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Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Zelensky Claims 200,000 European Soldiers Needed To Secure Peace Deal

 by Liz Heflin via Remix News,

In a speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Tuesday, the Ukrainian president’s resounding message seemed to be that Europe must stop relying on America, and yet his demands for peace alone would surely entail both U.S. involvement and also Russian compromise.

Zelensky said "a minimum of 200,000 European soldiers will be required to secure Ukraine after any peace deal is reached."

"A minimum, otherwise it’s nothing," he said, emphasizing the need to keep Putin in check. 

He also decried Russia’s demand to cut Ukraine’s army down to a fifth of its current size of 800,000 troops, saying that would leave the country defenseless. 

Europe must work together to secure itself and cannot wait for Donald Trump, Ukraine’s leader declared. “Europe must establish itself as a strong, global player, as an indispensable player,” he said, one that can “take care of itself.” 

“Will President Trump even notice Europe? Does he see NATO as necessary? And will he respect EU institutions,” he posted on X.

Interestingly, Zelensky also reiterated his desire to join the U.S.-dominated NATO, saying it is the country’s best security guarantee, although Moscow has said it will not allow this under any circumstances. He even called President Trump’s expected defense spending ratio of 5 percent of GDP a legitimate requirement for increasing military investment.

According to the Ukrainian president, Europe is also making a big mistake by continuing its purchases of Russian gas and must free itself from its dependence on Russian energy. 

Zelensky continued with his theme of making Europe stronger and less reliant on protection from America via multiple X threads, with one post seemingly contradicting his own push for stepping out from under its U.S. umbrella:

“It is impossible to keep buying gas from Moscow while expecting security guarantees, help and backup from the Americans.“ This came right after he declared that despite Trump promising more energy for Europe, the continent must “secure real energy independence.”

In another post, we read: “Europe must have a seat at the table when deals about war and peace are made. Not just for Ukraine—this must be the standard. Europe deserves to be more than just a bystander, with its leaders reduced to posting on X after an agreement has already been made. Europe needs to shape the terms of those deals.” 

Ironically, Zelensky then posted on X regarding his multiple meetings in Davos with leaders from Germany, Albania, Finland, Switzerland, and Vietnam, although it is unclear what purpose those served aside from photo ops. 

He even ventured into Europe’s competitive edge in tech and innovation in another thread and returned to the topic of showing the U.S. that Europe is essential in yet another, “so that one day, in Washington, they’ll say – all eyes on Europe. Not because of war. But because of the opportunities in Europe.”

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-claims-200000-european-soldiers-needed-secure-peace-deal

Long COVID Patients Frustrated That Federal Research Hasn't Found New Treatments

 Erica Hayes, 40, has not felt healthy since November 2020 when she first fell ill with COVID.

Hayes is too sick to work, so she has spent much of the last 4 years sitting on her beige couch, often curled up under an electric blanket.

"My blood flow now sucks, so my hands and my feet are freezing. Even if I'm sweating, my toes are cold," said Hayesopens in a new tab or window, who lives in Western Pennsylvania. She misses feeling well enough to play with her 9-year-old son or attend her 17-year-old son's baseball games.

Along with claiming the lives of 1.2 million Americans, the COVID-19 pandemic has been described as a mass disabling eventopens in a new tab or window. Hayes is one of millions of Americans who suffer from long COVID. Depending on the patient, the condition can rob someone of energy, scramble the autonomic nervous system, or fog their memory, among many other symptoms. In addition to the brain fog and chronic fatigue, Hayes' constellation of symptoms includes frequent hives and migraines. Also, her tongue is constantly swollen and dry.

"I've had multiple doctors look at it and tell me they don't know what's going on," Hayes said about her tongue.

Estimates of prevalence range considerably, depending on how researchers define long COVID in a given study, but the CDC puts it at 17 million adults.

Despite long COVID's vast reach, the federal government's investment in researching the disease -- to the tune of $1.15 billion as of December -- has so far failed to bring any new treatments to market.

This disappoints and angers the patient community, who say the National Institutes of Health (NIH) should focus on ways to stop their suffering instead of simply trying to understand why they're suffering.

