Search This Blog

Friday, December 6, 2024

NYPD using AI, drones, DNA, cutting-edge tech in manhunt for United Healthcare CEO’s assassin

 Cutting-edge technologies, including state-of-the-art camera networks and facial recognition software powered by artificial intelligence, are being used by police in the hunt for the brazen killer who shot United Healthcare boss Brian Thompson dead in broad daylight on 6th Avenue on Wednesday.

They’re just a few of the advanced tools, along with drones, DNA testing and GPS tracking, that the NYPD has at its disposal — and some of these technologies having already proved invaluable in piecing together the moments before, during and after Thompson, 50, was executed on a city street.

Hotel surveillance cameras captured the still-at-large gunman waiting patiently outside the New York Hilton Midtown on West 54th Street before he approached his target — the CEO of the health care giant, who was not accompanied by bodyguards — from behind and opened fire at close range just before 7 a.m., killing Thompson.

The killer arrived about five minutes before the shooting and waited for his target, the NYPD said.Obtained by NY Post

A woman who witnessed the incident close-up can be seen running for her life before the killer appears to calmly leave the scene, sneak through an alley and ride away on an electric bike, disappearing into Central Park.

00:00
04:15

Since then, the police have poured an incredible amount of resources into identifying the assassin and piecing together his movements before the brazen crime.

So far, the network of surveillance cameras operated by both the NYPD and private businesses has uncovered a picture of the smiling suspect at the HI New York City Hostel at 891 Amsterdam Ave. on the Upper West Side of Manhattan prior to the slaying.

Other footage showed the suspect and his partially hidden face inside a Starbucks near the crime scene, which he visited minutes before the shooting. Police have also collected shell casings from the scene and a phone that the killer left behind.

Here is how else technology is aiding police in the manhunt:

Facial recognition

The NYPD has a dedicated unit, known as the Facial Identification Section, which uses software to compare images from a crime scene or investigation with a database of known individuals, such as mugshots, pistol permit images and gang member photos, Fox Business reports.

While facial recognition technology has come a long way in recent years, it’s not like in the movies, according to retired NYPD detective Herman Weisberg.

Brian Thompson was named chief executive officer for UnitedHealthcare in April 2021.

“This man was wearing a mask, which could hinder facial recognition software because it recognizes points in the face and measures the distance between them,” Weisberg, who is now the managing director at private investigations agency Sage Intelligence, told The Post.

“The technology is there and fine in a controlled environment like a Las Vegas casino, but it’s less effective on footage shot on a street in low light or bad weather.”

Pictures have emerged of the man who police claim is the killer smiling after having pulled his mask down in the hostel where he was staying. However, due to the angle of his head and the fact he was still wearing a hood, it may hamper analysis, sources said.

“As far as trailing someone with a gray hoodie and a backpack on a bike, the cameras are so voluminous that if you miss him on one block, you can find him on the next and start canvassing there.

“It’s painstaking, tedious work and not as easy as it looks … but the NYPD has become very good at utilizing the public’s videos for a crime of this magnitude,” Weisberg added.

The NYPD has released photos of the suspected gunman who shot and killed UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, 50, on Wednesday outside the Hilton hotel in Midtown.via REUTERS

In 2019, the NYPD’s Facial Identification Section received 9,850 requests for comparison, according to its site.

Out of those requests, the unit identified 2,510 possible matches for suspects. This includes possible matches in 68 murders, 66 rapes, 277 felony assaults, 386 robberies and 525 grand larcenies.

Facial recognition technology is a valuable tool in solving crimes, but it is not by itself enough grounds for an arrest, and must be accompanied by police work, according to the NYPD.

Surveillance footage

New York has an extensive system of cameras constantly monitoring the city, which police can access.

The NYPD also leverages the Domain Awareness System, one of the world’s largest networks of cameras, license plate readers and radiological sensors, designed to detect and prevent terrorist acts but also of great value in criminal investigations, according to its site.

The system is reportedly made up of numerous physical and software components, including over 18,000 closed-circuit television cameras.

“The NYPD has their own security cameras, especially in Midtown areas and subway stations where there is so much foot traffic. It’s a pretty impressive system with state-of-the-art technology that really gives them the advantage over typical storefront cameras,” Weisberg added.

