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Saturday, August 10, 2024

Our Vanishing Internet: An Interview with Dr. Larry Sanger

 Millennials were raised to fear the internet’s permanence, which evolved into a kind of truism after Facebook: think before you share, or forty years from now we’ll all be talking about those drunk photos at your Supreme Court hearing. Our assumption was that every piece of information online was immortal, and freely accessible by everyone. Which was awesome, actually. Embarrassment was simply the price that we would have to pay for the greatest invention in human history: a decentralized, democratized, liberated Library of Alexandria at our fingertips — forever. Well, turns out we were wrong about pretty much everything.

Today, the shifting, morphing, vanishing internet, with entire Millennial subcultures, and whole historical records degraded into the abyss, is probably the single most important thing almost nobody is talking about. The internet is not only impermanent, but malleable, and that combination of qualities inherent to the information ecosystem our entire world is built upon is driving our civilization into a state of chaos. While I’ve written about these subjects with interest for a few years, Dr. Larry Sanger has dedicated most of his life to the architecture of human knowledge. Speaking with him was an honor.

Dr. Sanger is a co-founder of Wikipedia. Before his work with Jimmy Wales on Nupedia, the predecessor to Wikipedia, he was a working academic philosopher. Today, he’s the President of the Knowledge Standards Foundation (KSF), a 501(c)(3) nonprofit focused on creating the standards and tools for the future encyclosphere.

We first connected after I wrote Encyclopedia Titanica, at the very beginning of Pirate Wires’ entrance into the Wikipedia conversation (most recently carried on in a great new piece by Ashley Rindsberg, How the Regime Capture Wikipedia). We discussed why the original vision of Wikipedia — and the safeguards the founding team put in place — weren’t enough to prevent it from becoming biased toward the establishment’s point of view; how AI will kill Wikipedia, but is just as vulnerable to state censorship and establishment bias; and Sanger’s work creating a truly decentralized encyclopedia that’s resistant to censorship and memoryholing.

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Larry Sanger

“It feels like the internet is vanishing,” I said. “Am I right to be concerned?”

DR. LARRY SANGER: Yes, I think you're very right to be worried about that problem. I mean, if the Internet Archive doesn't keep up, or if they are shut down, or if they selectively delete certain things, then there might not be any other place.

There are other archiving companies. One of our partners is a cryptocurrency company called DARA that is trying to do the same thing, but it's an enormous problem. They can start to create the technology, but to actually make it happen, to redo essentially everything the Internet Archive has done, is a massive, massive undertaking.

So you are right. Partly because of the sheer technical difficulty of archiving everything, first of all. And partly because some people have a vested interest in taking some information down. Like if there's some big, faceless corporation hosting a gamer community full of extensive chats, and the gamers made relationships, and there's like a whole history they care about — nobody else cares about it, but they care about it — there's just some people in a boardroom somewhere who will say, ”Oh, well, we gotta shut down this website, it's not making any money anymore.” Usually for legal reasons, they'll just take everything down entirely. And, right, when you were a kid, you weren't thinking about that — that maybe the only thing that would keep information online is the people who originally put it there.

And if it's not them, then it has to be something like archive.org. And unfortunately, with archive.org, although I think they're relatively good, they're allied with Big Tech to a certain extent, and they've already demonstrated that they are not entirely on board with the free speech maximalism of the 70s and 80s.

MIKE SOLANA: What was the vision for Wikipedia when you founded it? How did you think about the internet back then, and how has that changed over the last couple of decades?

The antecedent to Wikipedia was NuPedia, which started in 2000. It was my job to get that started. About a year after it had made slow progress, a friend of mine told me about wikis, and I was thinking, well, we could actually apply wiki technology to the problems we were having with NuPedia. So, in early 2001, Wikipedia was born. I managed the site in its first 14 months or so of life.

At the time, my notion of the internet was pretty positive. I thought it would gradually connect everyone. Major corporations were barely online and not investing large amounts of money into it. And I was thinking — I guess I was pretty naive, but I was younger than you are, at that time — that when the big corporations got involved, all kinds of new things would be possible. There would be new kinds of conversations that would be able to take place, and something like Wikipedia would just explode and blossom with money thrown at it by all these big players.

