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Friday, January 4, 2019

Amarin off after hours on soft 2019 outlook for Vascepa


Amarin (NASDAQ:AMRN) is down 7% after hours on the heels of its announcement of preliminary 2018 results and 2019 forecast, information that will be presented next week at JPM19.
Vascepa (icosapent ethyl) sales in Q4 2018 were $72M – 76M, above consensus of $69.4M. 2018 sales were $224M – 228M, above consensus of $221.4M.
Its outlook for 2019 is ~$350M, below consensus of $417.5M. It does not expect managed care coverage to change much from last year.
The company plans to file a supplemental marketing application in the U.S. seeking approval for a cardioprotective claim for Vascepa this quarter. It does not expect the new indication, if approved, to impact its 2019 forecast.
It plans to spend an additional $50M – 75M this year to purchase additional inventory of product to support a revenue rate of ~$700M this year.
Salesforce now numbers 400, up from 150 last year.
#JPM19

RegeneRx Update on Dry Eye and EB Clinical Trials


RegeneRx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (OTCQB: RGRX) (“the Company” or “RegeneRx”), a clinical-stage drug development company focused on tissue protection, repair and regeneration, is updating the status of the U.S. phase 3 dry eye clinical trial (ARISE-3) and the U.S. trial in patients with epidermolysis bullosa (EB) based on a letter to stockholders issued today by its partner, GtreeBNT.  GtreeBNT is the sponsor of the EB trial while a U.S. joint venture between GtreeBNT and RegeneRx, ReGenTree, LLC, is the sponsor of the dry eye trial.
ARISE-3 DRY EYE TRIAL
GtreeBNT stated that it is planning to sign the contract for management of the clinical trial in February and that the trial will start thereafter.  The company went on to say that manufacturing of the investigational drug has been completed and confirmed that the FDA had previously agreed on the protocol.  The company also clarified that while the FDA requires multiple pivotal studies and reproducibility for NDA approval, due to the multi-factorial nature of dry eye syndrome and heterogeneity of the patient population, Gtree is not designing ARISE-3 to do more than the FDA requires for products currently on the market.  The company also stated that it intends to keep its stockholders informed on the progress with ARISE-3 after the contract is signed.
EPIDERMOLYSIS BULLOSA TRIAL
GtreeBNT stated that it has selected the clinical trial sites that specialize in EB and one of the sites has begun patient recruitment.  Since most of the clinical trial sites selected are university hospitals, the approval procedures from the institutional review boards (IRB) is required and will take several months to complete in some cases, most of which are expected to come in February.  Therefore, it is expected that several hospitals will begin enrolling and administering the investigational drug simultaneously and that GtreeBNT expects fairly rapid progress.
“We are pleased our partner, GtreeBNT, is now moving forward with these two important clinical trials after some delay and that they will be keeping us informed of the progress on a regular basis, which we will relay to our stockholders. We look forward to success with both of our product candidates over the next twelve months and hope that 2019-2020 will be the most productive period in the history of RegeneRx,” stated J.J. Finkelstein, RegeneRx president and CEO.

NICE broadens approval for AstraZeneca’s severe asthma drug


AstraZeneca’s Fasenra (benralizumab) has seen its fortunes reverse after NICE approved the drug for severe eosinophilic asthma – broadening its recommendations for the drug’s use and giving patients a potentially more convenient treatment option in comparison to rival therapies.
Guidance published by the Institute today says that benralizumab is cost-effective for use on the NHS in England and Wales by some adults who have the disease and have struggled to control it with inhalers.
It is the third biological treatment for severe eosinophilic asthma approved for NHS use by NICE, following GSK’s Nucala (mepolizumab) in December 2016 and Teva’s Cinqaero (reslizumab) in October 2017. This uncommon and relatively uninvestigated form of asthma is believed to affect around 100,000 people in the UK. Fasenra targets and depletes the immune cells (eosinophils) in the blood which cause the condition.
The drug suffered a blow in NICE’s initial draft guidance last year, which said that it was not cost effective and therefore could only be funded for patients meeting a strict set of criteria – including ineligibility for Nucala.
But after negotiations with AstraZeneca the final guidance gives Fasenra broader approval – and NICE even noted that, because it is given as an injection every four weeks for the first three doses, and every eight weeks thereafter, it is potentially more convenient than Nucala and Cinqaero, both of which are given every four weeks throughout treatment.
Meindert Boysen, director of NICE’s Centre for Health Technology Evaluation, said: “People with severe eosinophilic asthma that is inadequately controlled often have a severely impaired quality of life – it can hold them back from doing many basic daily tasks, lead to psychological problems including anxiety and depression, and leave them in constant fear of a potentially lethal asthma attack. By keeping their asthma under better control, biological treatments have transformed the lives of some of these sufferers.”

