient web of indirect grants, cross-subsidies, regulations, and grants of market power (such as Certificate of Need laws) that are used to finance uncompensated care. UC grants, by contrast, would provide a stable and transparent financing mechanism for hospital safety-net care, and they would improve the distribution of federal aid for uncompensated care, so that it fills the unmet needs of the uninsured, rather than serving to inflate hospital costs in affluent neighborhoods.

UC grants would strengthen the basic safety net of care for uninsured patients and clarify hospitals’ obligations to deliver free and discounted care to them. In addition, they would regularize the existing jumble of federal aid to support uncompensated care, so that it is distributed where it is most needed, without encouraging Americans to drop insurance coverage and without increasing the burden on taxpayers.

Although hospitals would be allowed to claim reimbursement only for uncompensated care provided to patients with incomes below 300% of the poverty level, caps on charges would apply to all uninsured patients, in all states, at for-profit, nonprofit, and public hospitals alike. Caps on billing and collections would reduce disputes arising from uncertain patient liability for care, while eliminating the most heavy-handed and futile attempts to collect repayment.

The aggregate cap on UC grants would encourage hospitals to reserve federal aid for the treatment of patients who lack good insurance coverage or the ability to pay for care. Meanwhile, limiting UC reimbursement claims to Medicare rates would ensure that facilities are providing appropriate amounts of uncompensated care in return for the federal aid that they claim, without merely inflating fees. Because reimbursement grants would be based only on uncompensated care for patients below 300% of FPL, and charges that are collected would be deducted from a hospital’s UC grant, hospitals would be gently nudged to concentrate UC grant funds on lower-income uninsured patients.

Providing clear income-based caps on charges, certified by the IRS, would permit a more accurate assessment of uninsured patients’ income, while reducing the harassment of indigent patients. Relative to current practice, this would yield a more graduated distribution of discounted care according to income.[68] By helping hospitals assess the ability of uninsured patients to pay for care, it would also increase the incentive for those with higher incomes to purchase insurance.

Patients would be protected by repayment schedules but not guaranteed an entitlement to any defined set of free or discounted medical services, beyond those currently defined under EMTALA. Although this reform would protect low-income patients from exorbitant changes, it would not eliminate the incentive to purchase insurance or enroll in entitlements to gain access to prescheduled elective medical services. Annual income-contingent repayment requirements would be similar to income-contingent subsidized insurance premiums on the exchanges established by the Affordable Care Act; but the latter would confer access to a much wider set of health-care services.

The combination of UC grants and caps on collections from uninsured patients would leave hospitals with flexibility to meet their local communities’ uncompensated care needs. The absence of rigid rules for the distribution of federal aid among individual patients would allow hospitals to set their own policies regarding eligibility for free and discounted services and the intensity of medical care provided on a free and discounted basis. The flexibility regarding eligibility for free and discounted care would facilitate the resolution of politically challenging uncompensated care challenges, such as the degree to which federal funds can be used to subsidize the care of noncitizens.

Christopher Pope is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute. Previously, he was director of policy research at West Health, a nonprofit medical research organization; health-policy fellow at the U.S. House Committee on Energy and Commerce; and research manager at the American Enterprise Institute. Pope’s research focuses on healthcare payment policy, and he has recently published reports on hospital-market regulation, entitlement design, and insurance-market reform. His work has appeared in, among others, the Wall Street JournalHealth AffairsUS News and World Report, and Politico.

 

Pope holds a B.Sc. in government and economics from the London School of Economics and an M.A. and Ph.D. in political science from Washington University in St. Louis.​


https://manhattan.institute/article/untangling-the-hospital-safety-net

Stealth inflationary cost is hitting corporate profits and consumers

 A stealth inflationary cost is biting into corporate profits.

While some companies are now seeing lower input and freight costs, one expense is not falling: insurance.

In its earnings report Friday morning, Dow component Travelers said insurance premiums that it charges are still soaring. Premiums on business policies jumped 14% in the last quarter. Consumers are feeling the pinch, too. Homeowner renewal premiums spiked 21%, while those for auto policies jumped 17%.

Those higher prices aren’t deterring demand, though. The insurer noted “retention remained historically high” and “new business increased significantly.”

Although rising premiums are good news for insurance firms such as Travelers, they are bad news for customers — whether they are individuals or companies.

Soaring insurance costs have hit companies such as freight shipper J.B. Hunt

 hard. During Thursday’s earnings report, it said it took a hefty $53 million charge, or 38 cents per share, related to higher insurance and claims expenses in the latest quarter.

