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Thursday, December 19, 2019

Rite Aid up 22% premarket on Q3 beat; non-GAAP EPS guidance raised

Rite Aid (RADQ3 results: Revenues: $5,462.3M (+0.2%); Retail Pharmacy Segment: $3,909.9M (-1.7%); Pharmacy Services Segment: $1,613.1M (+5.7%).
Net Income: $52.3M; EPS: $0.98; non-GAAP Net Income: $29.1M (+98.0%); non-GAAP EPS: $0.54 (+92.9%); CF Ops: $423.7M (+20.7%).
FY 2020 guidance: Revenues: $21.5B-$21.9B (unch); net loss: ($174M)-(204M) from ($235M)-(275M); non-GAAP EPS: $0.13-$0.55 from $0.00-$0.56; non-GAAP EBITDA: $515M-$545M from $510M-$550M; Capex: ~$230M from ~$250M.
Shares are up 22% premarket.

Amarin down 2% premarket on bearish report

Amarin (NASDAQ:AMRN) slips 2% premarket on light volume on the heels of a cautious report from Medical Research Collaborative who questions the robustness of Vascepa’s intellectual property.

J&J’s Spravato OK’d in Europe for treatment-resistant depression

As expected, the European Commission approves Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) unit Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies’ Spravato (esketamine) nasal spray for the treatment of adults with treatment-resistant major depressive disorder.
Two months ago, the advisory group CHMP adopted a positive opinion backing approval.
Shares up 1% premarket on light volume.

No Santa Claus to the north giving out cheap drugs to US patients

This week HHS Secretary Alex Azar took another step toward opening the door to drugs imported from Canada. The still-developing policy initiatives pave the way to getting states to set up programs for importing less expensive drugs, as well as setting up a path for drugmakers to bring in therapies sold abroad.
With less than a year to go to the election, you could say President Donald Trump has a vested interest in cuffing the biopharma industry — as he promised from the start — before he goes back to voters selling 4 more years in the White House.
But let’s get real here. Anyone who thinks you can outsource the drug pricing issue to Canada, and get them to act as a proxy for the American market, has got to be dreaming.
I’m not going into the safety issue, the way lobbyists want to when it comes to drug importation. If you stick with reputable distributors in Canada, there won’t be a safety issue. This argument is about money, and that’s where we need to focus.
I’ve had serious conversations with senior pharma execs who appear perfectly willing to sacrifice European revenue if necessary in order to safeguard their all-important US markets. What do you think these pharma companies would do with their small Canadian marketing ops if they threatened US profit margins?
If a Canadian negotiator is standing in as a substitute to represent state markets in the US, their drug prices are going to go sky high or their supply will be curtailed. And Canada is not going to allow that. Once the supply of a single drug is crimped, the hue and cry in that country would be immense. They want to preserve lower prices and access for Canadians, not go on some crusade to extend that to the US. And if global pharma players can’t rein in a rogue operation, what happens to the contracts they rely on to do business?
Yeah.
Interestingly, the New York Times report on the policy development today says a 2003 law won’t even allow for importation of high-priced biologics like Humira — the thorn in the side of lawmakers. AbbVie jacked up that price year after year to create a cash cow it relied on to get them to the next chapter — which turned out to be the Allergan buyout. And Canada can’t help.
This is a non-starter. It always has been for the 20 years it’s been debated. Yet it remains a spotlight issue, underscoring the paucity of new ideas when it comes to the much-needed task of reforming the pricing system in the US. Drug affordability and access is a huge issue in the US, where large groups of patients can’t afford their end of the bill. Let’s not trivialize the crisis by promising a solution from Canada that will never come.