MedImmune chief leaving AstraZeneca and joining the trek into biotech



Six years after AstraZeneca’s then new CEO Pascal Soriot named Bahija Jallal president of the big MedImmune subsidiary in Gaithersburg, MD, putting her at the center of the company’s R&D turnaround plans, the longtime pharma exec is joining the great migration of industry professionals to biotech.

Jallal is taking the helm at Immunocore next week, a prominent TCR player in the UK which has been going through a remarkable shakeup after the original team under CEO Eliot Forster — now chief at F-star — either left or were forced out. Immunocore was able to raise $320 million a little more than 3 years ago — a time when that kind of money was still able to cause astonishment in the industry.
This wasn’t the first such biotech job to come along, Jallal tells me in an exclusive interview ahead of the announcement. “But when the right one is there you jump on it.”
The job starts on Monday, and Jallal says she feels like “a kid in a candy store” when it comes to Immunocore, a company with a broad platform that is built to accommodate oncology as well as infectious diseases and autoimmune conditions.
And Jallal isn’t the only senior AstraZeneca exec heading to new biotech fields. The Wall Street Journal reports today that Mark Mallon — current EVP in charge of portfolio strategy — is on his way to take the CEO job at Ironwood, as that company splits up under pressure and Peter Hecht leaves to run the R&D spinout.

Over the past year-plus Immunocore has run into some severe turbulence after it tried to shop a new round at its old unicorn valuation. Potential investors weren’t ready to buy in, triggering an exodus at the top and a move up for chief commercial officer Andrew Hotchkiss as interim chief.
Jallal says Hotchkiss has done a great job this year, which includes inking a major new pact with Genentech, and he’ll go back to concentrating on his commercial focus with an eye on advancing Immunocore’s late-stage cancer therapy toward the market.
“I can tell you there’s been a lot of progress in the past year,” she adds. “Next week we’re going to JPMorgan and share the story with the investor community and others. My intention is to bring reassurance to investors that I will bring stability to the organization, bring the best team and have the vision we can all work together and show them why I am joining the company.”
Jallal was one of three top R&D execs Soriot picked for the Big Pharma’s turnaround in 2013. Briggs Morrison left several years ago to run Syndax. That leaves Mene Pangalos and his new colleagues to run the show at AstraZeneca’s research and development operations.
There’s no immediate word on who will replace Jallal at Medimmune, where she steered 5 drugs to an approval, including their checkpoint player Imfinzi.

Stocks to watch into JPMorgan’s upcoming healthcare conference


Noting that biotech has generally outperformed the broader relative market during its Healthcare Conference in previous years, JPMorgan highlighted “can’t miss” presentations expected from 10 companies, including Gilead Sciences (GILD), Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT), Sage Therapeutics (SAGE) and Celgene (CELG). To note, the firm’s comments on the biotech presentations that should not be missed by investors were released before Bristol-Myers (BMY) and Celgene announced this morning that they have entered into a definitive merger agreement under which the former will acquire the latter in a cash and stock transaction with an equity value of about $74B.
2019 HEALTHCARE CONFERENCE: Biotech has generally outperformed the broader relative market during the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, driven by a myriad of factors that included clinical, regulatory and strategy updates from the companies themselves and read-through from other events/companies in the same space, JPMorgan analysts said in a note to investors previewing the upcoming event. The firm believes that many will be looking to the 2019 conference as a sentiment check for the year ahead and the potential to reset expectations after “a rocky Q4.” From the about 100 companies in the JPMorgan Biotechnology coverage universe, the firm highlighted the potential Top 10 “can’t miss” presentations, which included Gilead Sciences, Celgene, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Sarepta Therapeutics, Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ), Sage Therapeutics, Ascendis Pharma (ASND), Ironwood Pharmaceuticals (IRWD), Solid Biosciences (SLDB) and Novavax (NVAX).
TOP 10 ‘CAN’T MISS’ PRESENTATIONS: JPMorgan believes Gilead’s presentation this year could be notable in that it is a fireside chat only with multiple members of management going into an important year with a new CEO poised to take the helm, multiple near-term Phase 3 readouts, and multiple ongoing launches. Regarding Regeneron, the firm believes investors could get some initial launch metrics for dupilumab in asthma and more commentary around the strategy in immuno-oncology, among other things. Looking at Sarepta, JPMorgan pointed out that the company could potentially provide initial Limb-Girdle data, a micro-dystrophin DMD regulatory update, and competitive micro-dystrophin data. JPMorgan is also looking forward Jazz Pharmaceuticals’ latest Vyxeos comments, insights into 2019 Xyrem volume growth, and more color on the recent Solriamfetol delay as well as the aggressive share repurchases it believes were made in the fourth quarter. Meanwhile, Sage has announced that they will be disclosing top-line data from the highly anticipated Phase 3 trial of SAGE-217 in PPD in January, and JPMorgan suspects this could occur before or during the conference. The firm also expects Ascendis to disclose a new therapeutic vertical, with rationale and the unmet medical need/commercial opportunity, and Ironwood to pre-announce Linzess sales and outlook for out-year/peak sales. During the conference, the firm also expects possible initial expression data for Solid Biosciences’ SGT-001 micro-dystrophin program, and Novavax’s NanoFlu Phase 2 immunogenicity data in older adults.

