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Saturday, February 18, 2023

Vaping: The Great Innovation Public Health Failed to Embrace

 After her recent provocative post on retooling our organ procurement systemSally Satel MD is back with another piece encouraging you to rethink a common assumption. In a two-part Sensible Medicine post, Dr. Satel will argue that the use of electronic cigarettes should be welcomed as a disruptive public health innovation. 

This topic has some similarities to her last. Is this an area where we are passing on a good solution because it is not a perfect one — even though we know the “perfect” solution is failing?

In part I, Dr. Satel reviews the facts about vaping and its use. In part 2, she will address the politics of vaping and the roots of opposition.

Put aside everything you currently believe and think about the following paragraph, one which could appear in an article reflecting on the biggest healthcare innovations in the last 15 years. 

Electronic cigarettes easily top the list of “disruptive technologies in public health.”  In 2014, the Oxford English Dictionary christened "vape" the Word of the Year, a tribute to the impressive rise of the electronic cigarette, a battery-powered device that heats a flavored solution containing nicotine and converts it into an inhalable, or "vape-able," aerosol. Electronic cigarettes have become the most important tool in the battle against cigarette smoking since Surgeon General Luther Terry first warned of their risks in 1964. 

And yet, today, instead of rejoicing at the promise of electronic cigarettes, health agencies have fueled a massive campaign of doubt regarding its health advantages to smokers.  What are the facts and what explains the resistance to acknowledging the vast benefits of vaping? 

Vaping is a form of harm-reduction. E-cigarettes are a replacement for cigarettes, which burn tobacco. The products of combustion – carcinogen-containing tar and other toxins and gases – cause lung disease and cancer and cardiovascular pathology. 

As of 2021 (the latest year for which the CDC has figures) roughly 31 million adults, or 12.6% of Americans, smoked and about 12 million (4.7%) vaped.

What is known about the characteristics of e-cigarettes compared to cigarettes?

Foremost, the number of chemicals in cigarette smoke, greater than 7,000, exceeds that of e-cigarette aerosol by two orders of magnitude.  In addition, though some toxins, including heavy metals, such as cadmium, lead, and nickel, may be present in e-cigarettes, they exist in trace amounts and in forms considered nontoxic. Roswell Park researchers found that levels of toxicants were 9–450 times lower than in cigarette smoke. 

According to the Royal College of Physicians, the long-term health risks associated with e-cigarettes “are unlikely to exceed five percent of those associated with smoked tobacco products.” Public Health England, the equivalent of our CDC, puts the estimate “mostly below 1 percent and far below safety limits for occupational exposure.”  

In a 2021 article entitled, “Balancing Consideration of the Risks and Benefits of E-Cigarettes,” 15 past presidents of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco document, among other things, that “tests of lung and vascular function indicate improvement in cigarette smokers who switch to e-cigarettes.” Findings show improvements in asthma and COPD and vascular function and hypertension in smokers who use e-cigarettes. 

In summary, vaping is not safe, but it is at least 95 percent less harmful than smoking. 

Not only are e-cigarettes safer, they are more acceptable than other alternatives to cigarettes. A greater percentage of smokers seeking to quit substituted e-cigarettes in place of the nicotine patch, nicotine gum, or other FDA-approved cessation aids, the CDC found.  

E-cigarettes are also more effective than nicotine-replacement aids. 

A year-long study appearing in the New England Journal of Medicine randomized almost 900 smokers to e-cigarettes or a combination of nicotine replacement methods, usually patches supplemented by nicotine chewing gum, mouth spray or inhalator. Those randomized to e-cigarettes were 80 percent more likely to achieve sustained abstinence from cigarettes for one year (18 percent), compared with those who used nicotine replacement therapies (9.9 percent).  

A recent Cochrane Collaboration assessed the results of 78 studies that compared e-cigarettes with patches or gum, varenicline, e-cigarettes without nicotine, behavioral support, such as advice or counseling; or no support for stopping smoking. The report found “high certainty evidence that people are more likely to stop smoking for at least six months using nicotine e-cigarettes, or ‘vapes’, than using nicotine replacement therapies, such as patches and gums [and] may work better than no support, or behavioral support alone and they may not be associated with serious unwanted effects.” 

