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Sunday, March 1, 2026

UAE says 3 killed, 58 injured in Iranian attacks

 The United Arab Emirates Defense Ministry said on Sunday that at least three people were killed and 58 were lightly wounded in Iranian strikes over the weekend.

The three people killed were Pakistani, Nepalese, and Bangladeshi nationals, according to the statement.

The ministry also said that its forces detected 165 ballistic missiles, destroying 152, while 13 fell into the sea. The UAE's military intercepted two cruise missiles. A total of "541 Iranian drones were detected, 506 of which were intercepted and destroyed, while 35 fell within the country's territory,” the ministry concluded.

https://breakingthenews.net/Article/UAE-says-3-killed-58-injured-in-Iranian-attacks/65769740

Maersk suspends Strait of Hormuz transit

 A.P. Moller-Maersk announced on Sunday that it decided to suspend all transits through the Strait of Hormuz due to heightened tensions in the Middle East region.

"We are suspending all vessel crossings in the Strait of Hormuz until further notice. As a result, services calling ports in the Arabian Gulf may experience delays, rerouting, or schedule adjustments, " the Danish shipping company said.

Maersk also said it will pause future Trans-Suez sailings through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for the time being, adding that all sailings on the Middle East-India to Mediterranean and Middle East-India to East Coast US services will be rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope.

https://breakingthenews.net/Article/Maersk-suspends-Strait-of-Hormuz-transit/65769762

Ship hit by projectile near UAE's Mina Saqr

 A commercial vessel was hit by an unknown projectile about seventeen nautical miles northwest of Mina Saqr in the United Arab Emirates, triggering a fire onboard, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said on Sunday.

UKMTO said the blaze had been extinguished and that the ship would continue its voyage while authorities investigate. The incident was reported at 8:05 am UTC, or 9:05 am CET, and UKMTO urged vessels in the area to transit with caution and report suspicious activity.

https://breakingthenews.net/Article/Ship-hit-by-projectile-near-UAE's-Mina-Saqr/65769770

S. Arabia to Iran: Will do what's necessary to protect ourselves

 The Saudi Arabian authorities warned Iran on Sunday that the country "will do what is needed to protect [itself]" if the strikes on its territory continue. However, the kingdom provided no details on what its retaliation against Iran might look like.

The Saudi Foreign Ministry previously denounced Iran's actions, saying that the strike came "despite the Iranian authorities' knowledge that the Kingdom had affirmed it would not allow its airspace or territory to be used to target Iran."

https://breakingthenews.net/Article/S.-Arabia-to-Iran:-Will-do-what's-necessary-to-protect-ourselves/65769669

Iran carries out two new waves of strikes

 Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launched two new waves of attacks in the Middle East on Sunday, state media reported. These are the seventh and eighth phases of Iran's "Operation True Promise 4" targeting Israel and the United States.

Latest media reports show smoke rising close to Abu Dhabi's Saadiyat Island. Meanwhile, the Magen David Adom ambulance service in Israel shared that around 20 people were injured as a result of Iran's ballistic missile attack in Beit Shemesh, with one individual in serious condition.

https://breakingthenews.net/Article/Iran-carries-out-two-new-waves-of-strikes/65769648

Court Prohibits German State From Classifying AfD As "Confirmed Right-Wing Extremist" Organization

 by 'eugyppius',

Old friends may remember the farce we experienced last May, when outgoing Marshmallow Interior Minister Nancy Faeser pushed her gaggle of goons in the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV) to upgrade their political classification of Alternative für Deutschland.

No longer did the BfV consider the national political party to lurk under mere “suspicion of right-wing extremism,” oh no. They announced suddenly and with much establishment fanfare that they had determined the AfD to be “confirmed right-wing extremists.”

Faeser and her goons hoped this new designation would edge the AfD more firmly into Evil Nazi Fascist Hitler territory in the popular mind, thereby preparing the way for banning the party. According to the dumb Gender Studies-tier retards unassailable and unbiased experts of the BfV, the AfD were more definitely Evil, more definitely Nazi, more definitely Fascist and more definitely Hitler than ever before. They had such clear proofs of all the Evil Nazi Fascist Hitlerism lurking within the AfD that they could not even reveal them. Doing so, Faeser said, would compromise the mysterious sources and methods of her highly sophisticated political spy agency. Instead, the Interior Ministry leaked a classified dossier supporting the upgrade to sympathetic media like Der Spiegel, and these media promptly published earnest articles telling us all how absolutely Fascist and Evil and Nazi and Hitler all the secret evidence showed the AfD to be, because trust us bro.