“It’s come a long way compared to the old systems, you have really high-definition cameras that pick up low-light situations, and because they’re operated by the NYPD, they are designed and angled to detect crime and hopefully assist in hunting down people who flee the scene.”

In addition to that, dashcams and other cameras fitted to city-owned trucks, buses, cars and, of course, officers themselves are also recording at any given time or place.

NYPD Chief of Detectives Joseph Kenny told reporters that police have been “pulling video from numerous locations, numerous sources” in their search for the suspect, who was carrying a “distinctive gray backpack.”

The NYPD has its own security cameras all over the city.Gabriella Bass
The suspect was seen making a call on a phone as he made his way to the Hilton Hotel on Sixth Avenue before the 6:46 a.m. murder.Eyewitness News ABC7NY / YouTube

With so many cameras in the city — including an abundance of security cameras operated by private businesses — there is likely more footage of the suspect yet to emerge.

The NYPD is the most technologically advanced police department in the nation and one of the most advanced in the world, utilizing the most up-to-date technologies.

“There’s advancement of all the technology available, whether advanced photographs, resources in being able to retrieve fingerprints, any type of DNA, cellphone records, any technical aspects available today that were not available years ago that helps [investigators],” explained retired NYPD homicide detective Leonard Golino, who is now the owner of private investigative agency Gold Shield Elite.

First responders tried to perform CPR to save the UnitedHealthcare CEO who was fatally shot outside a Midtown hotel on Wednesday morning, harrowing video shows.WNYW/Fox 5

Golino explained that with so many video cameras on every New York City street, building, lobby and subway station, authorities have to narrow down their search.

“You need a starting point and [in this case] they have that — with the location and individual on camera, [investigators] then expand out to the area the subject passes through and follow that trajectory. From that point you canvass the area, see what cameras are there, then pull footage and try to match it to the suspect.”

GPS tracking, ballistics and DNA testing

Law enforcement sources previously said the masked gunman used a silencer and appeared to be an experienced shooter as he pumped bullets into Thompson, of Minnesota, causing him to collapse on the pavement.

The gunman’s weapon jammed during the shooting, but the killer swiftly rectified the issue and continued firing as the CEO tried to crawl away, according to security footage.

“His ability to clear the jam is about as good as it gets,” Weisberg said.

“To have that clarity under that pressure means he kept a cool head and had ample training to clear jams, which every police and military person has and keeps in the back of their head.

“He’s definitely done some training at a shooting range at the very least.”

Police are still looking for the suspect after he was spotted riding away from the crime scene on Sixth Avenue and entering Central Park just before 7 a.m. Wednesday.Obtained by NY Post

After gunning down Thompson, the suspect ran into an alleyway, then jumped on an electric bike, which he rode north along Sixth Avenue into Central Park, where surveillance camera coverage is spotty, police said.

Police initially said the shooter rode into Central Park on a bicycle from the city’s bike-share program, CitiBike, but the program’s operator, Lyft, later confirmed that the bike was not one of its machines.

Other pieces of evidence being examined include three live 9-millimeter rounds and three discharged casings recovered in front of the Hilton hotel on Sixth Avenue, where Thompson was set to host an investors’ conference that morning.

“The crime scene is a critical point at the initial stage of the investigation, especially when you’ve got ballistics that give you information about the weapon and footage that gives you direction of flight,” Golino said.

Police also said they found a water bottle and protein bar wrapper from a trash can near the scene of the shooting believed to have been purchased by the suspect minutes before the shooting.

DNA evidence has been recovered from those items, sources said. A Starbucks coffee cup allegedly used by the shooter is also being processed for DNA evidence with results expected in days, according to sources.

The words “deny,” “depose” and “defend” were engraved on live rounds and shell casings left behind by the masked assassin, police sources said.

Drones

While Central Park entrances and subway stations are fitted with surveillance cameras, there are many blind spots within the park.

That’s one reason drones are used by the NYPD to conduct regular patrols in the area and, in some cases, respond to emergencies, such as searching for missing or wanted people.