That did happen, but it didn’t have the positive effect I thought it would. I believed that in the long run, everyone would get smarter by having everything available all the time. You could ask any question that you have, and get an answer right away. And well, it's actually been a while since that has been true at this point. But what I didn't anticipate as being as important as it was, was essentially when all the corporations got online, when governments started getting highly interested in what was going on online, it became not just a medium of education, it became a locus of control. I won't say that it was a terrible surprise to me, but it was a great disappointment.

Around about, 2012, 2014, I started having bad experiences with social media, when they actually started imposing degrees of...

…authoritarianism?

Exactly. Unfairly at times. They started cracking the whip, actually.

You mentioned free speech before. I remember having a discussion with people in my old college alumni group in 2012 or 2013, and I actually saw the wokeness revolution, or whatever you want to call it, happen right before my eyes while I was there. When I joined that group, it was kind of like how things were in the 80s and 90s. People were just talking, it was a free for all. Then some younger people got involved, and it became very clear, due to the things they said, that they did not actually support free speech as a principle.

Yeah, it was a pretty radical and rapid shift. Even when I was in college — so, 2007 — these ideas were not popular. But it almost doesn't matter what the ideology is, right? This just happened to be the first ideology that came around with significant support among elite people and institutions that hold power in the country. And because it captured that small group of people, the ideology was able to exert tremendous control over the entire country in a pretty rapid way. The next one could be worse.

How do we build systems that defend against this? Have you seen these ideas shape Wikipedia? And where do you see the architecture of knowledge going? You've written recently about AI as a kind of Wiki-killer.

So, first of all, I think it’s a cultural problem. I don’t think it’s first and foremost a technical problem. The roots of the cultural revolution we’re experiencing now lie in critical theory in literature and philosophy departments back in the 1970s and 1980s. The kind of language that people started using back then has become mainstream. I’m amazed that it became mainstream.

When Wikipedia started, it seemed decentralized because anybody could get involved and represent various points of view. We had a robust neutrality policy that allowed people to work together and represent a global array of perspectives on every topic.

Today, that is no longer the case. I won’t get into all the reasons or descriptions of the problem, but the basic issue is that Wikipedia now represents an establishment point of view. It’s not neutral; it’s the establishment’s view. If the establishment allows a narrow range of controversies on some topics, then that’s okay. You can debate those things, but anything outside that Overton window is not going to be represented fairly — if at all — on Wikipedia.

Now, Wikipedia is just an example of a broader phenomenon found in the media generally. There was a time when I thought maybe Wikipedia might resist the drift towards media bias, but it didn’t. It just followed in lockstep.

I would love to know how that happened. Wasn’t Wikipedia designed to avert this problem?

I mean, at least policy-wise, it was designed that way. The whole idea is that these are people who don’t have to declare who they are. They could be from anywhere in the world, and can work on the website at any time. It’s a free-for-all. There’s a policy that says you have to let other people have a say and make an effort to represent their points of view fairly — the neutrality policy.

So, at least as far as that design is concerned, you would think it would be resistant, but it hasn’t worked out that way. From almost the beginning, there have been people who have given lip service to the neutrality policy or have creatively interpreted it to allow themselves to be biased as hell. More and more of such people have basically taken over. It’s been one of the institutions that the left has marched through.

You've written about artificial intelligence as it applies to searching for information and cataloging information. I think it could be a Google killer as much as it could be a Wikipedia killer. How do you see it? And how do you see the way that we disseminate information and consume information changing?

Well, people use encyclopedias in two different ways. One is to get a particular fact, to get a piece of information that they don’t have. They have a question, they just need an answer to the question, and then they can move on. The other way is when they want a general introduction to a topic.

AI is going to be, within a few years, really, really good at both. It’s already pretty good — it’s already pretty useful at answering a lot of our factual questions. But when you start asking hard questions, like interpretive questions about literature, AI can badly summarize the sorts of answers it finds and is right only about 80% of the time.

Going forward, it’s going to become increasingly sophisticated at answering increasingly sophisticated questions and not just sort of blather. I think within a few years — it’s going to happen very fast — we will be able to ask it things like, “Compare the concepts of civil freedom and free will in all of the writings of John Stuart Mill, and give me quotations, and also throw in some academic references from the last 50 years,” or something like that, and it will actually give a really good answer. It will be able to answer those questions really well.

But the thing is, it’s still going to tell you what it wants you to believe about that question. It can subtly influence the direction of your intellectual development in precisely the same way that an indoctrinating college professor would do.