There are no head to head trials comparing e-cigarettes to the medications we most commonly use to aid smoking cessation, varenicline and bupropion. Comparing efficacies from the studies quoted above and a recent meta-analysis, we’d expect that e-cigarettes would be among our most effective therapies. E-cigarettes are more desirable for most people than the other forms of treatment. In sum, e-cigarettes might carry certain  health risks and continued surveillance is necessary, but they are likely to be among our most effective and efficacious tools for smoking cessation and pose considerably lower risks than cigarettes. 

This might be a surprising statement considering recent claims of American health organizations?

Claim: The American Heart Association says, under the banner of “The Ugly Truth about Vaping,” that e-cigarette use “is a dangerous trend with real health risks.”

Claim: The American Lung Association warns about “evolving evidence about the health effects of e-cigarettes on the lungs.”

Reality: in smokers, the opposite is true.

Claim: The American Cancer Society tells the public that, “E-cigarettes should not be used to quit smoking”

Reality: see data presented above.

Because of assertions like these, along with uncertain language in other health communication about vaping, the public has a poor perception of e-cigarettes. When I tell my patients at a methadone clinic that they should switch to vaping if they cannot or don’t want to quit smoking, they look at me wide-eyed. These very patients, already engaging in one of the most successful forms of harm reduction – methadone instead of heroin and fentanyl – have been misled about another product that could save their lives.

Their disbelief is reflected in the HINTS surveys of the National Cancer Institute, which shows a worrisome trend from 2014, the first year of measurement, to the most recent 2020 data. 

In 2014, only 5.8 percent of people rated e-cigarettes as “more harmful” or “much more harmful” than smoking. In 2020, 27.7 percent held that impression. In 2014, 6.4 percent deemed e-cigarettes “much less harmful,” but in 2020 only 2.6 percent said so.

From articles in academic journals, one might have the impression that e-cigarettes pose myriad harms. In virtually every instance, such papers contain significant problems in study design (see here for a partial list of “deficient and unreliable studies” compiled by Brad Rodu, Professor of Medicine at the University of Louisville.) Another review reported common methodological flaws in testing for metal contents in e-cigarettes aerosol.

A 2022 article called “Analysis of Common Methodological Flaws in the Highest Cited E-cigarette Epidemiology Research,” analyzed 24 studies to reveal numerous flaws.

For example, a 2019 study in the Journal of the American Heart Association (JAHA) purported to have established a link between vaping and myocardial infarction. One of its authors emphasized a causal relationship. In truth, the study was terribly flawed: the many subjects who suffered heart attacks did so before switching from smoking to vaping. After researchers at the University of Louisville exposed this defect, JAHA editors retracted the article.

In the second part of this post I will discuss the (debunked) claim that vaping poses a “gateway” to smoking for teens, a brief history of the distrust of tobacco harm reduction, the lop-sided risk communication mischaracterizing teen vaping at the expense of informing adults accurately, how anxiety over teens has shaped the FDA’s heavy-handed regulatory approach, smarter approaches deployed in the UK, and how Big Tobacco wins when adult smokers are scared away from vaping.  

Sally Satel MD is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a lecturer at Yale University School of Medicine. She does not receive any funding from manufacturers of vaping products.

https://sensiblemed.substack.com/p/vaping-the-great-innovation-public

Hochul’s Tobacco Ban Is Pouring Gas on NYC's Raging Dumpster Fire

 Where there’s smoke there’s fire.

Right now, New York is engulfed in a red hot firefight with the illicit market for all things smoke and the City is losing badly. The slow and clumsy rollout of recreational cannabis has created a wild west market throughout the five boroughs and the state. Prohibition on flavored nicotine vapes has largely been ignored by retailers. 

Lack of clarity over new regulations combined with insufficient enforcement resources has created an environment of lawlessness. Now in a policy move straight out of the Twilight Zone, Governor Hochul wants to pour gas on the dumpster fire with a ban on flavored tobacco that is playing right into the hands of smugglers, gangs, and organized crime.

New York is already the capital of the United States for illegal tobacco sales. It’s estimated that more than half of all cigarettes sold in New York City are sold illegally. If you buy a pack of smokes in Queens or Brooklyn, chances are that the tax stamp on the bottom will show it came from Virginia or North Carolina. Criminals load up trucks in lower tax states where cigarettes are cheaper and they ship them up to the Empire State where they can make millions in low risk profit.