Mayor Eric Adams and police officials last month announced the expansion of the city’s Drone as First Responder (DFR) program, which includes a fleet of 109 drones flown by roughly 60 police officers certified to operate them by the Federal Aviation Administration.

Drones are used as “first responders” as part of a pilot program in NYC.Gabriella Bass
New York Mayor Eric Adams.Debra L Rothenberg/Shutterstock

“The DFR program will deploy drones to assist with public safety calls, including searches for missing people, alerts from gunshot detection systems, robberies and grand larcenies, and other crimes in progress,” Adams said at a November press conference announcing the expanded program led by NYPD Deputy Commissioner of Operations Kaz Daughtry.

“These drones [give] a live feed enabling [officers] to make initial scene assessments.”

All of the drones are controlled from a room at police headquarters in Lower Manhattan.

“Drones are less costly than helicopters when you’re looking for certain things,” Golino told The Post.

“There are different types — heat-sensored or ones that detect movements and can zoom in certain areas or to pick up the subject itself, or something they left behind. It helps the investigation and speeds it up, while giving an overall look of the area from above.”

However, alongside all the technology and advanced searching systems, Golino and Weisberg agree there is no substitute for old-fashioned police work, with boots on the ground, talking to people and gathering evidence.

“There are lots of pieces and elements to [a manhunt] like this — a lot goes into it.

“You just have to take it one step at a time,” Golino added.

https://nypost.com/2024/12/06/us-news/the-next-frontier-for-catching-a-killer-prevalent-surveillance-ai-drones/

Doc accused of pushing pre-teen into puberty blockers, mastectomy sued for medical negligence

 A controversial doctor and trans rights activist allegedly pushed a pre-teen into transitioning and lied that she was suicidal to treat her with testosterone — potentially rendering her infertile, according to a lawsuit.

Clementine Breen, now 20, filed a medical negligence lawsuit against Dr. Johanna Olson-Kennedy Thursday, claiming she was rushed into irreversible treatment to become male starting at age 12 without proper psychological testing and monitoring of her mental health and the side-effects of the treatment, according to a report by the Economist.

“People are just brushing exactly what happened to me off as something that doesn’t happen,” she said.

Olson-Kennedy – the medical director of the Center for Transyouth Health and Development at Children’s Hospital Los Angeles – came under fire in October after she admitted she refused to publish the findings of a $10 million taxpayer-funded study showing that puberty blockers didn’t improve the mental health of kids.

Dr. Johanna Olson Kennedy
Dr. Johanna Olson Kennedy is being sued by a former patient.

Breen’s suit claims Olson-Kennedy’s clinic put her on puberty blockers when she was just 12, started her on hormone therapy at 13 and performed a double mastectomy on her at 14, the outlet reported, citing the suit and an interview with Breen.

And at one point when Breen’s parents told Olson-Kennedy they were concerned about putting their child on testosterone treatment, the doctor said Breen was suicidal, despite the fact that the pre-teen hadn’t had suicidal thoughts or ever expressed having them.

Still, Olson-Kennedy allegedly told them “if they did not agree to cross-sex hormone therapy, Clementine would commit suicide,” the court papers allege.

The doctor’s notes didn’t say anything about these supposed suicidal thoughts before the breast surgery and, in fact, her notes for the testoterone treatment described Breen’s mental state as “Alert … no acute distress… cooperative, smiling,” the outlet reported.

And the doctor allegedly falsely claimed, in a letter to a surgeon promoting the mastectomy, that Breen had “endorsed a male gender identity since childhood.” But this claim was belied by Olson-Kennedy’s own notes showing that Breen only started having identity questions just months prior, the report says.

Now, Breen wants to reverse the gender transition but is stuck with certain changes for life despite no longer wanting them, like a lower-than-normal voice, an Adam’s Apple and potential infertility after taking testosterone for so long.

She is also considering breast reconstruction surgery.

Breen – who studies drama at UCLA – said she wanted to file the lawsuit to bring awareness to a lack of gatekeeping in youths seeking to transition.

In Breen’s case, she said she first approached a guidance counselor at her school in 2016 when she was 12, expressing she might be trans, a lesbian or bisexual.