Yeah, I try to be a discerning person, but I often catch myself default trusting people I know and like. I think this is how we're designed — to sit around a campfire and share stories with people who we like, and to listen to them. To trust them. I think AI has begun to fill this role, as a likable, trusted source of information. Just by being friendly.

Well, I’ll put on my philosopher’s hat. In the branch of epistemology called social epistemology, one of the things they discuss is what they call testimony, which is one of the basic ways we learn about the world. Most social epistemologists believe it cannot be reduced to anything else. In other words, it’s a fundamental assumption that if someone says something to you, then you have at least a little reason to believe what they say.

So, you’re absolutely right that an AI can influence you just by mentioning something. Even if the AI has been hallucinating, you’ll think, “Okay, yeah, that sounds possibly wrong, I’ll go and investigate that,” but you’ll take for granted other things it said that were actually wrong.

Right, if it sounds like it knows what it's talking about... This is a strange quality: something that sounds true. I mean, any number of facts that we encounter a day, we don't judge or even think twice about.

That’s really important.

The reason why something sounds true is that it has some degree of fit with your background assumptions. You have a certain set of beliefs, and if something is fully consistent with those beliefs, then you’re much more likely to believe it. Whereas if it collides a little bit with some of your beliefs, you’ll be less likely to believe it.

If your beliefs are wholly cut off from the real world, and from a truly diverse set of opinions from many different people who each have connections to the real world, then you can be indoctrinated. I actually think this is what happens with people in cults, and I think the worst ideologues online are like this. They don’t talk to other people; they live in their own silos. Those people are going to be the ones writing our AI chatbots and editing the settings of those chatbots.

In our conversation last week, you said AI is potentially a Wikipedia killer not just because it's better at analyzing information and has access to more information. It's also because it’s just the way people prefer to learn. They prefer to ask a question and receive an answer, rather than do research.

Well, I want to acknowledge that AI is very useful, just like Wikipedia. Wikipedia is still useful; I have to give it that — especially for particular topics. AI is potentially even more useful. It’s easy and fast to ask it a question and get an instant answer, whereas before you might take 15 minutes or a full hour to research something thoroughly.

That being said, there is a lot to worry about. In the same way that there was institutional capture of Wikipedia, the AI chatbots are being built by institutions that are already captured. So, of course, that’s why when I was trying to ask for a full account of the bombing of the Nord Stream pipeline recently, the chatbot I was using just refused to give me an answer.

I kept feeding it little bits of information: “Okay, well, the name of the journalist was this, and he said this,” and I started asking specific questions about what he said. At a certain point, it actually started giving me some answers, but only as much as it had to in order to answer the question, and then it just cut it off.

What you're describing is definitely dangerous, but it's going to become... 'Oh, well, whatever, I can find this information online. It doesn't matter.' But as AI takes off, and we become increasingly reliant on AI to answer our questions —

You might try to be skeptical, but if you don’t actually think of certain questions to ask, you won’t ask them. You will just find yourself with a new belief that is convenient for the establishment to give you.

It’s going to be like that with regard to all the questions we would ask an encyclopedia or a search engine. We will ask those questions of a chatbot. Unless we know to follow up on certain aspects, our opinions will be directed in a certain way. If our background assumptions have been molded and pushed in a certain direction, it will be harder for us to arrive at a fully nuanced picture of reality.

How do we solve the problem of our impermanent internet record? This is something that you're working on now. You mentioned your work on Oldpedia. If you could re-architect our entire system of record, what would that look like?

Let's start with the Internet Archive.

That's a hard question. Because like I said, I don't envy them. The problems that they have are very hard...

What problems are they facing?

I mean, they’re just technical problems. It’s massive, massive amounts of data, right? As soon as you gather that much data together, it needs to be mirrored and made available, hopefully, if it’s all in one place. That’s another thing: there are only two mirrors of the Internet Archive that I know of. One is in Amsterdam, the second one is in Egypt.

Then there are all the problems associated with metadata. In order to make that data, whether it be a book or a webpage or a snapshot of a webpage, properly searchable and represented, certain kinds of metadata need to be captured. So there are all those technical problems.

And then, of course, there are also the managerial and legal problems. Increasingly, I think there will be people putting pressure on the Internet Archive to get rid of certain things. Even now, that sounds ridiculous — even the most far-left leftist isn’t going to say, “We’re not going to delete Mein Kampf from the Internet Archive,” because it is useful as a historical document to learn from.

