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Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Russian Vaccine Behavior

 By Derek Lowe

In the last post, I mentioned the Twitter response to the Brazilian rejection of the Gamaleya vaccine. I believe that the official blue-check-marked “Sputnik V” Twitter account is run by the Russian Direct Investment Fund, the sovereign-wealth part of the Russian state that is in charge of rolling out the vaccine to different countries. In that case, the Russian Sovereign Wealth Fund needs to clean up its act.

I say that because of their aggressive political marketing. Here’s a tweet from earlier today, all about how countries that are “independent enough” to not only use “Western” vaccines but also the Russian and Chinese ones are doing better in the pandemic. But beyond this, they have also posted tweets about the safety record of their vaccine and others in Hungary, specifically claiming that the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine has “32x the death rate” and “6x the infection rate” of their own vaccine. That follows up on a tweet claiming that data across several international health sources shows that there is a higher death rate after administration of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine as well.

These claims are bullshit. Posting them is a disgrace.

Here’s an analysis by Carl Bergstrom that goes into the details. To summarize, the first column for the international data is summarizing raw death numbers, not adjusted for population. The population-weighted numbers given are total deaths, not vaccine-associated ones: so yes, if someone gets vaccinated and then falls off a cliff, it’s going to be included. No accounting is made for how long any of the vaccines have been administered for. That also means that the differences in who gets the different vaccines in different countries are going to overwhelm the numbers as well. That applies to the Hungarian data as well: it appears that the Pfizer vaccine and others have gone into disproportionately older patients as compared to the Russian one, and that cohort of course has higher all-causes mortality as a background. No less an figure in the mRNA vaccine world than Katalin Karikó noticed this problem and others with the data (that link should take you to a Google Translate page, since I’m assuming that most readers here speak about as much Hungarian as I do). Update: here’s a translation from a native speaker.

What we’re seeing here is a deliberate attempt by the backers of the Sputnik-V vaccine to smear the competition, Pfizer especially. It’s not enough if they succeed – others must fail. This is a vile, destructive tactic that will do nothing but harm, and anyone who actually gave a damn about global health would have nothing to do with it. Promoting your own vaccine on its merits is fine, but spreading fear and doubt about the others like this is disgusting. The Russian Direct Investment Fund is deliberately promulgating lies. They should take down this crude propaganda, and if they don’t, Twitter and other platforms should take it down for them.

Postscript: I fully expect to see the defenders of the current Russian government’s honor – what there is of it – to jump into the comments here and on my Twitter feed. This happens most times anything mildly uncomplimentary about Russian issues appears here, and this post is a lot more uncomplimentary than usual. Come at me. I have a great deal of sympathy for the Russian people, who over the years have managed to make great contributions to humanity while cynically being abused by their leaders, who have too often been a series of despots and thieves.

https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/04/28/russian-vaccine-behavior

Brazil Rejects Gamaleya Sputnik-V Vaccine

 By Derek Lowe

We have two pieces of news about the Gamaleya Institute’s “Sputnik-V” vaccine today. Neither of them are going to be enjoyable to go into.

First off, many may have heard that the Brazilian regulatory authorities had a hearing yesterday to see if this vaccine would be approved for use there. They have turned it down, for several reasons. (Update: here are their slides, in Portuguese). Among these are questions about the manufacturing and scale-up processes, which I have to say have not been very well documented for this vaccine. Readers may recall the reports from Slovakia about the authorities there getting what appeared to be completely different formulations of the vaccine all shipped together, so there is some room for clarity about how these processes are controlled. But the bigger news was that Anvisa, the Brazilian drug agency, said that every single lot of the Ad5 Gamaleya shot that they have data on appears to still have replication-competent adenovirus in it. Let’s back up for a second to appreciate what the means, for readers who don’t do this stuff for a living. The next few paragraphs are background; skip if you like.

The adenovirus vector vaccines (all of them so far in the pandemic – AZ/Oxford, J&J, Gamaleya, CanSino) are made by removing most of the adenovirus DNA instructions from some form of the virus, and inserting DNA to make coronavirus antigens instead. Oxford has a chimpanzee adenovirus, J&J has been using the Ad26 strain, CanSino has the Ad5 adenovirus, and the Gamaleya vaccine is one shot of Ad26 followed by a shot of Ad5. But all of them carry the DNA to make the coronavirus Spike protein (some of them in its native state, others with stabilizing amino acid mutations). And all of them have had key parts of their original genome removed to make them unable to replicate in the body (deleting a gene called E1 is the standard way to do this).

