Search This Blog

Wednesday, August 14, 2024

NYC migrant crisis costs will crack $5 b on shelters, security and food, could double by 2025

 The financial hits from the migrant crisis keep on coming.

New York City has likely surpassed $5 billion in spending on services for migrants — including nearly $2 billion alone on housing the scores of new arrivals flooding into the Big Apple, according to city data.

The eye-popping figures, listed on the city’s online asylum-seeker funding tracker, shows the city overall spent $4.88 billion combined through fiscal years 2023 and ‘24. Based on the rate of spending, the city likely exceeded more than $112 million since the start of the new fiscal year beginning July 1, or will soon, cracking $5 billion.

New York City has surpassed $5 billion in spending on the migrant crisis, according to city data.Seth Gottfried

Mayor Eric Adams’ administration has even projected the cost could double, hitting $10 billion over the three year period ending June 30, 2025.

Continue watchingThis Day in Historyafter the ad

The money spent so far includes:

$1.98 billion on housing and rent.

  • About $2 billion on services and supplies.
  • Nearly $500 million on food and medical costs.
  • Another $500 million on IT, administrative and other costs. 

The NYPD alone has spent $21 million on public safety and security costs amid mayhem breaking out in and around the city-funded migrant shelters. The cost of the crisis equals nearly the entire NYPD budget of $5.75 billion.

Mayor Adams speaks outside of the migrant shelter at the Roosevelt Hotel on May 1, 2024.Michael Appleton/Mayoral Photography Office

The city Department of Homeless Services recently posted two more contracts this week totaling $40 million combined to contractors to provide services to migrants at hotels turned into emergency shelters.

Even hotels in the heart of the Broadway tourist district have been converted into emergency shelters through contracts the city inked with the Hotel Association of New York City.

Housing Works was awarded a $13.4 million contract to aid migrants at the City View Inn, at 3317 Greenpoint Avenue in Long Island.

A worker answering the phone there Tuesday said the City View has been a shelter for “nearly two years” and is still not taking reservations for lodging.

The city pays for all the rooms.

A second $26.3 million contract was awarded to the DC-based Project Redirect to assist migrants at Spring Hills Suites by Marriott at 140-35 Queens Boulevard.

“We’re not functioning at a hotel right now,” a worker there said.

The city has spent $1.98 billion on housing and rent for migrants, according to the dataRobert Miller

The city is currently caring for more than 63,900 migrants through 210 sites in the shelter system.

Asked about hotels still acting as emergency shelters two years into the crisis, Adams’ chief of staff Camille Joseph Varlack said, “This is not a New York City issue or even a United States issue, this is a worldwide issue.”

“We’ve had the opportunity to speak to other cities who are expecting and experiencing migration and we expect that to continue between wars and climate change and all the other issues,” Varlack told reporters Tuesday about the crisis.

Varlack said city staffers were working to help move migrants out of hotels and to other locations.

Beds inside of a migrant tent shelter in Queens that can house 1,000 people.Matthew McDermott

There’s been a public backlash to shelters in many parts of the city, whether it be hotels or other shelter sites and encampments at Floyd Bennett Field, Randalls Island and the Creedmoor Psychiatric Center.

Adams also said there is still the challenge of moving migrants from a “shelter-type setting” to housing when many still don’t have official documents to be legally employed.

Some 212,000 asylum seekers have flowed through the system since the spring of 2022, according to City Hall.

Last week — from Aug. 5 to 11 — more than 700 new migrants entered the city’s shelter system. But that number is way down from the peak of 4,000.

City Hall reps said the administration’s actions has slashed the projected increase in migrant costs by more than $2 billion.

During his weekly press briefing Tuesday, Adams said the migrant crisis has become more manageable, declaring the “worst is behind us” but cautioning that “we’re not out of the woods.”

“I do believe we are going to see people starting to exhale. Our fingers are crossed but we put in smart policies.” Adams, citing 30-day shelter limits for individuals and 60-day stays for families.

 “We went from 4,000 down to I think this week we’re around 700. That is a huge, huge drop. I have to say there was a moment where I did not see that light, or that light was a train coming right at us.”

He credited the shelter limits as well as drop in border crossings with lessening the head count and curbing astronomical costs.

The inside of a migrant shelter on Randall’s Island.Matthew McDermott

“We were criticized for it but I think when people look back over this period they will see it was one of the most significant things we could do.” the mayor said.

“People should not grow up in shelters.”

Adams said the Big Apple should take a bow.

“We were inundated in the beginning of this. To be able to do what we have done shows a real message of resiliency to the city,” Hizzoner said.

“This is a real New York story. We need to document this story.”

When asked if the worst is over, Adams said, “We’re not out of the woods. We’re managing.” 