As the former Sheriff of New York City who designed the tobacco enforcement regime, I know the challenge our law enforcement is facing. For violent gangs, it’s safer to traffic in illegal cigarettes than hard drugs because there are no laws against possessing a carton of cigarettes. Illegal tobacco is a lucrative cash commodity that has even been used to fund terror operations including the first attack on the World Trade Center in 1993. 

Our law enforcement professionals, try as they might, don’t have the resources or statutory authority in some cases to even police the market conditions that our government has created and if menthol cigarettes are made illegal, the illicit market will explode.

Now, amidst an already thriving criminal market for tobacco the governor has injected a new element in the form of recreational cannabis. When it comes to weed, New York is experiencing a different strain of illicit market. Opening up a recreational adult market for a product that was considered an illegal drug only last year (and still is in many parts of the country) has our communities dazed and confused with lack of clarity on how to control the new industry.

Out in the streets, opportunistic criminal entrepreneurs are taking maximum advantage. From weed trucks and pop-up stores on every block to THC products illegally sold in unlicensed stores and faux dispensaries, the gray market for weed has overwhelmed the city. Try as they might to stop the flood of illegal commerce, the law enforcement whack-a-mole approach can’t keep up. They need more resources, pure and simple.

But wait, there’s more. The market for e-cigarettes is another new complication to this whole mess. Flavored nicotine vapes have already been banned statewide, but again there’s been basically zero enforcement. You can still basically get them anywhere without much trouble. Vape shops around the state are still selling fruity flavored e-cigarettes without any enforcement. And when law enforcement has actually busted shops for illegal sales, the dangerous truth of this confused and out-of-control marketplace becomes abundantly clear.

Over the past few weeks, raids on vape shops in various communities tell the full story. Prohibited nicotine vapes seized alongside THC vapes, untaxed cigarettes, and other illegal products. The scariest piece of this puzzle is that the illicit market is flooded with unregulated, counterfeit products made in China, some even laced with fentanyl and other deadly drugs.

The social justice arguments for recreational cannabis and the public health justification for smoking cessation are both logical and clear, but in a strange twist they represent a contradiction. According to experts, prohibition of cannabis for decades has contributed to significant social ills including incarceration, and a booming underground economy for weed, without really stopping consumption. This failure is why the government is trying to correct those mistakes through a recreational market.

Prohibition of menthol cigarettes, a product that's disproportionately consumed by African Americans, will also create social ills including growth of the illicit market and increased police activity in urban communities without making any real impact in smoking rates.

In law enforcement, universal physical laws remain true. Every action generates a reaction. If you impose new laws, especially on substances like THC and nicotine, you have to make sure you understand the far reaching impacts of those laws. Prohibition doesn’t work, which is why the recreational cannabis market now exists. Prohibiting flavored tobacco and menthol cigarettes won’t work either. There’s no better proof than the failed enforcement disaster that’s playing out in New York’s streets today.

The people of New York deserve better than this.

Edgar Domenech is the former Sheriff of New York City. He served as Deputy Director and Chief Operating Officer for the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives.

https://www.realclearpolicy.com/articles/2023/02/17/hochuls_tobacco_ban_is_pouring_gas_on_nycs_raging_dumpster_fire_882411.html

11-year-old NYC boy overdoses on pot gummies at Super Bowl party

 An 11-year-old Staten Island boy was hospitalized after gobbling up THC gummies he mistook for candy at a Super Bowl party — and now his mom is urging the mayor to do something to prevent potential tragedies involving edibles.

Veronica Gill noticed her son, Ryan, “acting really strange” after returning home from a gathering at their friends’ house in New Springville, she told The Post.

“My son was sitting on the couch with me, and he started zoning out. At first, I thought he was pretending because he opened his eyes wide and laughed. Then he would zone out for a minute again, then open his eyes wide and laugh,” she said. 

Gill became concerned when the youngster’s laughter suddenly turned into cries for help — and his body started shaking. 

A picture of Veronica Gill.
Veronica Gill said noticed her son, Ryan, “acting really strange” after returning home from a gathering at their friends’ house.
Owen Reiter

“He started saying ‘Mom, I feel really weird.’ He was hearing voices. Then he started shaking … I thought he was maybe having a seizure.”