"It's unconscionable that more than 4 years since this began, we still don't have one FDA-approved drug," said Meighan Stoneopens in a new tab or window, executive director of the Long COVID Campaignopens in a new tab or window, a patient-led advocacy organization. Stone was among several people with long COVID who spoke at a workshop hosted by the NIH in September where patients, clinicians, and researchers discussed their priorities and frustrations around the agency's approach to long COVID research.

Some doctors and researchers are also critical of the agency's research initiative, called RECOVER, or Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery. Without clinical trials, physicians specializing in treating long COVID must rely on hunches to guide their clinical decisions, said Ziyad Al-Alyopens in a new tab or window, MD, chief of research and development with the VA St. Louis Healthcare Systemopens in a new tab or window.

"What [RECOVER] lacks, really, is clarity of vision and clarity of purpose," said Al-Aly, saying he agrees that the NIH has had enough time and money to produce more meaningful progress.

Now the NIH is starting to determine how to allocate an additional $662 millionopens in a new tab or window of funding for long COVID research, $300 millionopens in a new tab or window of which is earmarked for clinical trials. These funds will be allocated over the next 4 years. At the end of October, RECOVER issued a requestopens in a new tab or window for clinical trial ideas that look at potential therapies, including medications, saying its goal is "to work rapidly, collaboratively, and transparently to advance treatments for long COVID."

This turn suggests the NIH has begun to respond to patients. This has stirred cautious optimism among those who say that the agency's approach to long COVID has lacked urgency in the search for effective treatments. Stone calls this $300 million a down payment. She warns it's going to take a lot more money to help people like Hayes regain some degree of health. "There really is a burden to make up this lost time now," Stone said.

The NIH told KFF Health News and NPR via email that it recognizes the urgency in finding treatments. But to do that, there needs to be an understanding of the biological mechanisms that are making people sick, which is difficult to do with post-infectious conditions.

That's why it has funded research into how long COVID affects lung functionopens in a new tab or window, or trying to understand why only someopens in a new tab or window people are afflicted with the condition.

Good Science Takes Time

In December 2020, Congress appropriated $1.15 billionopens in a new tab or window for the NIH to launch RECOVER, raising hopes in the long COVID patient community.

Then-NIH Director Francis Collinsopens in a new tab or window, MD, PhD, explained that RECOVER's goal was to better understand long COVID as a disease and that clinical trials of potential treatments would come later.

According to RECOVER's website, it has funded eight clinical trialsopens in a new tab or window to test the safety and effectiveness of an experimental treatment or intervention. Just one of those trials has published resultsopens in a new tab or window.

On the other hand, RECOVER has supported more than 200 observational studies, such as research on how long COVID affects pulmonary functionopens in a new tab or window and on which symptoms are most commonopens in a new tab or window. And the initiative has funded more than 40 pathobiology studies, which focus on the basic cellular and molecular mechanisms of long COVID.

RECOVER's website saysopens in a new tab or window this research has led to crucial insights on the risk factors for developing long COVID and on understanding how the disease interacts with preexisting conditions.

It notes that observational studies are important in helping scientists to design and launch evidence-based clinical trials.

Good science takes time, said Leora Horwitzopens in a new tab or window, MD, the co-principal investigator for the RECOVER-Adult Observational Cohort at New York University (NYU). And long COVID is an "exceedingly complicated" illness that appears to affect nearly every organ system, she said.

This makes it more difficult to study than many other diseases. Because long COVID harms the body in so many ways, with widely variable symptoms, it's harder to identify precise targets for treatment.

"I also will remind you that we're only 3, 4 years into this pandemic for most people," Horwitz said. "We've been spending much more money than this, yearly, for 30, 40 years on other conditions."

NYU received nearly $470 millionopens in a new tab or window of RECOVER funds in 2021, which the institution is using to spearhead the collection of data and biospecimens from up to 40,000 patients. Horwitz said nearly 30,000 are enrolled so far.

This vast repositoryopens in a new tab or window, Horwitz said, supports ongoing observational research, allowing scientists to understand what is happening biologically to people who don't recover after an initial infection -- and that will help determine which clinical trials for treatments are worth undertaking.

"Simply trying treatments because they are available without any evidence about whether or why they may be effective reduces the likelihood of successful trials and may put patients at risk of harm," she said.

Delayed Hopes or Incremental Progress?