“I can only say I hope the worst is behind us. We’re not out of the woods. I want to be clear on that,” he said. “We still have to deal with the small number of violent gang members who are in our city. We still have to monitor them.”

— Additional reporting by Craig McCarthy

https://nypost.com/2024/08/13/us-news/nyc-migrant-crisis-costs-will-crack-eye-popping-5-billion-on-shelters-security-and-food/

Who Is Running America? NYT Says Lloyd Austin 'Ordered' Major Deployment To Conflict Zone

 A Monday NY Times report revealed of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin's recent phone call with Israeli counterpart, Yoav Gallant, the following: "In an unusual disclosure, it said Mr. Austin had ordered a submarine to the Middle East." This line alone begs the question, where is the elected civilian authority of the executive branch, the Commander-in-Chief, right now? And where is Congressional authority and oversight to wage war and put troops in harm's way? NY Times described further that in the call Austin "reiterated the United States’ commitment to take every possible step to defend Israel."

Journalist Glenn Greenwald has some similar questions which every American should be asking right now at this dangerous moment the United States is deeply involved in no less than two major wars simultaneously (by heavily funding and arming one side of each)...

Or to put it another way: who is currently in charge over at the White House? Have we now reached such a post-Constitutional arrangement that that the major decisions of war and peace are being made by a military-intelligence complex beholden to no one? (...akin to what's more commonly the case in Third World Banana Republics).

Comedian and Libertarian commentator Dave Smith just went on Tucker Carlson's show and voiced a similar theme. Here is what he said according to the transcript: 

"It’s the greatest scandal in American history… we don’t have a president. The President of the United States, everyone has essentially admitted, is too senile to run for president.

Yet he’s going to be president until January?

We are in a proxy war with the biggest nuclear power in the history of the world, and we have another proxy war-ish type thing devolving into a wider regional war in Israel, and we don’t have a president."

Not long following this interview, President Biden briefly emerged and fielded a few impromptu questions from the press, and let's just say it did not instill confidence:

Likely, the assumption of a huge portion of the American public is that Vice President Kamala Harris is basically running things in coordination with a bunch of twenty- and thirty-something unelected White House staffers. 

But again, if the NY Times is accurate on Lloyd Austin being the one now 'ordering' major military deployments (and who knows with what oversight), America might more currently resemble some military-ruled central Asian or African nation at this point.

Meanwhile, Babylon Bee once again nails it...

* * *

The newTucker Carlson interview of Dave Smith can be viewed in its entirety below.

Novo Refuses to Give Up on Insulin Icodec, Eyes Combo Filing With Semaglutide

 

By the end of the year, Novo Nordisk intends to make a regulatory filing for the combination of its icodec and semaglutide, keeping its once-weekly insulin program afloat.

Despite last month’s FDA rejection of its once-weekly insulin infusion, Novo Nordisk will push through with a filing for its investigational IcoSema this year, proposing the combination of insulin icodec with its blockbuster GLP-1 inhibitor semaglutide for the treatment of type 2 diabetes.

During last week’s second-quarter 2024 earnings results, Executive Vice President for Development Martin Holst Lange told analysts on a call that Novo is gearing up “to file for regulatory approval for IcoSema during the second half of 2024.”

The decision follows the completion of the pivotal Phase III COMBINE-1 study, Lange said, noting that the combo therapy “achieved its primary endpoint” by showing superior blood sugar control after 52 weeks versus insulin icodec alone. COMBINE-1 ran for 52 weeks and enrolled nearly 1,300 type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with inadequately controlled disease.

According to Novo’s Q2 presentation, IcoSema reduced baseline HbA1c levels by 1.6 percentage points, compared to only 0.9 percentage points for those patients who were treated with insulin icodec alone. The combo treatment also cut body weight by 3.7 kg, while control counterparts gained 1.9 kg after treatment with icodec alone.

The Danish pharma did not provide p-values but nevertheless claimed that IcoSema’s effects were statistically significant.

COMBINE-1 also found IcoSema to be safe and well-tolerated. Its rate of clinically significant or severe hypoglycemia was only 0.14 events per patient-years of exposure, significantly lower than the 0.63 frequency in patients treated with icodec alone.

Novo’s plans to file for IcoSema’s approval will help it keep its insulin icodec program afloat after the FDA last month rejected the once-weekly injection. The pharma had been seeking approval for insulin icodec in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes, though its data package leaned heavily toward the latter indication—five of the six late-stage studies in the application focused on type 2 diabetes.

This lack of evidence in type 1 diabetes ultimately cost Novo the approval, with the regulator citing concerns about icodec’s value in this indication in its Complete Response Letter. In a briefing document ahead of an advisory committee meeting, internal reviewers with the FDA flagged an excess risk of hypoglycemia in type 1 diabetes patients, which was not accompanied by “evidence of any additional glycemic control or other benefit.”