But people will want to erase history, right? Not just the most offensive parts, but also stuff that is not in line with certain views. It happens, and it has happened throughout history. How do you insulate a non-profit that depends on millions of dollars from giant corporations that are getting woke? How do you insulate that organization from those sorts of pressures? You can’t.

So the only solution is to make what they are trying to do decentralized. But good luck with that, because then in addition to having metadata, you actually have to have a lot of different people agree on the metadata and agree on the sort of network structure that enables them to share the files in lots of different places. But we are making a start, at least, at the Knowledge Standards Foundation.

What is your approach?

We are crawling lots of different encyclopedias, beginning mostly with open content encyclopedias. There are quite a few of those, maybe not as many as you might think, but on the order of many hundreds. Then there are also some others. The idea is to create a file format for individual encyclopedia articles. That’s what we’ve done.

The file format is basically a kind of ZIP file. So, if there’s an article about George Washington from, say, Citizendium, we will have the HTML, a text-only version, and a metadata file with things like the title, author, publication date, and other details. There will also be a digital signature, which is a technical way of proving that the file originated from a certain server. If a file claims to be from citizendium.org and is signed by citizendium.org, you can prove that because the signature was added to that file. This is important because, in a decentralized system, unless you digitally sign your files, someone could change a file on a server, and nobody would be the wiser.

Another thing we are doing is settling on the actual directory structure so it’s easy to exchange files between different aggregators. We’ve got one aggregator called EncycloReader, run by a CERN developer, and another called EncycloSearch, run by my son. They have built everything independently, with independent readers, search engines, and directories, and they are constantly iterating on how they exchange files.

At this point, it’s possible to do it automatically. If one person makes a new ZWI file from a new encyclopedia, the other can automatically import it, and it can propagate to others. The cryptocurrency company I mentioned, DARA, has also made an aggregator and imported some of our stuff, making new files themselves. When an article is up for deletion on Wikipedia, they’ll now make a snapshot of it and keep a copy.

So to be clear, this is going to get us to a world where the record of the internet at least is — I don't want to say permanent — but it's more permanent than it is today?

Yeah, well, it is shared across lots of different computers. Another thing we are working on, and my son hasn’t actually started yet but will shortly, is a desktop app. He’s already created a plugin for Chrome and Brave that will seed articles into a decentralized format. This will be like a desktop server. It will turn your computer into a server where you can allocate a gigabyte or whatever amount of space and become another node or aggregator, automatically seeding articles.

Then, anyone will be able to download articles from the nearest node. This is an example of the sort of decentralized content network that needs to exist. If we can build it for encyclopedias, then we ought to be able to build it for other kinds of content as well. But we’re starting with encyclopedias.

Last question: the average person is not nearly as steeped in all of this as you are — specifically, the topic of how we know what we know, and how the internet is designed to help us know what we know. What is something about this subject the average person doesn't think much about, which you wish they would?

The average person gets their beliefs from the mainstream media and their education. I would want the average person to know just how completely controlled, manipulated, and captured — to use that word again — they are if they do not escape their indoctrination from mainstream education and media. There is so much more information out there, and I’m not just talking about conspiracy theories, although a lot of those are more important and plausible than you might think.

But no, I’m not talking about that. I’m talking about, for example, who is the most important black intellectual alive today. It’s Thomas Sowell, but how many people would know that, who are regular viewers of CNN and graduates of your local public high school and places like Ohio State University? They wouldn’t know that. I’m biased because I’m ideologically aligned with him to a certain extent — not entirely — but, speaking as a philosopher who has actually read a half dozen of Sowell’s books, I can tell you, he is a master. He’s one of the greatest intellectuals that America has produced, period.

And that’s something you wouldn’t know. That’s not a conspiracy theory. It’s not even a conspiracy theory to say that that is a fact. It’s just an opinion, but it’s an unpopular opinion and a perspective you wouldn’t learn if you relied entirely on what the talking heads say is really credible and important.

Also, I would say, read the Bible.

https://www.piratewires.com/p/our-vanishing-internet-interview-dr-larry-sanger

Murder, She Wrote—and Lied

 Ten years ago today, in Ferguson, Missouri, a police shooting killed 18-year-old Michael Brown. The incident was followed almost instantly by a massive propaganda campaign and the first of many waves of deadly and destructive Black Lives Matter riots.

The propaganda campaign employed a tactic made notorious by both Communist and Putinist Russia: the “firehose of falsehood.”