The NIH told KFF Health News and NPR that patients and caregivers have been central to RECOVER from the beginning, "playing critical roles in designing studies and clinical trials, responding to surveys, serving on governance and publication groups, and guiding the initiative." But the consensus from patient advocacy groups is that RECOVER should have done more to prioritize clinical trials from the outset. Patients also say RECOVER leadership ignored their priorities and experiences when determining which studies to fund.

RECOVER has scored some gains, said JD Davidsopens in a new tab or window, co-director of Long COVID Justiceopens in a new tab or window. This includes findings on differences in long COVID between adults and kids. But Davids said the NIH shouldn't have named the initiative "RECOVER," since it wasn't designed as a streamlined effort to develop treatments.

"The name's a little cruel and misleading," he said.

RECOVER's initial allocation of $1.15 billion probably wasn't enough to develop a new medication to treat long COVID, said Ezekiel J. Emanuel, MD, PhD,opens in a new tab or window co-director of the University of Pennsylvania's Healthcare Transformation Instituteopens in a new tab or window.

But, he said, the results of preliminary clinical trials could have spurred pharmaceutical companies to fund more studies on drug development and test how existing drugs influence a patient's immune response.

Emanuel is one of the authors of a March 2022 COVID roadmap reportopens in a new tab or window. He notes that RECOVER's lack of focus on new treatments was a problem. "Only 15% of the budget is for clinical studies. That is a failure in itself -- a failure of having the right priorities," he told KFF Health News and NPR via email.

And though the NYU biobank has been impactful, Emanuel said there needs to be more focus on how existing drugs influence immune response.

He said some clinical trials that RECOVER has funded are "ridiculous," because they've focused on symptom amelioration, for example to study the benefitsopens in a new tab or window of over-the-counter medication to improve sleep. Other studies looked at non-pharmacological interventions, such as exercise and "brain trainingopens in a new tab or window" to help with cognitive fog.

People with long COVID say this type of clinical research contributes to what many describe as the "gaslighting" they experience from doctors, who sometimes blame a patient's symptoms on anxiety or depression, rather than acknowledging long COVID as a real illness with a physiological basis.

"I'm just disgusted," said long COVID patient Hayes. "You wouldn't tell somebody with diabetes to breathe through it."

Chimére L. Sweeneyopens in a new tab or window, director and founder of the Black Long COVID Experienceopens in a new tab or window, said she's even taken breaks from seeking treatment after getting fed up with being told that her symptoms were due to her diet or mental health.

"You're at the whim of somebody who may not even understand the spectrum of long COVID," Sweeney said.

Insurance Battles Over Experimental Treatments

Since there are still no long COVID treatments approved by the FDA, anything a physician prescribes is classified as either experimental -- for unproven treatments -- or an off-label use of a drug approved for other conditions. This means patients can struggle to get insurance to cover prescriptions.

Michael Brodeopens in a new tab or window, MD, medical director for UT Health Austin's Post-COVID-19 Programopens in a new tab or window -- said he writes many appeal letters. And some people pay for their own treatment.

For example, intravenous immunoglobulin therapy, low-dose naltrexone, and hyperbaric oxygen therapy are all promising treatments, he said.

For hyperbaric oxygen, two smallopens in a new tab or window, randomized controlled studiesopens in a new tab or window show improvements for the chronic fatigue and brain fog that often plague long COVID patients. The theory is that higher oxygen concentration and increased air pressure can help heal tissues that were damaged during a COVID infection.

However, the out-of-pocket cost for a series of sessions in a hyperbaric chamber can run as much as $8,000, Brode said.

"Am I going to look a patient in the eye and say, 'You need to spend that money for an unproven treatment'?" he said. "I don't want to hype up a treatment that is still experimental. But I also don't want to hide it."

There's a host of pharmaceuticals that have promising off-label uses for long COVID, said microbiologist Amy Proalopens in a new tab or window, PhD, president and chief scientific officer at the Massachusetts-based PolyBio Research Foundationopens in a new tab or window. For instance, she's collaborating on a clinical study that repurposes two HIV drugs to treat long COVID.

Proal said research on treatments can move forward based on what's already understood about the disease. For instance, she said that scientists have evidenceopens in a new tab or window -- partly due to RECOVER researchopens in a new tab or window -- that some patients continue to harboropens in a new tab or window small amounts of viral material after a COVID infection. She has not received RECOVER funds but is researching antivirals.

But to vet a range of possible treatments for the millions suffering now -- and to develop new drugs specifically targeting long COVID -- clinical trials are needed. And that requires money.