Combining semaglutide with insulin icodec might help Novartis reinvigorate its GLP-1 blockbuster amid a formidable challenge by fellow obesity frontrunner Eli Lilly. In Q2, sales of Lilly’s tirzepatide products Zepbound and Mounjaro beat analyst expectations, while Novo’s semaglutide line disappointed.

Lilly also appears to have the upper hand in terms of supply. Following months of shortages, all doses of Mounjaro and Zepbound are now available in the U.S., whereas one dose of Novo’s Wegovy remains in shortage—though the company continues to make strides in improving production.

https://www.biospace.com/drug-development/novo-refuses-to-give-up-on-insulin-icodec-eyes-combo-filing-with-semaglutide

Democrats are hiding the rise in violent crime with tricky statistics

 “Make no mistake, violent crime was up under Donald Trump,” Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz warned in his first speech as Kamala Harris’ running mate.

“If you look this up at home,” Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg claimed last month, “you will know that crime went down under Biden and crime went up under Trump. Why would America want to go back to the higher crime we experienced under Donald Trump?”

But the opposite is true: Between 2016 and 2020, violent crime fell by 17% under Trump — and soared by 43% under Biden between 2020 and 2022.

Of course, news outlets routinely assert that Americans are mistaken in believing that violent crime is rising.

On Monday, Axios had a typical headline: “New data shows violent crime dropping sharply in major U.S. cities.”

Or from NPR earlier this year: “Violent crime is dropping fast in the US — even if Americans don’t believe it.”

But Democrats and the media don’t understand the difference between the number of crimes reported to police and the total number of crimes.

There are two measures of crime: One, the FBI’s NIBRS, counts the number of crimes reported to police yearly.

The other, the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National Crime Victimization Survey, asks about 240,000 people each year whether they have been victims of crime, in an attempt to measure both reported and unreported crimes.

Violent crime statistics US
NY Post composite

Since 2020, these two measures have been highly negatively correlated: The FBI has been finding fewer instances of crime, but people are simultaneously answering in greater numbers that they have been victims.

We know that crime victims report only about 40% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes to police.

Prior to 2020, the FBI and NCVS numbers generally moved together.

But every year from 2020 onward, these figures have moved in opposite directions.

For instance, in 2022, the FBI reported a 2.1% drop in violent crime, but the NCVS showed an alarming increase of 42.4% — the largest one-year percentage increase in violent crime ever reported by that measure.

Part of the reason is that law enforcement in the United States has collapsed.

Take, for example, cities like New York with more than 1 million people.

The FBI data shows arrest rates for reported violent crime in such cities plunged by more than half, from 44% in the five years before the COVID pandemic to just 20% by 2022 — the largest drop ever.\

But that’s because criminals since 2020 face a declining risk of arrest when committing crime.

In 2022, in cities with more than a million people, only 8% of all violent crimes (reported and unreported) and 1% of all property crimes resulted in an arrest — and of course, not all those arrests resulted in charges, let alone prosecutions or convictions.

“It has gotten to the point where people aren’t even bothering reporting crime because they don’t think anything is going to happen,” Elon Musk correctly noted in his Monday night discussion with former President Trump.

Police departments have lost many effective officers through retirements since the pandemic. Some police forces are demoralized because the criminals they arrest are immediately released.

Compounding the problem is that fewer than half of all police departments are providing complete crime data to the FBI since its reporting system changed in 2021.

So it isn’t surprising that reported and total crime rates are moving in opposite directions — but shockingly, the NCVS measure of reported crime has been moving in the opposite direction of the FBI’s measure since 2020.

One reason for this gap may be a reduced number of police officers due to budget cuts and retirements. In some places, police have stopped responding to non-emergency 911 calls, forcing victims to travel to the police station to report a crime.

Calling 911 isn’t enough — a crime only officially counts in the FBI’s data if police have made out a report.

Some critics focus on the change in the murder rate over the past few years to claim that the publicly perceived rise in crime is a mirage.

Murder rates did drop by 13% in 2023, although the preliminary 2023 murder rate is still 7% above 2019 levels.

But the FBI’s murder rate data may be faulty, too: The Centers for Disease Control’s measure doesn’t match up with the FBI’s.

While the FBI shows murder peaking in 2020 and dropping in both 2021 and 2022, the CDC shows it peaking in 2021 — and remaining high in 2022, higher than in 2020.

We know that victims don’t report most crimes to the police.

So it makes no sense to rely on the FBI’s limited data — unless the goal is to soft-pedal America’s crime problem.

John R. Lott Jr. is president of the Crime Prevention Research Center.

https://nypost.com/2024/08/13/opinion/democrats-hide-the-rise-in-violent-crime-with-tricky-stats/