How Should Doctors Determine Brain Death?


The American Academy of Neurology (AAN) called for uniform brain death laws, policies, and practices in a new position statement.
The position paper, published in Neurology, defines brain death — otherwise known as death by neurologic criteria — as the individual’s death due to irreversible loss of function of the entire brain in accordance with the Uniform Determination of Death Act (UDDA), a model state law that was approved for the U.S. in 1981.
The statement has three goals, lead author James Russell, DO, MS, of Lahey Hospital and Medical Center in Burlington, Massachusetts, told MedPage Today.
“First, it provides AAN, American Neurological Association, and Child Neurology Society endorsement of the [UDDA’s] conclusion, which identified brain death as equivalent to cardiorespiratory death,” he said.
Second, it provides endorsement from all three organizations that the 2010 guidelines for adults and 2011 guidelines for children are “the currently and widely recognized medical standards for brain death determination,” Russell added.
And third, it offers guidance about how to “reconcile requests to abstain from brain death testing or to continue organ-sustaining technology after a diagnosis of brain death has been rendered,” he said.
To the AAN’s knowledge, no cases have occurred in which the adult or pediatric guidelines led to inaccurate determination of death with return of any brain function, including consciousness, brainstem reflexes, or breathing. But so far, only Nevada has adopted legislation that requires using the guidelines as the medical standard for determining brain death.
Every state has accepted the UDDA definition of brain death as legal death, but in most states, medical standards for determining brain death are unspecified. This lack of specificity, coupled with inconsistencies within institutions, has led to differing interpretations in high-profile legal cases.
“The AAN statement was prompted by several recent medicolegal cases that highlighted controversies in brain death and questioned whether it should be considered an accepted and valid medical standard,” said James Bernat, MD, of the Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire, who helped develop the conceptual foundation of brain death that formed the basis of the UDDA.
The AAN’s position provides an “authoritative consensus declaration on the practice of brain death determination,” Bernat told MedPage Today. “It clarifies that, despite legitimate areas of controversy, physicians conducting a brain death determination can feel secure that it represents the medical standard of care.”
The problem is not just uncertainty about what constitutes brain death, noted Arthur Caplan, PhD, director of medical ethics at NYU Langone Hospital in New York City, who was not involved with the AAN paper.
“It’s uncertainties about what power family members have to compel the continuation of treatment, even in the face of death,” Caplan told MedPage Today. “We see a swinging of the pendulum toward patient autonomy. Some doctors have become nervous and think they have to listen to patients, even when they’re asking for things that are impossible, or outside the standard of care, or simply wrong.”
“This paper affirms that parental and family rights have limits, and family members shouldn’t be allowed to coerce treatments, while recognizing they do need accommodation in terms of explanations or meetings with ethics committees,” Caplan continued. “But death is not a state that requires continuation of treatment, and this paper says that pretty clearly.”
The AAN position statement provides guidance for clinicians when families do not accept a determination of death and request continued life support. It also supports legislation modeled after the Nevada statute in every state, uniform policies in medical facilities that comply with brain death guidelines, and programs to credential physicians to determine death by neurological criteria.
The Brain Death Summit, subsequent meetings, and conference calls of the Brain Death Working Group have been financially supported by the American Academy of Neurology.
Authors report no disclosures relevant to the manuscript.