Hayes said she would definitely volunteer for an investigational drug trial. For now, though, "in order to not be absolutely miserable," she said she focuses on what she can do, like having dinner with her family. At the same time, Hayes doesn't want to spend the rest of her life on a beige couch.

RECOVER's deadline to submit research proposals for potential long COVID treatments is Feb. 1opens in a new tab or window.

https://www.medpagetoday.com/infectiousdisease/longcovid/113883

'Physician Content Creators Weigh In on TikTok's Uncertain Future'

 Promises of a TikTok ban have loomed over the popular video app for months, and a brief pause in operations this weekend gave millions a taste of what a full ban would entail.

Several popular physician content creators who post videos on multiple social media sites, including TikTok, told MedPage Today why they're staunchly opposed to a TikTok ban, noting that it would result in the loss of an outlet for sharing information and dispelling rampant misinformation.

William Flanary, MD, an ophthalmologist better known for his popular comedic sketch videos as his alter ego "Dr. Glaucomfleckenopens in a new tab or window," has 2.4 million followers on TikTok alone.

"Social media and TikTok in particular -- that's where people are, that's where the next generation is," Flanary said. "So when you hear about the uproar [and] the political strife that this [ban] is going to cause ... it should inform all physicians just how important social media is for just the general knowledge that people gain."

Betsy Grunch, MD, a neurosurgeon in Gainesville, Georgia, has amassed a following of 2.3 million people as "ladyspinedocopens in a new tab or window" on TikTok, sharing medical information and insights into her daily life. She said that while she uses her TikTok platform for education, she also uses it to "inspire the next generation of healthcare workers and kind of show those younger generations what we do."

Zachary Rubin, MDopens in a new tab or window, a pediatric allergist who practices near Chicago and has 1.4 million followers on TikTok, said that posting on the app has opened many doors professionally, even if it was never his plan to go viral on social media. He cautioned that physician voices are necessary to buoy good information about healthcare topics.

"If TikTok goes away, there's probably going to be a temporary vacuum where misinformation is going to become even more rampant on these platforms ... especially with the announcement that Meta is changing their content moderation policies to mirror that of X, formerly known as Twitter, which I think is a bad idea," he said.

Part of the reason why posting on the app allows doctors to connect more broadly with young people -- including those who don't follow them -- is TikTok's powerful algorithm that determines what videos users see. This makes TikTok stand out from other social media apps and makes it an effective launching point for building a following on other platforms.

"The way the TikTok algorithm works is it allows your message to get out to a wider audience more quickly than other platforms are able to do," Flanary explained, adding that this makes TikTok "a popular platform for dissemination of ideas, which makes it a threat to very powerful people."

A TikTok ban would be a "big assault on freedom of speech" and an "egregious example of censorship," he added.

TikTok stopped working for U.S. users on Saturday night, though the pause was short lived, with the app coming back online just over 12 hours later.

Rubin said that this weekend's pause "was unnecessary" given how short it was and that "many people are speculating that it was a political move." Both the message alerting users of the pause and the notice that the app was back online cited President Donald Trump's recent remarksopens in a new tab or window that he would "most likely" give the app a 90-day extension to divest from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance.

In preparation for a TikTok ban, many Americans have flocked to other social media apps, including a significant surge to the Chinese app Xiaohongshu (also called RedNote), which has similar features to TikTok.

Rubin and Grunch both joined Xiaohongshu as part of this wave, but Flanary said he currently doesn't have plans to join. Unlike some content creators and small businesses whose income and livelihood are tied to the platform, making medical content is a side gig for most physician creators. Flanary said he views content creation as secondary to his clinical practice.

"Most physicians who are content creators ... whether it's part time or even full time, still practice medicine, which I think is important for a medical content creator," he said. "If you're going to be talking about medicine and taking care of patients, I think you have to maintain a connection to medical practice."

But like other content creators, Rubin noted that physicians are "preparing for the worst and hoping for the best." He already has a diversified social media presence, but he pointed out that short-form content is more attainable for physicians to work into their busy schedules. Platforms that are geared towards long-form content, like YouTube, require a different type of content and time commitment.

Still, Grunch said losing TikTok would be a true loss. "I've spent 3 years of my life really building this community of people that enjoy what I do, and I enjoy interacting with them ... you become a virtual family," she said.