“I wasn’t really sure about my identity at all,” she told the outlet, noting she now believes she had unresolved trauma from violence at the hands of her autistic brother and sexual abuse from someone outside the family at age 6.

Clementine Breen, posing for a photo, who has filed a medical negligence lawsuit against a doctor over alleged improper transgender health practices
Breen wasn’t evaluated by a psychologist before she was put on the road to a medical transition.Billboard Chris/ X

Despite Breen’s uncertainty about her identity, the counselor called her parents notifying them their daughter was transgender, prompting the parents to take her to Olson-Kennedy’s clinic by December 2016.

The doctor’s notes show that Breen hadn’t seen a psychologist about her feelings which were only voiced three months earlier and Olson-Kennedy didn’t even perform a mental-health evaluation herself, despite claiming at the time that Been met “the criteria for the commencement of puberty blockers,” the outlet reported.

But that didn’t stop the doctor from immediately putting Breen on the road to gender transition, the suit claims.

Three months after the first appointment, Breen had a puberty-blocker implant placed in her arm, less than a year later she was started on testosterone treatment and by May 2019, she had undergone the double mastectomy.

And Breen told the outlet that the treatments, while briefly making her feel better initially, ultimately caused her mental health to take a turn for the worse.

During this time, Breen’s medical records show that no one questioned her about whether the transition had helped or harmed her despite indications that things were going downhill for Breen — such as one doctor noting in September 2020 that she started “compulsive cutting to see if he has blood.”

The Children’s Hospital Los Angeles didn’t immediately return a request from The Post seeking comment Friday afternoon.

The hospital told the Economist it doesn’t comment on pending litigation or patients and their treatment.

A lawyer for Breen’s former therapist told the outlet that the notes from treating her were lost due to water damage and a lawyer who performed the surgery declined to comment to the outlet.

https://nypost.com/2024/12/06/us-news/la-dr-johanna-olson-kennedy-accused-of-pushing-pre-teen-into-puberty-blockers-mastectomy-sued-for-medical-negligence/

Democrats ‘debanked’ political opponents in attack on freedoms

 President Biden has overseen nearly four years of a two-tiered justice system, as his pardoning of Hunter Biden and the political persecutions of then-candidate Donald Trump make all too clear.

But there have been quieter attacks on justice, like “debanking” — and few people realize they could be the next victims because they are a “politically exposed person,” that is someone who disagrees with the liberal status quo.

Debanking is a kind of financial blackballing that has appeared within just the last 20 years.

It started under then-President Barack Obama as a war to punish those seen as political enemies, like firearm manufacturers. Government documents unsealed at the end of 2020 proved that the federal government used its regulatory authority over financial markets to attack political opponents.

Government regulators essentially make it impossible for certain people or businesses to make online transactions, or to have a bank account or a credit card.

Dr. Joseph Mercola, a critic of the COVID vaccine, found his business accounts shut down by JP Morgan Chase, a move his chief financial officer claimed was at the same time Mercola spoke out against the Food and Drug Administration.

In her new memoir, Melania Trump says her bank account was terminated after the riots of Jan. 6, 2021, and her son Barron was unable to open his own account. She called it “political discrimination.”

In the modern world, exclusion from electronic financial services is an economic death sentence.

Regulators will claim that they’re not technically forbidding a private bank from doing business with an individual, and that the bank is freely choosing not to have that person as a customer.

But the reality is very different — because of the undue influence and control in the hands of today’s bloated administrative state.

A bureaucrat can make someone’s life so difficult that the victim is forced to comply — the government strong-arming a private individual or institution into doing what the government itself cannot do by law.

It’s like when the Biden administration pressured social-media companies into deplatforming anyone who questioned political talking points about the COVID pandemic.

The debanking scourge under President Biden has hit the crypto world particularly hard. The Securities and Exchange Commission has unleashed a plague of investigations, some real and some merely threatened, to force innovators and investors out of that space.

Dozens of tech and crypto founders have been debanked under Biden, and their inventions smothered.

On Joe Rogan‘s podcast, venture capitalist Marc Andreessen blamed the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a group set up at the behest of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) to go after crypto firms in particular.