Prospects Cloudy for Part B Drug Payments


The issue of skyrocketing drug prices has placed Big Pharma squarely in the crosshairs of Congress and the president for the last few years, making Martin Shkreliand Mylan household names (and not in a good way).
In 2018, the Trump administration took multiple steps to address the matter, beginning with the announcement of a blueprint for lowering drug pricing, “American Patients First.” One of President Trump’s aims was to “end global freeloading” — the often dramatically higher prices for drugs sold in the U.S. versus other markets. And one particular target has been Medicare Part B drugs — those administered by physicians and typically among the most expensive therapies.
Click here to read MedPage Today‘s story from Oct. 25, 2018, about a proposed overhaul. In the follow-up story below, we explore the Trump administration’s broader efforts to address drug pricing, including experts’ opinions regarding how such changes might affect the pharmaceutical market and patients.
An End to ‘Global Freeloading’
In October, President Trump announced a plan to adopt a new “International Pricing Index” model, which specifically hones in on drugs paid for through the Medicare Part B drug program. The plan would replace the “average sales price” (ASP) that determines what Medicare and beneficiaries pay for Part B drugs with a payment scheme based partly on prices charged in other countries (which in most cases are lower than in the U.S.) through a mechanism known as “reference pricing.”
Broadly speaking, reference pricing involves establishing a maximum amount that a payer will reimburse for a product based on a certain benchmark. In this case, the payer is the government and the target price would be tied to an international price index, based, in part, on prices paid in other economically similar countries.
Over the course of 5 years, the share of the drug’s price tied to the international price versus the ASP would grow, until overall prices for Part B drugs would drop, the administration projected, by 30%.
More specifically, in the first year of the model, the Part B payment would be 80% based on the current ASP and 20% based on the international pricing index, with the share of ASP in the index progressively declining each year. After 5 years, Medicare Part B payments would be targeted at about 126% of the average international price, explained Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar during a briefing with reporters in late October.
While many specifics were absent from the plan, an October HHS press release estimated that the index would save taxpayers and patients $17.2 billion over 5 years.
The new model also aims to pilot significant changes to payment mechanisms for distributors and providers.
Instead of a “buy and bill” operation, where doctors’ offices contract with wholesalers and group purchasing organizations that buy drugs from manufacturers and then resell them to providers, physicians would have the option to use private vendors who “retain ownership”and distribute the drugs to hospitals and doctors offices. These third-party vendors would also be responsible for billing Medicare themselves.
According to the proposal, the program would be piloted in half the country — although the specific geographic regions remain unnamed — in the first year and involve only biologics and drugs made by a single manufacturer. Over the ensuing 5-year period, Medicare would phase in additional products to ultimately include 90% of all Part B drugs, said Azar.
Experts Weigh In
“A lot of people have looked at the fact that drugs are cheaper in almost every country in the world than they are in the U.S.,” said Jack Hoadley, PhD, research professor emeritus at the Georgetown University Health Policy Institute here.
But if drug prices in the U.S. are somehow “magically” linked to prices paid in Europe, causing prices to fall in the U.S., “manufacturers are not going to sit there and say, ‘That’s fine. We’ll just see a drop in our revenue… They’re going to find a way to make that up,” which could mean raising prices in those other countries, he said.
Curiously, raising prices abroad would impact prices in the U.S. if U.S. prices are tied to those of other developed nations, he noted.
Until the administration clearly defines what it means by “reference pricing,” and until modeling is done on what manufacturers’ behavioral response could be, the impact of the new proposal is hard to measure, Hoadley said.
“I think the international reference pricing [proposal] makes complete sense, because we’re just not able to negotiate effectively,” said Gerard Anderson, PhD, of Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health in Baltimore.
And the fact that a Republican administration introduced such a radical proposal reflects a “watershed moment,” as the ideas in it are “antithetical” to many conservatives, he added.
But the administration could go further in its changes to Part B, Anderson said. It could eliminate the incentive for doctors to choose the most expensive treatments. Under the current payment system, physicians are paid the ASP plus a percentage add-on fee. The higher the cost of the drug, the higher the add-on fee, and the stronger the incentive to choose the higher-cost drug, Anderson explained.
Doctors are used to earning substantial profits on dispensing these drugs, as much as “several hundred thousand dollars” he said, and while the Trump administration’s proposal reduces the amount physicians would receive for administering Part B drugs, it doesn’t entirely do away with that incentive, he said.
Anderson also questioned the idea of involving a third-party vendor, between the doctors and the government, adding “another level of bureaucracy and burden” and creating unnecessary administrative costs, he said.