This tactic, says the RAND Corporation, involves “high numbers of channels and messages and a shameless willingness to disseminate partial truths or outright fictions.”

Five years ago, Kamala Harris, then a candidate for president, kept the firehose flowing with a tweet intended to boost her campaign.

Michael Brown’s murder,” she wrote, “forever changed Ferguson and America. His tragic death sparked a desperately needed conversation and a nationwide movement. We must fight for stronger accountability and racial equity in our justice system.”

Her statement was a blatant lie.

Michael Brown was not murdered. Brown was recorded on a security camera robbing a convenience store and assaulting a store clerk. He struggled with the responding police officer, who shot him to death. Highly publicized local and federal investigations, all led by Democratic officeholders, determined that the police officer had acted in self-defense.

Harris, a former prosecutor and state attorney general who was then a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, had all this information and understood what it meant. She lied anyway.

To promote herself and to advance identity politics, Harris put forward the discredited narrative that Ferguson police officer Darren Wilson, a white man, had murdered Michael Brown, a young black man.

The previous Harris for President campaign had robust primary competition. In that environment, the liberal media were not easy on her.

A few days following Harris’s tweet, the left-wing news outlet Vox reported that her statement was false. Concerning Harris’s accusation of murder, Vox reported that “the evidence, including a report released by President Barack Obama’s Department of Justice, says otherwise.”

A month later, the left-wing news and opinion site Slate also criticized Harris and other Democrats who called Brown’s death a murder.

“The original account of Brown’s death, that he had been shot in the back or while raising his hands in surrender, was false,” Slate reported. “The shooting was thoroughly investigated, first by a grand jury and then by the Obama Justice Department. The investigations found that Brown assaulted Wilson, tried to grab his gun, and was shot dead while advancing toward Wilson again.” In 2015, Obama’s attorney general Eric Holder personally announced the findings.

Slate continued: “Despite these findings, three Democratic presidential candidates—Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Sen. Kamala Harris of California, and billionaire Tom Steyer—said last month that Brown was murdered. These candidates haven’t backed down in the face of press queries and fact checks. Warren even dismissed a face-to-face question about the DOJ report that cleared Wilson.”

Slate’s judgment of Harris was fittingly harsh: “Brown’s death was a tragedy, but it wasn’t a murder. When Democrats claim it was, and when they refuse to correct that mistake, they cast doubt on their commitment to truth.”

A year after Harris’s false assertion of Brown’s “murder,” and amid COVID lockdowns and devastating riots in St. Louis, a fringe figure—funded by George Soros and family—rode the firehose of falsehood to a seat in the U.S. Congress.

Cori Bush, whose sketchy background includes her claiming, without evidence, that she has cured cancer and paralysis as a faith healer, stunned political observers by defeating veteran U.S. Rep. Lacy Clay in the 2020 Democratic primary. General elections are meaningless in the district, which was drawn to favor Democrats overwhelmingly.

A prodigious fabricator, Bush won the congressional seat through her forceful repetition of the lie that Michael Brown had been murdered. As her 2024 re-election campaign website puts it, “in 2014, a Ferguson police officer murdered Michael Brown Jr., and it lit a fire inside her.” Bush became one of the most visible members of the far-left “Squad.”

Bush was the first Squad member to endorse Harris following President Joe Biden’s decision to end his re-election campaign. Harris endorsed Bush in her 2024 congressional primary.

But this week Bush lost her bid for renomination, to the most prominent target of her lies about Michael Brown.

The winner is Wesley Bell, an attorney from Ferguson, who won election in 2018 as the first black person to head the St. Louis County prosecutor’s office, in large part because of the unrest following Michael Brown’s death.

Bell pleased protesters by promising to re-open the Michael Brown case. He infuriated them 18 months later when, after a comprehensive reinvestigation, he announced that there was no basis for charging the police officer with murder or any other crime.

The evidence isn’t there. It just isn’t there,” Bell told Politico during the closing days of the congressional primary. “And we can’t prosecute someone just because we just want to do it. That’s the definition of political corruption. And I won’t do that. Far too often, when prosecutors take liberties and issue charges on folks without the evidence, it’s minorities—black and brown folks—who are on the business end of that.”

Cori Bush’s defeat eliminates one of the liars who inflamed Ferguson and embittered racial relations throughout the nation. But Kamala Harris is still on the scene.

Five years after her false accusation of murder, Harris still has not retracted the falsehood. The tweet remains on Harris’s current X account.