That means that when you’re injected with such a vector vaccine, each viral particle is a one-shot deal. It infects a cell in your body and instructs it to make Spike protein (thereby setting off your immune response when that foreign protein gets presented), and that’s it. A real wild-type virus would of course make the whole suite of viral proteins, which would be assembled into countless new virus particles. These would then be released when the cell finally breaks apart and dies from the overload. Now, there have been debates over the years about whether you’d get a more effective vaccine that way, with a “replication-competent” adenovirus, but generally it’s believed that you can do fine with the “replication-incompetent” ones, which let you *not* give your patients a new viral infection at the same time.

Adenoviruses are everywhere. What happens when you’re infected with a wild-type variety? Generally you get respiratory infections that vary according to the person. With Ad5 and Ad26 they’re generally mild, sometimes unnoticeable, but in some people there can be serious trouble, which is another reason to avoid giving them replicating virus. The Ad5 variety has infected a solid proportion of the entire human race, as far as we can tell, which is one reason why you see people moving to less-common platforms like Ad26 or adenoviruses from other primate species entirely (as with Oxford/AZ). It’s believed that if you already have antibodies and T-cells primed against the Ad5 vector itself (for example) that delivery of its payload will thus be impaired, leading to a less-effective vaccination. This also makes you wonder about diminished efficacy of booster-shot regimens with such vectors, no matter what strain you start with, and what happens if you want to get vaccinated a few years later against a completely different pathogen whose vaccine uses a viral vector you’ve already been exposed to. For now, it looks like the booster-shot idea can work, although the second shot is surely chewed up more by the immune response. The second concern is still an open question, as far as I know. Presumably both of these would be even bigger concerns with a replication-competent vaccine, because you’re hitting the patients with an even stronger viral challenge.

OK, now we need to talk about how you make big piles of virus if you’ve kept them from replicating. That’s an interesting question that has a slick solution: you’re going to be using human cells (often the HEK293 line) to expand your virus production, and what you do is engineer those human cells so that they make the missing E1 protein that the virus needs to replicate. So as long as you’re growing up virus in these engineered cells, you’ll make more, but if they infect normal human cells that haven’t been jiggered to make a key viral protein (as in when you inject them as a vaccine) they’ll stall out on replication immediately. Problem solved!

Mostly. There are still places where this can go wrong. Double-stranded DNA breaks, which can happen more or less randomly, are generally repaired by processes called “homologous recombination” and “nonhomologous end joining”, and these can lead to mix-and-match behavior between DNA from different sources. This process can be deliberately harnessed for gene editing – that’s what the classic CRISPR enzyme Cas9 does – but it can also be a source of trouble in a system like this one. There is a chance that the occasional viral particle might be able to regain the DNA sequence for the E1 protein by picking it up from the human-cell background. If that goes right (well, wrong), then that will turn it back into a replicating virus, and that’s just what it will do in your cell culture tanks.

This problem has been recognized for many years, of course, and no one’s forgotten about it. There are assays to screen for this sort of thing, and every time work gets going on a proposed new viral vector, updated assays are developed to screen that one, too. You can dive into these references for details on how to engineer both your viral vectors and your human cell lines to cut down on the chances of this happening as well. This is an accepted part of the vector vaccine production process.

Which is why the news that the Sputnik vaccine contains replicating adenovirus was surprising and unwelcome. As mentioned, this is probably not going to cause big problems in its vaccinated population, but it’s a completely unnecessary risk. And if such a vaccine is going into tens of millions of people (or more), it seems certain that there will be some people harmed by this avoidable problem. If you’re going to make a replication-competent vaccine, make one and run the clinical trials with it, and if you’re asking for regulatory approval for a replication-incompetent one you shouldn’t show up with an undefined mixture of replicating and non-replicating viral particles instead. This sort of thing calls into question the entire manufacturing and quality control process, and I can see why the Brazilian regulators are concerned.

The response from the Sputnik V camp has not been good. The official Twitter account has accused Anvisa of having “invented fake news” about the vaccine, when what you’d hope to see is more of the good ol’ “We stand by our manufacturing process, but take these concerns seriously and are working with the authorities to resolve this question” sort of thing. But no, it’s all for “political reasons”. Their official statement is no more conciliatory. A tip for the vaccine’s manufacturers: don’t immediately start accusing your critics of bad faith, especially when they are the regulatory authorities. Step up and act like responsible drug developers: address the issues directly, with transparency, and work to find a solution. Throwing fits on Twitter is not the answer. But that brings us to the next post, coming up shortly. . .

https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/04/28/brazil-rejects-the-gamaleya-vaccine

Bring a Detroiter to get COVID-19 vaccine, get paid $50 per dose

 Neighbors who take Detroiters to get inoculated will get $50 on a pre-paid debit card to reward their efforts starting Monday.