As Nash shifts again, the focus remains on Genfit’s big readout

Genfit investors, who early next year will see the Resolve-It study yield data, digest further developments in the Nash space.
The once red-hot therapy area of Nash is mired in clinical setbacks, and this week it added two more disappointments: today Boehringer Ingelheim canned one of its many deals in this space, two days after Gilead revealed that its multi-project Atlas study had failed.
True, the Gilead setback was not a great surprise, and there was a separate positive development as Poxel today claimed an early clinical Nash win. But the riskiest bet of all remains Genfit, whose future hangs in the balance as its crucial pivotal study of elafibranor is due to yield results early next year.
Though some of Genfit’s most bullish retail followers remain convinced of success in the Resolve-It trial, the industry’s numerous Nash failures have contributed to the French group’s stock declining 30% year to date (Cymabay is out, but for Genfit the band plays on, November 26, 2019).
Fear of interactions
The latest of these is Boehringer’s AOC3 inhibitor BI 1467335, which the German group today discontinued in Nash owing to the risk of drug-drug interactions.
This decision was taken in spite of an ostensibly positive phase IIa trial, and was based on “assessment of another recently completed phase I study”, Boehringer said. The group had licensed BI 1467335 from Pharmaxis for $30m up front in 2015, as part of a push into Nash that also saw it sign alliances with Yuhan, Dicerna and Mina.
It is unlikely that Boehringer’s enthusiasm for the space burns as brightly as it did a few years ago. The same can be said about Gilead, another company that had tried to buy its way into Nash, but which at its latest quarterly update barely mentioned this therapy area at all.
It seems that Gilead’s new chief executive, Daniel O’Day, does not share the commitment to Nash of his predecessor, especially given this year’s failure of Gilead’s Ask1 inhibitor selonsertib.
If this was a sign that the Atlas study was likely to fail then such fears were confirmed on Monday; Gilead said none of the three combinations tested in Atlas hit the primary endpoint, proportion of patients achieving ≥1-stage improvement in fibrosis without worsening of Nash.
The trial was exploring combinations of selonsertib, the ACC inhibitor firsocostat and cilofexor, an FXR agonist. Echoing earlier findings the most promising readings emerged from the arm testing firsocostat plus cilofexor; patients in this cohort demonstrated significant improvements in various fibrosis measures and liver function.
Whether Gilead considers these signals strong enough to justify further work is unclear, and safety is something to consider. The regimen caused as 28.2% rate of mild to moderate pruritus while 3.9% of patients experienced a big jump in triglyceride levels.
This is a known issue with ACC inhibitors – Pfizer’s candidate in this class, PF-05221304, caused 10% of patients to experience hypertriglyceridemia, it was revealed at AASLD, taking the shine off a dramatic impact on liver fat.
Developers are adding fenofibrates to these combinations to ameliorate this off-target effect, and this is probably where Gilead’s focus now turns. Last month the company added a Vascepa plus firsocostat plus cilofexor arm to a separate phase II study, another cohort of which includes fenofibrate with the same combination; results are due later in 2020.
Early win?
Against such a backdrop any positive developments are welcome, and one was provided today when the French group Poxel said PXL065 showed an acceptable pharmacokinetic profile in phase I. This led it to decide that a 36-week phase II study in biopsy-proven Nash should start next year.
However, PXL065 is merely a deuterium-stabilised stereoisomer of Takeda’s ill-fated diabetes treatment, Actos. The toxicity of such PPAR agonist glitazone drugs has led to contraindications, and for now all Poxel can do is point to a dog study backing PXL065’s improved safety over Actos.
The detail will be of interest to Genfit, whose elafibranor is also a PPAR – though targeting the alpha and delta subunits eliminates the risk of serious toxicity, the group’s fans argue. Either way, the debate should be settled with the imminent readout of Resolve-It.
Just last week yet another contender, Intercept, revealed that its Nash project Ocaliva would likely face a US advisory panel on April 22, delaying a regulatory decision beyond the March 26 PDUFA date that priority review had brought it.
Ocaliva is widely expected to receive a grilling, so even if the chances of a Nash drug seeing the light of day are diminishing the space can hardly be called dull.

New Vascepa Approval Opens Up Treatment to Millions

The newly approved US indication for icosapent ethyl (Vascepa, Amarin) is broadly in line with the entry criteria for the REDUCE-IT trial and includes a large high-risk primary prevention population, as well as those with established cardiovascular disease (CVD). The drug, thus, could well be used by millions of patients in the United States alone.
The high-dose, purified eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) product was approved last week by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for cardiovascular risk reduction among adults already taking maximally tolerated statins with triglyceride levels of 150 mg/dL or higher who have either established CVD or diabetes and two or more additional risk factors for CVD.
The approval is based largely on the REDUCE-IT trial’s finding of a 25% reduction in risk for major adverse cardiovascular events vs placebo. The FDA stated that the approval is the first for an agent with this specific indication.
Noting that it recognizes the need for additional medical treatments for CVD, the FDA says the new approval “will give patients with elevated triglycerides and other important risk factors, including heart disease, stroke and diabetes, an adjunctive treatment option that can help decrease their risk of cardiovascular events.”
The drug was unanimously recommended for approval by the FDA’s Endocrinologic and Metabolic Drugs Advisory Committee last month. But while the committee all agreed on its use in patients with established CVD, which made up 70% of the REDUCE-IT population, they were divided on whether the indication should be extended to the high-risk primary prevention population, who made up just 30% of patients in the study.
Nonetheless, the FDA has gone for a broad indication based on the whole REDUCE-IT population.
In a conference call following the approval, Steven Ketchum, PhD, chief scientific officer at Amarin, pointed out that the primary prevention population stipulated in the new approval differed very slightly from the REDUCE-IT enrollment criteria.
The trial specified that patients with diabetes should be older than 50 with one other cardiovascular risk factor, whereas the approved population is for diabetes and two cardiovascular risk factors. But as these two risk factors are not specified, they could include age, cigarette smoking, hypertension or use of an antihypertensive agent, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high C-reactive protein, body mass index above 25 kg/m2, renal dysfunction, retinopathy, albuminuria, or an ankle branchial index below 0.9, Ketchum said.
“So while the label asks for two other risk factors, one of these could be age; so we believe the label is actually slightly broader than the REDUCE-IT inclusion criteria, and doctors have been left with significant leeway to decide which risk factors to consider on top of diabetes.”
Craig Granowitz, MD, PhD, chief medical officer at Amarin, noted that: “It is difficult to precisely define the size of the population now eligible for Vascepa, but it is big.”

Seattle Genetics call Thursday on FDA OK of ADC for urothelial cancer

Under accelerated review status, the FDA approves Seattle Genetics (NASDAQ:SGEN) and collaboration partners Astellas Pharma’s (OTCPK:ALPMF) antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) Padcev (enfortumab vedotin-ejfv) for the treatment of adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial cancer who have previously received a PD-1/L1 inhibitor and platinum-containing chemo before (neoadjuvant) or after (adjuvant) surgery.
SGEN will host a conference call tomorrow, December 19, at 9:00 am ET to discuss the approval.