Eric Holder, who vetted her choices for running mate, could tell her the truth about Michael Brown.

Before there’s another ritual of deception concerning that death 10 years ago in Ferguson, it’s time for Harris to speak the truth.


Joseph P. Duggan was a speechwriter for President George H.W. Bush and a State Department aide in the Reagan administration. He is now an entrepreneur in St. Louis.


https://chroniclesmagazine.org/web/murder-she-wrote-and-lied/

Tom Elliott, Grabien: A Window Into How The Corrupt Media Covers Politics

 


This montage from Grabien founder Tom Elliott contrasts the media's reaction to Tim Walz's candidacy with their reaction to J.D. Vance:


WALZ

CNN HOST: A Midwestern dad, like super clean-cut vibe!

KASIE HUNT, CNN: Everybody likes Tim Walz!

CLAIRE MCCASKILL, MSNBC: So plain-spoken and relatable.

ASHLEY ALLISON, CNN: As moderate and independent as it comes.

ALAYNA TREENE, CNN: A pretty moderate Democrat.

REP. SETH MOULTON, FOX NEWS: I always knew him as a moderate, one of the most moderate--

JOE SCARBOROUGH, MSNBC: A very moderate record.

JOY REID, MSNBC: A new moderate.

JOAN WALSH, THE NATION: I think this is the new moderate

MICHAEL STEELE, MSNBC: Far from progressive.

REP. NANCY PELOSI: He's right down the middle.

YAMICHE ALCINDOR: He's not just an old white man.

CHUCK TODD, NBC: Tim Walz speaks American.

CHARLIE SYKES: He talks like a regular person.

SUSAN PAGE, USA TODAY: Tim Waltz is the opposite of weird.

CHUCK TODD, NBC: He is basically younger Joe Biden.

JOHN KASICH: Regular old Joe out there--

DANA BASH, CNN: We have a populist approach to fear on the Republican side and the happy populism that Tim Walz is on the ticket on the Democratic side

MICHAEL SCHEAR, NEW YORK TIMES: Walz is a kind happy warrior.

S.E. CUPP, CNN: Happy warriors.

ANDREA MITCHELL, MSNBC: He was certainly the happy warrior last night... and seemed to be a happy warrior last night.

JONATHAN LEMIRE, POLITICO: A happy warrior, folksy backstory.

MARK MCKINNON: They are going to be very happy warriors!

LAWRENCE O'DONNELL, MSNBC: There is a new happy warrior!

ASTEAD HERNDON, NEW YORK TIMES: Following the happy warrior mold.

JOHN HEILEMANN: Happy warrior.

PETER ALEXANDER, NBC NEWS: Happy warrior mentality.

RACHEL MADDOW, MSNBC: Wicked sense of humor... Look how happy the pig looks!

***

VANCE

DAVID PLOUFFE: J D Vance is weird, extreme, and angry.

RACHEL MADDOW, MSNBC: Utter humorlessness... the humorlessness and pompousness.

NICOLE WALLACE, MSNBC: Hard to believe that J.D. Vance could be any more extreme.

TIM MILLER: It's like a freak show of bros.

CHARLIE SYKES: They had J.D. Vance, dark and ugly... beneath the dignity of most politicians.

MIKA BRZEZINSKI, MSNBC: J.V. Vance.

JOE SCARBOROUGH, MSNBC: The most extreme.

CHRIS HAYES: Being one of the most extreme.

CHARLIE SYKES: We need to recognize the danger.

S.E. CUPP: Angry and mean and dark.

JOY REID, MSNBC: Cat lady-hating sidekick J.D. Vance... This guy is really weird, y'all!

DAVID HOGG: Everybody in America knows a J.D. Vance, but we stay away from him because he's weird.

JOE SCARBOROUGH, MSNBC: Anger, chaos.

JOAN WALSH, THE NATION: Hang-dog ex-husband.

***

WALZ

JOE SCARBOROUGH, MSNBC: Hope, optimism, joy.

TOREY VAN OTT, AXIOS: Salt of the Earth of the Midwestern uncle vibes.

SABRINA RODRIGUEZ, WASHINGTON POST: The quintessential midwestern dad.

KAISE HUNT, CNN: Tim Walz keeps winning hot dish contests, apparently.

RACHEL MADDOW, MSNBC: Tim Walz is so funny that if he's good at this, he will release a recipe for a hot dish.