Flanary noted that while not all physicians need to be content creators, the profession needs "to understand the importance of it and not look down on content creation as a way to advocate, as a way to correct misinformation, and to just get the right medical information into young people's brains."

https://www.medpagetoday.com/special-reports/features/113870

Pence group launches ad campaign opposing RFK Jr. nomination

 An advocacy group founded by former Vice President Mike Pence launched a six-figure ad campaign Wednesday opposing President Trump’s nomination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services.

The ad campaign from Advancing American Freedom, details of which were shared first with The Hill, includes digital ads that will run through the next couple of weeks in the nation’s capital as Kennedy awaits his confirmation hearing.

The ad spend also includes a mobile billboard that will travel around Capitol Hill and the March for Life, an annual anti-abortion event that will take place Friday on the National Mall.

The ads highlight various controversial comments Kennedy has made.

One references his past comments supporting abortion access throughout pregnancy. Another cites misinformation he shared about vaccines amid a measles outbreak in American Samoa. A third refers to past comments he made claiming the polio vaccine was linked to cancer. And another ad notes that Kennedy has argued vaccines cause autism.

The ads also feature a website address that directs viewers to a group the letter wrote urging senators to oppose Kennedy’s nomination.

Kennedy has yet to have a confirmation hearing scheduled. His nomination has come under scrutiny largely because of his anti-vaccine rhetoric. Thousands of doctors and public health officials have signed onto letters expressing concerns about Kennedy.

But some senators have expressed support to his push to get chemicals out of food and to reduce chronic disease across the country, which has been wrapped in the slogan “Make America Healthy Again.”

Kennedy has been on Capitol Hill in recent weeks holding meetings with dozens of senators. No Senate Republican has publicly said they will vote against the nomination, and Kennedy can afford to lose three GOP votes if every Democrat opposes him. 

The ad campaign marks an escalation of efforts by Advancing American Freedom to oppose Kennedy’s nomination to serve as secretary of Health and Human Services.

Shortly after Trump announced Kennedy’s nomination, Pence in a statement urged senators to reject him because of his previous support for abortion.  

The organization last week sent a letter to senators urging them to vote against confirming Kennedy because of his previous support for abortion. 

“While RFK Jr. has made certain overtures to pro-life leaders that he would be mindful of their concerns at HHS, there is little reason for confidence at this time,” the group’s leaders wrote.

Kennedy has tried to reassure Republicans by saying his personal views don’t matter, and that he will implement all of the anti-abortion policies from the first Trump administration. 

Trump has repeatedly argued the issue of abortion law should be determined by individual states, criticizing certain restrictive laws as too harsh. At the same time, he has taken credit for nominating three Supreme Court justices who voted to overturn Roe v. Wade.

Pence has been outspoken for decades about his opposition to abortion, and he has been publicly critical of Trump for what he called a “retreat on the Right to Life.”

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5099888-advancing-american-freedom-opposes-kennedy/

Refugee flights to US canceled after Trump order

 The State Department has suspended flights bringing previously approved refugees to the United States, cutting off access to protection in advance of the timeline set by President Trump in a new order pausing the program. 

An email reviewed Wednesday by The Associated Press, the U.S. agency overseeing refugee processing and arrival told staff and stakeholders that “refugee arrival to the United States have been suspended until further notice.”

Another email reviewed by The Hill that was sent to staffers who process refugee cases at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services also directed them not to “make any final decisions (approval, denial closure) on any refugee application.” 

The suspension of flights indicates early action on an order that didn’t direct movement from agencies until Jan. 27.

The State Department did not return a request for comment, but a page on refugee admissions was already unavailable.

A Day 1 order from Trump pauses the refugee program for a minimum of three months, calling for the departments of State and of Homeland Security to issue a report within 90 days detailing whether it’s in the nation’s interests to resume the admission of refugees.

The agency heads are directed to do so every 90 days until it is found that it is appropriate to resume refugee admissions, the order states. Until then, such admissions will remain suspended.

The U.S. refugee program is considered one of the most rigorous on the globe, providing a pathway to safe haven for those fleeing danger or who has faced persecution due to their race, religion, nationality or political views.