“Basically every crypto founder, every crypto startup, either got debanked personally and forced out of the industry, or their company got debanked,” Andreessen said.

Andreessen added that others, like Kanye West, have been debanked, “For having the wrong politics. For saying unacceptable things. Under current banking regulations, after all the reforms of the last 20 years, there’s now a category called a politically exposed person, PEP. And if you are a PEP, you are required by financial regulators to kick them off, to kick them out of your bank.”

President-elect Donald Trump’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, has pointed out that many Democrats have been on an anti-crypto crusade as they attempt to wash off the stink of FTX and Sam Bankman Fried — the crypto scammer and fraud who gave massive campaign donations to Democratic politicians.

The problem goes far beyond crypto or the tech industry, however. And it’s bigger than just the Biden administration, which uses surrogates like the Southern Poverty Law Center to fallaciously label any conservative institution a “hate group.” Doing business with a group that engages in “hate” can get a financial institution dinged by regulators for increased “reputational risk.”

What does that have to do with a creditor’s ability to repay a loan or the solvency of a bank or the worth of an individual’s assets? Nothing. The radical left’s push to debank anyone with whom they disagree has nothing to do with sound financial principles — it’s all politics.

Anyone who appreciates freedom and the rule of law should be supremely grateful that the incoming president has put the bureaucrats on notice: Their days of covertly forcing political compliance are numbered.

E.J. Antoni, a public-finance economist, is the Richard F. Aster fellow at the Heritage Foundation.

https://nypost.com/2024/12/06/opinion/how-democrats-debanked-political-opponents-in-shocking-attack-on-american-freedoms/

Canadian Government Wants To Send Guns It Just Banned To Ukraine

 by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,

The Canadian government announced on Thursday that it was prohibiting its citizens from owning another 324 types of firearms and is working to send them to Ukraine.

"As part of its comprehensive approach, on December 5, 2024, the Government announced the prohibition of more military-style assault-style firearms," Canada’s Public Safety Department said in a press release

"Amendments to the Classification Regulations have resulted in the prohibition of 104 families of firearms, encompassing 324 unique makes and models," it added.

Canadians who own the newly banned guns have an amnesty until October 30, 2025, and during that time, the government will implement a buy-back program. Canadian Defense Minister Bill Blair said the government is in talks with Ukraine about sending them the firearms.

"We’ve been working very closely with our friends in Ukraine to ensure that weapons that were intended to be used in combat, could be made available to them," Blair said.

"The Department of National Defence will begin working with the Canadian companies that have weapons that Ukraine needs and which are already eligible for the assault-style firearm compensation program, in order to get these weapons out of Canada, and into the hands of the Ukrainians," Blair added.

Historically, Ukraine has had one of the largest black markets for weapons, and there has been very little oversight when it comes to Western military aid to the country.

Not a Babylon Bee headline despite all appearances... 

The Pentagon’s inspector general said in a report last year that some Western-provided weapons had been stolen by criminals, volunteer fighters, and arms traffickers.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/canadian-government-wants-send-guns-it-just-banned-ukraine

Mexican Officials Make Record Fentanyl Seizure Days After Trump Tariff Warning

 By Jack Phillips of The Epoch Times

Mexican security forces said on Dec. 4 that they had made the largest fentanyl seizure in the country’s history, impounding 1,100 kilograms (1.2 tons) of the synthetic opioid in the state of Sinaloa.

Mexico’s top security official, Omar García Harfuch, said in a statement that more than a ton of fentanyl was seized by officials in Sinaloa state. Several guns were also seized, and two men were arrested, he said.

“This is an investigation that has been going on for a long time, and yesterday, it gave these results,” Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said at a press conference on Dec. 4, referring to the fentanyl seizures.

Violence has worsened recently in Sinaloa, where factions of the Sinaloa Cartel have been engaged in bitter fighting that flared after the capture of kingpin Ismael “El Mayo” Zambada in July.

“These actions will continue until the violence in the state of Sinaloa decreases,” Harfuch said.

Sinaloa is home to the powerful drug cartel that bears the same name and was formerly headed by longtime drug lord Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán, who is currently incarcerated at the ADX Florence federal prison in Colorado.