MICHAEL STEELE, MSNBC: All of his time on the ground, you know, fixing F-150s.

DAVID AXELROD: Walz is out of a Norman Rockwell painting, right? He's small-town America incarnated.

ALYSSA FARAH GRIFFIN: Midwest, Your uncle, your dad.

DAVID HOGG: I have not been this happy in years... He is the guy who is always there to help you, whether it's changing your oil, whether it's fixing a lawn mower or whether it's helping to fix our democracy... It feels so good to have hope!

MIKE BARNICLE, MSNBC: I'm going to call him the coach from now until election day.

JONATHAN LEMIRE, POLITICO: Coach! Coach!

JOT REID, MSNBC: Tim Walt, the plain-spoken fun uncle who will defend the people he loves.

MOLLY JONG FAST, MSNBC: He ice fishes. He's a hunter. He does butter carving. You know, he is a rural person.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2024/08/09/tom_elliott_grabien_a_window_into_how_the_corrupt_media_covers_politics.html

Another Green Energy Company Declares Bankruptcy, Thank Biden’s Tariffs

 Conflicting goals often leads to the worst of both outcomes. That’s what’s happening with solar panels and EVs.

SunPower Went Bankrupt Despite Huge Subsidies

The Wall Street Journal reports Another Green Energy Subsidy Bust

The 39-year-old SunPower is the latest solar rooftop business to fail this year. Others include Titan Solar Power and Sunworks. SunPower cited a “severe liquidity crisis caused by a sharp decline in demand in the solar market and SunPower’s inability to obtain new capital.” The IRA boosted solar subsidies, so why has demand fallen?

One reason is higher interest rates have made rooftop panel leasing less attractive to customers. Some states like California have scaled back programs that pay customers to send solar power they don’t use to the grid. Such subsidies raise the cost of power for people who don’t have panels. In California the grid is often overloaded with solar power.

The cost of panels has also increased amid overall inflation and President Biden’s tariffs, which were backed by domestic manufacturers and Democrats in Congress. Solar installers warned the tariffs would hurt their industry, and they have. Jobs that Mr. Biden’s subsidies giveth, his tariffs and inflation taketh.

Offshore wind projects are also getting scratched because of rising costs and interest rates that make them uneconomic even with subsidies. BP last year wrote down its U.S. offshore wind business by $1.1 billion. Wind developer Orsted last autumn announced $4 billion in write-downs after walking away from two projects off the New Jersey coast.

BP recently scaled back a planned U.S. biofuels investment. Shell this year said it would close its hydrogen refueling stations in California as few people are buying fuel-cell vehicles, and subsidies for hydrogen production have fallen. Talk about stranded assets.

Tariffs and Subsidies Backfire

Biden only wants clean energy if it every piece of it is made in the USA. That means higher costs, even with subsidies.

I commented on this in advance as it was easy to see.

The attempt force production of solar panels in the US resulted in prices so high that few wanted them.

Three Results

  • No noticeable increase in US production
  • Lost jobs from installers
  • No furthering of clean energy goals

https://mishtalk.com/economics/another-green-energy-company-declares-bankruptcy-thank-bidens-tariffs/

Polling On Latinos Shows Trouble For Harris

 by Jeffrey Baldwin via RealClearPolitics,

According to a new survey, Latinos are disillusioned with President Joe Biden and his administration’s policies. 

The survey, primarily sampling Latinos living in several key states such as Pennsylvania, finds that a majority feel like things are worse than they were four years ago. And a whopping 72% say that the country is headed in the wrong direction. 

The findings are significant because Biden comfortably won the Latino vote in the 2020 presidential election, and Latinos have traditionally voted for Democrats in previous elections. 

And following the dramatic shake up atop of the Democratic ticket, Vice President Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign will need to put together a coalition – which includes Latinos – if she is to win the presidency.

Unfortunately for Harris, our poll shows that the economy is front and center for most Latino voters.

According to our findings, consistent with other polls, Latinos are most worried about jobs, the economy, inflation, and the high cost of living. 

According to our findings, two-thirds of Latinos say the state of the economy is either fair or poor. It’s no surprise, then, that our poll found that though Latinos still continue to believe in the American Dream, nearly 88% believe that it’s harder to achieve than ever before. 

These findings are consistent with what I am hearing every day from Latinos drawn to our workshops on financial literacy, the role of government, and English as a Second Language (ESL) classes. Hispanics are drawn to America because of the promise of a better life and want to be active in making this country better and more prosperous. 