What happened next is that somebody leaked the full 1,000-page dossier to the alternative news outlets Cicero and NiUS, both of which promptly published the full .pdf. It turned out to be one of the stupidest and most trivial documents I’ve ever readThe supersecret hyperspy sources tapped by the BfV? Google and social media posts. The supersecret hyperspy methods used by the BfV? Compiling interminable lists of potentially untoward or possibly impolite things AfD politicians uttered in googlable documents or on social media. It was so bad that almost overnight the dossier destroyed much of the momentum for an AfD ban – exactly the opposite of what its architects had intended. Even many establishment figures quietly admitted what a travesty the whole thing had turned out to be.

NEVERTHELESS: The establishment moved quickly to capitalise on the new extremist designation. Various state governments began plotting to cleanse the civil service of AfD members on the grounds that they were affiliates of an officially “extremist” organisation. In Rheinland-Pfalz they even toyed with the idea of illegally excluding AfD candidates from running in local elections also on the basis of this bureaucratic designation. The Social Democrats began pushing to initiate ban proceedings against the AfD, a move that – if successful – would grant the left parties indefinite parliamentary majorities both nationally and across many state parliaments, amounting to a kind of legal coup and casting us into a new DDR-light regime.

Meanwhile, the AfD filed suit with the Administrative Court in Cologne to overturn their upgraded designation because it was so obviously dumb and unfounded. They also asked the court to prohibit the designation temporarily, while their primary lawsuit is pending – a long involved process that will take years. The Cologne judges released their unusually extensive 55-page decision on the temporary injunction yesterday. For the party-banning speech-repressing opinion-monitoring enthusiasts of Our Democracy, it is a disaster.

From the Cologne court’s press release:

The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV) may not classify and treat the Alternative for Germany (AfD) as a confirmed right-wing extremist organisation until the conclusion of the main proceedings … The BfV must also refrain from publicly announcing such a classification …

In its decision today, the court has rejected the BfV’s assessment. We give the following reasons: According to the findings of the summary proceedings, there is sufficient certainty that the AfD houses some efforts directed against the free democratic basic order … These efforts, however, do not characterise the AfD such that its overall essence may be described as anti-constitutional.

That is very important.

Not only the AfD, but all political parties, have randos saying potentially or probably or even certainly anti-constitutional things.

To justify a ban, you need more than random people saying random things.

You need to show a) that the party is fundamentally opposed to the “free democratic basic order” (an ideological trinity consisting of human dignity, democracy and the rule of law), and b) that it exercises this opposition in an “aggressive” or “combative” manner. The BfV have hardly addressed b) at all, and their evidence has not convinced the court that a) applies.

To argue their case, the BfV seem to have positively emptied their archives, submitting not only the leaked 1,000-page dossier to the court, but also an additional raft of supporting materials running to 7,000 pages across 20 different binders and electronic files extending to 1.5 terabytes.

The court finds that some “anti-Muslim” demands formulated by the AfD in the course of the 2025 election campaign are contrary to the German Basic Law, because these would tend to vitiate “the equal practice of religion,” but the judges also find that these are insufficient to “establish the anti-constitutional character of the party as a whole.” The court further noted that the BfV “has not disclosed any intelligence information … even in court proceedings” relating to allegedly secret anti-constitutional plots within the AfD, which means that “we cannot assume to the detriment of [the AfD] that [the party] is pursuing such further plans internally.”

A significant prong of the constitutional protectors’ argument held that the AfD’s advocacy of “remigration” was itself openly unconstitutional. Importantly, the court completely disagreed:

… [N]o sufficient conclusions can be drawn from any plans pursued by [the AfD] … with regard to so-called remigration. The vague term “remigration” does not imply a concrete political goal in the sense of undifferentiated deportations … In the absence of a more concrete explanation of specific anti-constitutional intentions with respect to implementing a … remigration policy, such intentions are not apparent.