“As we reset the premiums going into 2024, we saw upwards of 50% to 60% increases in those premiums,” Chief Financial Officer John Kuhlow told analysts during the company’s earnings call. “And so when we talk about the inflationary pressures that we’re seeing in 2024, it’s mostly around our premiums.”

He added that claims costs are “what’s driving a lot of the inflationary pressures” for J.B. Hunt.

CEO John Roberts reiterated those sentiments.

“As an industry, we are also seeing unprecedented pressure in the area of claims cost or settlements,” he said. He added that “ultimately, these inflationary costs get passed on to customers and consumers.“

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/19/insurance-costs-hit-corporate-earnings-at-travelers-and-jb-hunt.html

America First Pentagon Spending and Contracting Policy Needed

 Our federal government has been failing us for decades in controlling spending. As our national debt increases by two trillion a year, Congress refuses to attempt to balance the budget. It’s time for an America First policy to be imposed government wide that gets spending under control and pushes policies that benefit American consumers and workers.

It appears that Congress can’t even agree to cut spending in this year’s appropriations bills. The Hill reported on January 14, 2024, “Congressional leaders rolled out a two-step plan to stave off a partial government shutdown this week, kicking the funding threat into early March to buy more time for spending talks.” The House Freedom Caucus (HFC) responded on X, formerly Twitter, by arguing “The @HouseGOP is planning to pass a short-term spending bill continuing Pelosi levels with Biden policies, to buy time to pass longer-term spending bills at Pelosi levels with Biden policies. This is what surrender looks like.” How are we supposed to control spending when some Republicans in leadership are willing to surrender on spending to avoid a fight? If there’s no fight at $34 trillion in debt, why should we expect one at $40 or even $50 trillion? Now is the time to draw the line and say no more.

There needs to be a comprehensive strategy to cut spending now, as in today. The Center for Renewing America put out their own budget for 2023 that included “nearly $9 trillion in savings over ten years from spending cuts and reforms.” One idea was to dismantle “the woke and weaponized bureaucracy” that saves $3 trillion and “reforms to mandatory spending that increase participation in the labor force, reduce welfare, end the inflationary drivers of subsidizing student loans, inject common sense into health spending, etc.” saving $6 trillion. Balance is possible if Members of Congress are willing to paint with bold colors: trimming the fat off the elephant of debt will get us nowhere.

In April of last year, Citizens Against Government Waste(CAGW) put out the 2023 Congressional Pig Book that is loaded with ideas for spending cuts. CAGW identifies spending directed by Congress in the form of specified spending that is either contained in appropriations bills or the report that accompanies the bill. CAGW found “7,396 earmarks, an increase of 43.9% from the 5,138 in FY 2022, at a cost of $26.1 billion.” Over the history of the studies, CAGW has identified “$437.5 billion” in earmarks that could have been completely eliminated saving the taxpayers a number approaching one-half of a trillion dollars.

Another strategy that saves taxpayer cash is the idea of insourcing U.S. tax dollars. Concentrate on a government contracting process that uses American workers and contractors to provide for our national defense. In the long run, this will save money while expanding economic opportunity domestically. Exporting tax dollars helps foreign companies and does not help create American jobs and wealth.

An America First strategy on defense would be to focus on defending America and spending taxpayer dollars wisely. In the area of government contracting, it makes sense to use American, not foreign, contractors to save taxpayer cash by avoiding the added cost of dealing with a foreign contractor, including legal expenses and the obvious costs associated with a contract with a company located over an ocean away. Any legal disputes would be costly and replacing parts might get hung up in a slow international supply chain. 

A great example of an opportunity for the Pentagon to scrap the idea of using a European based aircraft supplier is the proposed $12 billion contract to produce seventy-five refueling tankers for the U.S. Air Force. Reuters reported on October 23, 2023, “an Airbus victory would land Airbus its first aircraft contract with the U.S. Air Force after attempting to penetrate the U.S. defense market for two decades.” Outsourcing the production of refueling tankers would be a mistake and would open the door for the French-based Airbus to expand contracting with the Air Force. It would also prove to be a waste of taxpayer cash. This contract made more sense when they partnered with an American contractor to help solve these budget busting issues, yet in October of last year it was announced that the American contractor has exited “Air Force tanker competition.”

These are just some small examples of how to save money, but a great example of the mentality needed to cut spending across the board. It’s long past time for an America First strategy regarding the contracting and spending with our federal government. Not only will it save taxpayer dollars, it will benefit the country economically.

Ned Ryun is the Founder and CEO of American Majority.

https://www.realclearpolicy.com/articles/2024/01/18/america_first_pentagon_spending_and_contracting_policy_needed_1005910.html