“The refugee program is not just a humanitarian lifeline through which the U.S. has shown global leadership. It represents the gold standard of legal immigration pathways in terms of security screening, community coordination, and mutual economic benefit,” Krish O’Mara Vignarajah, president and CEO of Global Refuge, which helps resettle refugees, said in a statement when the order was first announced.

“The US Refugee Admissions Program was designed and ameliorated over four decades precisely to address the concerns used to suspend it today.”

Democrats seized the moment to criticize Republicans over the order’s impact on stranding an estimated 1,600 Afghan allies cleared for resettlement in the U.S. They pointed to GOP attacks on the Biden administration for leaving behind thousands of Afghans who worked with the U.S. during the chaotic and deadly American withdrawal.

“Republicans spent 4 years baselessly chastising Biden for ‘abandoning our Afghan Allies.’ But *this* is what abandonment looks like. Leaving vetted, verified Afghan Allies at the mercy of the Taliban is shameful,” the Democratic side of the House Foreign Affairs Committee wrote in a post on X

“Among those being abandoned are: family members of US military service personnel, Afghans who fought alongside us and allies who worked with US contractors. We owe them better.”

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.), ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said she was “alarmed” at the suspension and that it goes against bipartisan support for the Refugee Admissions Program. 

She noted that among those stranded are victims of genocide, such as the Rohingya Burmese and Sudanese refugees, as well as Afghan partners. 

“Stepping away from this program at a time of unprecedented displacement will put refugees’ lives at risk and ultimately weaken our nation’s long-term security,” she said in a statement.

https://thehill.com/policy/international/5100154-refugee-flights-trump-executive-order/

Gallup findings on USPS show what DOGE faces

 A recent poll shows what DOGE is up against and why it must succeed.  

Gallup found that among 15 government agencies, the U.S. Postal Service is the only one with majority support. Yet, USPS is a poster child of financial failure and inefficiency, thanks to its government monopoly and subsidy. It is also a microcosm of what DOGE faces and what the left will do with government if allowed. 

According to Gallup, “the Postal Service has been the most highly rated agency, or among the highest, since it was first included in Gallup’s periodic government agency assessments in 2014.”  The irony of this public assessment is USPS’s performance assessment. 

USPS had 525,469 career and 115,000 non-career employees in 2024. Its 2024 report to Congress revealed that “the net loss for the year under generally accepted accounting principles totaled $9.5 billion, compared to a net loss of $6.5 billion for the prior year.”  This was against “total operating revenue” of just $79.5 billion — “an increase of $1.4 billion, or 1.7 percent, compared to the prior year.”  In five of its six operating categories, volume decreased from 2023.

In August 2023, the Government Accountability Office released “a harsh critique of the Postal Service and its efforts thus far to implement a 10-year strategic plan aimed at improving performance and turning around mounting losses that run against a government mandate for the USPS to be self-sustaining.” 

It also noted that “the USPS has not been able to cover its debt and expenses for 15 years.” Make that 16 years now. 

As a comparison, USPS’s private sector counterpart, UPS, had 500,000 employees, a revenue of $90.7 billion, and a market cap of $105.6 billion. It had 2024 earnings of $7.4 billion, down from 2023’s $8.6 billion. It has not suffered a loss even once this century. 

How can the dichotomy between USPS perception and performance exist?  The answer is government monopoly and subsidy. The “monopoly over the carriage of letter-mail” is granted by what is known as the Private Express Statutes. The subsidy comes from the general taxpayer, who pays for USPS’s latest $9.5 billion loss.

The monopoly is important. By looking at the parcel delivery service, we can see what would happen without it: the private sector competition would drive down USPS volume even further than the 3.2 percent drop from 2023.

Yet as USPS’s drop in volume shows, monopoly alone is not enough.  It needs the government’s subsidy too. Again, if the public had to pay the full cost USPS incurs to deliver its mail, volume would drop even more. 

What’s more, public perception of USPS would undoubtedly plunge with it.  Monopoly and subsidy together bolster the public’s perception — or rather, misperception — of USPS’s performance. Having no alternative, consumers must use it. And not having to pay its actual cost, they do not recognize its poor performance.

USPS is a case study of the insidious nature of government monopoly and subsidy.  The Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises encapsulated the economic fallacy of the consequences of the absence of the free market’s price system. Absent a freely determined price system, subsidization inevitably arises; government-assigned values either over- or under-compensate producer and consumer, which leads to over- or under-production or over- or under-consumption of a good or service.