As I said, this is only a temporary ruling, but given the devastating wording of the court’s judgment, it seems unlikely that the judges in Cologne will ultimately uphold the “extremist” designation when to comes time to decide the main case some years from now. The constitutional protectors may also appeal this injunction, but they would be unlikely to win, and also too I think there is a substantial chance that their ultimate boss, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt (CSU), directs them to let this go. Whatever happens, the case for banning the AfD has taken a major, perhaps a fatal, blow. The fundamental problem this whole time has been that the AfD programme is pretty much constitutionally unassailable. Those who want to ban the party have had to hope against hope that the constitutional protectors could unearth secret AfD Nazi plans via their super advanced espionage methods. Instead they’ve spent years copying and pasting Facebook posts and they have basically nothing.

This case converges with other evidence suggesting that the German state – while it may presently wish to ban the opposition and repress its critics – increasingly lacks the internal resolve and coherence for this project.

I’ll write more about that tomorrow; today’s adventures (see below) interrupted my routine, but I wanted to get this news out there as soon as possible.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/sensational-ruling-court-prohibits-german-state-classifying-afd-confirmed-right-wing

First Oil Tanker Hit In Strait Of Hormuz

 Oil and gas tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint, has seen disruptions as the U.S.-Israeli campaign, Operation Epic Fury, continues targeting Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps command-and-control infrastructure across multiple Iranian cities; as of Sunday morning, only a limited number of tankers were observed exiting the Strait, while separate news reports indicate a sanctioned oil tanker was also attacked.

On Sunday morning, Automatic Identification System (AIS) vessel-tracking data showed that tanker traffic through the most critical energy chokepoint in the world, which handles about 20% of global petroleum liquids consumption and roughly 27% of global seaborne oil trade, had slowed to a near standstill, with tankers in holding patterns on both sides of the Strait's entrance and exit.

S&P Global Energy notes:

  • Strait of Hormuz handles 20% of global oil supply

  • Iran exported 1.3 mil b/d in Jan, mainly to China

The big development in the Strait this morning was the attack on a tanker.

Oman's Maritime Security Centre revealed that the sanctioned tanker Skylight, flying the flag of the Republic of Palau, was targeted five nautical miles north of Khasab Port.

There are no confirmed reports identifying who struck the Skylight, but the incident came as Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency said on Saturday that the Strait of Hormuz was effectively closed to vessel traffic.

Mohsen Rezaei, a member of the Expediency Discernment Council that advises Iran's supreme leader, warned on state TV that "no American ship is allowed to enter the Persian Gulf."  

German container liner Hapag-Lloyd AG has suspended all transits through the waterway due to its "official closure," while France's CMA CGM SA, the world's third-largest container line, told ships within its fleet to suspend passage through the Suez Canal and take shelter immediately.

The Financial Times reported that shipowners had canceled insurance policies and raised premiums for vessels transiting through the Gulf region.

We spoke with Rapidan Energy Group analyst Fernando Ferreira on Saturday about the situation unfolding in the Middle East, with a focus on the Strait.

Ferreira explained:

Iran understands that threatening traffic through Hormuz is its most credible asymmetric lever. Even limited interference can raise oil prices and impose immediate economic costs on the US and its partners, increasing pressure on Washington to de-escalate.

We expect at least moderate disruptions to Gulf oil flows in the coming days, with the risk tilted toward something more severe if tensions escalate further.

In energy markets, Goldman analyst Adam Crook told clients shortly after the operation began that:

Oil remains the most direct and liquid expression as a geopolitical hedge – while a full closure of the Strait of Hormuz remains a tail scenario, even a disruption of flows through the Strait via other means (targeting of ships, insurance issues) poses an upside scenario closer to $100/bbl. Additionally, whilst not our base case, an attack on Iranian Oil infrastructure puts 2mb/d of Iran Crude exports at risk.

A synthetic weekend market via IG has crude oil prices up as much as 9% early Sunday morning.

With flows through the Strait of Hormuz disrupted, the immediate impact will be higher Brent crude futures when markets open in New York this evening. The biggest pressure point, however, will be on China, which is the top buyer of Iranian seaborne crude and one of the most exposed major end markets for Hormuz-linked flows, meaning any prolonged disruption would further tighten Beijing's supplies.

This follows a squeeze on Beijing's access to cheap Venezuelan crude after President Trump moved last month to crimp those flows. All of this is unfolding ahead of President Trump's meeting in Beijing in about a month.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/first-oil-tanker-hit-strait-hormuz