Most immigrants from Latin America and the Caribbean are not looking for handouts, but instead are looking for ways to get ahead in a country of abundant opportunity and prosperity. They know that unlike other countries – including the ones they may have fled from – the United States is where people can accomplish extraordinary things through hard work and perseverance. 

But as our polling makes clear, Latinos are feeling battered after years of runaway spending, crony capitalism, and ever-expanding regulations that make owning a business or raising a family more difficult.  

The everyday Latinos I talk to, who are working two shifts or struggling to make ends meet, are looking for solutions from our elected officials. They are looking for bold leadership and they are tired of partisan politics.  

Many of us, having come from countries ruled by dictators with little chance of prosperity, are grateful to take on the responsibilities that come with living in a republican democracy where the elected officials are accountable to the people – not the other way around.  

We’re not a perfect nation, but the founders of this country knew that to make this a “more perfect union,” this great experiment of democracy needs an educated and vibrant citizenry. Latinos are showing that we are both and will not be seen as a monolithic, one-issue voting bloc for anyone. 

As one of the youngest and fastest growing demographic, Latinos will have an outsized role in determining the future of our country. This election is just the start in shaping the next chapter of America’s history.  

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/polling-latinos-shows-trouble-harris

US Arms-Makers Warily Consider Production In Ukraine At Pentagon's Urging

 At the urging of the Pentagon, several American arms-makers are exploring the possibility of producing weapons inside Ukraine, but are grappling with assessing a host of risk factors that include not only Russian bombs but also Ukraine's infamous corruption. 

In June, President Biden and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a bilateral agreement  committing to “defense industrial cooperation, including codevelopment, coproduction, and supply of Ukraine’s defense industrial base requirements.”

The next month, Northrop Grumman was first to take the plunge, announcing that it had finalized a deal to coproduce medium-caliber ammunition in Ukraine. Crucially, no Northrop employees are to set foot inside the embattled country. “As part of the co-production agreement Northrop Grumman will provide the equipment and training to install an assembly line so that [Ukranian firm Ukroboronservice] can produce and test advanced medium caliber ammunition in Ukraine,” a spokesman told Breaking Defense

This Ukrainian defense-industrial facility in the Kiev suburbs was shattered by Russian bombs in 2022 (Fadel Senna/AFP via Getty Images and Newsweek

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If that first project goes well, Northrop could take on more ambitious ventures. "[Medium-caliber ammo] is our first project that’s paid for with Ukrainian dollars. We are looking to expand that into tank ammo, 155 mm, others as we find innovative processes,” Dave Bartell, the firm's director of international business for Northrop’s defense systems sector, told Breaking Defense in June.  

Other companies are still crunching the numbers and weighing risks that are difficult to quantify. An unnamed State Department official says they're champing at the bit. “I think our industry is really eager, but at the same time, [it] has to make sense from a business case, right? And financing is an issue too, how you can actually pay for this stuff,” the official told Defense One

The official also acknowledged other risks that go beyond the prospect of employees and production lines being vaporized. “Clearly, corruption is a concern,” the official said, before offering the mandatory Western-government claim that Ukraine is making progress on that front.  

In May, Ukraine's former deputy head of the presidential administration was charged with "illicit enrichment," having amassed real estate, vehicles and other riches valued in excess of 10 times his disclosed salary and savings. A few weeks earlier, local media revealed that the wife of the head of the Security Service's cybersecurity operation bought a $500,000 apartment, which prompted President Zelensky to fire her husband. There are many more examples where that came from.

A 155mm production line at the Scranton Army Ammunition Plant (Charly Triballeau/AFP via Radio Free Europe)

There's also the question of whether a heavy investment would be accompanied by long-term opportunity, or whether the breakout of peace -- God forbid -- would turn a Ukrainian-based project into a money-loser. Given the uncertainty, companies are likely to emphasize less ambitious undertakings. The ability to obtain insurance is another concern. 

“It has to be a business case for what they're trying to do, and so looking at maybe starting off with a maintenance, repair, and overhaul type stuff, spare parts production, so kind of starting a crawl-walk-run-type philosophy, before you actually get to the more advanced stuff,” the official added. 

We suspect that, if things turn south, the Pentagon will find a way to make it up to US weapon manufacturers -- and pass the cost on to you. 

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-arms-makers-warily-consider-production-ukraine-pentagons-urging