Subsidization is an inescapable outgrowth of centralized decision-making replacing freely determined prices. The factors of supply and demand simply move too quickly for bureaucratic decision-making, only a constantly adjusting market can capture these. 

And only a monopoly can enforce the continued subsidization because no one is willing to subsidize another’s windfall, and no one willingly submits to the inefficiency that subsidized allocation results in. 

Both explain the USPS’s continued poor performance (as demonstrated by its continued decline in volume) and financial failure (as evidenced by its record of losses). They also show what the Trump administration’s DOGE faces. 

USPS is a microcosm of federal government inefficiency, deficits, and debt. In total, according to the Congressional Budget Office, the federal government spent $6.8 trillion in FY 2024 (23.4 percent of America’s GDP), ran a $1.8 trillion deficit (6.4 percent of GDP), and left debt held by the public at 97.8 percent of GDP.  

If this unsustainable trajectory continues, in 2054, as a percentage of GDP, federal spending will be 27.3 percent,  deficits will be 8.5 percent and debt will be 179 percent. Nor does this capture federal regulations’ costs, which are invisible taxes because their costs to the private sector are uncalculated.

USPS is also a microcosm of what the left wants the federal government to do.  Medicare for All, the left’s latest version of socialized medicine, would combine the efficiency of the USPS with the bedside manner of the IRS. 

Finally, USPS is also an object lesson on why DOGE must proceed and why it is long overdue. 

J.T. Young is the author of the new book, “Unprecedented Assault: How Big Government Unleashed America’s Socialist Left,” from RealClear Publishing. He has more than three decades’ experience working in Congress, the Department of Treasury, and OMB, and representing a Fortune 20 company.

https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/5098560-usps-fiscal-trouble-doge/

Russian Oil Flows From Second Biggest Baltic Port Unexpectedly Tumble

 Two weeks after Biden's handlers, in one of their last and generally unexpected acts, unveiled draconian sanctions on Russian oil exporters and tankers, Russian oil exports from the country’s second-largest export facility on the Baltic Sea have unexpectedly plunged in the past several weeks, a slump that adds to wider questions about the nation’s petroleum flows as Western sanctions ramp up.

According to Bloomberg, shipments from the Baltic port of Ust-Luga tumbled in the final two weeks of December, a period in which six out 14 scheduled cargoes failed to load. Russia then planned, and has so far exported, a much smaller amount this month than would be normal in January.

Despite speculation it is related to the Biden executive order, there is no clear explanation for the slump, especially since Russia, which has become secretive about its oil flows since the war in Ukraine and ensuing Western sanctions, has refused to address the sharp drop.

As noted above, on Jan. 10 the outgoing Biden administration announced the most aggressive sanctions on Russia’s oil trade since the war on Ukraine began, but even before then tankers used by Moscow were becoming increasingly restricted by Western measures, particularly vessels designated by Washington.

Even though the wind-down period for dealing with the sanctioned barrels and vessels ends only on Feb. 27, there are already signs that Russian supplies could be squeezed by the latest measures, with buyers seeking cargoes elsewhere and tankers U-turning away the nation’s ports. The result has been the previously noted surge in Chinese shipping rates as Beijing scrambles to find alternative sources of oil.

Notably, the drop from Ust-Luga predates the latest sanctions. In the first half of January, Russian crude flows from the port averaged about 277,000 barrels per day, a 44% drop from December’s already-low levels, ship-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg show.

This month’s flows from the port are on course to be the lowest since July 2021, with industry data seen by Bloomberg showing roughly what vessel tracking shows.

The timing of the Ust-Luga plunge coincides with when an unspecified — and temporary — incident happened at the Unecha pump station to the east of Belarus that was reported by the Belta news agency at the time.  The decline also comes when Ukraine has been targeting Russian energy infrastructure with drones. Ust-Luga itself was struck in early January although the incident didn’t appear to cause any curtailment to crude flows.

While there have been 11 storm days at Ust-Luga in the first half of January, Transneft doesn’t normally cut planned flows because of expected adverse weather. Shipments from the nearby port of Primorsk are also on course to increase.

Bloomberg also notes that there have been no ice-related conditions around Ust-Luga of the kind that sometimes affect exports, according to data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute.

https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/russian-oil-flows-second-biggest-baltic-port-unexpectedly-tumble