The new incentive announced Wednesday by Mayor Mike Duggan is part of the city's Good Neighbor" program. When the program was first introduced in February, residents were rewarded for driving their eligible neighbors to get vaccinated with a shot as well.

However, now that eligibility has opened up statewide to include everyone ages 16 and older, the Good Neighbor program is turning to a new incentive: money.

"My responsibility is to make this city the easiest place in America to get a vaccine," Duggan said Wednesday. "There are people who say, 'I'll never get it,' but most people fall in the middle ... and those folks, when they have support in their lives, tend to show up to get vaccinated."

Good-natured drivers from any community can participate, but are first required to register and the passenger receiving the vaccine must be a Detroit resident. Drivers can be paid $50 for each dose, meaning each neighbor vaccinated can yield $100 on pre-paid MasterCard debit cards.

As of Tuesday, Detroit reported a total of 46,077 coronavirus cases and 2,004 deaths, accounting for 11.5% of Michigan's death toll, which stood at 17,429 Tuesday. 

Drivers can bring up to three passengers in one car, and get paid for all three ($300). However, after $600 in payments, the city will have to issue a W9 for taxes.

The city also offers $2 rides to vaccination sites for residents, but the new Good Neighbor incentive proves to be more cost effective and efficient for the city. The city pays a $35 base cost for the $2 rides and $50 for trips taking longer than an hour.

Detroit's Northwest Activity Center and Straight Gate Church will be used as Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine sites, following an 11-day pause on the company's vaccine after a rare blood-clotting disorder was connected to the vaccine. Out of nearly 8 million to receive the vaccine, 15 people developed the condition and three died.

The Food and Drug Administration and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced Friday the benefits of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine and determined that administration should resume.

The "Good Neighbor" program is eligible for appointment-only vaccination sites. These sites include:

Teva Pharm unlikely to reach deals to co-produce vaccines - CEO

Israel’s Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is not likely to reach deals with COVID vaccine makers to co-produce the vaccines although discussions are still ongoing, chief executive Kare Schultz told Reuters.

Schultz said Teva -- the world's largest generic drugmaker -- offered to co-produce the vaccines in both Israel and Europe, where the company has capacity, to help with global supply.

"But we've not been able to reach a firm agreement with any company," he said. "It's not for our lack of wanting to do it but the key players that have actually been successful in developing the vaccines that have come to the market have found other partners or their own internal capacity."

He did not name the companies.

"It's probably pretty much done (but) we can't rule it out," Schultz said. "We're still in discussion with some of the companies, and we're still willing to do it if we can help."

https://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-teva-pharm-unlikely-reach-141013401.html

Align Technology: Record First Quarter 2021 Financial Results

 

  • Q1 total revenues up 7.2% sequentially and 62.4% year-over-year to a record $894.8 million

  • Q1 diluted net income per share of $2.51; Q1 non-GAAP diluted net income per share of $2.49

  • Q1 operating income up 222.4% year-over-year to $225.4 million and operating margin of 25.2%

  • Q1 Clear Aligner revenues up 7.5% sequentially and 56.4% year-over-year to a record $753.3 million

  • Q1 Clear Aligner volume up 4.9% sequentially and 65.8% year-over-year to 595.8 thousand cases

  • Q1 Clear Aligner volume for teenage patients was 165.3 thousand cases, up 58.9% year-over-year

  • Q1 Imaging Systems and CAD/CAM Services revenues were up 5.8% sequentially and 104.0% year-over-year to a record $141.5 million

  • Cash and cash equivalents was $1.1 billion as of Q1’21 compared to $960.8 million as of Q4’20

Teladoc revenue up, boosts guidance

 

  • Raises full-year guidance as first quarter revenue grows 151% year-over-year to $453.7 million, with total visits increasing 56% to 3.2 million.

  • Reports the number of consumers enrolled in more than one chronic care program tripling year-over-year as they choose Teladoc Health to meet a broader whole-person need set.