Security forces found the fentanyl at two properties in the municipality of Ahome after intelligence work and tip-offs from the public led them to investigate there.

In one building, law enforcement found 800 kilograms (1,763 pounds) of fentanyl, some precursor chemicals, and four vehicles. In the other, they discovered 11 packages totaling about 300 kg (660 pounds) of fentanyl, as well as precursors, scales, and industrial mixers.

Former Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who handed over power to Sheinbaum in October, repeatedly denied that Mexico was a center for the production of fentanyl despite significant evidence to the contrary.

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump recently threatened to levy a 25 percent tariff against Mexico and Canada if either country didn’t do enough to curb illegal immigration and fentanyl trafficking into the United States.

His warning prompted a phone conversation with Sheinbaum, with the Mexican president later saying that caravans of migrants will be stopped before they reach the U.S.–Mexico border. However, she denied Trump’s claim last week that the Mexican border was closed down.

This week, activists and a Mexican agency said a migrant caravan heading north was dissolved. The Mexican National Migration Institute denied claims that the agency used deceptive tactics and said it had not received “any complaints” from members of the caravan.

Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau met with Trump at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, before several top Canadian officials assured reporters that the country would improve its border security with the United States.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/mexican-officials-make-record-fentanyl-seizure-days-after-trump-tariff-warning

Feds Accuse HelloFresh Of Employing Migrant Kids At Factory In Sanctuary State Illinois

 German meal-kit company HelloFresh, the largest meal-kit provider in the US, faces fresh accusations from the US Department of Labor of employing migrant children at a factory located in the sanctuary state of Illinois.

ABC News has learned that federal investigators with the Labor Department are looking into allegations of migrant children working at HelloFresh's cooking and packaging facility in Aurora, Illinois. 

Cristobal Cavazos, the executive director for Immigrant Solidarity, a migrant rights advocacy group that first reported the incident to the labor agency, told ABC that at least six teenagers from Guatemala were found working night shifts at the factory. 

"They're minors working dangerous jobs," Cavazos said. 

The labor agency is also investigating Midway Staffing, an agency that hires migrants, for possibly violating federal child labor rules, according to documents obtained by ABC.

"We were deeply troubled to learn of the allegations made against a former temporary staffing agency," a spokesperson for HelloFresh told ABC in a statement, adding, "As soon as we learned of these allegations, we immediately terminated the relationship."

Even though the hiring of migrant children to pack meal kits for US consumers may have been facilitated through a staffing company, HelloFresh is a partner of the Tent Partnership for Refugees.

Tent is an advisory nonprofit that mega-corporations use to work with resettlement agencies, staffing agencies, and other nonprofits, to source cheap migrant labor. You heard that correctly, this is not 'America First' - this is globalist open borders of cheap labor first.

For some context, Tyson Foods partnered with Tent for cheaper migrant labor, and as of March, the meat packer boasted about employing 42,000 migrants in its US 120,000 workforce. 

"We would like to employ another 42,000 if we could find them," Garrett Dolan, who leads Tyson's efforts to eliminate employment barriers, told Bloomberg in March. 

Of course, let's not forget that Illinois Governor JB Pritzker signed legislation in 2021 that "expands protections for immigrant and refugee communities and further establishes Illinois as the most welcoming state in the nation." 

Migrant children working in factories in a sanctuary state... Guess who made that possible... 

Staffing companies rounding up migrants like cattle and supplying them to mega food factories is a national phenomenon. It's been observed in Springfield, Ohio and Charleroi, Pennsylvania and cities in Colorado, among many other places.

It's a national national phenomenon. 

Last month, incoming "border czar," Tom Homan, told "Fox & Friends" hosts that "Public safety threats and national security threats will be the priority...they pose the most danger to this country." 

Homan said, "Where do we find most victims of sex trafficking and forced labor trafficking? At worksites..." 

Homan's comment about the potential for large-scale worksite raids by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents next year reminded us of a note we shared with readers in March titled "How Shadowy Network Of NGOs Supplies Mega-Corporations With Migrants To Exploit Cheap Labor."

Lining America's food supply chain with unvetted migrants is a national security threat on so many levels. 