Will it Happen?
Prospects for the International Pricing Index are uncertain, noted several of the experts MedPage Today interviewed.
Stacie Dusetzina, PhD, associate professor of health policy at Vanderbilt University School of Medicine in Nashville, said the proposal isn’t “realistic.”
“In essence, this plan relies on other countries to do our negotiating for us. To be able to index our price to other countries, we would need to know what prices they pay, which can be difficult to obtain now and will likely be harder to get in the future if pharmaceutical companies know these prices will be used against them in negotiations,” Dusetzina wrote in an email to MedPage Today.
Regarding the changes to how physicians are paid for administering Part B drugs, Dusetzina noted that it “seems obvious” that the percentage-based payment (and the perverse incentives that come with it) “is not the best way to pay physicians for their services.”
But the Obama administration encountered “fierce resistance” from professional organizations when it attempted to change how physicians are paid for Part B drugs.
“I imagine the [Trump] administration would face similar hurdles,” she said.
The idea of involving a third-party vendor as a substitute for physicians buying and billing Part B drugs seems dubious, Dusetzina suggested.
“The vendor that they describe… sounds a lot like a [pharmacy benefit manager], which makes it unclear how much they will help reduce spending (versus adding additional administrative costs to the system),” Dusetzina wrote.
While the concepts of the plan are “admirable” she wrote, the administration faces an “uphill battle” in implementing them.
Also, “[w]e should do more to negotiate for drug prices in the U.S., not merely piggyback on other countries’ efforts. We should also make sure that physicians are paid the same for delivering both high- and low-priced drugs,” Dusetzina concluded.
Other policy experts shared similar doubts about the proposal’s chances for success.
“It’s going to be a herculean task to get it through Congress,” Marsha Simon, PhD, president of Simon & Co., a healthcare consulting firm here, told MedPage Today.
She pointed to the recently tabled IMPROVE Act, a bill focused on coordinating care for children in the Medicaid program, which Simon said she believes failed to pass because of the unpopularity of the “pay-fors.” In this case, the bill would have been funded through penalties on drug companies that misclassified their drugs as generic instead of brand drugs in the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program.
When a drug is classified as a brand, manufacturers pay higher rebates than if the same drug is classified as a generic product, she explained. In the past, drugmakers have gotten away with categorizing their drugs as generics or “misbranding” them. Famously, Mylan, the maker of the EpiPen epinephrine auto-injector is accused of misbranding them as generic products and overcharging the Medicaid program more than $1 billion, Simon said.
The IMPROVE Act, elements of which had been pending for far longer under the ACE KIDS Act, which was part of IMPROVE, passed in the House but stalled in the Senate — because of drug company influence, Simon suggested.
In other words, if Big Pharma doesn’t like a proposal it won’t get passed in congress, and the international reference pricing proposal is no exception, Simon argued.
That said, the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) has the authority to pilot the proposed model on its own and if it’s successful, make compliance mandatory without passing any legislation.
According to CMMI criteria, the model has to improve the healthcare program and not reduce access to be considered successful, Simon said.
And if it were implemented, Simon said she feels strongly that the index should also be applied to the initial price of drugs in Medicaid, in the 340B Drug program and in the Department of Veterans Affairs.
“It would have an enormous impact on our public programs,” she said.
Hoadley, who was also skeptical about the feasibility of an overhaul of Part B drugs, said it was difficult to say whether or not the plan would be implemented.
“The good news is that a lot of the options that are being talked about are not currently dividing people along ideological or partisan lines,” he said, and at a minimum, there is consensus on making changes to the Part B program.
On the other hand, there have been signs already of “hard pushback” from stakeholders, he said.
When the Obama administration put forward its own Part B proposal was “shut down”after oncologists, physician organizations, and certain disease groups argued that the changes would make drugs unaffordable and restrict access. (In December 2016, the administration announced it would halt the demonstration project.)
That proposal had two phases, Hoadley said. The first phase, which focused on shifting from paying physicians ASP plus 6% to a reduced add-on payment of 2.5% as well as a flat fee of $16.80, was the part that created all “the noise” from stakeholders.
However, the second phase of the Obama administration’s plan, related to value-based pricing — paying more for improved patient outcomes — while not entirely fleshed out, has re-emerged under the Trump administration, Hoadley noted. This suggests there may be a chance for a “longer conversation” about value-based pricing.
“Past precedent gives you reason to be skeptical about bipartisan compromise, particularly on some of the more out-of-the-box solutions, but it’s a new day in 2019,” Hoadley said, and it’s always possible that partnerships can be forged across the aisle.