Panicked, the mother of three rushed Ryan to an urgent care center, where his racing heartbeat led doctors to call an ambulance to take him to the ER at Richmond University Medical Center.

After Ryan underwent a series of tests, including a CAT scan – “God forbid, they had to rule out a brain tumor,” Gill said – a urine test revealed he had ingested a considerable amount of THC in the last few hours. 

“I was literally in shock. I couldn’t believe it,” Gill recalled. 

A picture of Ryan Gill.
Veronica said her son started to hear voices and started to shake, thinking he was having a seizure.
Owen Reiter

Gill was further disturbed to find out that her son had taken the weed-infused gummies from a candy drawer at the “straight-laced” party-throwers home. 

“When [my friend] went back to check the drawer after we told her what happened, she realized that the candy had THC in it. She called us hysterically crying,” Gill said. 

Gill wasn’t angry with her friend, who told her, “I have no idea how the hell this got into my house.”

Instead, she fumed that packaging for edibles like the ones her son ate is allowed to resemble that of regular candy brands, and have only small THC warnings that buyers can miss.

“A lot of people have said ‘How did she not know [they were edibles]?’ And I tell them, ‘I wouldn’t know.’ People that use that stuff know. People that don’t, don’t even think to look [for THC warnings],” Gill said. 

“I’m really not blaming the homeowner at all, because they’re also a victim of this packaging.”

A picture of medical marijuana with gummy bears.
The mother is furious at the packaging for edibles that resemble regular candy brands and have small THC warnings that can be missed.
Alina Lyssenko / Alamy

Ryan stayed the night in the hospital, resting and drinking fluids while the symptoms wore off, according to his mom.

“Thank God he’s okay,” she said.

The number of calls to poison-control centers for abuse and misuse of cannabis products in Americans ages 6 to 18 has skyrocketed – rising from 510 cases in 2000 to 1,761 in 2020, according to a recent study published in Clinical Toxicology

New York has only four licensed shops – but more than 1,400 illegal peddlers in New York City are selling unregulated products, with little police intervention.

Gill begged Mayor Adams to crack down on illicit cannabis sellers, especially those whose products are marketed towards children — something which the mayor promised to do during a City Hall press conference on Dec. 15.

“What if [the mayor] makes it so that, if the illegal [sellers] don’t have a warning sign on their packages, in big, black, bold letters, they get double the fine? Just to try to protect the kids,” Gill said.

https://nypost.com/2023/02/18/11-year-old-nyc-boy-overdoses-on-weed-gummies-at-super-bowl-party/

Is Switzerland About To Become First Country To Outlaw A Cashless Society?

 by Nick Corbishley via NakedCapitalism.com,

As in neighboring Germany and Austria, cash is still king in Switzerland albeit a much diminished one. But the Swiss will soon have the chance to vote on whether to preserve notes and coins indefinitely.  

This is a rare positive news story that, perhaps unsurprisingly, has received next to no attention beyond Swiss borders. As far as I can tell, none of the legacy media in the US, UK, France, Germany or Spain have even bothered to cover the story. Indeed, it only registered on my radar a couple of days ago, over a week after the story initially broke, because an acquaintance of mine with family in Switzerland told me about it.

So, here’s the basic thrust of the story: At the beginning of last week, a Swiss pressure group with libertarian leanings called the Swiss Freedom Movement (FBS) announced it had collected enough signatures (111,000) to trigger a national vote on preserving cash for posterity. If passed, the initiative would require the federal government to ensure that coins and banknotes are always available in sufficient quantities. What’s more, any attempt to replace the Swiss Franc with another currency — quite possibly a reference to a central bank digital currency — would also have to be put to popular vote.

From Reuters:

Swiss citizens will get the chance to try to ensure their economy never becomes cashless, a pressure group said, after collecting enough signatures on Monday to trigger a popular vote on the issue.

The Free Switzerland Movement (FBS) says cash is playing a shrinking role in many economies, as electronic payments become the default for transactions in increasingly digitised societies, making it easier for the state to monitor its citizens’ actions.

It wants a clause added to Switzerland’s currency law, which governs how the central bank and government manage the money supply, stipulating that a “sufficient quantity” of banknotes or coins must always remain in circulation…

Under Switzerland’s system of direct democracy, the proposal would become law if approved by voters, though government and parliament would decide how that law was implemented.

