GDPNow
The growth rate of real gross domestic product (GDP) is a key indicator of economic activity, but the official estimate is released with a delay. GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.
GDPNow is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available economic data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow—the estimate is based solely on the mathematical results of the model.
3.0%
Latest GDPNow Estimate for 2025:Q4
Updated: February 19, 2026
Next update: February 20, 2026
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