More companies will be exposed next year for employing illegals and even children. Shame on corporate America and Democrats who made this all possibly through open borders and a complex network of NGOs funded by you, the taxpayer. In return, the American people received armed and extremely dangerous Venezuelan prison gang members running amok nationwide

There's a very simple solution: stop purchasing food from mega-corporations that heavily rely on migrants and instead buy from mom-and-pop farmers—or even the Amish

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/feds-accuse-hellofresh-employing-migrant-kids-factory-sanctuary-state-illinois

Drug Price Controls Threaten Cancer Cures

 A federal judge in New Jersey recently dismissed a lawsuit seeking to strike down the Inflation Reduction Act's program of price controls for prescription drugs dispensed through Medicare. It was the fifth suit of its kind to fail this year.

Democrats have cheered the IRA's price controls for supposedly making drugs more accessible to seniors. But they have an insidious downside. By slowing the pace of new drug innovation, price controls will seriously harm Americans with cancer now and in the future.

To make up for revenue lost due to price controls, drug manufacturers are reducing spending elsewhere, including on research and development. Just one in 10 drug candidates that enter clinical trials ever make it to market. Accounting for the cost of failures, it costs $2.6 billion, on average, to develop a single new medicine and get it approved for use. 

Drug companies can only tolerate this level of risk because one successful medicine can make up for dozens of costly failures. But price controls disrupt this model. They interfere with companies' ability to recoup their investments, which discourages new research. 

In the two-plus years since the IRA became law, 36 research programs have been canceled and at least 21 drugs discontinued. All told, the IRA could lead to 139 fewer new medicines over 10 years, according to research from the consultancy Vital Transformation. 

These cuts are proving to be especially acute in oncology. Since the IRA passed, Eli Lilly has discontinued a trial for a blood-cancer therapy. Seagen canceled further research on whether its drug Padcev could help patients with early-stage bladder cancer. 

The IRA changes the market incentives for drug companies in three ways.

The law splits medicines into two categories: small-molecule drugs and biologics. Small-molecule drugs can be subject to price controls nine years after they hit the market. Biologics get a 13-year grace period. 

That discrepancy incentivizes drug companies to prioritize investment in biologics over small-molecule therapies.

But small-molecule drugs account for more than two-thirds of all oncology drugs approved between 2001 and 2021. So the discrepancy has the effect of discouraging investment in a class of drugs that has proven particularly effective against cancer.

Further, it generally takes several years for a drug's sales to pick up -- and thus recoup, much less provide a return, on the billions of dollars spent developing it. An analysis of drugs launched in 2010 from the investment bank Jefferies found that roughly half of cumulative drug sales occurred after the ninth year on the market -- in other words, after price controls could kick in under the IRA. 

The IRA's price controls will also deter post-approval research. It's common for a drug to be approved to treat one form of cancer, after which the company conducts additional research to see if it works against other forms. According to a recent study from the Drug Information Association, more than 65% of multi-indication cancer drugs that came to market between 2008 and 2018 were later found to have a new oncological use – such as against a new stage or type of cancer. 

The IRA starts the clock on price controls as soon as a drug gets a green light from regulators. If a company discovers a new use for a small-molecule drug five years after approval, it doesn't get a reprieve. Its chances of facing price controls in four years may well go up, given that an additional indication ostensibly means additional sales -- and more scrutiny from Medicare's bean counters.

In fact, companies may decide to delay seeking approval until they know whether their drug candidate can serve multiple patient populations -- and can thus maximize sales in the nine- or 13-year window. Patients who could have benefited from early access to a promising drug may be stuck waiting.

The IRA's price controls may indeed save the federal government some money in the short term. But their long-term impact on medical research will be devastating. Treatments that could prevent suffering or death -- that could end cancer as we know it -- could go undiscovered, to the detriment of patients today and tomorrow. 

Sally C. Pipes is President, CEO, and Thomas W. Smith Fellow in Health Care Policy at the Pacific Research Institute. Her latest book is False Premise, False Promise: The Disastrous Reality of Medicare for All (Encounter 2020). 

https://townhall.com/columnists/sallycpipes/2024/12/04/drug-price-controls-threaten-cancer-cures-n2648566