FBS says cash is playing a diminishing role in many economies, including Switzerland, as digital payment methods come to the fore, making it easier for the State and central bank to track citizens’ behavior.

“It is clear that… getting rid of cash not only touches on issues of transparency, simplicity or security… but also carries a huge danger of totalitarian surveillance,” FBS president Richard Koller said on the group’s website.

Cash Still King in Switzerland, Albeit a Much Diminished One

As in neighboring Germany and Austria, cash is still king in Switzerland, though its role has shrunk significantly in recent years. According to the findings of the Swiss National Bank’s last survey of people’s spending habits, conducted in the autumn of 2020, 97% of Swiss citizens still keep cash in their wallets or at home to cover day-to-day expenses, which is significantly higher than most countries.

Forty percent of transactions were still being made using cash, which is also higher than many of Switzerland’s more cashless European neighbors, such as the UK (around 15%), Sweden (less than 10%) and Norway (3-4%, the lowest level of cash usage in the world). But that was down from around 70% three years earlier. What’s more, in terms of transaction value, the debit card recently overtook cash as the payment method with the highest share for non-recurring payments.

“The survey results show that, in terms of the number of payments made, cash continues to be the payment instrument most frequently used by the Swiss population,” Fritz Zurbrugge, then-vice-president of the Swiss National Bank’s governing board, said. “Compared with 2017, however, when the first payment methods survey was carried out, its usage share has dropped significantly. The coronavirus pandemic has given additional impetus to this shift from cash to non-cash payment methods”.

As readers are well aware, the pandemic rapidly intensified preexisting forces, mainly due to unfounded fears that cash could exacerbate the spread of COVID. Those fears were stoked and magnified by mainstream media and seized upon by certain retailers (such as the British supermarket Tesco) to justify encouraging all customers to avoid making cash payments. Even today, with most public health measures (at least of the non-pharmaceutical variety) consigned to the back burner, retailers in some countries continue to reject cash.

Three Unique Benefits of Cash, According to SNB

The date for the referendum on the cash initiative is yet to be set. A video report on the issue by Swiss Info emphasized that none of Switzerland’s main political parties support the initiative. It also underscored the FSB’s libertarian credentials while likening the cash initiative to the failed sovereign money initiative of June 2018, also known as Vollgeld, which sought to put an end to fractional reserve banking by including the creation of scriptural money in the legal mandate of the Swiss National Bank (SNB).

The SNB opposed that referendum. It is not yet clear what it makes of the cash initiative. Officially speaking, the central bank has no preference as to whether people pay with cash or digital alternatives. Freedom of choice is what matters. In a speech last November titled “Popular, But Under Pressure – Cash in the Digital Age”, Martin Schlegel, vice chairman of the SNB’s governing board, highlighted three key advantages cash has over digital payments:

  • First, cash makes managing your money clear and simple. It is easier to keep a firm grasp on your spending with notes and coins. You only have to open your wallet to see if you can afford additional expenses. It is with good reason that parents usually give children their pocket money in cash. By contrast, when you hold a plastic card up to a payment terminal, all you see is an amount that will be debited from your account at some point in the future.

  • Second, thanks to its simplicity of use, cash allows everyone to participate in the economy in social life. You do not need an account or a mobile phone to pay with coins and banknotes, nor do you need an affinity with digital technology.

  • Third, when paying by cash, you do not need to provide personal details such as your name or card number. With electronic payments, however, information about the persons making the payment and their payment behaviour is stored.

To ensure that people can continue to enjoy these benefits, Schlegel said the SNB must help preserve Switzerland’s cash infrastructure, which includes cash processing operators and commercial banks. It also means ensuring that shops continue to accept notes and coins for purchases.

But before we get ahead of ourselves, in Switzerland the outcome of a referendum does not automatically become law. As NC reader Irrational has kindly pointed out, there there are plenty of instances where the Swiss government, parliament, courts and official agencies have delayed and/or watered down undesirable legislation approved by the public.

Norway’s “Cash Crisis”

In some countries that are further along the road to a fully cashless existence, central banks and governments are already taking steps to preserve cash services. They include Norway. In a 2021 survey, the country’s central bank, Norges Bank, found that many of the country’s commercial banks were no longer accepting responsibility for providing cash services. This became a major exacerbating factor in Norway’s so-called “cash crisis” of May 2022, when card terminals across the nation went down for hours, leaving millions of people unable to transact.