  • Announces substantial progress on integration, including launch of Medical Group referrals into chronic care management programs and a significant new whole-person care contract with a regional Blue Cross Blue Shield plan on the East Coast.

  • Finds continued favorable consumer trends, particularly among Millennials, who are showing a greater sustained propensity to use digital health than other generations.

“After a transformational year, Teladoc Health continues to show strong momentum by delivering record results across the business,” said Jason Gorevic, chief executive officer of Teladoc Health. “Consumers are embracing our whole-person virtual care offerings, engaging with multiple products and coming to us for more of their health needs. As our integration accelerates, we are leading the way in whole-person care, unlocking the full spectrum of healthcare in one unified and personalized consumer experience.”

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/teladoc-health-reports-first-quarter-200500751.html

Amgen’s low-dose Kras curveball

 August 16 remains a vital date in Amgen’s calendar, being the deadline by which the US FDA is to decide whether to approve the company’s Kras G12C inhibitor sotorasib. Amgen has reiterated that it is ready to launch the drug, now to be branded Lumakras, “upon approval”.

In the meantime, however, the group continues to tinker with its clinical programme, yesterday revealing plans to test how a once-daily 240mg Lumakras dose compares with the 960mg for which it is seeking approval. This immediately caused confusion and speculation among analysts: what had triggered this substudy?

One initial guess was that a low dose could be preferable for combinations with other agents. But on last night’s first-quarter call the company said the dose-comparison study did not “really have anything to do with combinations”. Indeed, it seemed to say that testing 240mg had been driven simply by curiosity.

Its vice-president of R&D, David Reese, said the company wanted to see if it could “potentially get by with efficacy at a lower dose and enhance patient experience”. 240mg was chosen based on modelling taking into account pharmacokinetics and “preclinical data regarding efficacy at different target coverage levels”, said Mr Reese.

Post-marketing requirement

But then, overnight, the story changed. This morning before the markets opened Amgen issued a brief statement clarifying that in fact it was the FDA that had proposed a requirement to conduct a randomised trial to compare 960mg “versus a lower daily dose”. 

The most important message for the markets is that this requirement does not alter Lumakras’s initial approval timeline, or the running of a pivotal phase 3 study. The dose-comparison trial will be run alongside, and should yield results in 2022/23.

However, investors will be none the wiser as to why the US regulator would have asked Amgen to explore a low dose of a drug that at 960mg does not appear to have raised undue toxicity concerns (World Lung 2020 – no advance on Amgen’s “consistent” Kras promise, January 29, 2021).

That said, the FDA’s apparent willingness for this to be a post-approval requirement probably increases the chances of Lumakras being approved by August. This is most relevant for Mirati’s G12C competitor adagrasib, which will not be filed until the second half.

Selected Lumakras (sotorasib) studies
TrialDescriptionDesign
Codebreak-100Registrational ph2533 Kras G12C mutant pts, uncontrolled; 2L NSCLC cohort is relevant for approval; 
Codebreak-200Confirmatory ph3330 Kras G12C-mutant NSCLC pts, vs docetaxel; PFS primary endpoint
Codebreak substudyDose-comparison960mg once-daily vs 240mg once-daily in NSCLC
Source: clinicaltrials.gov & Amgen statements.

Lumakras’s filing is based on the phase 2 Codebreak-100 trial in second-line NSCLC. A confirmatory phase 3 trial, Codebreak-200, versus docetaxel, has completed enrolment after its recruitment target was lowered from 650 to 330 subjects, which Amgen says will be enough to maintain statistical power to assess its progression-free survival primary endpoint.

As for combinations, the logical adding of Shp2 inhibition to direct anti-Kras activity is the subject of a tie-up with Revolution Medicines involving that company’s RMC-4630. However, Amgen seems to be playing this down, and focusing more on the synergistic activity of Lumakras and Mek or EGFR blockade; combo data are due in the second half.

RMC-4630 is separately licensed to Sanofi, but at the recent AACR meeting showed disappointing monotherapy activity. Roche also is investigating this mechanistic combo, planning to test its Relay Therapeutics-originated Shp2 inhibitor RG6433 with its own Kras G12C blocker GDC-6036.

And yesterday Novartis, the most advanced Shp2 player, with TNO155, played up its combinatorial potential. Trials of TNO155 with Mirati’s adagrasib, and with Novartis’s in-house Kras G12C inhibitor JDQ443, are under way.

https://www.evaluate.com/vantage/articles/news/trial-results/amgens-low-dose-kras-curveball