That crisis underscored the ongoing importance of cash, which Schlegel describes as “particularly
crisis-proof”:

You can still pay with banknotes even when a card terminal has stopped working, when your mobile phone has no reception or when there is no electricity. Cash therefore serves as an important back-up in the event of local – or even widespread – interruptions to card or app payments.

Norway’s “cash crisis” appears to have galvanized both the government and Norges Bank to shore up cash services and the right to pay with banknotes and coins. In September 2022, the Ministry of Justice and Emergency Preparedness submitted a proposal for changes to the Act to strengthen the right to pay cash, with physical businesses being required to accept it and provisions in place to consider individual cases for other services.

But at the same time, most central banks, including Norges Bank and the SNB, are also exploring the possibility of launching their own central bank digital currencies, or CBDCs, in the not-too-distant future. While most central banks have repeatedly said that CBDCs, once launched, will co-exist alongside cash, there are no guarantees that that is what will happen, or under what sort of conditions.

In 2019, a blog post on the IMF’s website, titled “Cashing In: How to Make Negative Interest Rates Work,” based on an IMF staff study, posited setting a dual currency system in which cash would gradually depreciate against e-money, thus allowing the central bank to set “as negative an interest as necessary for countering a recession, without triggering any large-scale substitutions into cash.”

As the authors of the post themselves note, implementing such a system “would require important modifications of the financial and legal system” in each country. “In particular,” they go on, “fundamental questions pertaining to monetary law would have to be addressed and consistency with the IMF’s legal framework would need to be ensured. Also, it would require an enormous communication effort.”

The reason for that is that most people in most countries, if properly consulted, would presumably opt not to live in an economy where interest rates were significantly below zero and cash was, by design and law, constantly depreciating in value, even more so than it is today. They would probably also prefer not to live in a CBDC-based economy, where largely unaccountable central banks would have unprecedented surveillance and control powers over the population.

This is the problem: the public, whether in Nigeria, the UK, the US, Russia, Brazil or the Euro Area, are not being consulted. And this is why what is happening in Switzerland is potentially so important. At the very least there will be a public debate on the issue.

As FBS president Richard Koller notes, pushing through such guarantees for access to cash in the European Union would entail the “almost impossible” process of securing approval from all 27 member states. It would also imply a degree of public consultation, representation and accountability that simply does not exist at the EU-level.

If FBS’ referendum on preserving cash were to actually pass and the government were to actually enact the legislation without watering it down too much (two big “IFs”), Switzerland could become a potential “European standard-bearer for the defence of cash,” says Koller. And that, in this humble blogger’s opinion, would be a good thing.

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/switzerland-about-become-first-country-outlaw-cashless-society

Moderna’s post-Covid prospects dim

 Moderna’s flu vaccine, a crucial plank underpinning its post-pandemic strategy, has disappointed – and the main problem is not, as might have been expected, its side-effect profile. Compared with an approved seasonal flu vaccine in its phase 3 immunogenicity trial, mRNA-1010 more or less worked on influenza A variants, but missed entirely on the less common B strains. Safety does remain a worry, with 70% of mRNA-1010 recipients reporting solicited adverse reactions versus 48% in the comparator group. Moderna’s share price dropped 5% in early trade. mRNA-1010 has another chance: Moderna is also conducting a much larger efficacy trial with an updated version of the vaccine designed to improve immune responses against influenza B. An interim efficacy analysis of this trial will occur by the end of next month, though chances of stoppage for efficacy at that point now seem low. But there is a bigger question: might reactogenicity be a problem for Moderna’s entire platform? With several flu jabs in the clinic, including combination Covid and RSV vaccines, Moderna has a lot to lose if so. And if the problem is common to all mRNA-based vaccines, Pfizer, Sanofi and GSK are in the danger zone too. 

mRNA-1010's performance vs comparator vaccine in Ph3 (NCT05415462)
 Endpoint
Flu strainSeroconversion ratesGeometric mean titre ratios
A/H3N2SuperiorSuperior
A/H1N1SuperiorNon-inferior
B/Victoria- lineageNo effectNo effect
B/Yamagata-lineageNo effectNo effect
Source: company release. 

 

mRNA influenza vaccines
ProjectCompanyData and trial
mRNA-1010ModernaPh3 immunogenicity trial (NCT05415462) in 6,100 pts reported mixed data Feb 2023
Ph3 efficacy trial (NCT05566639) in 23,000 pts, PCD Dec 2023
PF-07252220Pfizer/BiontechPh3 trial (NCT05540522) in 36,200 pts, PCD Aug 2023
mRNA-1073 (Covid and flu)ModernaPh1/2 trial (NCT05375838) in 550 pts, PCD Jun 2023
mRNA 1010, mRNA-1020 and mRNA-1030ModernaPh1/2 trial (NCT05333289) in 572 pts, completed but no results released
SP0273/MRT5407 SanofiPh1/2 trial (NCT05553301) in 560 pts, PCD Jan 2024
GSK4382276A (FLU SV mRNA)GSK/CurevacPh1 trial (NCT05446740) in 198 pts, PCD Jun 2023
CVSQIVGSK/CureVacPh1 trial (NCT05252338) in 240 pts, had a PCD of Oct 2022, but trial status is "recruiting"
mRNA-1045 (flu and RSV) and mRNA-1230 (flu, RSV, and Covid), compared with mRNA-1010 (flu), mRNA-1345 (RSV) and mRNA-1273.214 (Covid)ModernaPh1 trial (NCT05585632) in 675 pts, PCD Mar 2024
PF-07252220 (flu) plus bivalent Comirnaty (Covid)Pfizer/BiontechPh1 trial (NCT05596734) in 360 pts, PCD Jun 2024
PCD = primary completion date. Source: Evaluate Pharma, clinicaltrials.gov & company statements.

https://www.evaluate.com/vantage/articles/news/trial-results-snippets/modernas-post-covid-prospects-dim

Chinese tech firms working on ChatGPT-style tech

 The global buzz around Microsoft chatbot ChatGPT has spread to China, shoring up stocks in artificial intelligence (AI) related firms and prompting a flurry of local companies to announce rival projects.

Like Microsoft and Google,Chinese tech giants such as Baidu and Alibaba as well as smaller start-ups have been working on AI projects for years.

Chatbots in China mostly focus on social interactions whereas ChatGPT, which learns from vast amounts of data how to answer prompts by users in a human-like manner, performs better at more professional tasks, such as programming and essay writing.

Here is a list of Chinese tech companies that have recently made announcements on AI technology:

BAIDU

Baidu Inc said on Feb. 7 it would complete internal testing of a ChatGPT-style project called "Ernie Bot" in March.

ALIBABA

Alibaba Group on Feb. 8 said it is developing a ChatGPT-style tool currently in internal testing. The e-commerce giant said large language models and generative AI have been areas of focus since it formed its research institute Damo Academy in 2017.

TENCENT

Tencent Holdings said on Feb. 9 is conducting research on the ChatGPT-tool technology and the firm will continue to invest in AI research based on its current technical reserves in foundation model, machine learning algorithms and natural language processing.

JD.COM

E-commerce company JD.Com said on Feb. 10 it plans to launch a product similar to ChatGPT that it said will be called ChatJD and will be aimed at serving other businesse.

CHINA TELECOM

China Telecom Corp is developing an industrial version of ChatGPT for the telecommunications field and which will use AI in some customer service functions, local Chinese media reported on Feb. 18.

NETEASE

Gaming firm NetEase plans to deploy large language models technology to serve its education business, a source familiar with the company told Reuters on Feb. 8.

360 SECURITY TECHNOLOGY INC

360 Security Technology Inc said on Feb. 8 it possessed language model technology but that it could not give a clear indication on when it would launch any related products.

KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY

Short video app Kuaishou Technology is conducting research on large language models, which it will use to improve its products such as AI customer service, the government-backed the Paper reported on Feb. 9.

INSPUR ELECTRONIC INFORMATION INDUSTRY

Inspur Electronic Information Industry said on its investors relation website that it has long invested in AI-Generated Content (AIGC) from arithmetic, algorithms to the application of the technology.

KUNLUN TECH

Beijing based-mobile games firm Kunlun Tech said it planned to launch a Chinese version of ChatGPT this year whose code will be open source, the company said on its WeChat account on Thursday.

The company said in a separate statement that on Wednesday it will embed ChatGPT into its Norway-based web browser Opera.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/factbox-chinese-tech-firms-working-100151307.html